Squiggle 2026

INFO

What Squiggles are • How to play through a season • Prediction • FAQ • The Model • Flagpole

What Squiggles are

Squiggles are visualizations of AFL team performances, charting attack and defence over the course of a season.

Teams ⇡ high on the chart kick big scores. Teams on the ⇢ right keep their opposition to low scores. Teams in the ↗ upper-right do both. Teams in the ↙ lower-left do neither.

Squiggles are handy because:

They visualize different game styles. For example, Ross Lyon teams at their peak lurk on the right side of the chart about halfway up, since they keep their opposition to low scores without scoring highly themselves.
They provide interesting season replays, showing how teams rose or fell at different times of the year.
They minimize fixture bias by accounting for the difficulty of opponents (and venue).
They predict how the season will play out based on current likelihoods.

Squiggle is roughly as accurate as tipping the favourite every game. (Which is hard to beat!) Over a season, an informed, observant human should be able to beat it, but not by much. It will beat an average human tipper. You can review its accuracy by visiting the TIPS section of any year.

How to play through a season

To watch the evolution of a past season, use the top controls:

Rewind to the start of the season

Previous Round

Next Round

Reload

You can also:

Click a team name in the legend at the top to hide/show it.
Click a team flag to remove every other team.

For example, you might like to rewind, click Hawthorn's flag to remove all other teams, click Geelong's name in the legend to add it back in, then repeatedly step through the season to watch their dance of death.

To zoom in on an area, drag a box around it.

Prediction

Weekly Tips

Click TIPS at the top of the page. If a team beats the tipped scoreline—i.e. wins by more than predicted, loses by less than predicted, or records an upset win—it will generally move in a positive direction on the chart (i.e. more up-and-right than down-and-left), while if its result is worse, it will generally move in a negative direction.

You can view tips for previous rounds via the "History" link on the Tips page.

Season Predictor

This is how the ladder will look if Squiggle has correctly rated every team and nobody gets better or worse.

For the home & away season, it uses a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of tips. Both teams are awarded a win probability from each game, so that if Squiggle thinks Hawthorn is 68% likely to beat Collingwood, it will award the Hawks 0.68 wins and the Pies 0.32 wins, increasing both team's tally of "probable wins" by less than 1.

This is because if a team plays 10 games with 60% likelihood of winning each game, we should expect them to win about 6/10—not, as we would get if we tipped each game and tallied up the tips, 10/10. We know that upsets will happen; we just don't know when. A probabilitistic ladder accounts for the likelihood that teams will sometimes unexpectedly win or lose, even though we doesn't know when.

This can look like a bug in the predictor, if you see a team tipped to win a match that doesn't seem to be credited. For example, a team might be on "15 (14.7)" wins, which means 14.7 "probable wins" rounded off to 15. (Rounding occurs so that teams can be secondarily ranked by their percentage.) And then that team is tipped to win the following week, but it remains on 15 wins, now "15 (15.3)". What has happened is the number of probable wins hasn't risen by enough to be rounded to a higher number. It has earned 0.6 more probable wins, but this still rounds off to 15. The predictor is saying it's still most likely this team will be on 15 wins, after accounting for the likelihood that some of its tips will be wrong.

Finals matches are predicted using simple tips. However, this isn't a very reliable way of doing it, and not Squiggle's official Premier tip. For this, please see Flagpole.

Starting the season: Team starting positions are heavily influenced by their late-season performances the previous year, and the off-season is completely ignored. There is no adjustment made for recovery from injuries, or players gained or lost via the draft or trade table, or anything else. For example, Collingwood started 2015 rated very low due to their injury-plagued end to 2014, while Adelaide and West Coast started in good positions after solid late-2014 performances.

Interactive Season Predictor

Drag teams around the chart and make Squiggle predict the rest of the season based on the new positions! It's the best of both worlds: your footy insight plus Squiggle's ability to sensibly model a season.

Reposition teams to your heart's content, open up the Predictor and click RECALCULATE.

This also provides a shareable link to the generated squiggle, so you can show off your work to other people.

FAQ

What causes a team to move?

Teams move when they do better or worse than Squiggle expected.

The most important factor is the final scoreline. When a team scores more than Squiggle expected, they move ⇡ up; when they score less, they move move ⇣ down; when they hold their opposition to a lower score, they move ⇢; right; and when they allow their opposition to score more, they move ⇠ left.

Of course, usually two of these things happen at once, so they move on a diagonal:

↗ Scored more than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↘ Scored less than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↙ Scored less than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

↖ Scored more than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

How far a team moves depends on how different the result was from Squiggle's prediction. If the result was close to expectation, a team may barely budge. But an unexpected thrashing will cause a lot of movement.

Do teams get more movement against easy opposition?

No, because Squiggle expects better performances against weaker opponents, and to move to a better position, the team has to beat this expectation.

For the same reason, Squiggle isn't affected by fixture bias.

Can a team lose and still move into a better squiggle position?

Yes! Squiggle believes in honourable losses and shameful victories. If a team is expected to win by 10 goals but only prevails by 5, it will slide.

What factors are considered?

A team's rating is modified after each game by looking at:

Scores, obviously.
Scoring Shots: a team is rated more highly if they record more scoring shots.
Venue: teams are expected to perform better at venues with which they are more familiar.
Team Selections: teams are expected to perform better when they select more highly-rated players.
Stage of Season: team ratings are more fluid in the early part of each season.
Past Games: each new game is combined with past results.

Can a team beat the tipped result and still fall back on the chart?

Yes! Two factors can cause unusual chart movement:

Scoring Shots: where one team is much more accurate than the other. For example, in the opening match of 2018, Richmond won 17.19 (121) to Carlton 15.5 (95). Squiggle tipped a 29-point win, so normally the Tigers would slightly regress after winning by only 26 points. However, after factoring in the scoring shot disparity, Richmond's performance was rated more highly, and the Tigers moved positively on the chart.
Team Selections: where a team has significant ins/outs. For example, in the second match of 2018, Essendon defeated Adelaide by 12 points. This was very similar to Squiggle's expectation of a 7-point Essendon win, so normally neither team would move much. However, Adelaide selected a much weaker team than their previous game (the 2017 Grand Final); without this, Squiggle would have tipped Adelaide by 9 points. As a result, Essendon received less positive movement than they would have for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide. The Crows also saw negative movement, since the result was worse than what would have been expected from them given their previous rating.

How is home ground advantage determined?

As described in the Model section, home ground advantage in Squiggle 2.0 is generated from ground familiarity: How often the teams have played at the same ground and in the same state over the preceding 4 years (including the current season).

What are Squiggle's weaknesses?

Some quirks of Squiggle, which you may decide to compensate for as an intelligent human, include:

Squiggle doesn't consider a team's level of motivation, which seems to be fairly significant. Squiggle assumes all teams are trying equally hard at all times.
Squiggle doesn't consider the impact of weather. It may reward a team for having a good defence when in reality what was making it hard to score was torrential rain. This doesn't seem to happen often enough to throw anything too far out, but does occur from time to time.
Squiggle doesn't place any special value on wins. That is, it doesn't see much difference between a 1-point victory and a 1-point loss. It may thus underestimate a team that does "just enough," or is especially good at holding on in tight contests. Likewise, it may overestimate a team that regularly gets itself into winning positions against good teams but lacks the ability to close the games out.
Squiggle gets excited about very low-scoring games. The maths mean that if a team is expected to keep its opposition to 80 points, and it actually keeps them to 40, this is considered twice as good, while keeping them to 20 points is considered four times as good, and keeping them to 10 points is eight times as good. Those are some big multipliers: to be 8 times better than a predicted 80 points in terms of Attack, a team would need to score 640 points (80 x 8), which is a lot more than the all-time AFL record. This means it's significantly easier for a team to move rapidly rightwards on a squiggle than upwards.
The underlying model generates some inflation over the course of a season, which causes Squiggle to rate teams about 5-10% higher by the end of the year compared to the start. This seems useful for predictive purposes, as it allows for more movement leading into finals. However, it means that a team that doesn't actually change strength at all will be shown to slightly improve its chart position over the course of the season.

Why does the model use those values?

All the numbers used by Squiggle are that way because they worked best (i.e. made the most accurate predictions) when every possible combination was tested with a simulator replaying the last few decades.

How are the year's starting values calculated?

2015 starting positions are very similar to their end 2014 positions—the only difference is that 2013 data is no longer considered, so teams are modeled from the start of 2014 with each beginning on 50 ATTACK and 50 DEFENCE.

This means late-season 2014 results weigh quite heavily. For example, Collingwood had an injury-plagued end to 2014, and so is rated very low. Adelaide and West Coast, by contrast, finished the year with several solid performances, and so begin the year higher than you might expect.

What's with those crazy charts for the 1900s!?

Football scores were a lot lower a century ago, especially in the very early years, when single-digit scorelines abounded. Squiggle is calibrated for modern football, and thinks a game in which one team is held to a single goal (or no goals!) signifies an unbelievably good defensive effort. This causes teams to go shooting off to the right quite often in charts from the 1890s, 1900s and 1910s. So it's not a particularly good visualization of the strength of any particular team in that era. But it is interesting in terms of how different the whole league looks: how low and flat it is compared to today.

Similary, it can be interesting to look at where the mass of teams tends to sit in different decades; for example, how attacking the late 1980s was, with plenty of teams sitting high & centre/left compared to today.

The Model

The foundation of the Squiggle model is the OFFDEF engine, which rates teams separately in terms of attack and defense. Each team is initially assigned a starting value of 50 for each.

Scores are predicted for each match using the formula:

PREDICTED SCORE = 85 * TEAM ATTACK ÷ OPPOSITION DEFENCE

For example, in a match between a team with ATTACK 56 and an opposition with DEFENCE 50, the team is predicted to score: 85 * 56 ÷ 50 = 95 points.

Predicted scores are compared to the actual scores, and ATTACK and DEFENCE adjusted accordingly. For example, if a team scored more highly than predicted, its ATTACK score needs to be increased, since Squiggle underrated it. Likewise, the opposition's DEFENCE score should decrease, since they failed to restrict the team as well as predicted. This is done by calculating what these scores would have to have been to predict the result perfectly, then constructing a weighted average of this along with all other results.

At the start of a season, team starting points are calculated by doing the above for the previous season. For example, to calculate starting points for 2014, each team is assigned 50 to ATTACK and DEFENCE, then the 2013 season is played through.

The units are completely arbitrary, and entirely due to the choice of 50 as a starting value for each team's ATTACK and DEFENCE. They have no meaning except when comparing teams to each other.

Several other filters and algorithms are used to manipulate scores produced by the OFFDEF engine, including venue (for home ground advantage), round number, team selections, and scoring shots.

Home Ground Advantage

Teams are compared based on the number of times they've played at the venue and in the same state.

Tip Probability

When determining "probable wins" in the Season Predictor, an algorithm is used that reflects the actual accuracy of Squiggle tips vs real-life results. Three factors affect the likelihood of a tip being correct:

Margin: The greater the predicted margin, the more likely the tip is to be correct.
Round Number: Games that occur later in the season are a little more likely to be tipped correctly.
Weeks Until Game: Games that are weeks or months in the future are a little less likely to be tipped correctly.

Model Versions

Squiggle v1 used the algorithm ISTATE-91:12, in which 12 points of Home Ground Advantage is awarded to the home team in interstate games only, and each new game forms 9% of the team's new rating (with previous games forming 91%). Follow this link for Squiggles generated under the v1 algorithm.

Squiggle 2.0 made several changes in 2018:

Greater sensitivity in early rounds to better captures the sometimes substantial form changes that occur over an off-season.
Factor in goalkicking accuracy, by discounting scores that resulted from unusually high accuracy (i.e. kicking many more goals than behinds), and padding scores that resulted from unusually low accuracy, since these tend to be non-reproducible.
Generate home ground advantage from a ground familiarity algorithm.

Squiggle4 added Ins/Out awareness in mid-2018, so it can adjust predictions based on team selection.

Squiggle5 moved to a more crowd-based model of home ground advantage in 2020.

To compare Squiggle's performance to other computer models, see the Squiggle Models Leaderboard.

Flagpole

Flagpole is currently a combined strength rating of each team, downgraded by its likelihood of missing finals.

For example, if two teams are currently have the same combined OFFENCE and DEFENCE, but one is certain of making finals while the other has a 25% chance of missing, the latter's will Flagpole will be 75% of the height of the former.

Generated: Fri Mar 20 05:30:51 2026 (R2)

Tower of Power shows how likely teams are (or were) to finish the Home & Away season in various ladder positions, according to squiggle simulations.

At the start of a season, with many games remaining and uncertainty about the strength of each team, there are long strips, as teams could plausibly finish in many different places. Later, they flatten out, as the range of likely finishes shrinks.

Use the top player controls to watch changes throughout a season:

Some creative license is taken for the purposes of visual appeal, which is why final ladder positions appear somewhat diagonal.

* If the round number is marked with an asterisk, the Tower is generated from fewer simulations in order to provide a faster result.

FINALS CHANCES

		Minor Premier	Top 4	Top 8	Bottom 4	Spoon

MODE LADDER

			Likelihood	If not, then...

A Mode Ladder may be useful in the last round or two of a season, since it focuses on the most likely exact finishing position for teams, rather than averaging a range of possibilities. For example, after Round 22, 2017 with one round to go, Richmond were highly likely to finish either 3rd or 6th. Normally this would be averaged out to a prediction of about 4th -- even though the Tigers couldn't possibly finish there. The Mode Ladder avoids this problem.

A Mode Ladder is less useful than other forecasting methods until very late in the season, since until then there are too many possible final ladder combinations.

2026 ROUND 2 TIPS

Adelaide 90 - 91 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)
HGA: +13.5 pts
Ins/Outs: +4.8 pts

Fremantle 101 - 81 Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)
HGA: +12.6 pts
Ins/Outs: +4.6 pts

Greater Western Sydney 94 - 86 St Kilda
Sydney Showground (NSW)
HGA: +6.2 pts
Ins/Outs: +1.6 pts

Hawthorn 91 - 78 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)
HGA: +8.7 pts
Ins/Outs: +8.3 pts

Port Adelaide 88 - 77 Essendon
Adelaide Oval (SA)
HGA: +11.3 pts
Ins/Outs: +3.9 pts

Richmond 76 - 99 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)
HGA: +10.9 pts
Ins/Outs: +1.4 pts

West Coast 91 - 88 North Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)
HGA: +11.5 pts
Ins/Outs: +9.4 pts

Algorithm: SQUIGGLE7
Tips after Round 1: 8

History...

In 2026, algorithm SQUIGGLE7 correctly tipped 9 games at an accuracy of 60.00%.

Draws are counted as correct tips. Historically, Squiggle employed the ISTATE-91:12 algorithm from 2013-2017, the SQUIGGLE2 algorithm for the first 12 rounds of 2018, and SQUIGGLE4 thereafter. To view historical tips from Squiggle (and other models) irrespective of the algorithm, see the Squiggle API or the models leaderboard.

Round 0

Brisbane Lions (106) lost to Western Bulldogs (111) at Gabba (QLD) [Western Bulldogs by 5) Brisbane Lions by 7
Gold Coast (125) defeated Geelong (69) at Carrara (QLD) [Gold Coast by 56) Geelong by 4
Greater Western Sydney (122) defeated Hawthorn (95) at Sydney Showground (NSW) [Greater Western Sydney by 27) Hawthorn by 9
St Kilda (66) lost to Collingwood (78) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 12) Collingwood by 8
Sydney (132) defeated Carlton (69) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Sydney by 63) Carlton by 0

Round 1

Carlton (75) defeated Richmond (71) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Carlton by 4) Carlton by 21
Collingwood (79) lost to Adelaide (93) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Adelaide by 14) Collingwood by 6
Essendon (83) lost to Hawthorn (145) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 62) Hawthorn by 17
Geelong (110) defeated Fremantle (100) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 10) Geelong by 17
Gold Coast (131) defeated West Coast (72) at Carrara (QLD) [Gold Coast by 59) Gold Coast by 39
Melbourne (120) defeated St Kilda (107) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 13) St Kilda by 1
North Melbourne (113) defeated Port Adelaide (67) at Docklands (VIC) [North Melbourne by 46) North Melbourne by 0
Sydney (104) defeated Brisbane Lions (60) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Sydney by 44) Sydney by 1
Western Bulldogs (134) defeated Greater Western Sydney (53) at Docklands (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 81) Western Bulldogs by 27

Round 2

Hawthorn (99) defeated Sydney (82) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 17) Hawthorn by 14

Round 3

Round 4

Round 5

Round 6

Round 7

Round 8

Round 9

Round 10

Round 11

Round 12

Round 13

Round 14

Round 15

Round 16

Round 17

Round 18

Round 19

Round 20

Round 21

Round 22

Round 23

Round 24

Elimination Final

Semi-Final

Preliminary Final

Grand Final

SLIDING DOORS

On average, how much of a team's final score is due to luck?

SEASON PREDICTOR

Recalculate

		Wins	%
1	Western Bulldogs	17.0	141.4%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
2	Hawthorn	15.2	126.7%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
3	Gold Coast	14.4	120.2%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
4	Adelaide	14.3	118.5%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
5	Sydney	14.1	121.7%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
6	Brisbane Lions	13.3	117.7%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
7	Geelong	12.9	107.7%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
8	Fremantle	12.0	106.9%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
9	Collingwood	11.8	102.9%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
10	Greater Western Sydney	11.7	99.7%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
11	North Melbourne	10.1	91.5%	2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
12	St Kilda	9.6	94.4%	3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
13	Carlton	9.7	86.6%	3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
14	Melbourne	9.5	86.8%	3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
15	Port Adelaide	8.9	85.6%	4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
16	West Coast	7.8	79.1%	6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
17	Essendon	7.5	77.8%	6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
18	Richmond	7.2	76.7%	7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Home & Away...

How Prediction Works

This is a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of squiggle tips. Sometimes a team will be tipped to win but not seem to be credited for it: this is because the predictor considers the likelihood of upsets. For details, click INFO → Prediction at the top of this page.

Round 2

Adelaide 90 - 91 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 90.675324 - 90.685909

Fremantle 101 - 81 Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.709035 - 0.290965RealScores: 101.375280 - 81.270112

Greater Western Sydney 94 - 86 St Kilda
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.583640 - 0.416360RealScores: 94.306898 - 86.107030

Port Adelaide 88 - 77 Essendon
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.611248 - 0.388752RealScores: 87.888933 - 77.141067

Richmond 76 - 99 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.26 wins - 0.74 winsRealProbs: 0.263001 - 0.736999RealScores: 76.192484 - 99.272201

West Coast 91 - 88 North Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.523641 - 0.476359RealScores: 90.927250 - 88.489430

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	3 (2.68)	0	163.6
2	Western Bulldogs	3 (2.50)	0	134.4
3	Sydney	2 (2.00)	1	139.5
4	Hawthorn	2 (2.00)	1	118.1
5	Greater Western Sydney	2 (1.56)	1	85.5
6	North Melbourne	1 (1.50)	1	127.6
7	Adelaide	1 (1.50)	1	108.2
8	Fremantle	1 (0.66)	1	105.3
9	Collingwood	1 (1.00)	1	98.7
10	Melbourne	1 (1.34)	1	96.6
11	Port Adelaide	1 (0.58)	1	81.5
12	Geelong	1 (1.00)	1	79.6
13	West Coast	1 (0.50)	1	74.2
14	Carlton	1 (1.00)	1	70.9
15	St Kilda	0 (0.44)	3	88.6
16	Richmond	0 (0.32)	2	84.5
17	Brisbane Lions	0 (0.00)	2	77.2
18	Essendon	0 (0.42)	2	68.8

Round 3

Carlton Carlton 92 - 90 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.526849 - 0.473151RealScores: 92.432677 - 89.673263

Collingwood 86 - 78 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.580788 - 0.419212RealScores: 85.801443 - 77.866643

Essendon 81 - 91 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.406865 - 0.593135RealScores: 81.488481 - 90.567490

Fremantle 98 - 65 Richmond
Perth Stadium (WA)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.817839 - 0.182161RealScores: 98.067906 - 64.957796

Geelong Geelong 93 - 89 Adelaide
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.545468 - 0.454532RealScores: 93.411568 - 88.821318

Port Adelaide 90 - 75 West Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.659313 - 0.340687RealScores: 90.044882 - 74.830555

St Kilda 83 - 96 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.364044 - 0.635956RealScores: 83.126985 - 96.154558

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	3 (2.68)	0	163.6
2	Western Bulldogs	3 (2.50)	0	134.4
3	Sydney	2 (2.00)	1	139.5
4	North Melbourne	2 (2.07)	1	122.0
5	Hawthorn	2 (2.00)	1	118.1
6	Adelaide	2 (1.97)	1	103.6
7	Collingwood	2 (1.56)	1	102.5
8	Melbourne	2 (1.83)	1	96.7
9	Geelong	2 (1.53)	1	86.8
10	Greater Western Sydney	2 (2.00)	2	86.6
11	Carlton	2 (1.51)	1	80.8
12	Fremantle	1 (1.42)	2	116.9
13	Port Adelaide	1 (1.20)	2	92.4
14	St Kilda	1 (0.84)	3	88.1
15	Brisbane Lions	1 (0.61)	2	87.9
16	Richmond	1 (0.56)	2	77.9
17	West Coast	1 (0.88)	2	76.8
18	Essendon	1 (0.85)	2	74.7

Round 4

Adelaide 93 - 76 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.671832 - 0.328168RealScores: 92.698339 - 76.289117

Brisbane Lions 90 - 74 Collingwood
Gabba (QLD)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.670137 - 0.329863RealScores: 89.803703 - 73.557437

Hawthorn 105 - 89 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.672705 - 0.327295RealScores: 105.075131 - 88.581890

Melbourne 85 - 104 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.30 wins - 0.70 winsRealProbs: 0.298727 - 0.701273RealScores: 84.900821 - 104.213331

North Melbourne 87 - 86 Carlton Carlton
Docklands (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 86.932852 - 86.922267

Richmond 77 - 78 Port Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 77.427567 - 77.438153

West Coast 73 - 97 Sydney Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.254288 - 0.745712RealScores: 73.256082 - 97.305858

Western Bulldogs 115 - 68 Essendon
Docklands (VIC)0.90 wins - 0.10 winsRealProbs: 0.902009 - 0.097991RealScores: 114.938066 - 68.113993

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	3 (3.34)	1	152.1
2	Western Bulldogs	3 (3.34)	1	141.8
3	Sydney	3 (2.70)	1	137.9
4	Hawthorn	3 (2.64)	1	118.2
5	North Melbourne	3 (2.57)	1	116.1
6	Adelaide	3 (2.61)	1	107.6
7	Fremantle	2 (1.78)	2	107.7
8	Collingwood	2 (1.92)	2	96.8
9	Port Adelaide	2 (1.70)	2	94.2
10	Melbourne	2 (2.17)	2	92.8
11	Greater Western Sydney	2 (2.00)	2	86.6
12	Geelong	2 (1.89)	2	86.2
13	Carlton	2 (2.01)	2	85.2
14	Brisbane Lions	1 (1.24)	3	94.7
15	St Kilda	1 (0.84)	3	88.1
16	Richmond	1 (1.06)	3	82.8
17	West Coast	1 (1.18)	3	76.4
18	Essendon	1 (1.00)	3	70.7

Round 5

Adelaide 96 - 70 Carlton Carlton
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.763019 - 0.236981RealScores: 96.265529 - 70.218468

Collingwood 80 - 81 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499185 - 0.500815RealScores: 80.851592 - 80.937810

Essendon 85 - 95 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.406553 - 0.593447RealScores: 85.477666 - 94.585498

Geelong Geelong 110 - 78 West Coast
Norwood Oval (SA)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.804323 - 0.195677RealScores: 109.626606 - 78.374305

Greater Western Sydney 93 - 71 Richmond
Barossa Park (SA)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.732743 - 0.267257RealScores: 93.416984 - 70.803128

Hawthorn 90 - 96 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.435933 - 0.564067RealScores: 89.697856 - 96.065842

North Melbourne 79 - 102 Brisbane Lions
Barossa Park (SA)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.268094 - 0.731906RealScores: 79.399132 - 101.921958

Port Adelaide 86 - 85 St Kilda
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 85.377142 - 85.366557

Sydney Sydney 84 - 85 Gold Coast
Norwood Oval (SA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.496413 - 0.503587RealScores: 83.911994 - 84.290105

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	4 (3.84)	1	140.9
2	Western Bulldogs	4 (3.90)	1	134.2
3	Sydney	3 (3.20)	2	129.5
4	Hawthorn	3 (3.09)	2	113.2
5	Adelaide	3 (3.32)	2	112.7
6	North Melbourne	3 (2.88)	2	107.0
7	Melbourne	3 (2.75)	2	95.9
8	Geelong	3 (2.64)	2	94.6
9	Greater Western Sydney	3 (2.69)	2	93.4
10	Fremantle	2 (2.28)	3	106.3
11	Brisbane Lions	2 (1.93)	3	100.6
12	Collingwood	2 (2.42)	3	97.4
13	Port Adelaide	2 (2.20)	3	95.3
14	Carlton	2 (2.30)	3	82.7
15	St Kilda	1 (1.34)	4	90.2
16	Richmond	1 (1.37)	4	81.3
17	West Coast	1 (1.43)	4	75.4
18	Essendon	1 (1.43)	4	74.2

Round 6

Adelaide 98 - 75 St Kilda
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.742543 - 0.257457RealScores: 98.265101 - 74.570709

Carlton Carlton 74 - 84 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.40 wins - 0.60 winsRealProbs: 0.399910 - 0.600090RealScores: 74.425380 - 84.146029

Geelong Geelong 90 - 106 Western Bulldogs
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.34 wins - 0.66 winsRealProbs: 0.336557 - 0.663443RealScores: 90.337718 - 105.944084

Gold Coast 105 - 67 Essendon
Carrara (QLD)0.85 wins - 0.15 winsRealProbs: 0.852278 - 0.147722RealScores: 105.215554 - 66.971960

Hawthorn 108 - 69 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.855659 - 0.144341RealScores: 107.980874 - 69.199840

Melbourne 84 - 106 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.270833 - 0.729167RealScores: 84.014733 - 106.240918

North Melbourne 90 - 75 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.661785 - 0.338215RealScores: 90.192364 - 74.743664

Sydney Sydney 93 - 78 Greater Western Sydney
S.C.G. (NSW)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.653567 - 0.346433RealScores: 92.791041 - 78.119178

West Coast 74 - 99 Fremantle
Perth Stadium (WA)0.24 wins - 0.76 winsRealProbs: 0.242240 - 0.757760RealScores: 73.996397 - 99.426206

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	5 (4.64)	1	143.3
2	Western Bulldogs	5 (4.53)	1	131.1
3	Sydney	4 (3.83)	2	127.7
4	Hawthorn	4 (3.89)	2	118.7
5	Adelaide	4 (4.03)	2	115.6
6	North Melbourne	4 (3.51)	2	109.1
7	Fremantle	3 (2.99)	3	110.4
8	Brisbane Lions	3 (2.62)	3	104.7
9	Collingwood	3 (3.01)	3	99.9
10	Geelong	3 (3.01)	3	93.0
11	Melbourne	3 (3.06)	3	92.9
12	Greater Western Sydney	3 (3.06)	3	91.9
13	Carlton	3 (2.71)	3	83.6
14	Port Adelaide	2 (2.40)	4	89.0
15	St Kilda	2 (1.63)	4	87.8
16	Richmond	2 (1.74)	4	81.6
17	West Coast	2 (1.71)	4	75.2
18	Essendon	2 (1.62)	4	72.4

Round 7

Brisbane Lions 90 - 80 Adelaide
Gabba (QLD)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.607060 - 0.392940RealScores: 90.116928 - 79.754474

Essendon 69 - 89 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.288035 - 0.711965RealScores: 68.746428 - 89.154309

Fremantle 96 - 74 Carlton Carlton
Perth Stadium (WA)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.720623 - 0.279377RealScores: 95.770600 - 74.456751

Greater Western Sydney 98 - 83 North Melbourne
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.656450 - 0.343550RealScores: 97.621470 - 82.677879

Hawthorn 93 - 85 Gold Coast
York Park (TAS)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.579511 - 0.420489RealScores: 93.278321 - 85.462354

Port Adelaide 84 - 98 Geelong Geelong
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.354785 - 0.645215RealScores: 84.351704 - 98.240847

Richmond 80 - 93 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.369319 - 0.630681RealScores: 80.011085 - 92.550240

St Kilda 100 - 75 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.751506 - 0.248494RealScores: 99.808426 - 75.100702

Western Bulldogs 98 - 77 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.716127 - 0.283873RealScores: 98.168736 - 77.327572

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	5 (5.08)	2	134.5
2	Western Bulldogs	5 (5.21)	2	130.5
3	Sydney	4 (4.15)	3	119.1
4	Hawthorn	4 (4.46)	3	117.4
5	Fremantle	4 (3.68)	3	112.7
6	Adelaide	4 (4.43)	3	111.4
7	North Melbourne	4 (3.88)	3	105.1
8	Collingwood	4 (3.69)	3	103.6
9	Geelong	4 (3.63)	3	95.9
10	Melbourne	4 (3.67)	3	95.6
11	Greater Western Sydney	4 (3.69)	3	95.2
12	Brisbane Lions	3 (3.21)	4	105.8
13	Port Adelaide	3 (2.78)	4	88.5
14	Carlton	3 (3.03)	4	82.7
15	St Kilda	2 (2.35)	5	93.0
16	Richmond	2 (2.12)	5	82.3
17	West Coast	2 (2.00)	5	75.2
18	Essendon	2 (1.95)	5	73.0

Round 8

Adelaide 95 - 70 Port Adelaide
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.753161 - 0.246839RealScores: 95.074456 - 70.176933

Carlton Carlton 84 - 88 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.463014 - 0.536986RealScores: 84.469866 - 88.233262

Collingwood 76 - 92 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.331517 - 0.668483RealScores: 75.912336 - 91.999912

Essendon 72 - 101 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.21 wins - 0.79 winsRealProbs: 0.213899 - 0.786101RealScores: 72.158311 - 101.031600

Geelong Geelong 110 - 83 North Melbourne
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.769066 - 0.230934RealScores: 109.969651 - 83.201067

Gold Coast 98 - 78 Greater Western Sydney
Carrara (QLD)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.714217 - 0.285783RealScores: 98.482480 - 77.840696

Sydney Sydney 108 - 75 Melbourne
S.C.G. (NSW)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.815014 - 0.184986RealScores: 107.937114 - 75.222208

West Coast 84 - 73 Richmond
Perth Stadium (WA)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.615351 - 0.384649RealScores: 84.243781 - 73.118341

Western Bulldogs 108 - 75 Fremantle
Docklands (VIC)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.818972 - 0.181028RealScores: 107.871074 - 74.601495

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	6 (5.76)	2	133.5
2	Western Bulldogs	6 (5.99)	2	132.2
3	Sydney	5 (4.92)	3	122.0
4	Hawthorn	5 (5.10)	3	117.8
5	Adelaide	5 (5.15)	3	114.0
6	Brisbane Lions	4 (3.96)	4	109.4
7	Fremantle	4 (3.90)	4	105.9
8	Collingwood	4 (4.04)	4	100.6
9	North Melbourne	4 (4.15)	4	100.5
10	Geelong	4 (4.36)	4	99.8
11	Greater Western Sydney	4 (4.01)	4	93.1
12	Melbourne	4 (3.90)	4	92.0
13	St Kilda	3 (2.88)	5	94.3
14	Port Adelaide	3 (3.06)	5	86.6
15	Carlton	3 (3.49)	5	84.3
16	Richmond	3 (2.52)	5	82.8
17	West Coast	3 (2.60)	5	78.9
18	Essendon	2 (2.20)	6	72.8

Round 9

Brisbane Lions 101 - 71 Carlton Carlton
Gabba (QLD)0.79 wins - 0.21 winsRealProbs: 0.793645 - 0.206355RealScores: 101.316074 - 71.474727

Fremantle 86 - 94 Hawthorn
Perth Stadium (WA)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.425051 - 0.574949RealScores: 86.223334 - 93.613711

Geelong Geelong 90 - 85 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.544345 - 0.455655RealScores: 89.559311 - 85.154323

Gold Coast 100 - 78 St Kilda
Marrara Oval (NT)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.726757 - 0.273243RealScores: 100.073874 - 78.106863

Greater Western Sydney 99 - 72 Essendon
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.765355 - 0.234645RealScores: 98.668613 - 72.344378

Melbourne 101 - 83 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.692805 - 0.307195RealScores: 101.075742 - 82.613915

North Melbourne 78 - 96 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.32 wins - 0.68 winsRealProbs: 0.315655 - 0.684345RealScores: 78.473211 - 96.098385

Port Adelaide 74 - 107 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.18 wins - 0.82 winsRealProbs: 0.180284 - 0.819716RealScores: 73.711439 - 107.086100

Richmond 68 - 93 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.247983 - 0.752017RealScores: 67.743226 - 92.509477

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	7 (6.77)	2	133.5
2	Gold Coast	6 (6.45)	3	132.9
3	Sydney	6 (5.57)	3	122.1
4	Hawthorn	6 (5.67)	3	116.8
5	Adelaide	6 (5.86)	3	116.1
6	Brisbane Lions	5 (4.71)	4	112.4
7	Geelong	5 (4.90)	4	100.3
8	Collingwood	5 (4.50)	4	99.9
9	Greater Western Sydney	5 (4.74)	4	96.9
10	Melbourne	5 (4.56)	4	94.9
11	Fremantle	4 (4.34)	5	104.2
12	North Melbourne	4 (4.49)	5	98.3
13	Carlton	4 (3.74)	5	82.6
14	St Kilda	3 (3.18)	6	92.4
15	Port Adelaide	3 (3.28)	6	84.3
16	Richmond	3 (2.81)	6	81.7
17	West Coast	3 (2.94)	6	79.3
18	Essendon	2 (2.48)	7	72.9

Round 10

Adelaide 103 - 72 North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.797920 - 0.202080RealScores: 102.541142 - 72.140746

Brisbane Lions 102 - 87 Geelong Geelong
Gabba (QLD)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.653657 - 0.346343RealScores: 101.671456 - 86.991065

Carlton Carlton 72 - 109 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.15 wins - 0.85 winsRealProbs: 0.152210 - 0.847790RealScores: 71.948038 - 109.487942

Essendon 77 - 93 Fremantle
M.C.G. (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.331262 - 0.668738RealScores: 76.775974 - 92.887963

Gold Coast 100 - 70 Port Adelaide
Marrara Oval (NT)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.796743 - 0.203257RealScores: 100.441665 - 70.195896

Melbourne 81 - 115 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.17 wins - 0.83 winsRealProbs: 0.173476 - 0.826524RealScores: 80.940061 - 115.288751

St Kilda 92 - 72 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.711181 - 0.288819RealScores: 92.342157 - 72.015512

Sydney Sydney 87 - 70 Collingwood
S.C.G. (NSW)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.681788 - 0.318212RealScores: 87.371167 - 69.996419

West Coast 81 - 94 Greater Western Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.371571 - 0.628429RealScores: 81.194871 - 93.525814

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	8 (7.57)	2	135.2
2	Gold Coast	7 (7.21)	3	133.8
3	Adelaide	7 (6.62)	3	118.5
4	Sydney	6 (6.23)	4	122.3
5	Hawthorn	6 (6.46)	4	119.2
6	Brisbane Lions	5 (5.34)	5	112.9
7	Fremantle	5 (4.98)	5	105.7
8	Geelong	5 (5.27)	5	98.8
9	Greater Western Sydney	5 (5.35)	5	98.6
10	Collingwood	5 (4.85)	5	97.8
11	North Melbourne	5 (4.74)	5	95.1
12	Melbourne	5 (4.78)	5	92.0
13	St Kilda	4 (3.86)	6	95.2
14	Port Adelaide	4 (3.53)	6	82.8
15	Carlton	4 (3.94)	6	80.7
16	Richmond	3 (3.13)	7	81.3
17	West Coast	3 (3.33)	7	80.0
18	Essendon	3 (2.83)	7	73.8

Round 11

Collingwood 97 - 64 West Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.814318 - 0.185682RealScores: 96.990104 - 64.371985

Fremantle 98 - 78 St Kilda
Perth Stadium (WA)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.707454 - 0.292546RealScores: 98.438376 - 78.495617

Geelong Geelong 94 - 88 Sydney Sydney
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.569825 - 0.430175RealScores: 94.252859 - 87.532928

Greater Western Sydney 84 - 94 Brisbane Lions
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.394753 - 0.605247RealScores: 83.619731 - 93.815266

Hawthorn 93 - 81 Adelaide
York Park (TAS)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.627753 - 0.372247RealScores: 93.227765 - 80.959267

North Melbourne 80 - 100 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.30 wins - 0.70 winsRealProbs: 0.299165 - 0.700835RealScores: 80.479070 - 99.747253

Port Adelaide 84 - 80 Carlton Carlton
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.536801 - 0.463199RealScores: 83.549275 - 80.233904

Richmond 76 - 78 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.473695 - 0.526305RealScores: 76.135245 - 78.393315

Western Bulldogs 124 - 76 Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.90 wins - 0.10 winsRealProbs: 0.903904 - 0.096096RealScores: 123.615187 - 76.433661

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	8 (8.43)	3	137.5
2	Gold Coast	8 (7.88)	3	132.9
3	Sydney	7 (6.67)	4	119.2
4	Hawthorn	7 (7.07)	4	118.8
5	Adelaide	7 (7.01)	4	115.2
6	Brisbane Lions	6 (5.94)	5	112.8
7	Fremantle	6 (5.66)	5	107.4
8	Collingwood	6 (5.62)	5	101.6
9	Geelong	6 (5.83)	5	99.5
10	Greater Western Sydney	6 (5.76)	5	97.7
11	North Melbourne	5 (5.06)	6	93.7
12	Melbourne	5 (4.91)	6	88.7
13	St Kilda	4 (4.19)	7	93.7
14	Port Adelaide	4 (4.06)	7	84.5
15	Richmond	4 (3.61)	7	82.6
16	Carlton	4 (4.41)	7	81.9
17	West Coast	4 (3.55)	7	78.8
18	Essendon	3 (3.35)	8	75.8

Round 12

Brisbane Lions 97 - 78 Fremantle
Gabba (QLD)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.693931 - 0.306069RealScores: 96.808694 - 78.234559

Carlton Carlton 85 - 100 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.34 wins - 0.66 winsRealProbs: 0.343069 - 0.656931RealScores: 84.570672 - 99.559684

Melbourne 88 - 101 Greater Western Sydney
Traeger Park (NT)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.368148 - 0.631852RealScores: 88.167947 - 100.815430

St Kilda 80 - 105 Hawthorn
Docklands (VIC)0.24 wins - 0.76 winsRealProbs: 0.241375 - 0.758625RealScores: 79.545700 - 105.076344

Sydney Sydney 101 - 59 Richmond
S.C.G. (NSW)0.88 wins - 0.12 winsRealProbs: 0.877411 - 0.122589RealScores: 101.399033 - 59.005378

West Coast 87 - 78 Essendon
Perth Stadium (WA)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.590096 - 0.409904RealScores: 86.638331 - 77.925453

Western Bulldogs 99 - 72 Collingwood
Docklands (VIC)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.772405 - 0.227595RealScores: 98.820614 - 71.648029

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	9 (9.17)	3	137.5
2	Gold Coast	8 (7.88)	3	132.9
3	Sydney	8 (7.51)	4	122.5
4	Hawthorn	8 (7.79)	4	119.8
5	Adelaide	7 (7.01)	4	115.2
6	Brisbane Lions	7 (6.60)	5	113.7
7	Fremantle	6 (5.99)	6	104.9
8	Geelong	6 (6.46)	6	100.9
9	Greater Western Sydney	6 (6.37)	6	99.0
10	Collingwood	6 (5.89)	6	98.7
11	North Melbourne	5 (5.06)	6	93.7
12	Melbourne	5 (5.30)	7	88.6
13	Carlton	5 (4.77)	7	82.2
14	St Kilda	4 (4.46)	8	92.0
15	Port Adelaide	4 (4.06)	7	84.5
16	West Coast	4 (4.13)	8	80.9
17	Richmond	4 (3.77)	8	80.3
18	Essendon	4 (3.77)	8	76.8

Round 13

Adelaide 98 - 84 Geelong Geelong
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.647525 - 0.352475RealScores: 98.168940 - 84.063946

Collingwood 95 - 79 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.668964 - 0.331036RealScores: 95.247614 - 79.113878

Essendon 76 - 88 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.374926 - 0.625074RealScores: 76.071289 - 88.092513

Gold Coast 88 - 86 Brisbane Lions
Carrara (QLD)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.526478 - 0.473522RealScores: 88.258854 - 86.238742

Hawthorn 90 - 96 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.427606 - 0.572394RealScores: 89.532634 - 96.231063

North Melbourne 79 - 99 Fremantle
Hands Oval (WA)0.30 wins - 0.70 winsRealProbs: 0.295051 - 0.704949RealScores: 79.438864 - 99.125166

Sydney Sydney 99 - 73 St Kilda
S.C.G. (NSW)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.760501 - 0.239499RealScores: 99.197239 - 73.446993

West Coast 84 - 81 Port Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.538974 - 0.461026RealScores: 84.073171 - 80.802265

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	10 (9.73)	3	134.9
2	Gold Coast	8 (8.39)	4	130.1
3	Sydney	8 (8.23)	5	123.4
4	Hawthorn	8 (8.23)	5	117.6
5	Adelaide	8 (7.64)	4	115.3
6	Brisbane Lions	7 (7.09)	6	112.4
7	Fremantle	7 (6.67)	6	106.3
8	Collingwood	7 (6.53)	6	100.3
9	Geelong	7 (6.83)	6	99.7
10	Greater Western Sydney	6 (6.37)	6	99.0
11	Melbourne	6 (5.65)	7	88.1
12	North Melbourne	5 (5.39)	7	92.5
13	St Kilda	5 (4.74)	8	90.5
14	Port Adelaide	5 (4.53)	7	85.4
15	Carlton	5 (5.38)	8	84.3
16	West Coast	5 (4.66)	8	82.4
17	Richmond	4 (3.77)	8	80.3
18	Essendon	4 (4.16)	9	77.5

Round 14

Geelong Geelong 96 - 92 Gold Coast
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.551137 - 0.448863RealScores: 95.915997 - 91.533525

Melbourne 96 - 84 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.630714 - 0.369286RealScores: 96.302651 - 83.760513

North Melbourne 93 - 82 West Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.613265 - 0.386735RealScores: 93.241733 - 82.317805

Port Adelaide 74 - 92 Sydney Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.312729 - 0.687271RealScores: 73.658234 - 91.571356

Richmond 65 - 102 Brisbane Lions
Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.15 wins - 0.85 winsRealProbs: 0.151925 - 0.848075RealScores: 64.568749 - 102.152934

St Kilda 91 - 88 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.532440 - 0.467560RealScores: 90.640142 - 88.140453

Western Bulldogs 101 - 75 Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.760598 - 0.239402RealScores: 101.042427 - 75.280711

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	10 (10.45)	4	134.9
2	Gold Coast	9 (8.86)	4	126.9
3	Sydney	9 (8.89)	5	123.4
4	Hawthorn	8 (8.23)	5	117.6
5	Brisbane Lions	8 (7.90)	6	114.9
6	Adelaide	8 (7.91)	5	111.4
7	Fremantle	7 (6.67)	6	106.3
8	Collingwood	7 (6.53)	6	100.3
9	Geelong	7 (7.37)	7	100.0
10	Greater Western Sydney	7 (6.85)	6	98.9
11	North Melbourne	6 (5.99)	7	93.9
12	Melbourne	6 (6.27)	8	89.8
13	St Kilda	5 (5.26)	9	91.4
14	Port Adelaide	5 (4.87)	8	85.0
15	Carlton	5 (5.38)	8	84.3
16	West Coast	5 (5.06)	9	82.9
17	Essendon	5 (4.54)	9	78.1
18	Richmond	4 (3.97)	9	78.8

Round 15

Adelaide 109 - 75 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.825034 - 0.174966RealScores: 108.688127 - 74.554484

Collingwood 91 - 66 Port Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.752780 - 0.247220RealScores: 90.951934 - 66.098155

Fremantle 98 - 90 Geelong Geelong
Perth Stadium (WA)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.590136 - 0.409864RealScores: 97.812847 - 89.505240

Gold Coast 90 - 89 Hawthorn
Carrara (QLD)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.512888 - 0.487112RealScores: 89.604074 - 89.136601

Greater Western Sydney 94 - 78 Carlton Carlton
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.667749 - 0.332251RealScores: 93.960232 - 77.942884

Richmond 76 - 89 North Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.368277 - 0.631723RealScores: 76.150260 - 88.785768

St Kilda 76 - 112 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.16 wins - 0.84 winsRealProbs: 0.160272 - 0.839728RealScores: 75.779022 - 112.081797

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	11 (11.25)	4	135.7
2	Gold Coast	9 (9.36)	5	124.8
3	Sydney	9 (8.89)	5	123.4
4	Hawthorn	9 (8.73)	5	116.2
5	Adelaide	9 (8.70)	5	113.7
6	Brisbane Lions	8 (7.90)	6	114.9
7	Geelong	8 (7.80)	7	99.4
8	Fremantle	7 (7.24)	7	106.5
9	Collingwood	7 (7.25)	7	102.5
10	Greater Western Sydney	7 (7.50)	7	100.3
11	North Melbourne	7 (6.60)	7	95.3
12	Melbourne	6 (6.48)	9	88.2
13	Carlton	6 (5.74)	8	84.2
14	St Kilda	5 (5.46)	10	89.5
15	Port Adelaide	5 (5.15)	9	84.1
16	West Coast	5 (5.06)	9	82.9
17	Essendon	5 (4.54)	9	78.1
18	Richmond	4 (4.35)	10	79.3

Round 16

Brisbane Lions 89 - 80 Sydney Sydney
Gabba (QLD)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.591918 - 0.408082RealScores: 88.846906 - 80.469297

Carlton Carlton 94 - 73 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.721462 - 0.278538RealScores: 94.463265 - 73.060630

Collingwood 89 - 63 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.762321 - 0.237679RealScores: 88.820495 - 62.855997

Fremantle 87 - 86 Gold Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.509244 - 0.490756RealScores: 86.975431 - 86.956339

Hawthorn 107 - 75 Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.806139 - 0.193861RealScores: 106.980789 - 75.483616

North Melbourne 93 - 79 Essendon
Docklands (VIC)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.639016 - 0.360984RealScores: 92.683833 - 79.372138

Port Adelaide 70 - 95 Adelaide
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.247197 - 0.752803RealScores: 70.197500 - 95.053889

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	11 (11.25)	4	135.7
2	Gold Coast	10 (9.86)	5	123.0
3	Sydney	9 (9.32)	6	121.0
4	Hawthorn	9 (9.50)	6	117.7
5	Adelaide	9 (9.41)	6	114.9
6	Brisbane Lions	8 (8.47)	7	114.6
7	Fremantle	8 (7.74)	7	106.1
8	Collingwood	8 (7.98)	7	104.6
9	Geelong	8 (7.80)	7	99.4
10	Greater Western Sydney	8 (7.73)	7	97.9
11	North Melbourne	7 (7.22)	8	96.6
12	Melbourne	6 (6.48)	9	88.2
13	Carlton	6 (6.43)	9	86.6
14	St Kilda	5 (5.46)	10	89.5
15	Port Adelaide	5 (5.43)	10	83.4
16	West Coast	5 (5.37)	10	82.5
17	Richmond	5 (4.63)	10	78.7
18	Essendon	5 (4.92)	10	78.6

Round 17

Essendon 77 - 94 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.327794 - 0.672206RealScores: 77.436659 - 93.881839

Geelong Geelong 96 - 93 Brisbane Lions
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.546911 - 0.453089RealScores: 96.150938 - 92.511583

Gold Coast 91 - 72 Collingwood
Carrara (QLD)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.695796 - 0.304204RealScores: 90.545622 - 71.784956

Greater Western Sydney 89 - 87 Fremantle
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.535393 - 0.464607RealScores: 89.031578 - 86.541070

Hawthorn 118 - 78 Melbourne
York Park (TAS)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.864847 - 0.135153RealScores: 118.251238 - 77.977574

Port Adelaide 88 - 83 North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.559252 - 0.440748RealScores: 88.290419 - 83.404775

Richmond 71 - 86 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.345237 - 0.654763RealScores: 71.303831 - 86.088330

Sydney Sydney 83 - 92 Western Bulldogs
S.C.G. (NSW)0.40 wins - 0.60 winsRealProbs: 0.397888 - 0.602112RealScores: 83.074774 - 92.421535

West Coast 73 - 97 Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.251483 - 0.748517RealScores: 73.025709 - 97.392648

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	12 (11.84)	4	134.1
2	Gold Coast	11 (10.52)	5	123.2
3	Hawthorn	10 (10.32)	6	119.6
4	Sydney	10 (9.73)	6	118.7
5	Adelaide	10 (10.13)	6	116.0
6	Brisbane Lions	9 (8.94)	7	113.3
7	Fremantle	8 (8.23)	8	105.5
8	Collingwood	8 (8.31)	8	102.8
9	Geelong	8 (8.32)	8	99.7
10	Greater Western Sydney	8 (8.25)	8	98.2
11	North Melbourne	8 (7.68)	8	96.4
12	Carlton	7 (7.06)	9	88.3
13	Melbourne	7 (6.66)	9	86.6
14	St Kilda	6 (6.11)	10	91.1
15	Port Adelaide	6 (5.97)	10	84.7
16	West Coast	6 (5.66)	10	82.0
17	Richmond	5 (4.99)	11	79.0
18	Essendon	5 (5.28)	11	78.9

Round 18

Adelaide 88 - 80 Gold Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.590309 - 0.409691RealScores: 88.377776 - 80.385609

Brisbane Lions 108 - 65 Essendon
Gabba (QLD)0.88 wins - 0.12 winsRealProbs: 0.883522 - 0.116478RealScores: 108.324454 - 64.865456

Carlton Carlton 74 - 104 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.20 wins - 0.80 winsRealProbs: 0.201945 - 0.798055RealScores: 73.843437 - 104.261657

Collingwood 90 - 76 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.647100 - 0.352900RealScores: 90.196125 - 76.130903

Fremantle 84 - 85 Sydney Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.488100 - 0.511900RealScores: 84.265305 - 84.370065

Greater Western Sydney 94 - 96 Geelong Geelong
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.464801 - 0.535199RealScores: 93.634244 - 96.016175

Melbourne 94 - 78 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.663587 - 0.336413RealScores: 94.090672 - 78.470653

St Kilda 94 - 76 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.687014 - 0.312986RealScores: 94.315753 - 76.427945

Western Bulldogs 126 - 62 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.98 wins - 0.02 winsRealProbs: 0.980444 - 0.019556RealScores: 125.721140 - 61.944240

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	13 (12.78)	4	137.3
2	Gold Coast	11 (10.95)	6	121.1
3	Hawthorn	11 (11.08)	6	120.7
4	Adelaide	11 (10.70)	6	115.6
5	Sydney	10 (10.23)	7	117.5
6	Brisbane Lions	10 (9.79)	7	115.8
7	Fremantle	9 (8.73)	8	105.2
8	Collingwood	9 (8.93)	8	103.7
9	Geelong	9 (8.84)	8	99.9
10	Greater Western Sydney	9 (8.73)	8	98.2
11	North Melbourne	8 (8.06)	9	95.7
12	St Kilda	7 (6.77)	10	92.7
13	Melbourne	7 (7.30)	10	88.1
14	Carlton	7 (7.30)	10	87.1
15	Port Adelaide	6 (6.32)	11	84.5
16	West Coast	6 (5.72)	11	79.5
17	Richmond	5 (5.36)	12	79.3
18	Essendon	5 (5.43)	12	77.6

Round 19

Collingwood 86 - 73 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.641397 - 0.358603RealScores: 85.987127 - 72.584282

Essendon 78 - 93 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.34 wins - 0.66 winsRealProbs: 0.338501 - 0.661499RealScores: 77.795709 - 93.217282

Geelong Geelong 107 - 84 St Kilda
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.742733 - 0.257267RealScores: 107.497084 - 83.781520

Gold Coast 86 - 95 Western Bulldogs
Carrara (QLD)0.40 wins - 0.60 winsRealProbs: 0.403704 - 0.596296RealScores: 86.087441 - 94.609406

North Melbourne 97 - 94 Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.550289 - 0.449711RealScores: 97.360487 - 93.562923

Port Adelaide 79 - 89 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.392187 - 0.607813RealScores: 79.461636 - 89.204970

Richmond 63 - 109 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.10 wins - 0.90 winsRealProbs: 0.104744 - 0.895256RealScores: 63.479449 - 109.048982

Sydney Sydney 87 - 77 Adelaide
S.C.G. (NSW)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.611977 - 0.388023RealScores: 86.949933 - 76.760959

West Coast 74 - 103 Brisbane Lions
Perth Stadium (WA)0.22 wins - 0.78 winsRealProbs: 0.217525 - 0.782475RealScores: 74.427598 - 102.843556

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	13 (13.35)	5	135.7
2	Hawthorn	12 (11.93)	6	122.9
3	Gold Coast	11 (11.38)	7	119.1
4	Sydney	11 (10.82)	7	117.3
5	Brisbane Lions	11 (10.53)	7	116.9
6	Adelaide	11 (11.11)	7	114.0
7	Collingwood	10 (9.55)	8	104.4
8	Geelong	10 (9.54)	8	101.3
9	Fremantle	9 (9.31)	9	105.6
10	Greater Western Sydney	9 (9.37)	9	99.2
11	North Melbourne	9 (8.58)	9	96.2
12	Melbourne	8 (7.77)	10	88.6
13	Carlton	8 (7.68)	10	86.9
14	St Kilda	7 (7.06)	11	91.8
15	Port Adelaide	7 (6.73)	11	84.7
16	West Coast	6 (5.98)	12	79.1
17	Essendon	6 (5.80)	12	77.9
18	Richmond	6 (5.50)	12	77.9

Round 20

Adelaide 88 - 69 Collingwood
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.698726 - 0.301274RealScores: 88.360532 - 69.305321

Brisbane Lions 105 - 67 Port Adelaide
Gabba (QLD)0.85 wins - 0.15 winsRealProbs: 0.848736 - 0.151264RealScores: 104.671471 - 66.984128

Carlton Carlton 77 - 95 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.313972 - 0.686028RealScores: 76.976934 - 94.767505

Fremantle 102 - 72 West Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.796697 - 0.203303RealScores: 101.831165 - 71.591438

Greater Western Sydney 79 - 92 Sydney Sydney
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.357689 - 0.642311RealScores: 78.756967 - 92.153252

Hawthorn 113 - 66 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.90 wins - 0.10 winsRealProbs: 0.899070 - 0.100930RealScores: 112.661149 - 66.386704

Melbourne 91 - 111 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.293292 - 0.706708RealScores: 91.356288 - 111.222537

North Melbourne 88 - 93 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.437387 - 0.562613RealScores: 88.075223 - 93.028838

Western Bulldogs 117 - 59 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.96 wins - 0.04 winsRealProbs: 0.956327 - 0.043673RealScores: 117.330097 - 59.262920

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	14 (14.26)	5	138.2
2	Hawthorn	13 (12.79)	6	124.9
3	Gold Coast	12 (12.04)	7	119.3
4	Adelaide	12 (11.77)	7	114.6
5	Brisbane Lions	11 (11.33)	8	118.6
6	Sydney	11 (11.44)	8	117.3
7	Fremantle	10 (10.07)	9	107.2
8	Collingwood	10 (9.89)	9	102.9
9	Geelong	10 (10.22)	9	102.3
10	Greater Western Sydney	10 (9.75)	9	98.5
11	North Melbourne	9 (9.05)	10	96.1
12	St Kilda	8 (7.60)	11	92.5
13	Melbourne	8 (8.10)	11	88.2
14	Carlton	8 (8.03)	11	86.6
15	Port Adelaide	7 (6.93)	12	83.5
16	West Coast	6 (6.22)	13	78.6
17	Essendon	6 (5.94)	13	76.8
18	Richmond	6 (5.59)	13	76.0

Round 21

Carlton Carlton 77 - 96 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.30 wins - 0.70 winsRealProbs: 0.303448 - 0.696552RealScores: 76.977154 - 95.813647

Collingwood 87 - 88 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.473487 - 0.526513RealScores: 86.710496 - 88.003138

Essendon 71 - 96 Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.250186 - 0.749814RealScores: 71.026948 - 95.541367

Fremantle 83 - 99 Western Bulldogs
Perth Stadium (WA)0.34 wins - 0.66 winsRealProbs: 0.335550 - 0.664450RealScores: 83.385142 - 99.087427

Gold Coast 113 - 76 Melbourne
Carrara (QLD)0.85 wins - 0.15 winsRealProbs: 0.845591 - 0.154409RealScores: 113.156568 - 75.957585

Hawthorn 112 - 75 North Melbourne
York Park (TAS)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.844917 - 0.155083RealScores: 112.015023 - 74.919965

Port Adelaide 83 - 87 Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.450720 - 0.549280RealScores: 83.322096 - 86.856386

Richmond 83 - 75 West Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.590576 - 0.409424RealScores: 82.550590 - 74.811532

St Kilda 80 - 93 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.359431 - 0.640569RealScores: 79.771781 - 92.872451

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	15 (14.90)	5	137.1
2	Hawthorn	14 (13.59)	6	126.0
3	Gold Coast	13 (12.84)	7	120.7
4	Brisbane Lions	12 (12.00)	8	118.9
5	Sydney	12 (12.05)	8	117.2
6	Adelaide	12 (12.48)	8	115.5
7	Geelong	11 (10.72)	9	102.3
8	Fremantle	10 (10.43)	10	105.9
9	Collingwood	10 (10.39)	10	102.7
10	Greater Western Sydney	10 (10.28)	10	98.7
11	North Melbourne	9 (9.25)	11	94.3
12	St Kilda	8 (7.98)	12	92.1
13	Melbourne	8 (8.30)	12	87.0
14	Carlton	8 (8.37)	12	86.3
15	Port Adelaide	7 (7.40)	13	84.1
16	West Coast	7 (6.66)	13	79.1
17	Richmond	6 (6.15)	14	77.4
18	Essendon	6 (6.23)	14	76.7

Round 22

Adelaide 104 - 57 Richmond
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.90 wins - 0.10 winsRealProbs: 0.903592 - 0.096408RealScores: 103.687551 - 56.565151

Brisbane Lions 90 - 89 Hawthorn
Gabba (QLD)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.514444 - 0.485556RealScores: 90.005374 - 89.948808

Geelong Geelong 112 - 72 Essendon
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.87 wins - 0.13 winsRealProbs: 0.868153 - 0.131847RealScores: 112.334314 - 71.511858

Greater Western Sydney 83 - 93 Gold Coast
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.389707 - 0.610293RealScores: 83.298508 - 93.024668

Melbourne 89 - 98 Fremantle
M.C.G. (VIC)0.40 wins - 0.60 winsRealProbs: 0.397646 - 0.602354RealScores: 89.163819 - 98.050145

St Kilda 89 - 83 Carlton Carlton
Docklands (VIC)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.572209 - 0.427791RealScores: 89.234251 - 83.468878

Sydney Sydney 100 - 65 Port Adelaide
S.C.G. (NSW)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.834089 - 0.165911RealScores: 100.343485 - 64.886106

West Coast 74 - 88 Collingwood
Perth Stadium (WA)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.347409 - 0.652591RealScores: 73.511436 - 87.850652

Western Bulldogs 118 - 72 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.90 wins - 0.10 winsRealProbs: 0.896987 - 0.103013RealScores: 118.182637 - 72.294336

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	16 (15.75)	5	138.3
2	Hawthorn	14 (14.09)	7	124.6
3	Gold Coast	13 (13.42)	8	120.3
4	Sydney	13 (12.84)	8	118.7
5	Adelaide	13 (13.34)	8	117.8
6	Brisbane Lions	12 (12.50)	9	117.9
7	Geelong	12 (11.54)	9	104.3
8	Fremantle	11 (11.00)	10	106.1
9	Collingwood	11 (11.01)	10	103.4
10	Greater Western Sydney	11 (10.70)	10	98.3
11	St Kilda	9 (8.53)	12	92.8
12	North Melbourne	9 (9.39)	12	92.3
13	Melbourne	9 (8.72)	12	87.2
14	Carlton	9 (8.82)	12	86.6
15	Port Adelaide	8 (7.62)	13	83.1
16	West Coast	7 (7.04)	14	79.3
17	Richmond	6 (6.29)	15	76.2
18	Essendon	6 (6.41)	15	76.0

Round 23

Brisbane Lions 88 - 86 Gold Coast
Gabba (QLD)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.535556 - 0.464444RealScores: 88.266502 - 86.231093

Essendon 70 - 97 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.23 wins - 0.77 winsRealProbs: 0.226817 - 0.773183RealScores: 69.695185 - 96.962392

Fremantle 86 - 83 Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.544405 - 0.455595RealScores: 85.946150 - 83.041306

Greater Western Sydney 104 - 71 West Coast
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.812545 - 0.187455RealScores: 103.546618 - 71.174067

Hawthorn 94 - 74 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.707779 - 0.292221RealScores: 93.944183 - 73.968065

North Melbourne 88 - 105 Geelong Geelong
Docklands (VIC)0.32 wins - 0.68 winsRealProbs: 0.323150 - 0.676850RealScores: 88.138370 - 105.032348

Port Adelaide 93 - 87 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.579684 - 0.420316RealScores: 93.110851 - 86.659479

Richmond 73 - 91 St Kilda
M.C.G. (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.311431 - 0.688569RealScores: 73.158153 - 91.199516

Western Bulldogs 112 - 69 Carlton Carlton
Docklands (VIC)0.88 wins - 0.12 winsRealProbs: 0.879469 - 0.120531RealScores: 112.092904 - 69.343076

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	17 (16.59)	5	139.2
2	Hawthorn	15 (14.76)	7	124.7
3	Sydney	14 (13.57)	8	119.5
4	Gold Coast	14 (13.91)	8	119.2
5	Adelaide	14 (13.83)	8	116.8
6	Brisbane Lions	13 (13.00)	9	117.2
7	Fremantle	12 (11.51)	10	105.9
8	Geelong	12 (12.18)	10	105.0
9	Collingwood	11 (11.34)	11	102.1
10	Greater Western Sydney	11 (11.46)	11	100.0
11	North Melbourne	10 (9.75)	12	91.9
12	St Kilda	9 (9.18)	13	93.9
13	Melbourne	9 (9.18)	13	87.4
14	Carlton	9 (8.99)	13	85.3
15	Port Adelaide	8 (8.16)	14	84.1
16	West Coast	7 (7.27)	15	78.8
17	Richmond	7 (6.64)	15	76.4
18	Essendon	7 (6.68)	15	75.8

Round 24

Adelaide 97 - 74 Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.743335 - 0.256665RealScores: 97.491625 - 73.708717

Carlton Carlton 83 - 87 Fremantle
Docklands (VIC)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.440951 - 0.559049RealScores: 82.968461 - 87.258890

Collingwood 79 - 84 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.430164 - 0.569836RealScores: 78.992951 - 84.368189

Essendon 81 - 80 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.528344 - 0.471656RealScores: 81.476539 - 80.208698

Geelong Geelong 111 - 66 Richmond
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.89 wins - 0.11 winsRealProbs: 0.888633 - 0.111367RealScores: 110.561883 - 66.194318

Melbourne 77 - 123 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)0.10 wins - 0.90 winsRealProbs: 0.099620 - 0.900380RealScores: 76.765116 - 123.283733

St Kilda 82 - 97 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.34 wins - 0.66 winsRealProbs: 0.340638 - 0.659362RealScores: 81.635681 - 96.545056

Sydney Sydney 103 - 71 North Melbourne
S.C.G. (NSW)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.811231 - 0.188769RealScores: 103.381536 - 71.190060

West Coast 73 - 111 Hawthorn
Perth Stadium (WA)0.15 wins - 0.85 winsRealProbs: 0.148679 - 0.851321RealScores: 72.653801 - 110.746370

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	17 (17.44)	6	140.2
2	Hawthorn	16 (15.56)	7	125.8
3	Gold Coast	15 (14.54)	8	119.1
4	Adelaide	15 (14.53)	8	117.4
5	Sydney	14 (14.33)	9	120.6
6	Brisbane Lions	14 (13.53)	9	116.7
7	Geelong	13 (13.02)	10	106.9
8	Fremantle	12 (12.04)	11	105.9
9	Collingwood	12 (11.80)	11	101.7
10	Greater Western Sydney	12 (11.76)	11	98.8
11	St Kilda	10 (9.56)	13	93.5
12	North Melbourne	10 (9.99)	13	90.8
13	Melbourne	9 (9.32)	14	86.1
14	Carlton	9 (9.47)	14	85.7
15	Port Adelaide	9 (8.66)	14	84.7
16	West Coast	7 (7.47)	16	78.2
17	Essendon	7 (7.18)	16	76.7
18	Richmond	7 (6.80)	16	75.5

FINALS: WEEK 1

Western Bulldogs 101 - 76 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)

Hawthorn 97 - 82 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)

Sydney Sydney 93 - 75 Fremantle
S.C.G. (NSW)

Brisbane Lions 102 - 86 Geelong Geelong
Gabba (QLD)

FINALS: WEEK 2

Adelaide 86 - 78 Sydney Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)

Gold Coast 88 - 87 Brisbane Lions
Gabba (QLD)

FINALS: WEEK 3

Western Bulldogs 101 - 79 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)

Hawthorn 96 - 78 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)

2026 AFL GRAND FINAL

Hawthorn 89 - 96 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)

Note: Finals tips are an unreliable way to forecast the eventual premier. For a better method, see FLAGPOLE.

Tipping by SQUIGGLE7

SQUIGGLE FLAGPOLE

Flag height indicates a team's strength (venue-neutral), downscaled by their likelihood of missing finals. Use the top buttons to play through the season. For details, see INFO → Flagpole.

		Flagpole Height
1	Western Bulldogs	64.7
2	Hawthorn	61.5
3	Gold Coast	59.4
4	Brisbane Lions	59.2
5	Sydney	58.7
6	Adelaide	57.7
7	Geelong	56.4
8	Fremantle	54.9
9	Collingwood	54.4
10	Greater Western Sydney	53.6
11	St Kilda	51.6
12	Carlton	50.3
13	North Melbourne	50.0
14	Melbourne	49.6
15	Port Adelaide	48.5
16	Essendon	46.4
17	West Coast	45.4
18	Richmond	45.1

REGULAR SEASON FORM

Teams ranked on their strength in normal matches, i.e. their squiggle scores.

		Attack	Defence	Combined
1	Western Bulldogs	67.8	61.6	64.7
2	Hawthorn	64.1	59.2	61.6
3	Gold Coast	60.0	58.8	59.4
4	Brisbane Lions	60.2	58.2	59.2
5	Sydney	57.6	60.0	58.8
6	Adelaide	56.8	58.8	57.8
7	Geelong	61.4	51.6	56.5
8	Fremantle	55.6	54.5	55.0
9	Collingwood	51.2	57.7	54.5
10	Greater Western Sydney	54.9	52.6	53.7
11	St Kilda	53.3	50.4	51.8
12	Carlton	49.9	51.2	50.6
13	North Melbourne	52.1	48.6	50.3
14	Melbourne	53.9	45.9	49.9
15	Port Adelaide	47.5	50.0	48.8
16	Essendon	45.5	47.9	46.7
17	West Coast	45.5	46.1	45.8
18	Richmond	42.4	48.8	45.6

MOST LIKELY GRAND FINALS

Western Bulldogs def Brisbane Lions	6.1%
Brisbane Lions def Western Bulldogs	5.9%
Brisbane Lions def Geelong	5.8%
Geelong def Brisbane Lions	5.3%
Western Bulldogs def Geelong	4.6%
Geelong def Western Bulldogs	4.3%
Brisbane Lions def Hawthorn	3.6%
Hawthorn def Brisbane Lions	2.9%
Western Bulldogs def Hawthorn	2.8%
Geelong def Hawthorn	2.8%
Brisbane Lions def Adelaide	2.3%
Hawthorn def Western Bulldogs	2.1%
Hawthorn def Geelong	2.0%
Brisbane Lions def Collingwood	1.8%
Brisbane Lions def Gold Coast	1.8%
Western Bulldogs def Adelaide	1.7%
Brisbane Lions def Carlton	1.7%
Geelong def Adelaide	1.6%
Western Bulldogs def Collingwood	1.6%
Western Bulldogs def Gold Coast	1.5%

EDIT SQUIGGLE

Oooh past

Oooh future

TODO:

(1) Allow for updating of FLAGPOLE

(2) Allow for updating of TOWER

(3) Allow for updating of TIPS

(4) Allow for modification of future games

(5) Allow for modification of past games

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