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Year
Squiggle

INFO

What Squiggles areHow to play through a seasonPredictionFAQThe ModelFlagpole

What Squiggles are

Squiggles are visualizations of AFL team performances, charting attack and defence over the course of a season.

Teams ⇡ high on the chart kick big scores. Teams on the ⇢ right keep their opposition to low scores. Teams in the ↗ upper-right do both. Teams in the ↙ lower-left do neither.

Squiggles are handy because:

Squiggle is roughly as accurate as tipping the favourite every game. (Which is hard to beat!) Over a season, an informed, observant human should be able to beat it, but not by much. It will beat an average human tipper. You can review its accuracy by visiting the TIPS section of any year.

How to play through a season

To watch the evolution of a past season, use the top controls:

Rewind to the start of the season

Previous Round

Next Round

Reload

You can also:

For example, you might like to rewind, click Hawthorn's flag to remove all other teams, click Geelong's name in the legend to add it back in, then repeatedly step through the season to watch their dance of death.

To zoom in on an area, drag a box around it.

Prediction

Weekly Tips

Click TIPS at the top of the page. If a team beats the tipped scoreline—i.e. wins by more than predicted, loses by less than predicted, or records an upset win—it will generally move in a positive direction on the chart (i.e. more up-and-right than down-and-left), while if its result is worse, it will generally move in a negative direction.

You can view tips for previous rounds via the "History" link on the Tips page.

Season Predictor

This is how the ladder will look if Squiggle has correctly rated every team and nobody gets better or worse.

For the home & away season, it uses a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of tips. Both teams are awarded a win probability from each game, so that if Squiggle thinks Hawthorn is 68% likely to beat Collingwood, it will award the Hawks 0.68 wins and the Pies 0.32 wins, increasing both team's tally of "probable wins" by less than 1.

This is because if a team plays 10 games with 60% likelihood of winning each game, we should expect them to win about 6/10—not, as we would get if we tipped each game and tallied up the tips, 10/10. We know that upsets will happen; we just don't know when. A probabilitistic ladder accounts for the likelihood that teams will sometimes unexpectedly win or lose, even though we doesn't know when.

This can look like a bug in the predictor, if you see a team tipped to win a match that doesn't seem to be credited. For example, a team might be on "15 (14.7)" wins, which means 14.7 "probable wins" rounded off to 15. (Rounding occurs so that teams can be secondarily ranked by their percentage.) And then that team is tipped to win the following week, but it remains on 15 wins, now "15 (15.3)". What has happened is the number of probable wins hasn't risen by enough to be rounded to a higher number. It has earned 0.6 more probable wins, but this still rounds off to 15. The predictor is saying it's still most likely this team will be on 15 wins, after accounting for the likelihood that some of its tips will be wrong.

Finals matches are predicted using simple tips. However, this isn't a very reliable way of doing it, and not Squiggle's official Premier tip. For this, please see Flagpole.

Starting the season: Team starting positions are heavily influenced by their late-season performances the previous year, and the off-season is completely ignored. There is no adjustment made for recovery from injuries, or players gained or lost via the draft or trade table, or anything else. For example, Collingwood started 2015 rated very low due to their injury-plagued end to 2014, while Adelaide and West Coast started in good positions after solid late-2014 performances.

Interactive Season Predictor

Drag teams around the chart and make Squiggle predict the rest of the season based on the new positions! It's the best of both worlds: your footy insight plus Squiggle's ability to sensibly model a season.

Reposition teams to your heart's content, open up the Predictor and click RECALCULATE.

This also provides a shareable link to the generated squiggle, so you can show off your work to other people.

FAQ

What causes a team to move?

Teams move when they do better or worse than Squiggle expected.

The most important factor is the final scoreline. When a team scores more than Squiggle expected, they move up; when they score less, they move move down; when they hold their opposition to a lower score, they move ; right; and when they allow their opposition to score more, they move left.

Of course, usually two of these things happen at once, so they move on a diagonal:

Scored more than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

Scored less than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

Scored less than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

Scored more than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

How far a team moves depends on how different the result was from Squiggle's prediction. If the result was close to expectation, a team may barely budge. But an unexpected thrashing will cause a lot of movement.

Do teams get more movement against easy opposition?

No, because Squiggle expects better performances against weaker opponents, and to move to a better position, the team has to beat this expectation.

For the same reason, Squiggle isn't affected by fixture bias.

Can a team lose and still move into a better squiggle position?

Yes! Squiggle believes in honourable losses and shameful victories. If a team is expected to win by 10 goals but only prevails by 5, it will slide.

What factors are considered?

A team's rating is modified after each game by looking at:

Can a team beat the tipped result and still fall back on the chart?

Yes! Two factors can cause unusual chart movement:

How is home ground advantage determined?

As described in the Model section, home ground advantage in Squiggle 2.0 is generated from ground familiarity: How often the teams have played at the same ground and in the same state over the preceding 4 years (including the current season).

What are Squiggle's weaknesses?

Some quirks of Squiggle, which you may decide to compensate for as an intelligent human, include:

Why does the model use those values?

All the numbers used by Squiggle are that way because they worked best (i.e. made the most accurate predictions) when every possible combination was tested with a simulator replaying the last few decades.

How are the year's starting values calculated?

2015 starting positions are very similar to their end 2014 positions—the only difference is that 2013 data is no longer considered, so teams are modeled from the start of 2014 with each beginning on 50 ATTACK and 50 DEFENCE.

This means late-season 2014 results weigh quite heavily. For example, Collingwood had an injury-plagued end to 2014, and so is rated very low. Adelaide and West Coast, by contrast, finished the year with several solid performances, and so begin the year higher than you might expect.

What's with those crazy charts for the 1900s!?

Football scores were a lot lower a century ago, especially in the very early years, when single-digit scorelines abounded. Squiggle is calibrated for modern football, and thinks a game in which one team is held to a single goal (or no goals!) signifies an unbelievably good defensive effort. This causes teams to go shooting off to the right quite often in charts from the 1890s, 1900s and 1910s. So it's not a particularly good visualization of the strength of any particular team in that era. But it is interesting in terms of how different the whole league looks: how low and flat it is compared to today.

Similary, it can be interesting to look at where the mass of teams tends to sit in different decades; for example, how attacking the late 1980s was, with plenty of teams sitting high & centre/left compared to today.

The Model

The foundation of the Squiggle model is the OFFDEF engine, which rates teams separately in terms of attack and defense. Each team is initially assigned a starting value of 50 for each.

Scores are predicted for each match using the formula:

PREDICTED SCORE = 85 * TEAM ATTACK ÷ OPPOSITION DEFENCE

For example, in a match between a team with ATTACK 56 and an opposition with DEFENCE 50, the team is predicted to score: 85 * 56 ÷ 50 = 95 points.

Predicted scores are compared to the actual scores, and ATTACK and DEFENCE adjusted accordingly. For example, if a team scored more highly than predicted, its ATTACK score needs to be increased, since Squiggle underrated it. Likewise, the opposition's DEFENCE score should decrease, since they failed to restrict the team as well as predicted. This is done by calculating what these scores would have to have been to predict the result perfectly, then constructing a weighted average of this along with all other results.

At the start of a season, team starting points are calculated by doing the above for the previous season. For example, to calculate starting points for 2014, each team is assigned 50 to ATTACK and DEFENCE, then the 2013 season is played through.

The units are completely arbitrary, and entirely due to the choice of 50 as a starting value for each team's ATTACK and DEFENCE. They have no meaning except when comparing teams to each other.

Several other filters and algorithms are used to manipulate scores produced by the OFFDEF engine, including venue (for home ground advantage), round number, team selections, and scoring shots.

Home Ground Advantage

Teams are compared based on the number of times they've played at the venue and in the same state.

Tip Probability

When determining "probable wins" in the Season Predictor, an algorithm is used that reflects the actual accuracy of Squiggle tips vs real-life results. Three factors affect the likelihood of a tip being correct:

Model Versions

Squiggle v1 used the algorithm ISTATE-91:12, in which 12 points of Home Ground Advantage is awarded to the home team in interstate games only, and each new game forms 9% of the team's new rating (with previous games forming 91%). Follow this link for Squiggles generated under the v1 algorithm.

Squiggle 2.0 made several changes in 2018:

Squiggle4 added Ins/Out awareness, so it can adjust predictions based on team selection.

2017201620152014201320122011
Squiggle v161.4%69.1%70.9%72.0%72.5%77.8%77.6%
Squiggle 2.0*64.7%74.9%73.8%72.0%73.0%73.4%77.0%
Squiggle 4*65.7%73.4%73.8%73.4%74.4%73.9%77.6%

* Squiggle 2.0 and Squiggle 4 numbers before 2018 are "retro-dictions"—they were made after the result. This shows how well the model fits historical data, rather than how reliable its predictions have been in practice.

Flagpole

Flagpole is currently a combined strength rating of each team, downgraded by its likelihood of missing finals.

For example, if two teams are currently have the same combined OFFENCE and DEFENCE, but one is certain of making finals while the other has a 25% chance of missing, the latter's will Flagpole will be 75% of the height of the former.

Generated: Thu Dec 19 12:23:23 2019 (R0)

Tower of Power shows how likely teams are (or were) to finish the Home & Away season in various ladder positions, according to squiggle simulations.

At the start of a season, with many games remaining and uncertainty about the strength of each team, there are long strips, as teams could plausibly finish in many different places. Later, they flatten out, as the range of likely finishes shrinks.

Use the top player controls to watch changes throughout a season:

Some creative license is taken for the purposes of visual appeal, which is why final ladder positions appear somewhat diagonal.

* If the round number is marked with an asterisk, the Tower is generated from fewer simulations in order to provide a faster result.

FINALS CHANCES

Minor PremierTop 4Top 8Bottom 4Spoon

MODE LADDER

LikelihoodIf not, then...

A Mode Ladder may be useful in the last round or two of a season, since it focuses on the most likely exact finishing position for teams, rather than averaging a range of possibilities. For example, after Round 22, 2017 with one round to go, Richmond were highly likely to finish either 3rd or 6th. Normally this would be averaged out to a prediction of about 4th -- even though the Tigers couldn't possibly finish there. The Mode Ladder avoids this problem.

A Mode Ladder is less useful than other forecasting methods until very late in the season, since until then there are too many possible final ladder combinations.

2020 ROUND 1 TIPS

Adelaide 80 - 74 Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)
HGA: Adelaide +12.8 pts
Ins/Outs: Adelaide +0.0 pts

Essendon 73 - 75 Fremantle
Marvel Stadium (VIC)
HGA: Essendon +8.8 pts
Ins/Outs: Essendon +0.0 pts

Gold Coast 68 - 89 Port Adelaide
Carrara (QLD)
HGA: Gold Coast +13.1 pts
Ins/Outs: Gold Coast +0.0 pts

Greater Western Sydney 71 - 67 Geelong
Sydney Showground (NSW)
HGA: Greater Western Sydney +12.6 pts
Ins/Outs: Greater Western Sydney +0.0 pts

Hawthorn 83 - 67 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)
HGA: Hawthorn +8.1 pts
Ins/Outs: Hawthorn +0.0 pts

North Melbourne 81 - 78 St Kilda
Marvel Stadium (VIC)
HGA: St Kilda +0.9 pts
Ins/Outs: North Melbourne +0.0 pts

Richmond 88 - 60 Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)
HGA: Richmond +2.1 pts
Ins/Outs: Richmond +0.0 pts

West Coast 93 - 67 Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)
HGA: West Coast +11.8 pts
Ins/Outs: West Coast +0.0 pts

Western Bulldogs 76 - 74 Collingwood
Marvel Stadium (VIC)
HGA: Collingwood +1.0 pts
Ins/Outs: Western Bulldogs +0.0 pts

Algorithm: SQUIGGLE4
Tips after Round 0: 0

History...

SEASON PREDICTOR


Recalculate

Wins%
1
Richmond
15.6134.7%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2
Geelong
13.5119.3%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
3
Hawthorn
13.5117.9%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
4
Western Bulldogs
13.5116.4%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
5
Collingwood
12.7112.9%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
6
Port Adelaide
12.3108.9%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
7
Brisbane Lions
12.1108.1%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
8
Greater Western Sydney
11.9106.9%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
9
West Coast
11.7104.9%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
10
Fremantle
11.5104.1%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11
North Melbourne
10.497.7%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
12
St Kilda
9.994.7%
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13
Sydney
9.893.7%
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14
Carlton
9.491.9%
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
15
Melbourne
9.190.0%
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16
Essendon
8.385.8%
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17
Adelaide
8.083.9%
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18
Gold Coast
5.068.4%
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18

Home & Away...

How Prediction Works

This is a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of squiggle tips. Sometimes a team will be tipped to win but not seem to be credited for it: this is because the predictor considers the likelihood of upsets. For details, click INFO → Prediction at the top of this page.

Round 1

Adelaide 80 - 74 Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.517558 - 0.482442RealScores: 79.914205 - 74.048621

Essendon 73 - 75 Fremantle
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 72.814459 - 75.499026

Gold Coast 68 - 89 Port Adelaide
Carrara (QLD)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.358922 - 0.641078RealScores: 67.988542 - 89.016843

Greater Western Sydney 71 - 67 Geelong
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.503348 - 0.496652RealScores: 71.202901 - 66.927948

Hawthorn 83 - 67 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.606748 - 0.393252RealScores: 83.476922 - 66.939226

North Melbourne 81 - 78 St Kilda
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 81.184000 - 77.783863

Richmond 88 - 60 Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.689190 - 0.310810RealScores: 87.875004 - 60.085804

West Coast 93 - 67 Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.671730 - 0.328270RealScores: 92.531487 - 67.266361

Western Bulldogs 76 - 74 Collingwood
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 76.115619 - 74.160248

WLD%
1
Richmond
1 (0.69)00146.2
2
West Coast
1 (0.67)00137.6
3
Port Adelaide
1 (0.64)00130.9
4
Hawthorn
1 (0.61)00124.7
5
Adelaide
1 (0.52)00107.9
6
Greater Western Sydney
1 (0.50)00106.4
7
North Melbourne
1 (0.50)00104.4
8
Fremantle
1 (0.50)00103.7
9
Western Bulldogs
1 (0.50)00102.6
10
Collingwood
0 (0.50)1097.4
11
Essendon
0 (0.50)1096.4
12
St Kilda
0 (0.50)1095.8
13
Geelong
0 (0.50)1094.0
14
Sydney
0 (0.48)1092.7
15
Brisbane Lions
0 (0.39)1080.2
16
Gold Coast
0 (0.36)1076.4
17
Melbourne
0 (0.33)1072.7
18
Carlton
0 (0.31)1068.4

Round 2

Brisbane Lions 91 - 75 North Melbourne
Gabba (QLD)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.619325 - 0.380675RealScores: 91.215085 - 74.830354

Carlton 72 - 90 Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.370660 - 0.629340RealScores: 71.917144 - 89.554268

Collingwood 62 - 74 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.417032 - 0.582968RealScores: 62.451845 - 74.439728

Fremantle 69 - 68 Hawthorn
Perth Stadium (WA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 68.559915 - 67.726582

Geelong 101 - 47 Gold Coast
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.85 wins - 0.15 winsRealProbs: 0.853859 - 0.146141RealScores: 101.151882 - 47.260041

Melbourne 71 - 75 Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.484163 - 0.515837RealScores: 70.781251 - 75.179695

Port Adelaide 89 - 70 Adelaide
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.639265 - 0.360735RealScores: 88.803220 - 69.905945

St Kilda 81 - 82 West Coast
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 81.051575 - 82.444212

Sydney 83 - 68 Essendon
S.C.G. (NSW)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.607756 - 0.392244RealScores: 83.393797 - 68.432816

WLD%
1
Geelong
1 (1.35)10141.9
2
Richmond
1 (1.27)10132.5
3
Port Adelaide
1 (1.28)10129.0
4
West Coast
1 (1.17)10118.0
5
Western Bulldogs
1 (1.13)10113.4
6
Hawthorn
1 (1.11)10111.6
7
Greater Western Sydney
1 (1.02)10106.3
8
Sydney
1 (1.09)10106.1
9
Fremantle
1 (1.00)10102.5
10
Brisbane Lions
1 (1.01)1099.9
11
St Kilda
1 (1.00)1097.1
12
North Melbourne
1 (0.88)1092.3
13
Adelaide
1 (0.88)1092.0
14
Collingwood
1 (0.92)1090.7
15
Essendon
1 (0.89)1088.9
16
Melbourne
1 (0.81)1082.3
17
Carlton
1 (0.68)1074.4
18
Gold Coast
1 (0.51)1060.6

Round 3

Adelaide 79 - 88 Brisbane Lions
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.439321 - 0.560679RealScores: 79.197268 - 87.816423

Carlton 80 - 73 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.543846 - 0.456154RealScores: 79.698086 - 72.946180

Gold Coast 71 - 80 Sydney
Carrara (QLD)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.439615 - 0.560385RealScores: 71.294038 - 79.880289

Greater Western Sydney 79 - 75 Western Bulldogs
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.513671 - 0.486329RealScores: 78.950593 - 75.455697

Hawthorn 66 - 65 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 66.446324 - 64.685143

Melbourne 74 - 73 Fremantle
M.C.G. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 73.590934 - 73.500053

North Melbourne 81 - 77 Port Adelaide
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.514696 - 0.485304RealScores: 80.728027 - 77.124246

St Kilda 62 - 89 Richmond
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.291773 - 0.708227RealScores: 62.412573 - 89.411474

West Coast 77 - 74 Geelong
Perth Stadium (WA)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.509359 - 0.490641RealScores: 77.131350 - 74.092882

WLD%
1
Richmond
2 (1.98)10136.1
2
Geelong
2 (1.84)10123.8
3
Port Adelaide
2 (1.77)10116.6
4
West Coast
2 (1.68)10113.4
5
Hawthorn
2 (1.61)10108.7
6
Sydney
2 (1.65)10108.1
7
Western Bulldogs
2 (1.62)10107.2
8
Greater Western Sydney
2 (1.53)10105.7
9
Brisbane Lions
2 (1.57)10103.6
10
Fremantle
2 (1.50)10101.6
11
North Melbourne
1 (1.40)2096.2
12
Collingwood
1 (1.42)2092.8
13
Adelaide
1 (1.32)2091.4
14
Essendon
1 (1.35)2089.8
15
Melbourne
1 (1.31)2087.7
16
St Kilda
1 (1.29)2087.4
17
Carlton
1 (1.23)2084.6
18
Gold Coast
1 (0.94)2069.1

Round 4

Brisbane Lions 80 - 72 Collingwood
Gabba (QLD)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.560312 - 0.439688RealScores: 79.932744 - 71.857125

Essendon 70 - 77 Greater Western Sydney
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.449499 - 0.550501RealScores: 70.116345 - 77.115647

Fremantle 95 - 54 Gold Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.803771 - 0.196229RealScores: 94.678751 - 53.945142

Geelong 65 - 68 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.493631 - 0.506369RealScores: 65.324668 - 67.628701

North Melbourne 75 - 89 Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.388817 - 0.611183RealScores: 75.478424 - 89.350057

Port Adelaide 87 - 75 West Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.588819 - 0.411181RealScores: 86.694495 - 75.417457

Richmond 100 - 53 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.835506 - 0.164494RealScores: 99.841737 - 53.407437

St Kilda 80 - 75 Melbourne
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.534133 - 0.465867RealScores: 80.375933 - 75.145160

Sydney 80 - 71 Carlton
S.C.G. (NSW)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.566245 - 0.433755RealScores: 79.636900 - 70.904182

WLD%
1
Richmond
3 (2.82)10147.5
2
Geelong
2 (2.33)20116.8
3
Fremantle
2 (2.30)20116.5
4
Port Adelaide
2 (2.35)20116.2
5
Western Bulldogs
2 (2.23)20110.0
6
Sydney
2 (2.22)20109.1
7
Hawthorn
2 (2.11)20107.4
8
Greater Western Sydney
2 (2.08)20106.8
9
West Coast
2 (2.09)20106.0
10
Brisbane Lions
2 (2.13)20105.3
11
North Melbourne
2 (1.78)2093.1
12
Collingwood
2 (1.86)2092.0
13
St Kilda
2 (1.83)2091.9
14
Essendon
2 (1.80)2090.1
15
Melbourne
2 (1.78)2089.2
16
Carlton
2 (1.66)2085.6
17
Adelaide
1 (1.48)3080.6
18
Gold Coast
1 (1.14)3065.9

Round 5

Adelaide 82 - 73 Essendon
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.572678 - 0.427322RealScores: 82.478340 - 73.394675

Collingwood 79 - 65 Port Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.618437 - 0.381563RealScores: 79.318309 - 65.016799

Geelong 88 - 61 St Kilda
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.718768 - 0.281232RealScores: 87.685170 - 60.651055

Gold Coast 72 - 80 Melbourne
Carrara (QLD)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.429989 - 0.570011RealScores: 71.572474 - 80.361147

Hawthorn 78 - 63 Carlton
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.631416 - 0.368584RealScores: 78.429926 - 62.589667

North Melbourne 78 - 72 Fremantle
Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.539234 - 0.460766RealScores: 77.770820 - 72.319020

Sydney 68 - 77 Greater Western Sydney
S.C.G. (NSW)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.428524 - 0.571476RealScores: 68.028944 - 76.979505

West Coast 74 - 80 Richmond
Perth Stadium (WA)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.458215 - 0.541785RealScores: 74.289152 - 80.012972

Western Bulldogs 94 - 78 Brisbane Lions
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.632855 - 0.367145RealScores: 94.172042 - 78.159503

WLD%
1
Richmond
3 (3.36)20138.0
2
Geelong
3 (3.05)20122.0
3
Western Bulldogs
3 (2.86)20112.1
4
Fremantle
3 (2.76)20111.2
5
Hawthorn
3 (2.74)20110.9
6
Port Adelaide
3 (2.74)20108.9
7
Greater Western Sydney
3 (2.65)20108.0
8
Sydney
3 (2.65)20104.8
9
West Coast
3 (2.55)20103.3
10
Brisbane Lions
3 (2.50)20100.1
11
Collingwood
2 (2.47)3097.4
12
North Melbourne
2 (2.32)3095.6
13
Melbourne
2 (2.35)3093.4
14
Essendon
2 (2.23)3089.8
15
St Kilda
2 (2.11)3087.1
16
Adelaide
2 (2.05)3086.1
17
Carlton
2 (2.03)3084.5
18
Gold Coast
2 (1.57)3070.1

Round 6

Brisbane Lions 94 - 68 Sydney
Gabba (QLD)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.709415 - 0.290585RealScores: 93.618211 - 68.297844

Carlton 76 - 79 North Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.490128 - 0.509872RealScores: 76.345023 - 78.509109

Collingwood 82 - 62 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.675253 - 0.324747RealScores: 82.410919 - 61.536357

Fremantle 69 - 70 Geelong
Perth Stadium (WA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 69.592701 - 70.089476

Greater Western Sydney 96 - 52 Gold Coast
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.829976 - 0.170024RealScores: 95.849556 - 52.104718

Hawthorn 82 - 66 West Coast
York Park (TAS)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.632518 - 0.367482RealScores: 81.596101 - 65.954272

Melbourne 59 - 90 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.248666 - 0.751334RealScores: 58.876328 - 90.042426

Port Adelaide 84 - 80 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.522913 - 0.477087RealScores: 83.694754 - 80.186938

St Kilda 89 - 70 Adelaide
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.665794 - 0.334206RealScores: 89.353694 - 69.666699

WLD%
1
Richmond
4 (4.11)20140.4
2
Geelong
4 (3.55)20118.2
3
Greater Western Sydney
3 (3.48)30117.8
4
Hawthorn
3 (3.38)30113.0
5
Fremantle
3 (3.26)30109.2
6
Western Bulldogs
3 (3.34)30109.2
7
Port Adelaide
3 (3.26)30108.1
8
Brisbane Lions
3 (3.21)30105.5
9
Collingwood
3 (3.15)30102.7
10
West Coast
3 (2.92)3099.4
11
Sydney
3 (2.94)3098.3
12
North Melbourne
3 (2.83)3096.8
13
St Kilda
3 (2.77)3093.0
14
Melbourne
3 (2.60)3088.2
15
Essendon
3 (2.55)3087.2
16
Carlton
3 (2.52)3086.6
17
Adelaide
2 (2.39)4084.7
18
Gold Coast
2 (1.74)4067.3

Round 7

Collingwood 79 - 66 St Kilda
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.612068 - 0.387932RealScores: 79.411275 - 66.389904

Essendon 75 - 78 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.479194 - 0.520806RealScores: 74.792235 - 77.923979

Geelong 88 - 66 Brisbane Lions
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.686156 - 0.313844RealScores: 88.062837 - 66.098157

Gold Coast 75 - 79 Adelaide
Carrara (QLD)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.475544 - 0.524456RealScores: 75.431408 - 78.939278

Port Adelaide 88 - 67 Carlton
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.679387 - 0.320613RealScores: 87.754519 - 66.648944

Richmond 83 - 58 Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.711811 - 0.288189RealScores: 83.126480 - 57.816226

Sydney 80 - 74 North Melbourne
S.C.G. (NSW)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.544984 - 0.455016RealScores: 79.955051 - 74.304089

West Coast 79 - 75 Fremantle
Perth Stadium (WA)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.529565 - 0.470435RealScores: 79.137126 - 75.100435

Western Bulldogs 74 - 75 Hawthorn
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 74.131660 - 74.579331

WLD%
1
Richmond
5 (4.82)20140.9
2
Geelong
4 (4.24)30120.4
3
Port Adelaide
4 (3.94)30111.1
4
Hawthorn
4 (3.88)30111.0
5
Greater Western Sydney
4 (3.77)30109.6
6
Western Bulldogs
4 (3.84)30107.8
7
Fremantle
4 (3.73)30106.9
8
Collingwood
4 (3.76)30105.0
9
Brisbane Lions
4 (3.52)30100.7
10
West Coast
3 (3.45)40100.2
11
Sydney
3 (3.48)4099.6
12
North Melbourne
3 (3.29)4096.2
13
St Kilda
3 (3.16)4091.7
14
Melbourne
3 (3.12)4090.3
15
Essendon
3 (3.03)4088.5
16
Adelaide
3 (2.91)4087.2
17
Carlton
3 (2.84)4084.9
18
Gold Coast
2 (2.22)5070.9

Round 8

Adelaide 74 - 77 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.476652 - 0.523348RealScores: 73.645734 - 76.927015

Brisbane Lions 76 - 82 Richmond
Gabba (QLD)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.451014 - 0.548986RealScores: 75.659840 - 81.607249

Geelong 84 - 63 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.679284 - 0.320716RealScores: 83.763862 - 62.892610

Greater Western Sydney 72 - 64 Collingwood
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.565819 - 0.434181RealScores: 71.865697 - 64.125984

Melbourne 75 - 80 Port Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.468070 - 0.531930RealScores: 75.369278 - 79.534772

North Melbourne 65 - 78 Hawthorn
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.386705 - 0.613295RealScores: 65.458481 - 78.451544

St Kilda 78 - 77 Carlton
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500522 - 0.499478RealScores: 78.106963 - 77.139129

West Coast 92 - 67 Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.710498 - 0.289502RealScores: 91.819815 - 66.935179

Western Bulldogs 109 - 56 Gold Coast
Eureka Stadium (VIC)0.89 wins - 0.11 winsRealProbs: 0.885282 - 0.114718RealScores: 109.431796 - 56.097170

WLD%
1
Richmond
5 (5.37)30135.9
2
Geelong
5 (4.92)30121.9
3
Western Bulldogs
5 (4.72)30116.1
4
Hawthorn
4 (4.49)40112.1
5
Port Adelaide
4 (4.47)40110.4
6
Greater Western Sydney
4 (4.34)40109.9
7
Fremantle
4 (4.26)40106.6
8
West Coast
4 (4.16)40104.2
9
Collingwood
4 (4.20)40103.0
10
Brisbane Lions
4 (3.97)4099.7
11
Sydney
4 (3.77)4095.7
12
North Melbourne
4 (3.68)4094.7
13
St Kilda
4 (3.66)4092.8
14
Melbourne
4 (3.59)4090.9
15
Adelaide
3 (3.39)5088.2
16
Essendon
3 (3.35)5086.7
17
Carlton
3 (3.34)5086.6
18
Gold Coast
2 (2.33)6068.0

Round 9

Carlton 64 - 78 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.374101 - 0.625899RealScores: 63.870012 - 78.183219

Fremantle 78 - 79 Western Bulldogs
Perth Stadium (WA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 77.863088 - 78.238819

Gold Coast 70 - 92 West Coast
Carrara (QLD)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.305892 - 0.694108RealScores: 69.702644 - 92.278716

Greater Western Sydney 85 - 64 St Kilda
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.676842 - 0.323158RealScores: 84.871208 - 64.467730

Hawthorn 84 - 57 Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.730629 - 0.269371RealScores: 84.056071 - 56.671124

Melbourne 81 - 74 Adelaide
Traeger Park (NT)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.563870 - 0.436130RealScores: 81.139114 - 73.702809

North Melbourne 84 - 73 Essendon
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.592936 - 0.407064RealScores: 83.558796 - 72.965757

Port Adelaide 88 - 77 Brisbane Lions
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.596325 - 0.403675RealScores: 88.131894 - 77.163534

Richmond 75 - 63 Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.605929 - 0.394071RealScores: 75.294353 - 63.253670

WLD%
1
Richmond
6 (5.98)30134.0
2
Geelong
5 (5.31)40117.2
3
Hawthorn
5 (5.22)40115.6
4
Western Bulldogs
5 (5.22)40114.3
5
Greater Western Sydney
5 (5.02)40112.1
6
Port Adelaide
5 (5.07)40110.9
7
West Coast
5 (4.85)40107.1
8
Fremantle
5 (4.76)40105.7
9
Collingwood
5 (4.82)40105.0
10
Brisbane Lions
4 (4.38)5098.2
11
North Melbourne
4 (4.27)5096.7
12
Melbourne
4 (4.15)5092.9
13
Sydney
4 (4.04)5092.3
14
St Kilda
4 (3.98)5090.9
15
Adelaide
4 (3.83)5088.5
16
Essendon
4 (3.76)5086.8
17
Carlton
4 (3.71)5086.1
18
Gold Coast
3 (2.64)6068.8

Round 10

Adelaide 78 - 77 Carlton
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.508333 - 0.491667RealScores: 78.254237 - 76.605534

Brisbane Lions 102 - 63 Gold Coast
Gabba (QLD)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.813639 - 0.186361RealScores: 102.391549 - 62.896212

Collingwood 78 - 68 North Melbourne
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.587531 - 0.412469RealScores: 77.510251 - 67.582229

Essendon 58 - 92 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.22 wins - 0.78 winsRealProbs: 0.220469 - 0.779531RealScores: 58.161791 - 92.342367

Hawthorn 79 - 64 Port Adelaide
York Park (TAS)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.636380 - 0.363620RealScores: 79.241950 - 63.804758

Melbourne 71 - 91 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.327230 - 0.672770RealScores: 71.216426 - 91.002737

St Kilda 77 - 73 Fremantle
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.533600 - 0.466400RealScores: 77.408538 - 73.196077

Sydney 68 - 76 Geelong
S.C.G. (NSW)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.432908 - 0.567092RealScores: 68.259257 - 75.979528

West Coast 83 - 70 Greater Western Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.611774 - 0.388226RealScores: 82.681399 - 70.062616

WLD%
1
Richmond
7 (6.76)30136.3
2
Geelong
6 (5.88)40116.6
3
Hawthorn
6 (5.86)40116.4
4
Western Bulldogs
6 (5.89)40115.6
5
Greater Western Sydney
5 (5.40)50108.9
6
West Coast
5 (5.46)50108.1
7
Port Adelaide
5 (5.43)50107.7
8
Collingwood
5 (5.41)50105.9
9
Fremantle
5 (5.22)50104.5
10
Brisbane Lions
5 (5.19)50103.3
11
North Melbourne
5 (4.68)5095.8
12
St Kilda
5 (4.52)5092.2
13
Sydney
4 (4.47)6092.1
14
Melbourne
4 (4.48)6091.2
15
Adelaide
4 (4.33)6089.8
16
Carlton
4 (4.20)6087.2
17
Essendon
4 (3.98)6084.1
18
Gold Coast
3 (2.82)7068.0

Round 11

Collingwood 81 - 68 West Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.622950 - 0.377050RealScores: 81.358929 - 67.523618

Essendon 90 - 62 Gold Coast
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.735341 - 0.264659RealScores: 90.230714 - 62.465135

Fremantle 83 - 75 Brisbane Lions
Perth Stadium (WA)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.572153 - 0.427847RealScores: 82.754317 - 74.524822

Geelong 85 - 62 North Melbourne
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.700724 - 0.299276RealScores: 85.350795 - 62.145196

Greater Western Sydney 90 - 59 Adelaide
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.759729 - 0.240271RealScores: 90.354451 - 59.195711

Hawthorn 81 - 61 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.671968 - 0.328032RealScores: 80.661897 - 61.047959

Richmond 93 - 55 Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.804038 - 0.195962RealScores: 92.810994 - 55.016484

St Kilda 75 - 84 Port Adelaide
Jiangwan Stadium (CHI)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.416413 - 0.583587RealScores: 74.515584 - 83.976679

Western Bulldogs 90 - 72 Carlton
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.655764 - 0.344236RealScores: 89.565128 - 71.906283

WLD%
1
Richmond
8 (7.56)30138.9
2
Geelong
7 (6.58)40118.3
3
Hawthorn
7 (6.53)40117.8
4
Western Bulldogs
7 (6.55)40116.4
5
Greater Western Sydney
6 (6.16)50112.3
6
Port Adelaide
6 (6.01)50108.1
7
Collingwood
6 (6.03)50107.2
8
West Coast
6 (5.84)50105.7
9
Fremantle
6 (5.80)50105.1
10
Brisbane Lions
6 (5.62)50102.1
11
North Melbourne
5 (4.98)6093.5
12
St Kilda
5 (4.93)6091.9
13
Melbourne
5 (4.81)6089.8
14
Sydney
5 (4.67)6088.6
15
Essendon
5 (4.71)6088.4
16
Adelaide
5 (4.57)6087.4
17
Carlton
5 (4.55)6086.5
18
Gold Coast
3 (3.09)8068.1

Round 12

Adelaide 75 - 92 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.349088 - 0.650912RealScores: 74.734482 - 91.784741

Carlton 72 - 73 Greater Western Sydney
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 72.451590 - 73.034988

Gold Coast 59 - 86 Hawthorn
Carrara (QLD)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.270823 - 0.729177RealScores: 58.958823 - 85.826243

Melbourne 63 - 80 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.345729 - 0.654271RealScores: 62.593118 - 80.040776

Richmond 88 - 62 North Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.722147 - 0.277853RealScores: 88.332938 - 62.400436

Sydney 75 - 71 Fremantle
S.C.G. (NSW)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.535645 - 0.464355RealScores: 75.281514 - 70.873774

WLD%
1
Richmond
8 (8.28)40139.2
2
Hawthorn
7 (7.26)50119.9
3
Geelong
7 (6.58)40118.3
4
Western Bulldogs
7 (7.20)50116.9
5
Greater Western Sydney
7 (6.66)50111.3
6
Collingwood
7 (6.69)50108.8
7
Port Adelaide
6 (6.01)50108.1
8
West Coast
6 (5.84)50105.7
9
Fremantle
6 (6.26)60104.2
10
Brisbane Lions
6 (5.62)50102.1
11
St Kilda
5 (4.93)6091.9
12
North Melbourne
5 (5.26)7091.4
13
Sydney
5 (5.20)7089.9
14
Melbourne
5 (5.15)7088.8
15
Essendon
5 (4.71)6088.4
16
Carlton
5 (5.05)7087.5
17
Adelaide
5 (4.92)7086.8
18
Gold Coast
3 (3.36)9068.2

Round 13

Adelaide 70 - 89 Port Adelaide
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.334710 - 0.665290RealScores: 69.976242 - 88.732923

Gold Coast 65 - 91 St Kilda
Marrara Oval (NT)0.28 wins - 0.72 winsRealProbs: 0.279129 - 0.720871RealScores: 65.382443 - 91.119002

Hawthorn 68 - 65 Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.515172 - 0.484828RealScores: 67.658783 - 65.294585

North Melbourne 84 - 82 Brisbane Lions
Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.503968 - 0.496032RealScores: 83.647578 - 82.397861

West Coast 94 - 67 Essendon
Perth Stadium (WA)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.733094 - 0.266906RealScores: 94.275428 - 66.914109

Western Bulldogs 85 - 70 Greater Western Sydney
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.635134 - 0.364866RealScores: 84.807850 - 69.598439

WLD%
1
Richmond
8 (8.28)40139.2
2
Hawthorn
8 (7.77)50118.6
3
Western Bulldogs
8 (7.84)50117.3
4
Geelong
7 (7.07)50116.5
5
Port Adelaide
7 (6.68)50109.6
6
Collingwood
7 (6.69)50108.8
7
Greater Western Sydney
7 (7.03)60108.6
8
West Coast
7 (6.57)50108.3
9
Fremantle
6 (6.26)60104.2
10
Brisbane Lions
6 (6.12)60101.8
11
St Kilda
6 (5.66)6095.2
12
North Melbourne
6 (5.76)7092.2
13
Sydney
5 (5.20)7089.9
14
Melbourne
5 (5.15)7088.8
15
Carlton
5 (5.05)7087.5
16
Essendon
5 (4.98)7086.7
17
Adelaide
5 (5.26)8086.2
18
Gold Coast
4 (3.64)9068.4

Round 14

Brisbane Lions 94 - 69 Melbourne
Gabba (QLD)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.722309 - 0.277691RealScores: 94.456066 - 68.527550

Essendon 75 - 82 St Kilda
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.436989 - 0.563011RealScores: 74.710229 - 82.024847

Fremantle 82 - 65 Carlton
Perth Stadium (WA)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.652777 - 0.347223RealScores: 81.998298 - 64.710538

Port Adelaide 74 - 72 Geelong
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.514158 - 0.485842RealScores: 74.460912 - 72.147591

Richmond 91 - 63 West Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.732906 - 0.267094RealScores: 90.818793 - 63.483331

Sydney 69 - 73 Collingwood
S.C.G. (NSW)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.472583 - 0.527417RealScores: 69.014271 - 72.659318

WLD%
1
Richmond
9 (9.01)40139.5
2
Hawthorn
8 (7.77)50118.6
3
Western Bulldogs
8 (7.84)50117.3
4
Geelong
8 (7.55)50114.8
5
Port Adelaide
7 (7.19)60109.1
6
Greater Western Sydney
7 (7.03)60108.6
7
Collingwood
7 (7.21)60108.5
8
Fremantle
7 (6.91)60105.7
9
West Coast
7 (6.84)60104.8
10
Brisbane Lions
7 (6.84)60104.2
11
St Kilda
6 (6.22)7096.2
12
North Melbourne
6 (5.76)7092.2
13
Sydney
6 (5.68)7090.3
14
Melbourne
5 (5.43)8087.4
15
Essendon
5 (5.42)8087.0
16
Carlton
5 (5.40)8086.8
17
Adelaide
5 (5.26)8086.2
18
Gold Coast
4 (3.64)9068.4

Round 15

Brisbane Lions 77 - 73 Hawthorn
Gabba (QLD)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.528307 - 0.471693RealScores: 77.108640 - 73.307508

Carlton 66 - 79 Geelong
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.381187 - 0.618813RealScores: 65.552860 - 78.983614

Collingwood 89 - 57 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.768268 - 0.231732RealScores: 89.283155 - 57.023309

Greater Western Sydney 68 - 73 Richmond
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.468212 - 0.531788RealScores: 68.394572 - 72.548134

Melbourne 91 - 61 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.757240 - 0.242760RealScores: 91.314681 - 60.618941

Port Adelaide 82 - 67 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.628764 - 0.371236RealScores: 82.038088 - 67.482578

St Kilda 83 - 71 Sydney
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.604194 - 0.395806RealScores: 83.184237 - 71.380063

West Coast 90 - 73 North Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.646183 - 0.353817RealScores: 89.696733 - 73.135673

Western Bulldogs 94 - 70 Essendon
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.712059 - 0.287941RealScores: 94.195778 - 69.570300

WLD%
1
Richmond
10 (9.55)40136.9
2
Western Bulldogs
9 (8.55)50118.5
3
Hawthorn
8 (8.25)60116.6
4
Geelong
8 (8.17)60115.2
5
Collingwood
8 (7.98)60111.4
6
Port Adelaide
8 (7.82)60109.9
7
Greater Western Sydney
7 (7.50)70107.5
8
West Coast
7 (7.49)70106.0
9
Brisbane Lions
7 (7.37)70104.2
10
Fremantle
7 (7.29)70103.9
11
St Kilda
7 (6.82)7097.6
12
North Melbourne
6 (6.12)8091.4
13
Melbourne
6 (6.19)8090.8
14
Sydney
6 (6.07)8090.0
15
Carlton
6 (5.78)8086.5
16
Essendon
6 (5.70)8086.0
17
Adelaide
5 (5.49)9084.5
18
Gold Coast
4 (3.88)10068.3

Round 16

Adelaide 80 - 79 St Kilda
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.504340 - 0.495660RealScores: 80.257197 - 78.763196

Collingwood 83 - 69 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.621519 - 0.378481RealScores: 82.798121 - 68.991748

Essendon 61 - 82 Hawthorn
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.311453 - 0.688547RealScores: 60.685090 - 82.398665

Fremantle 84 - 63 Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.677798 - 0.322202RealScores: 83.741873 - 63.349114

Geelong 87 - 65 West Coast
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.692250 - 0.307750RealScores: 86.699068 - 64.525164

Gold Coast 70 - 83 Carlton
Carrara (QLD)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.386485 - 0.613515RealScores: 69.725397 - 82.635488

North Melbourne 75 - 73 Greater Western Sydney
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.511143 - 0.488857RealScores: 75.449851 - 73.283371

Richmond 88 - 61 Port Adelaide
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.726932 - 0.273068RealScores: 88.111276 - 61.487443

Sydney 76 - 85 Western Bulldogs
S.C.G. (NSW)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.427685 - 0.572315RealScores: 76.335092 - 84.769883

WLD%
1
Richmond
10 (10.27)50137.3
2
Western Bulldogs
9 (9.12)60118.0
3
Hawthorn
9 (8.93)60117.8
4
Geelong
9 (8.86)60116.4
5
Collingwood
9 (8.60)60112.0
6
Greater Western Sydney
8 (7.99)70106.8
7
Port Adelaide
8 (8.10)70106.8
8
Fremantle
8 (7.96)70105.5
9
West Coast
8 (7.80)70103.6
10
Brisbane Lions
8 (7.75)70102.8
11
St Kilda
7 (7.32)8097.6
12
North Melbourne
7 (6.63)8092.1
13
Sydney
7 (6.50)8090.0
14
Melbourne
7 (6.51)8089.7
15
Carlton
6 (6.39)9088.4
16
Adelaide
6 (5.99)9085.6
17
Essendon
6 (6.02)9085.1
18
Gold Coast
4 (4.27)11069.3

Round 17

Brisbane Lions 79 - 75 Geelong
Gabba (QLD)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.523630 - 0.476370RealScores: 78.836696 - 75.324298

Carlton 81 - 70 Sydney
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.592464 - 0.407536RealScores: 80.614853 - 69.926229

Greater Western Sydney 87 - 61 Essendon
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.723240 - 0.276760RealScores: 86.724828 - 60.507164

Hawthorn 80 - 64 North Melbourne
York Park (TAS)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.637362 - 0.362638RealScores: 79.803749 - 64.106277

Melbourne 77 - 79 St Kilda
M.C.G. (VIC)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.486658 - 0.513342RealScores: 76.518024 - 79.003069

Port Adelaide 102 - 55 Gold Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.855081 - 0.144919RealScores: 101.615344 - 55.390041

Richmond 74 - 62 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.604472 - 0.395528RealScores: 74.445969 - 62.445603

West Coast 98 - 65 Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.770737 - 0.229263RealScores: 98.232621 - 65.495042

Western Bulldogs 88 - 68 Fremantle
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.675998 - 0.324002RealScores: 88.180330 - 67.921576

WLD%
1
Richmond
11 (10.88)50136.2
2
Western Bulldogs
10 (9.80)60118.7
3
Hawthorn
10 (9.57)60118.2
4
Geelong
9 (9.34)70114.9
5
Port Adelaide
9 (8.95)70110.4
6
Collingwood
9 (9.00)70110.1
7
Greater Western Sydney
9 (8.71)70108.8
8
West Coast
9 (8.57)70106.1
9
Fremantle
8 (8.29)80103.4
10
Brisbane Lions
8 (8.27)80102.9
11
St Kilda
8 (7.83)8097.9
12
North Melbourne
7 (6.99)9091.4
13
Melbourne
7 (6.99)9090.2
14
Carlton
7 (6.98)9089.9
15
Sydney
7 (6.91)9089.8
16
Adelaide
6 (6.22)10084.2
17
Essendon
6 (6.29)10084.1
18
Gold Coast
4 (4.41)12068.2

Round 18

Adelaide 81 - 74 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.556281 - 0.443719RealScores: 80.900990 - 73.940932

Carlton 80 - 82 Brisbane Lions
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.495763 - 0.504237RealScores: 80.368836 - 82.069302

Collingwood 68 - 67 Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 67.278665 - 67.115074

Essendon 74 - 83 North Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.423745 - 0.576255RealScores: 73.732658 - 82.791896

Fremantle 75 - 79 West Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.470923 - 0.529077RealScores: 75.031348 - 79.206213

Gold Coast 57 - 96 Richmond
Carrara (QLD)0.19 wins - 0.81 winsRealProbs: 0.189996 - 0.810004RealScores: 57.278722 - 96.025791

Hawthorn 75 - 60 Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.629919 - 0.370081RealScores: 74.864994 - 59.910083

St Kilda 74 - 92 Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.349031 - 0.650969RealScores: 74.169723 - 91.551890

Sydney 78 - 76 Port Adelaide
S.C.G. (NSW)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 77.550660 - 76.343251

WLD%
1
Richmond
12 (11.69)50137.9
2
Western Bulldogs
10 (10.45)70118.9
3
Hawthorn
10 (10.20)70118.6
4
Geelong
10 (9.84)70114.0
5
Port Adelaide
9 (9.45)80109.6
6
Collingwood
9 (9.50)80109.5
7
Greater Western Sydney
9 (9.08)80107.0
8
West Coast
9 (9.09)80106.1
9
Brisbane Lions
9 (8.77)80102.8
10
Fremantle
9 (8.76)80102.8
11
St Kilda
8 (8.18)9096.8
12
North Melbourne
8 (7.57)9092.5
13
Sydney
7 (7.41)10090.4
14
Carlton
7 (7.48)10090.4
15
Melbourne
7 (7.44)10090.3
16
Adelaide
7 (6.78)10085.5
17
Essendon
7 (6.72)10084.4
18
Gold Coast
5 (4.60)12067.7

Round 19

Brisbane Lions 95 - 72 St Kilda
Gabba (QLD)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.696041 - 0.303959RealScores: 94.848681 - 71.888859

Carlton 79 - 80 West Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.498634 - 0.501366RealScores: 78.865036 - 80.413228

Essendon 84 - 72 Adelaide
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.606375 - 0.393625RealScores: 84.159415 - 71.713600

Fremantle 71 - 66 Collingwood
Perth Stadium (WA)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.534750 - 0.465250RealScores: 71.148710 - 66.271306

Geelong 88 - 57 Melbourne
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.759731 - 0.240269RealScores: 88.322209 - 56.924439

Greater Western Sydney 79 - 66 Sydney
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.614630 - 0.385370RealScores: 79.184482 - 65.823967

North Melbourne 98 - 59 Gold Coast
Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.809427 - 0.190573RealScores: 97.786098 - 59.003397

Port Adelaide 74 - 69 Hawthorn
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.527900 - 0.472100RealScores: 73.615801 - 69.430907

Richmond 84 - 71 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.616160 - 0.383840RealScores: 84.297026 - 70.765878

WLD%
1
Richmond
12 (12.30)60136.7
2
Hawthorn
11 (10.67)70117.1
3
Western Bulldogs
11 (10.83)70116.7
4
Geelong
11 (10.60)70116.0
5
Port Adelaide
10 (9.98)80109.4
6
Collingwood
10 (9.97)80108.5
7
Greater Western Sydney
10 (9.69)80107.7
8
West Coast
10 (9.60)80105.9
9
Brisbane Lions
9 (9.47)90104.3
10
Fremantle
9 (9.29)90103.1
11
North Melbourne
8 (8.37)10095.5
12
St Kilda
8 (8.48)10095.4
13
Carlton
8 (7.98)10090.8
14
Sydney
8 (7.79)10090.0
15
Melbourne
8 (7.68)10088.7
16
Essendon
7 (7.32)11086.0
17
Adelaide
7 (7.17)11085.5
18
Gold Coast
5 (4.79)13067.3

Round 20

Adelaide 64 - 89 Richmond
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.291827 - 0.708173RealScores: 64.305144 - 88.944030

Essendon 62 - 82 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.325097 - 0.674903RealScores: 61.723823 - 82.223453

Geelong 82 - 70 Western Bulldogs
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.603834 - 0.396166RealScores: 82.358598 - 70.049925

Gold Coast 66 - 82 Fremantle
Carrara (QLD)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.364155 - 0.635845RealScores: 66.362229 - 82.261664

Greater Western Sydney 84 - 72 Brisbane Lions
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.604397 - 0.395603RealScores: 84.056837 - 71.686324

Melbourne 79 - 72 Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.553478 - 0.446522RealScores: 78.824705 - 71.885047

North Melbourne 79 - 76 Carlton
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.519417 - 0.480583RealScores: 79.165591 - 75.688542

St Kilda 65 - 80 Hawthorn
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.368422 - 0.631578RealScores: 64.657593 - 80.069597

West Coast 87 - 75 Port Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.601175 - 0.398825RealScores: 87.064440 - 75.047512

WLD%
1
Richmond
13 (13.01)60136.8
2
Hawthorn
11 (11.30)80117.4
3
Geelong
11 (11.20)80116.1
4
Western Bulldogs
11 (11.23)80114.9
5
Collingwood
11 (10.64)80109.7
6
Greater Western Sydney
10 (10.30)90108.2
7
Port Adelaide
10 (10.38)90108.0
8
West Coast
10 (10.20)90106.4
9
Fremantle
10 (9.93)90104.1
10
Brisbane Lions
10 (9.86)90103.3
11
North Melbourne
9 (8.89)10096.0
12
St Kilda
9 (8.85)10094.6
13
Carlton
8 (8.46)11091.0
14
Sydney
8 (8.24)11090.1
15
Melbourne
8 (8.23)11089.7
16
Essendon
8 (7.65)11085.4
17
Adelaide
7 (7.47)12084.8
18
Gold Coast
5 (5.16)14067.9

Round 21

Brisbane Lions 92 - 79 West Coast
Gabba (QLD)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.608687 - 0.391313RealScores: 91.754069 - 78.752489

Carlton 60 - 88 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.270453 - 0.729547RealScores: 60.186483 - 87.774325

Collingwood 80 - 63 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.649183 - 0.350817RealScores: 80.117616 - 62.516279

Fremantle 84 - 67 St Kilda
Perth Stadium (WA)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.641759 - 0.358241RealScores: 83.671848 - 66.932766

Geelong 79 - 59 Greater Western Sydney
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.674047 - 0.325953RealScores: 79.343936 - 58.786913

Hawthorn 91 - 55 Adelaide
York Park (TAS)0.79 wins - 0.21 winsRealProbs: 0.790672 - 0.209328RealScores: 90.869220 - 54.649297

Port Adelaide 92 - 64 Essendon
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.730709 - 0.269291RealScores: 91.996792 - 64.254449

Sydney 92 - 59 Gold Coast
S.C.G. (NSW)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.770283 - 0.229717RealScores: 92.195509 - 58.978818

Western Bulldogs 89 - 75 North Melbourne
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.617145 - 0.382855RealScores: 89.385270 - 75.443211

WLD%
1
Richmond
14 (13.74)60137.2
2
Hawthorn
12 (12.10)80119.5
3
Geelong
12 (11.88)80116.9
4
Western Bulldogs
12 (11.85)80115.1
5
Collingwood
11 (11.29)90110.6
6
Port Adelaide
11 (11.11)90109.5
7
Greater Western Sydney
11 (10.62)90106.3
8
West Coast
11 (10.59)90105.2
9
Fremantle
11 (10.57)90105.0
10
Brisbane Lions
10 (10.47)100103.9
11
North Melbourne
9 (9.28)11095.3
12
St Kilda
9 (9.21)11093.9
13
Sydney
9 (9.01)11092.6
14
Carlton
9 (8.73)11089.8
15
Melbourne
9 (8.58)11089.1
16
Essendon
8 (7.92)12084.6
17
Adelaide
8 (7.68)12083.5
18
Gold Coast
5 (5.39)15067.7

Round 22

Adelaide 78 - 81 North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.495270 - 0.504730RealScores: 78.275431 - 80.622062

Essendon 78 - 74 Sydney
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.521943 - 0.478057RealScores: 77.940917 - 73.885696

Gold Coast 65 - 100 Brisbane Lions
Carrara (QLD)0.22 wins - 0.78 winsRealProbs: 0.220696 - 0.779304RealScores: 65.282562 - 100.005199

Greater Western Sydney 78 - 63 Fremantle
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.629737 - 0.370263RealScores: 78.209354 - 62.673253

Melbourne 74 - 77 Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.484444 - 0.515556RealScores: 74.025992 - 77.443726

Richmond 73 - 63 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.578626 - 0.421374RealScores: 72.551583 - 62.641501

St Kilda 68 - 81 Geelong
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.392264 - 0.607736RealScores: 67.633229 - 80.702996

West Coast 78 - 71 Collingwood
Perth Stadium (WA)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.554300 - 0.445700RealScores: 78.117340 - 70.765207

Western Bulldogs 90 - 73 Port Adelaide
Eureka Stadium (VIC)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.641486 - 0.358514RealScores: 90.382392 - 73.499300

WLD%
1
Richmond
14 (14.32)70136.2
2
Hawthorn
13 (12.52)80117.7
3
Geelong
12 (12.48)90117.0
4
Western Bulldogs
12 (12.49)90115.4
5
Collingwood
12 (11.73)90109.5
6
Port Adelaide
11 (11.47)100107.9
7
Greater Western Sydney
11 (11.25)100107.1
8
Brisbane Lions
11 (11.25)100105.9
9
West Coast
11 (11.14)100105.4
10
Fremantle
11 (10.94)100103.8
11
North Melbourne
10 (9.78)11095.7
12
St Kilda
10 (9.60)11093.4
13
Sydney
9 (9.49)12092.7
14
Carlton
9 (9.24)12090.5
15
Melbourne
9 (9.07)12089.4
16
Essendon
8 (8.44)13085.5
17
Adelaide
8 (8.17)13084.1
18
Gold Coast
6 (5.61)15067.6

Round 23

Brisbane Lions 97 - 67 Essendon
Gabba (QLD)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.742769 - 0.257231RealScores: 97.086019 - 67.326492

Carlton 77 - 78 St Kilda
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 77.391787 - 77.854305

Collingwood 96 - 49 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.85 wins - 0.15 winsRealProbs: 0.850199 - 0.149801RealScores: 95.777867 - 49.385064

Fremantle 67 - 75 Richmond
Perth Stadium (WA)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.440975 - 0.559025RealScores: 67.346287 - 75.374163

Geelong 94 - 55 Adelaide
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.811340 - 0.188660RealScores: 94.499220 - 54.654930

North Melbourne 86 - 69 Melbourne
Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.647322 - 0.352678RealScores: 86.497678 - 68.745390

Port Adelaide 80 - 68 Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.592047 - 0.407953RealScores: 79.807501 - 68.267872

Sydney 67 - 74 Hawthorn
S.C.G. (NSW)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.450538 - 0.549462RealScores: 66.845826 - 73.881369

Western Bulldogs 93 - 76 West Coast
Marvel Stadium (VIC)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.640101 - 0.359899RealScores: 92.978393 - 76.064123

WLD%
1
Richmond
15 (14.88)70135.0
2
Geelong
13 (13.30)90119.1
3
Hawthorn
13 (13.07)90117.4
4
Western Bulldogs
13 (13.13)90115.8
5
Collingwood
13 (12.59)90112.3
6
Port Adelaide
12 (12.06)100108.3
7
Brisbane Lions
12 (12.00)100107.4
8
Greater Western Sydney
12 (11.66)100106.0
9
West Coast
12 (11.50)100104.1
10
Fremantle
11 (11.38)110103.1
11
North Melbourne
10 (10.43)12096.9
12
St Kilda
10 (10.10)12093.7
13
Sydney
10 (9.94)12092.6
14
Carlton
10 (9.74)12090.9
15
Melbourne
9 (9.42)13088.9
16
Essendon
9 (8.70)13084.6
17
Adelaide
8 (8.36)14082.7
18
Gold Coast
6 (5.76)16066.8

FINALS: WEEK 1

Richmond 84 - 71 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)

Geelong 65 - 68 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)

Collingwood 74 - 62 Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)

Port Adelaide 88 - 77 Brisbane Lions
Adelaide Oval (SA)

FINALS: WEEK 2

Western Bulldogs 76 - 75 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)

Geelong 81 - 66 Port Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)

FINALS: WEEK 3

Richmond 75 - 63 Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)

Hawthorn 75 - 73 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)

2020 AFL GRAND FINAL

Hawthorn 63 - 72 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)

Note: Finals tips are an unreliable way to forecast the eventual premier. For a better method, see FLAGPOLE.

Tipping by SQUIGGLE4

SQUIGGLE FLAGPOLE

Flag height indicates a team's strength (venue-neutral), downscaled by their likelihood of missing finals. Use the top buttons to play through the season. For details, see INFO → Flagpole.

Flagpole Height
1Richmond60.8
2Hawthorn57.6
3Geelong57.5
4Western Bulldogs56.5
5Collingwood55.8
6Greater Western Sydney54.0
7Brisbane Lions53.9
8Port Adelaide53.8
9West Coast53.8
10Fremantle52.7
11North Melbourne52.3
12St Kilda50.9
13Carlton50.9
14Sydney49.8
15Melbourne49.5
16Essendon48.6
17Adelaide47.6
18Gold Coast43.2

REGULAR SEASON FORM

Teams ranked on their strength in normal matches, i.e. their squiggle scores.

AttackDefenceCombined
1Richmond55.066.660.8
2Hawthorn49.965.357.6
3Geelong51.163.857.5
4Western Bulldogs56.656.456.5
5Collingwood48.962.855.8
6Greater Western Sydney48.759.354.0
7Brisbane Lions54.653.353.9
8Port Adelaide51.655.953.8
9West Coast53.354.253.8
10Fremantle48.057.452.7
11North Melbourne50.554.252.3
12St Kilda49.352.650.9
13Carlton47.953.850.9
14Sydney46.753.049.8
15Melbourne46.652.349.5
16Essendon46.251.148.6
17Adelaide45.849.347.6
18Gold Coast40.445.943.2

EDIT SQUIGGLE

Oooh past

Oooh future

TODO:

(1) Allow for updating of FLAGPOLE

(2) Allow for updating of TOWER

(3) Allow for updating of TIPS

(4) Allow for modification of future games

(5) Allow for modification of past games

HOME TEAM:

vs

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