Squiggle 2025

INFO

What Squiggles are • How to play through a season • Prediction • FAQ • The Model • Flagpole

What Squiggles are

Squiggles are visualizations of AFL team performances, charting attack and defence over the course of a season.

Teams ⇡ high on the chart kick big scores. Teams on the ⇢ right keep their opposition to low scores. Teams in the ↗ upper-right do both. Teams in the ↙ lower-left do neither.

Squiggles are handy because:

They visualize different game styles. For example, Ross Lyon teams at their peak lurk on the right side of the chart about halfway up, since they keep their opposition to low scores without scoring highly themselves.
They provide interesting season replays, showing how teams rose or fell at different times of the year.
They minimize fixture bias by accounting for the difficulty of opponents (and venue).
They predict how the season will play out based on current likelihoods.

Squiggle is roughly as accurate as tipping the favourite every game. (Which is hard to beat!) Over a season, an informed, observant human should be able to beat it, but not by much. It will beat an average human tipper. You can review its accuracy by visiting the TIPS section of any year.

How to play through a season

To watch the evolution of a past season, use the top controls:

Rewind to the start of the season

Previous Round

Next Round

Reload

You can also:

Click a team name in the legend at the top to hide/show it.
Click a team flag to remove every other team.

For example, you might like to rewind, click Hawthorn's flag to remove all other teams, click Geelong's name in the legend to add it back in, then repeatedly step through the season to watch their dance of death.

To zoom in on an area, drag a box around it.

Prediction

Weekly Tips

Click TIPS at the top of the page. If a team beats the tipped scoreline—i.e. wins by more than predicted, loses by less than predicted, or records an upset win—it will generally move in a positive direction on the chart (i.e. more up-and-right than down-and-left), while if its result is worse, it will generally move in a negative direction.

You can view tips for previous rounds via the "History" link on the Tips page.

Season Predictor

This is how the ladder will look if Squiggle has correctly rated every team and nobody gets better or worse.

For the home & away season, it uses a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of tips. Both teams are awarded a win probability from each game, so that if Squiggle thinks Hawthorn is 68% likely to beat Collingwood, it will award the Hawks 0.68 wins and the Pies 0.32 wins, increasing both team's tally of "probable wins" by less than 1.

This is because if a team plays 10 games with 60% likelihood of winning each game, we should expect them to win about 6/10—not, as we would get if we tipped each game and tallied up the tips, 10/10. We know that upsets will happen; we just don't know when. A probabilitistic ladder accounts for the likelihood that teams will sometimes unexpectedly win or lose, even though we doesn't know when.

This can look like a bug in the predictor, if you see a team tipped to win a match that doesn't seem to be credited. For example, a team might be on "15 (14.7)" wins, which means 14.7 "probable wins" rounded off to 15. (Rounding occurs so that teams can be secondarily ranked by their percentage.) And then that team is tipped to win the following week, but it remains on 15 wins, now "15 (15.3)". What has happened is the number of probable wins hasn't risen by enough to be rounded to a higher number. It has earned 0.6 more probable wins, but this still rounds off to 15. The predictor is saying it's still most likely this team will be on 15 wins, after accounting for the likelihood that some of its tips will be wrong.

Finals matches are predicted using simple tips. However, this isn't a very reliable way of doing it, and not Squiggle's official Premier tip. For this, please see Flagpole.

Starting the season: Team starting positions are heavily influenced by their late-season performances the previous year, and the off-season is completely ignored. There is no adjustment made for recovery from injuries, or players gained or lost via the draft or trade table, or anything else. For example, Collingwood started 2015 rated very low due to their injury-plagued end to 2014, while Adelaide and West Coast started in good positions after solid late-2014 performances.

Interactive Season Predictor

Drag teams around the chart and make Squiggle predict the rest of the season based on the new positions! It's the best of both worlds: your footy insight plus Squiggle's ability to sensibly model a season.

Reposition teams to your heart's content, open up the Predictor and click RECALCULATE.

This also provides a shareable link to the generated squiggle, so you can show off your work to other people.

FAQ

What causes a team to move?

Teams move when they do better or worse than Squiggle expected.

The most important factor is the final scoreline. When a team scores more than Squiggle expected, they move ⇡ up; when they score less, they move move ⇣ down; when they hold their opposition to a lower score, they move ⇢; right; and when they allow their opposition to score more, they move ⇠ left.

Of course, usually two of these things happen at once, so they move on a diagonal:

↗ Scored more than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↘ Scored less than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↙ Scored less than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

↖ Scored more than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

How far a team moves depends on how different the result was from Squiggle's prediction. If the result was close to expectation, a team may barely budge. But an unexpected thrashing will cause a lot of movement.

Do teams get more movement against easy opposition?

No, because Squiggle expects better performances against weaker opponents, and to move to a better position, the team has to beat this expectation.

For the same reason, Squiggle isn't affected by fixture bias.

Can a team lose and still move into a better squiggle position?

Yes! Squiggle believes in honourable losses and shameful victories. If a team is expected to win by 10 goals but only prevails by 5, it will slide.

What factors are considered?

A team's rating is modified after each game by looking at:

Scores, obviously.
Scoring Shots: a team is rated more highly if they record more scoring shots.
Venue: teams are expected to perform better at venues with which they are more familiar.
Team Selections: teams are expected to perform better when they select more highly-rated players.
Stage of Season: team ratings are more fluid in the early part of each season.
Past Games: each new game is combined with past results.

Can a team beat the tipped result and still fall back on the chart?

Yes! Two factors can cause unusual chart movement:

Scoring Shots: where one team is much more accurate than the other. For example, in the opening match of 2018, Richmond won 17.19 (121) to Carlton 15.5 (95). Squiggle tipped a 29-point win, so normally the Tigers would slightly regress after winning by only 26 points. However, after factoring in the scoring shot disparity, Richmond's performance was rated more highly, and the Tigers moved positively on the chart.
Team Selections: where a team has significant ins/outs. For example, in the second match of 2018, Essendon defeated Adelaide by 12 points. This was very similar to Squiggle's expectation of a 7-point Essendon win, so normally neither team would move much. However, Adelaide selected a much weaker team than their previous game (the 2017 Grand Final); without this, Squiggle would have tipped Adelaide by 9 points. As a result, Essendon received less positive movement than they would have for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide. The Crows also saw negative movement, since the result was worse than what would have been expected from them given their previous rating.

How is home ground advantage determined?

As described in the Model section, home ground advantage in Squiggle 2.0 is generated from ground familiarity: How often the teams have played at the same ground and in the same state over the preceding 4 years (including the current season).

What are Squiggle's weaknesses?

Some quirks of Squiggle, which you may decide to compensate for as an intelligent human, include:

Squiggle doesn't consider a team's level of motivation, which seems to be fairly significant. Squiggle assumes all teams are trying equally hard at all times.
Squiggle doesn't consider the impact of weather. It may reward a team for having a good defence when in reality what was making it hard to score was torrential rain. This doesn't seem to happen often enough to throw anything too far out, but does occur from time to time.
Squiggle doesn't place any special value on wins. That is, it doesn't see much difference between a 1-point victory and a 1-point loss. It may thus underestimate a team that does "just enough," or is especially good at holding on in tight contests. Likewise, it may overestimate a team that regularly gets itself into winning positions against good teams but lacks the ability to close the games out.
Squiggle gets excited about very low-scoring games. The maths mean that if a team is expected to keep its opposition to 80 points, and it actually keeps them to 40, this is considered twice as good, while keeping them to 20 points is considered four times as good, and keeping them to 10 points is eight times as good. Those are some big multipliers: to be 8 times better than a predicted 80 points in terms of Attack, a team would need to score 640 points (80 x 8), which is a lot more than the all-time AFL record. This means it's significantly easier for a team to move rapidly rightwards on a squiggle than upwards.
The underlying model generates some inflation over the course of a season, which causes Squiggle to rate teams about 5-10% higher by the end of the year compared to the start. This seems useful for predictive purposes, as it allows for more movement leading into finals. However, it means that a team that doesn't actually change strength at all will be shown to slightly improve its chart position over the course of the season.

Why does the model use those values?

All the numbers used by Squiggle are that way because they worked best (i.e. made the most accurate predictions) when every possible combination was tested with a simulator replaying the last few decades.

How are the year's starting values calculated?

2015 starting positions are very similar to their end 2014 positions—the only difference is that 2013 data is no longer considered, so teams are modeled from the start of 2014 with each beginning on 50 ATTACK and 50 DEFENCE.

This means late-season 2014 results weigh quite heavily. For example, Collingwood had an injury-plagued end to 2014, and so is rated very low. Adelaide and West Coast, by contrast, finished the year with several solid performances, and so begin the year higher than you might expect.

What's with those crazy charts for the 1900s!?

Football scores were a lot lower a century ago, especially in the very early years, when single-digit scorelines abounded. Squiggle is calibrated for modern football, and thinks a game in which one team is held to a single goal (or no goals!) signifies an unbelievably good defensive effort. This causes teams to go shooting off to the right quite often in charts from the 1890s, 1900s and 1910s. So it's not a particularly good visualization of the strength of any particular team in that era. But it is interesting in terms of how different the whole league looks: how low and flat it is compared to today.

Similary, it can be interesting to look at where the mass of teams tends to sit in different decades; for example, how attacking the late 1980s was, with plenty of teams sitting high & centre/left compared to today.

The Model

The foundation of the Squiggle model is the OFFDEF engine, which rates teams separately in terms of attack and defense. Each team is initially assigned a starting value of 50 for each.

Scores are predicted for each match using the formula:

PREDICTED SCORE = 85 * TEAM ATTACK ÷ OPPOSITION DEFENCE

For example, in a match between a team with ATTACK 56 and an opposition with DEFENCE 50, the team is predicted to score: 85 * 56 ÷ 50 = 95 points.

Predicted scores are compared to the actual scores, and ATTACK and DEFENCE adjusted accordingly. For example, if a team scored more highly than predicted, its ATTACK score needs to be increased, since Squiggle underrated it. Likewise, the opposition's DEFENCE score should decrease, since they failed to restrict the team as well as predicted. This is done by calculating what these scores would have to have been to predict the result perfectly, then constructing a weighted average of this along with all other results.

At the start of a season, team starting points are calculated by doing the above for the previous season. For example, to calculate starting points for 2014, each team is assigned 50 to ATTACK and DEFENCE, then the 2013 season is played through.

The units are completely arbitrary, and entirely due to the choice of 50 as a starting value for each team's ATTACK and DEFENCE. They have no meaning except when comparing teams to each other.

Several other filters and algorithms are used to manipulate scores produced by the OFFDEF engine, including venue (for home ground advantage), round number, team selections, and scoring shots.

Home Ground Advantage

Teams are compared based on the number of times they've played at the venue and in the same state.

Tip Probability

When determining "probable wins" in the Season Predictor, an algorithm is used that reflects the actual accuracy of Squiggle tips vs real-life results. Three factors affect the likelihood of a tip being correct:

Margin: The greater the predicted margin, the more likely the tip is to be correct.
Round Number: Games that occur later in the season are a little more likely to be tipped correctly.
Weeks Until Game: Games that are weeks or months in the future are a little less likely to be tipped correctly.

Model Versions

Squiggle v1 used the algorithm ISTATE-91:12, in which 12 points of Home Ground Advantage is awarded to the home team in interstate games only, and each new game forms 9% of the team's new rating (with previous games forming 91%). Follow this link for Squiggles generated under the v1 algorithm.

Squiggle 2.0 made several changes in 2018:

Greater sensitivity in early rounds to better captures the sometimes substantial form changes that occur over an off-season.
Factor in goalkicking accuracy, by discounting scores that resulted from unusually high accuracy (i.e. kicking many more goals than behinds), and padding scores that resulted from unusually low accuracy, since these tend to be non-reproducible.
Generate home ground advantage from a ground familiarity algorithm.

Squiggle4 added Ins/Out awareness in mid-2018, so it can adjust predictions based on team selection.

Squiggle5 moved to a more crowd-based model of home ground advantage in 2020.

To compare Squiggle's performance to other computer models, see the Squiggle Models Leaderboard.

Flagpole

Flagpole is currently a combined strength rating of each team, downgraded by its likelihood of missing finals.

For example, if two teams are currently have the same combined OFFENCE and DEFENCE, but one is certain of making finals while the other has a 25% chance of missing, the latter's will Flagpole will be 75% of the height of the former.

Generated: Fri Apr 4 06:07:25 2025 (R4)

Tower of Power shows how likely teams are (or were) to finish the Home & Away season in various ladder positions, according to squiggle simulations.

At the start of a season, with many games remaining and uncertainty about the strength of each team, there are long strips, as teams could plausibly finish in many different places. Later, they flatten out, as the range of likely finishes shrinks.

Use the top player controls to watch changes throughout a season:

Some creative license is taken for the purposes of visual appeal, which is why final ladder positions appear somewhat diagonal.

* If the round number is marked with an asterisk, the Tower is generated from fewer simulations in order to provide a faster result.

FINALS CHANCES

		Minor Premier	Top 4	Top 8	Bottom 4	Spoon

MODE LADDER

			Likelihood	If not, then...

A Mode Ladder may be useful in the last round or two of a season, since it focuses on the most likely exact finishing position for teams, rather than averaging a range of possibilities. For example, after Round 22, 2017 with one round to go, Richmond were highly likely to finish either 3rd or 6th. Normally this would be averaged out to a prediction of about 4th -- even though the Tigers couldn't possibly finish there. The Mode Ladder avoids this problem.

A Mode Ladder is less useful than other forecasting methods until very late in the season, since until then there are too many possible final ladder combinations.

2025 ROUND 4 TIPS

Collingwood 91 - 65 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)
HGA: +1.3 pts
Ins/Outs: +7.3 pts

Fremantle 84 - 75 Western Bulldogs
Perth Stadium (WA)
HGA: +12.5 pts
Ins/Outs: +5.3 pts

Geelong Geelong 101 - 71 Melbourne
Kardinia Park (Gee)
HGA: Geelong +7.6 pts
Ins/Outs: +0.7 pts

Gold Coast 92 - 82 Adelaide
Carrara (QLD)
HGA: +4.4 pts
Ins/Outs: +2.1 pts

Greater Western Sydney 101 - 58 West Coast
Sydney Showground (NSW)
HGA: +6.6 pts
Ins/Outs: +6.7 pts

North Melbourne 77 - 88 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)
HGA: +6.6 pts
Ins/Outs: +1.1 pts

Port Adelaide 82 - 83 St Kilda
Adelaide Oval (SA)
HGA: +9.2 pts
Ins/Outs: +2.5 pts

Richmond 63 - 110 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)
HGA: +7.6 pts
Ins/Outs: +2.8 pts

Algorithm: SQUIGGLE7
Tips after Round 3: 21

History...

In 2025, algorithm SQUIGGLE7 correctly tipped 22 games at an accuracy of 78.57%.

Draws are counted as correct tips. Historically, Squiggle employed the ISTATE-91:12 algorithm from 2013-2017, the SQUIGGLE2 algorithm for the first 12 rounds of 2018, and SQUIGGLE4 thereafter. To view historical tips from Squiggle (and other models) irrespective of the algorithm, see the Squiggle API or the models leaderboard.

Round 0

Greater Western Sydney (104) defeated Collingwood (52) at Sydney Showground (NSW) [Greater Western Sydney by 52) Collingwood by 2
Sydney (76) lost to Hawthorn (96) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Hawthorn by 20) Hawthorn by 10

Round 1

Adelaide (135) defeated St Kilda (72) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Adelaide by 63) Adelaide by 30
Collingwood (136) defeated Port Adelaide (45) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 91) Collingwood by 9
Geelong (147) defeated Fremantle (69) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 78) Geelong by 9
Hawthorn (111) defeated Essendon (85) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 26) Hawthorn by 35
Melbourne (74) lost to Greater Western Sydney (77) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Greater Western Sydney by 3) Melbourne by 10
Richmond (82) defeated Carlton (69) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Richmond by 13) Carlton by 50
Sydney (82) lost to Brisbane Lions (86) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Brisbane Lions by 4) Brisbane Lions by 14
West Coast (49) lost to Gold Coast (136) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Gold Coast by 87) Gold Coast by 5
Western Bulldogs (113) defeated North Melbourne (97) at Docklands (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 16) Western Bulldogs by 21

Round 2

Brisbane Lions (94) defeated West Coast (75) at Gabba (QLD) [Brisbane Lions by 19) Brisbane Lions by 52
Carlton (60) lost to Hawthorn (80) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 20) Hawthorn by 15
Essendon (100) lost to Adelaide (161) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Adelaide by 61) Adelaide by 5
Fremantle (65) lost to Sydney (68) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Sydney by 3) Fremantle by 12
North Melbourne (125) defeated Melbourne (66) at Docklands (VIC) [North Melbourne by 59) Melbourne by 16
Port Adelaide (140) defeated Richmond (68) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Port Adelaide by 72) Port Adelaide by 34
St Kilda (98) defeated Geelong (91) at Docklands (VIC) [St Kilda by 7) Geelong by 15
Western Bulldogs (70) lost to Collingwood (76) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 6) Collingwood by 14

Round 3

Adelaide (114) defeated North Melbourne (78) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Adelaide by 36) Adelaide by 34
Brisbane Lions (70) defeated Geelong (61) at Gabba (QLD) [Brisbane Lions by 9) Brisbane Lions by 0
Carlton (75) lost to Western Bulldogs (83) at Docklands (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 8) Western Bulldogs by 9
Essendon (72) defeated Port Adelaide (60) at Docklands (VIC) [Essendon by 12) Essendon by 7
Hawthorn (76) defeated Greater Western Sydney (64) at York Park (TAS) [Hawthorn by 12) Hawthorn by 0
Melbourne (62) lost to Gold Coast (120) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Gold Coast by 58) Gold Coast by 10
St Kilda (135) defeated Richmond (53) at Docklands (VIC) [St Kilda by 82) St Kilda by 27
West Coast (68) lost to Fremantle (106) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Fremantle by 38) Fremantle by 19

Round 4

Collingwood (63) defeated Carlton (46) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 17) Collingwood by 25

Round 5

Round 6

Round 7

Round 8

Round 9

Round 10

Round 11

Round 12

Round 13

Round 14

Round 15

Round 16

Round 17

Round 18

Round 19

Round 20

Round 21

Round 22

Round 23

Round 24

Elimination Final

Semi-Final

Preliminary Final

Grand Final

SLIDING DOORS

On average, how much of a team's final score is due to luck?

SEASON PREDICTOR

Recalculate

		Wins	%
1	Hawthorn	15.6	122.8%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
2	Collingwood	14.9	124.7%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
3	Gold Coast	14.9	129.1%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
4	Adelaide	14.8	122.3%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
5	Geelong	14.4	132.0%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
6	Brisbane Lions	14.6	115.3%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
7	Western Bulldogs	13.0	110.1%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
8	Greater Western Sydney	12.6	108.8%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
9	Sydney	12.3	109.0%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
10	St Kilda	11.9	102.0%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
11	Fremantle	11.5	102.3%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
12	Essendon	9.7	89.5%	3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
13	Port Adelaide	9.4	89.2%	4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
14	Carlton	9.0	94.6%	4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
15	North Melbourne	9.1	90.0%	4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
16	Melbourne	8.3	83.9%	6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
17	West Coast	6.1	70.9%	10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
18	Richmond	4.9	60.7%	12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Home & Away...

How Prediction Works

This is a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of squiggle tips. Sometimes a team will be tipped to win but not seem to be credited for it: this is because the predictor considers the likelihood of upsets. For details, click INFO → Prediction at the top of this page.

Round 4

Fremantle 84 - 75 Western Bulldogs
Perth Stadium (WA)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.601142 - 0.398858RealScores: 84.430237 - 74.612751

Geelong Geelong 101 - 71 Melbourne
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.79 wins - 0.21 winsRealProbs: 0.794956 - 0.205044RealScores: 101.340221 - 71.328217

Gold Coast 92 - 82 Adelaide
Carrara (QLD)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.613289 - 0.386711RealScores: 92.474988 - 81.539301

Greater Western Sydney 101 - 58 West Coast
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.88 wins - 0.12 winsRealProbs: 0.878356 - 0.121644RealScores: 100.648295 - 58.091388

North Melbourne 77 - 88 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.384906 - 0.615094RealScores: 77.389934 - 88.491700

Port Adelaide 82 - 83 St Kilda
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 82.651315 - 82.661900

Richmond 63 - 110 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.10 wins - 0.90 winsRealProbs: 0.097848 - 0.902152RealScores: 62.877715 - 109.728584

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	4 (3.85)	0	128.1
2	Hawthorn	4 (4.00)	0	127.4
3	Gold Coast	3 (2.59)	0	181.0
4	Adelaide	3 (3.41)	1	143.5
5	Greater Western Sydney	3 (2.82)	1	132.9
6	Collingwood	3 (3.00)	1	123.4
7	St Kilda	3 (2.50)	1	107.2
8	Geelong	2 (1.74)	2	129.8
9	Western Bulldogs	2 (2.42)	2	102.5
10	Sydney	2 (1.59)	2	96.9
11	Fremantle	2 (1.58)	2	90.7
12	North Melbourne	1 (1.41)	3	98.9
13	Port Adelaide	1 (1.50)	3	91.4
14	Essendon	1 (1.00)	2	77.4
15	Richmond	1 (1.15)	3	58.6
16	Carlton	0 (0.00)	4	81.2
17	Melbourne	0 (0.26)	4	64.6
18	West Coast	0 (0.18)	4	57.3

Round 5

Adelaide 93 - 92 Geelong Geelong
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.501647 - 0.498353RealScores: 92.278503 - 92.104532

Carlton Carlton 88 - 65 West Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.738555 - 0.261445RealScores: 88.486086 - 65.234717

Collingwood 84 - 74 Sydney Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.605178 - 0.394822RealScores: 83.842164 - 73.652958

Melbourne 81 - 83 Essendon
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.483760 - 0.516240RealScores: 81.244369 - 82.932270

North Melbourne 74 - 99 Gold Coast
Barossa Park (SA)0.24 wins - 0.76 winsRealProbs: 0.240326 - 0.759674RealScores: 73.766848 - 99.420122

Port Adelaide 71 - 85 Hawthorn
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.353462 - 0.646538RealScores: 70.912220 - 84.924911

Richmond 67 - 105 Fremantle
Barossa Park (SA)0.15 wins - 0.85 winsRealProbs: 0.148015 - 0.851985RealScores: 67.193508 - 105.390761

St Kilda 77 - 80 Greater Western Sydney
Norwood Oval (SA)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.470448 - 0.529552RealScores: 77.026617 - 80.055565

Western Bulldogs 74 - 82 Brisbane Lions
Norwood Oval (SA)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.424638 - 0.575362RealScores: 74.078820 - 81.507737

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	5 (4.62)	0	125.9
2	Adelaide	4 (3.91)	1	134.3
3	Brisbane Lions	4 (4.41)	1	124.3
4	Collingwood	4 (3.59)	1	121.3
5	Gold Coast	3 (3.31)	1	168.2
6	Greater Western Sydney	3 (3.34)	2	126.3
7	St Kilda	3 (2.98)	2	105.2
8	Western Bulldogs	3 (2.85)	2	100.2
9	Geelong	2 (2.24)	3	122.9
10	Fremantle	2 (2.38)	3	101.2
11	Sydney	2 (2.01)	3	95.1
12	North Melbourne	2 (1.69)	3	93.8
13	Port Adelaide	2 (1.88)	3	89.9
14	Essendon	2 (1.51)	2	82.3
15	Carlton	1 (0.70)	4	90.7
16	Melbourne	1 (0.75)	4	70.0
17	Richmond	1 (1.35)	4	59.6
18	West Coast	0 (0.48)	5	60.0

Round 6

Adelaide 96 - 80 Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.664007 - 0.335993RealScores: 96.073571 - 80.413553

Brisbane Lions 78 - 74 Collingwood
Gabba (QLD)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.538370 - 0.461630RealScores: 78.243382 - 74.344290

Geelong Geelong 81 - 82 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 81.166976 - 81.177562

Melbourne 77 - 79 Fremantle
M.C.G. (VIC)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.481701 - 0.518299RealScores: 76.738468 - 78.636113

North Melbourne 77 - 84 Carlton Carlton
Docklands (VIC)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.427238 - 0.572762RealScores: 77.067570 - 84.253332

Richmond 64 - 114 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.08 wins - 0.92 winsRealProbs: 0.082389 - 0.917611RealScores: 63.894811 - 113.733332

Sydney Sydney 88 - 70 Port Adelaide
S.C.G. (NSW)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.690594 - 0.309406RealScores: 87.974655 - 69.732770

West Coast 80 - 93 Essendon
Perth Stadium (WA)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.365576 - 0.634424RealScores: 79.677837 - 92.563425

Western Bulldogs 83 - 75 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.579224 - 0.420776RealScores: 82.974031 - 75.184862

		W	L	%
1	Adelaide	5 (4.55)	1	132.0
2	Hawthorn	5 (5.12)	1	121.1
3	Brisbane Lions	5 (4.94)	1	121.0
4	Gold Coast	4 (4.18)	1	170.1
5	Greater Western Sydney	4 (3.71)	2	116.8
6	Collingwood	4 (4.06)	2	116.4
7	Geelong	3 (2.74)	3	119.1
8	St Kilda	3 (3.41)	3	102.9
9	Western Bulldogs	3 (3.42)	3	101.7
10	Fremantle	3 (2.90)	3	101.4
11	Sydney	3 (2.67)	3	99.6
12	North Melbourne	2 (2.13)	4	93.5
13	Port Adelaide	2 (2.22)	4	88.1
14	Essendon	2 (2.12)	3	87.7
15	Carlton	1 (1.26)	5	93.9
16	Melbourne	1 (1.24)	5	73.7
17	West Coast	1 (0.87)	5	63.9
18	Richmond	1 (1.48)	5	59.0

Round 7

Carlton Carlton 71 - 88 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.326968 - 0.673032RealScores: 71.089015 - 87.613838

Collingwood 97 - 72 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.753113 - 0.246887RealScores: 97.195055 - 72.303005

Fremantle 89 - 88 Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.504027 - 0.495973RealScores: 88.572254 - 88.147935

Gold Coast 86 - 72 Sydney Sydney
Carrara (QLD)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.647861 - 0.352139RealScores: 86.194721 - 72.058303

Greater Western Sydney 82 - 78 Western Bulldogs
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.537604 - 0.462396RealScores: 82.212321 - 78.388262

Hawthorn 107 - 58 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.92 wins - 0.08 winsRealProbs: 0.915017 - 0.084983RealScores: 107.069113 - 57.743199

Melbourne 97 - 67 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.79 wins - 0.21 winsRealProbs: 0.792761 - 0.207239RealScores: 97.088738 - 67.361928

Port Adelaide 92 - 77 North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.648516 - 0.351484RealScores: 91.657067 - 77.459277

St Kilda 72 - 80 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.416718 - 0.583282RealScores: 72.251691 - 80.418259

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	6 (5.99)	1	128.6
2	Brisbane Lions	6 (5.52)	1	119.6
3	Gold Coast	5 (4.80)	1	161.0
4	Adelaide	5 (5.05)	2	127.3
5	Collingwood	5 (4.77)	2	119.0
6	Greater Western Sydney	4 (4.24)	3	115.0
7	St Kilda	4 (3.84)	3	101.2
8	Western Bulldogs	4 (3.89)	3	100.8
9	Geelong	3 (3.39)	4	119.6
10	Fremantle	3 (3.40)	4	101.2
11	Sydney	3 (3.04)	4	97.2
12	Port Adelaide	3 (2.85)	4	91.9
13	North Melbourne	2 (2.50)	5	92.2
14	Carlton	2 (1.61)	5	91.8
15	Essendon	2 (2.41)	4	85.5
16	Melbourne	2 (1.99)	5	81.0
17	Richmond	2 (1.73)	5	60.3
18	West Coast	1 (1.00)	6	62.5

Round 8

Adelaide 95 - 72 Carlton Carlton
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.732222 - 0.267778RealScores: 94.769624 - 72.212528

Brisbane Lions 78 - 76 Gold Coast
Gabba (QLD)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.516992 - 0.483008RealScores: 77.569579 - 75.804986

Collingwood 84 - 81 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.533541 - 0.466459RealScores: 84.096980 - 80.672683

Essendon 94 - 87 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.567818 - 0.432182RealScores: 93.990606 - 87.268958

Hawthorn 115 - 59 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.95 wins - 0.05 winsRealProbs: 0.947562 - 0.052438RealScores: 115.220380 - 59.113894

St Kilda 82 - 75 Fremantle
Docklands (VIC)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.568965 - 0.431035RealScores: 81.890985 - 75.061438

Sydney Sydney 81 - 78 Greater Western Sydney
S.C.G. (NSW)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.532099 - 0.467901RealScores: 81.055242 - 77.773543

West Coast 74 - 83 Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)0.40 wins - 0.60 winsRealProbs: 0.401222 - 0.598778RealScores: 73.886983 - 83.486624

Western Bulldogs 90 - 70 Port Adelaide
Eureka Stadium (VIC)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.704298 - 0.295702RealScores: 89.548517 - 69.928554

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	7 (6.90)	1	135.6
2	Adelaide	6 (5.74)	2	127.7
3	Brisbane Lions	6 (6.03)	2	117.3
4	Gold Coast	5 (5.29)	2	150.8
5	Collingwood	5 (5.30)	3	117.0
6	Greater Western Sydney	5 (4.71)	3	112.4
7	Western Bulldogs	5 (4.57)	3	103.8
8	Geelong	4 (3.86)	4	116.5
9	St Kilda	4 (4.40)	4	102.0
10	Fremantle	4 (3.83)	4	100.1
11	Sydney	4 (3.57)	4	98.0
12	North Melbourne	3 (2.94)	5	92.3
13	Port Adelaide	3 (3.17)	5	90.2
14	Essendon	3 (2.97)	4	88.4
15	Melbourne	3 (2.57)	5	84.3
16	Carlton	2 (1.91)	6	89.5
17	Richmond	2 (1.83)	6	59.1
18	West Coast	1 (1.41)	7	65.2

Round 9

Essendon 81 - 88 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.419382 - 0.580618RealScores: 80.530013 - 88.448983

Fremantle 77 - 82 Collingwood
Perth Stadium (WA)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.444243 - 0.555757RealScores: 76.573187 - 82.152306

Geelong Geelong 95 - 73 Greater Western Sydney
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.727460 - 0.272540RealScores: 94.639364 - 72.596877

Gold Coast 86 - 74 Western Bulldogs
Marrara Oval (NT)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.618850 - 0.381150RealScores: 85.728416 - 74.280790

Melbourne 65 - 88 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.265462 - 0.734538RealScores: 65.379118 - 88.188826

North Melbourne 72 - 96 Brisbane Lions
Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.248496 - 0.751504RealScores: 71.767942 - 96.475345

Port Adelaide 79 - 97 Adelaide
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.311143 - 0.688857RealScores: 78.815673 - 96.885464

Richmond 82 - 84 West Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.479000 - 0.521000RealScores: 82.449071 - 84.478324

St Kilda 75 - 72 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.530223 - 0.469777RealScores: 75.435808 - 72.474875

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	8 (7.60)	1	135.6
2	Brisbane Lions	7 (6.75)	2	119.2
3	Gold Coast	6 (5.90)	2	146.1
4	Adelaide	6 (6.41)	3	127.2
5	Collingwood	6 (5.85)	3	115.8
6	Geelong	5 (4.56)	4	117.9
7	Greater Western Sydney	5 (5.01)	4	107.5
8	St Kilda	5 (4.92)	4	102.2
9	Western Bulldogs	5 (4.96)	4	101.8
10	Sydney	4 (4.14)	5	99.3
11	Fremantle	4 (4.28)	5	99.3
12	Port Adelaide	4 (3.51)	5	89.1
13	North Melbourne	3 (3.22)	6	90.3
14	Essendon	3 (3.40)	5	88.7
15	Melbourne	3 (2.87)	6	83.2
16	Carlton	2 (2.39)	7	90.2
17	West Coast	2 (1.92)	7	68.6
18	Richmond	2 (2.31)	7	62.5

Round 10

Brisbane Lions 90 - 62 Melbourne
Gabba (QLD)0.78 wins - 0.22 winsRealProbs: 0.784889 - 0.215111RealScores: 90.419715 - 61.699926

Collingwood 95 - 79 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.668920 - 0.331080RealScores: 95.349520 - 79.220076

Gold Coast 78 - 77 Hawthorn
Marrara Oval (NT)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.513944 - 0.486056RealScores: 77.846900 - 76.679148

Greater Western Sydney 85 - 75 Fremantle
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.608125 - 0.391875RealScores: 85.029591 - 74.569124

Port Adelaide 75 - 92 Geelong Geelong
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.32 wins - 0.68 winsRealProbs: 0.321618 - 0.678382RealScores: 75.067360 - 92.110121

Richmond 77 - 104 North Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.23 wins - 0.77 winsRealProbs: 0.225662 - 0.774338RealScores: 76.835460 - 104.243767

Sydney Sydney 83 - 67 Carlton Carlton
S.C.G. (NSW)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.663791 - 0.336209RealScores: 82.814310 - 67.174844

West Coast 72 - 89 St Kilda
Perth Stadium (WA)0.32 wins - 0.68 winsRealProbs: 0.316631 - 0.683369RealScores: 71.891073 - 89.420544

Western Bulldogs 93 - 78 Essendon
Docklands (VIC)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.660136 - 0.339864RealScores: 93.083539 - 77.791267

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	8 (8.09)	2	131.4
2	Adelaide	7 (6.76)	3	122.2
3	Brisbane Lions	7 (7.49)	3	121.6
4	Collingwood	7 (6.50)	3	116.3
5	Gold Coast	6 (6.41)	3	140.6
6	Greater Western Sydney	6 (5.61)	4	108.1
7	St Kilda	6 (5.58)	4	104.2
8	Western Bulldogs	6 (5.60)	4	103.5
9	Geelong	5 (5.21)	5	118.4
10	Sydney	5 (4.78)	5	101.4
11	Fremantle	5 (4.68)	5	98.1
12	North Melbourne	4 (3.96)	6	94.0
13	Port Adelaide	4 (3.85)	6	88.3
14	Essendon	4 (3.76)	5	88.1
15	Carlton	3 (2.74)	7	89.2
16	Melbourne	3 (3.13)	7	81.7
17	Richmond	3 (2.57)	7	63.6
18	West Coast	2 (2.26)	8	69.7

Round 11

Adelaide 119 - 65 West Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.94 wins - 0.06 winsRealProbs: 0.936687 - 0.063313RealScores: 119.186285 - 65.431418

Carlton Carlton 76 - 75 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.512750 - 0.487250RealScores: 75.757606 - 74.848190

Essendon 108 - 72 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.840782 - 0.159218RealScores: 108.352097 - 71.889606

Fremantle 89 - 69 Port Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.703857 - 0.296143RealScores: 88.776886 - 69.201912

Geelong Geelong 94 - 75 Western Bulldogs
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.699863 - 0.300137RealScores: 93.689408 - 74.519520

Hawthorn 79 - 71 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.584905 - 0.415095RealScores: 79.326739 - 71.010098

Melbourne 73 - 82 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.40 wins - 0.60 winsRealProbs: 0.399143 - 0.600857RealScores: 72.708555 - 82.499849

North Melbourne 72 - 100 Collingwood
Docklands (VIC)0.22 wins - 0.78 winsRealProbs: 0.219799 - 0.780201RealScores: 72.171451 - 100.303275

St Kilda 74 - 83 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.40 wins - 0.60 winsRealProbs: 0.401322 - 0.598678RealScores: 73.737102 - 83.327549

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	9 (8.67)	2	129.6
2	Adelaide	8 (7.66)	3	126.5
3	Brisbane Lions	8 (7.91)	3	118.4
4	Gold Coast	7 (7.00)	3	137.8
5	Collingwood	7 (7.25)	4	118.4
6	Geelong	6 (5.89)	5	119.0
7	Greater Western Sydney	6 (6.11)	5	107.3
8	St Kilda	6 (5.99)	5	102.7
9	Western Bulldogs	6 (5.93)	5	101.0
10	Sydney	5 (5.38)	6	102.4
11	Fremantle	5 (5.36)	6	100.4
12	Essendon	5 (4.56)	5	93.0
13	North Melbourne	4 (4.22)	7	91.9
14	Port Adelaide	4 (4.17)	7	87.4
15	Melbourne	4 (3.53)	7	82.2
16	Carlton	3 (3.25)	8	90.3
17	Richmond	3 (2.77)	8	63.8
18	West Coast	2 (2.37)	9	68.1

Round 12

Brisbane Lions 97 - 69 Essendon
Gabba (QLD)0.78 wins - 0.22 winsRealProbs: 0.781105 - 0.218895RealScores: 96.826096 - 68.581511

Collingwood 78 - 76 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.526904 - 0.473096RealScores: 77.954414 - 75.769379

Gold Coast 90 - 69 Fremantle
Carrara (QLD)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.715137 - 0.284863RealScores: 90.097769 - 69.360048

Greater Western Sydney 114 - 60 Richmond
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.94 wins - 0.06 winsRealProbs: 0.938913 - 0.061087RealScores: 114.140703 - 59.911778

Melbourne 72 - 81 St Kilda
Traeger Park (NT)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.407331 - 0.592669RealScores: 71.886898 - 80.875493

Sydney Sydney 89 - 87 Adelaide
S.C.G. (NSW)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.526893 - 0.473107RealScores: 88.906887 - 86.722987

West Coast 69 - 108 Geelong Geelong
Perth Stadium (WA)0.14 wins - 0.86 winsRealProbs: 0.144596 - 0.855404RealScores: 69.100377 - 107.840648

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	9 (9.15)	3	126.6
2	Brisbane Lions	9 (8.66)	3	120.2
3	Gold Coast	8 (7.68)	3	137.1
4	Adelaide	8 (8.14)	4	124.0
5	Collingwood	8 (7.76)	4	117.0
6	Geelong	7 (6.70)	5	121.8
7	Greater Western Sydney	7 (7.01)	5	112.8
8	St Kilda	7 (6.58)	5	103.4
9	Sydney	6 (5.90)	6	102.4
10	Western Bulldogs	6 (5.93)	5	101.0
11	Fremantle	6 (5.67)	6	98.3
12	Essendon	5 (4.81)	6	90.9
13	North Melbourne	4 (4.22)	7	91.9
14	Port Adelaide	4 (4.17)	7	87.4
15	Melbourne	4 (3.95)	8	82.7
16	Carlton	3 (3.25)	8	90.3
17	West Coast	3 (2.55)	9	67.7
18	Richmond	3 (2.87)	9	62.8

Round 13

Adelaide 88 - 83 Brisbane Lions
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.560885 - 0.439115RealScores: 88.065965 - 82.561893

Carlton Carlton 82 - 77 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.552306 - 0.447694RealScores: 81.948904 - 77.325379

Geelong Geelong 91 - 75 Gold Coast
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.664004 - 0.335996RealScores: 90.647021 - 74.987220

Greater Western Sydney 88 - 70 Port Adelaide
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.689717 - 0.310283RealScores: 88.241019 - 70.086068

Melbourne 65 - 91 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.24 wins - 0.76 winsRealProbs: 0.243866 - 0.756134RealScores: 65.341004 - 90.581739

North Melbourne 95 - 79 West Coast
Hands Oval (WA)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.664221 - 0.335779RealScores: 94.552075 - 78.871641

Richmond 66 - 108 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.12 wins - 0.88 winsRealProbs: 0.124510 - 0.875490RealScores: 65.799305 - 107.862840

Western Bulldogs 74 - 83 Hawthorn
Docklands (VIC)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.407231 - 0.592769RealScores: 74.011147 - 82.862353

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	10 (9.73)	3	125.4
2	Adelaide	9 (8.69)	4	122.6
3	Brisbane Lions	9 (9.11)	4	117.7
4	Gold Coast	8 (8.04)	4	131.4
5	Collingwood	8 (8.49)	5	118.5
6	Greater Western Sydney	8 (7.67)	5	113.8
7	Geelong	7 (7.35)	6	121.7
8	Sydney	7 (6.73)	6	106.4
9	St Kilda	7 (6.58)	5	103.4
10	Western Bulldogs	6 (6.34)	6	100.0
11	Fremantle	6 (5.67)	6	98.3
12	North Melbourne	5 (4.86)	7	93.9
13	Essendon	5 (5.27)	7	91.1
14	Port Adelaide	5 (4.51)	7	86.7
15	Carlton	4 (3.79)	8	91.5
16	Melbourne	4 (4.22)	9	81.9
17	West Coast	3 (2.90)	10	68.9
18	Richmond	3 (3.03)	10	62.7

Round 14

Brisbane Lions 86 - 69 Greater Western Sydney
Gabba (QLD)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.681374 - 0.318626RealScores: 86.000180 - 68.665964

Essendon 78 - 101 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.26 wins - 0.74 winsRealProbs: 0.257093 - 0.742907RealScores: 77.678292 - 101.413369

Hawthorn 91 - 81 Adelaide
York Park (TAS)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.600280 - 0.399720RealScores: 90.750518 - 81.232778

North Melbourne 76 - 96 Fremantle
Perth Stadium (WA)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.289493 - 0.710507RealScores: 75.698047 - 95.955092

Port Adelaide 83 - 70 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.638084 - 0.361916RealScores: 83.203705 - 69.978572

St Kilda 76 - 82 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.428921 - 0.571079RealScores: 75.863260 - 82.295633

West Coast 70 - 84 Carlton Carlton
Perth Stadium (WA)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.349098 - 0.650902RealScores: 69.649702 - 84.071102

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	10 (10.32)	4	124.3
2	Brisbane Lions	10 (9.77)	4	118.2
3	Adelaide	9 (9.10)	5	120.1
4	Gold Coast	8 (8.04)	4	131.4
5	Geelong	8 (8.06)	6	122.3
6	Collingwood	8 (8.49)	5	118.5
7	Greater Western Sydney	8 (8.01)	6	111.0
8	Sydney	7 (6.73)	6	106.4
9	St Kilda	7 (7.02)	6	102.6
10	Western Bulldogs	7 (6.90)	6	100.6
11	Fremantle	6 (6.36)	7	100.3
12	Essendon	6 (5.56)	7	89.9
13	North Melbourne	5 (5.18)	8	92.7
14	Port Adelaide	5 (5.13)	8	88.7
15	Melbourne	5 (4.60)	9	82.0
16	Carlton	4 (4.43)	9	93.6
17	West Coast	3 (3.27)	11	69.7
18	Richmond	3 (3.03)	10	62.7

Round 15

Carlton Carlton 87 - 74 North Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.628643 - 0.371357RealScores: 86.835847 - 74.485054

Collingwood 87 - 69 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.682048 - 0.317952RealScores: 86.876066 - 69.475907

Fremantle 94 - 75 Essendon
Perth Stadium (WA)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.700006 - 0.299994RealScores: 94.234563 - 75.050247

Geelong Geelong 89 - 72 Brisbane Lions
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.671886 - 0.328114RealScores: 88.782221 - 72.367853

Greater Western Sydney 77 - 82 Gold Coast
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.443021 - 0.556979RealScores: 77.104651 - 81.967970

Port Adelaide 77 - 81 Sydney Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.446423 - 0.553577RealScores: 76.595233 - 81.112192

Western Bulldogs 114 - 62 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.93 wins - 0.07 winsRealProbs: 0.930867 - 0.069133RealScores: 114.086027 - 61.553712

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	10 (10.32)	4	124.3
2	Brisbane Lions	10 (10.12)	5	115.3
3	Gold Coast	9 (8.58)	4	129.3
4	Geelong	9 (8.71)	6	122.3
5	Adelaide	9 (9.10)	5	120.1
6	Collingwood	9 (9.15)	5	119.0
7	Greater Western Sydney	8 (8.47)	7	109.8
8	Western Bulldogs	8 (7.80)	6	105.3
9	Sydney	7 (7.28)	7	106.4
10	Fremantle	7 (7.03)	7	102.0
11	St Kilda	7 (7.36)	7	100.9
12	North Melbourne	6 (5.56)	8	92.2
13	Essendon	6 (5.88)	8	89.2
14	Port Adelaide	6 (5.59)	8	89.1
15	Carlton	5 (5.04)	9	95.1
16	Melbourne	5 (4.60)	9	82.0
17	West Coast	3 (3.27)	11	69.7
18	Richmond	3 (3.14)	11	62.0

Round 16

Collingwood 112 - 56 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.95 wins - 0.05 winsRealProbs: 0.947114 - 0.052886RealScores: 111.696664 - 55.688819

Fremantle 85 - 72 St Kilda
Perth Stadium (WA)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.637876 - 0.362124RealScores: 85.079116 - 71.873307

Gold Coast 94 - 63 Melbourne
Carrara (QLD)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.799349 - 0.200651RealScores: 93.582704 - 62.993624

Hawthorn 101 - 69 North Melbourne
York Park (TAS)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.805512 - 0.194488RealScores: 100.639262 - 69.226790

Port Adelaide 77 - 71 Carlton Carlton
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.569843 - 0.430157RealScores: 77.348493 - 71.275405

Richmond 71 - 123 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.07 wins - 0.93 winsRealProbs: 0.071044 - 0.928956RealScores: 71.312191 - 123.448395

Sydney Sydney 83 - 77 Western Bulldogs
S.C.G. (NSW)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.576479 - 0.423521RealScores: 83.308082 - 76.548193

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	11 (11.09)	4	125.7
2	Collingwood	10 (10.06)	5	123.2
3	Adelaide	10 (10.00)	5	123.1
4	Brisbane Lions	10 (10.12)	5	115.3
5	Gold Coast	9 (9.35)	5	130.5
6	Geelong	9 (8.71)	6	122.3
7	Greater Western Sydney	8 (8.47)	7	109.8
8	Sydney	8 (7.84)	7	106.5
9	Western Bulldogs	8 (8.24)	7	104.4
10	Fremantle	8 (7.65)	7	102.9
11	St Kilda	8 (7.74)	7	99.7
12	North Melbourne	6 (5.79)	9	90.5
13	Port Adelaide	6 (6.15)	9	90.2
14	Essendon	6 (5.88)	8	89.2
15	Carlton	5 (5.49)	10	94.9
16	Melbourne	5 (4.84)	10	81.0
17	West Coast	3 (3.36)	12	68.2
18	Richmond	3 (3.24)	12	61.7

Round 17

Adelaide 102 - 71 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.806373 - 0.193627RealScores: 102.269961 - 70.741158

Brisbane Lions 92 - 63 Port Adelaide
Gabba (QLD)0.79 wins - 0.21 winsRealProbs: 0.786287 - 0.213713RealScores: 91.647271 - 62.750440

Carlton Carlton 65 - 85 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.293198 - 0.706802RealScores: 65.167567 - 85.043376

Essendon 76 - 94 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.310987 - 0.689013RealScores: 76.071195 - 94.156414

Geelong Geelong 127 - 61 Richmond
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.99 wins - 0.01 winsRealProbs: 0.990000 - 0.010000RealScores: 126.697221 - 60.525344

North Melbourne 77 - 97 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.291213 - 0.708787RealScores: 76.694365 - 96.774042

St Kilda 69 - 85 Hawthorn
Docklands (VIC)0.34 wins - 0.66 winsRealProbs: 0.342480 - 0.657520RealScores: 69.483440 - 84.528100

Sydney Sydney 86 - 73 Fremantle
S.C.G. (NSW)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.632462 - 0.367538RealScores: 85.773225 - 73.129939

West Coast 71 - 94 Greater Western Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.26 wins - 0.74 winsRealProbs: 0.260241 - 0.739759RealScores: 71.003283 - 94.387828

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	12 (11.73)	4	125.4
2	Adelaide	11 (10.76)	5	124.3
3	Collingwood	11 (10.74)	5	123.7
4	Brisbane Lions	11 (10.87)	5	116.9
5	Gold Coast	10 (10.01)	5	130.0
6	Geelong	10 (9.67)	6	126.7
7	Greater Western Sydney	9 (9.18)	7	111.2
8	Western Bulldogs	9 (8.92)	7	105.7
9	Sydney	8 (8.46)	8	107.2
10	Fremantle	8 (8.04)	8	101.8
11	St Kilda	8 (8.10)	8	98.6
12	Carlton	6 (5.81)	10	93.7
13	North Melbourne	6 (6.11)	10	89.8
14	Port Adelaide	6 (6.40)	10	88.7
15	Essendon	6 (6.22)	9	88.6
16	Melbourne	5 (5.07)	11	80.2
17	West Coast	4 (3.65)	12	68.6
18	Richmond	3 (3.29)	13	60.7

Round 18

Carlton Carlton 68 - 79 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.376189 - 0.623811RealScores: 67.525120 - 79.101314

Fremantle 76 - 80 Hawthorn
Perth Stadium (WA)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.446011 - 0.553989RealScores: 76.047430 - 80.305314

Gold Coast 81 - 76 Collingwood
Carrara (QLD)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.556820 - 0.443180RealScores: 80.690442 - 76.146714

Greater Western Sydney 80 - 87 Geelong Geelong
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.417181 - 0.582819RealScores: 80.013218 - 87.223023

Melbourne 86 - 81 North Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.561649 - 0.438351RealScores: 85.546350 - 80.513042

Port Adelaide 96 - 64 West Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.809943 - 0.190057RealScores: 96.332520 - 64.317824

Richmond 72 - 108 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.16 wins - 0.84 winsRealProbs: 0.158759 - 0.841241RealScores: 71.854739 - 108.386964

St Kilda 78 - 79 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.488183 - 0.511817RealScores: 78.156444 - 78.253115

Western Bulldogs 91 - 87 Adelaide
Eureka Stadium (VIC)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.547309 - 0.452691RealScores: 90.585429 - 86.998646

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	12 (12.27)	5	124.2
2	Gold Coast	11 (10.55)	5	128.5
3	Adelaide	11 (11.23)	6	122.5
4	Collingwood	11 (11.20)	6	121.7
5	Brisbane Lions	11 (11.47)	6	117.0
6	Geelong	10 (10.23)	7	125.6
7	Greater Western Sydney	10 (9.61)	7	109.8
8	Sydney	9 (8.96)	8	106.7
9	Western Bulldogs	9 (9.45)	8	105.6
10	Fremantle	9 (8.50)	8	101.4
11	St Kilda	9 (8.60)	8	98.7
12	Essendon	7 (7.02)	9	91.7
13	Port Adelaide	7 (7.17)	10	91.4
14	North Melbourne	7 (6.57)	10	90.0
15	Carlton	6 (6.20)	11	93.2
16	Melbourne	6 (5.61)	11	81.5
17	West Coast	4 (3.88)	13	68.5
18	Richmond	3 (3.49)	14	61.0

Round 19

Adelaide 92 - 84 Gold Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.587642 - 0.412358RealScores: 91.526959 - 83.912092

Brisbane Lions 86 - 69 Western Bulldogs
Gabba (QLD)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.679085 - 0.320915RealScores: 86.348822 - 69.237735

Carlton Carlton 77 - 69 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.586021 - 0.413979RealScores: 76.763402 - 69.317460

Collingwood 92 - 66 Fremantle
M.C.G. (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.761578 - 0.238422RealScores: 92.301221 - 66.424273

Essendon 83 - 87 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.446136 - 0.553864RealScores: 82.744904 - 86.901234

Geelong Geelong 96 - 69 St Kilda
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.78 wins - 0.22 winsRealProbs: 0.776562 - 0.223438RealScores: 96.430076 - 68.748824

Hawthorn 91 - 65 Port Adelaide
York Park (TAS)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.767063 - 0.232937RealScores: 91.182611 - 64.654520

Sydney Sydney 99 - 72 North Melbourne
S.C.G. (NSW)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.767871 - 0.232129RealScores: 99.082336 - 72.457393

West Coast 95 - 72 Richmond
Perth Stadium (WA)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.730044 - 0.269956RealScores: 94.624155 - 72.303240

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	13 (13.00)	5	125.1
2	Collingwood	12 (11.93)	6	122.6
3	Adelaide	12 (11.80)	6	121.7
4	Brisbane Lions	12 (12.13)	6	117.4
5	Geelong	11 (10.97)	7	126.3
6	Gold Coast	11 (10.98)	6	125.8
7	Greater Western Sydney	10 (10.15)	8	109.6
8	Sydney	10 (9.69)	8	108.3
9	Western Bulldogs	10 (9.79)	8	104.1
10	Fremantle	9 (8.77)	9	99.5
11	St Kilda	9 (8.86)	9	96.9
12	Carlton	7 (6.77)	11	94.1
13	Essendon	7 (7.48)	10	91.9
14	Port Adelaide	7 (7.44)	11	90.2
15	North Melbourne	7 (6.83)	11	89.0
16	Melbourne	6 (6.05)	12	82.0
17	West Coast	5 (4.57)	13	71.1
18	Richmond	4 (3.79)	14	61.8

Round 20

Adelaide 98 - 77 Port Adelaide
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.719925 - 0.280075RealScores: 98.470675 - 77.230462

Essendon 78 - 93 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.34 wins - 0.66 winsRealProbs: 0.343597 - 0.656403RealScores: 77.967804 - 92.907002

Fremantle 99 - 65 West Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.823130 - 0.176870RealScores: 99.080347 - 65.219951

Gold Coast 78 - 75 Brisbane Lions
Carrara (QLD)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.537009 - 0.462991RealScores: 77.885293 - 75.489272

Greater Western Sydney 80 - 79 Sydney Sydney
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.518222 - 0.481778RealScores: 79.694902 - 79.133883

Hawthorn 84 - 64 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.709242 - 0.290758RealScores: 84.040769 - 63.914200

North Melbourne 76 - 106 Geelong Geelong
Docklands (VIC)0.21 wins - 0.79 winsRealProbs: 0.208937 - 0.791063RealScores: 76.373225 - 105.880726

Richmond 57 - 120 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.03 wins - 0.97 winsRealProbs: 0.025459 - 0.974541RealScores: 57.371554 - 119.707212

St Kilda 83 - 70 Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.641382 - 0.358618RealScores: 83.027750 - 69.734640

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	14 (13.68)	5	125.4
2	Collingwood	13 (12.86)	6	126.3
3	Brisbane Lions	13 (12.61)	6	116.2
4	Geelong	12 (11.72)	7	127.0
5	Adelaide	12 (12.49)	7	122.0
6	Gold Coast	11 (11.50)	7	124.5
7	Greater Western Sydney	11 (10.65)	8	109.1
8	Sydney	10 (10.19)	9	107.8
9	Western Bulldogs	10 (10.43)	9	104.8
10	Fremantle	10 (9.56)	9	101.8
11	St Kilda	9 (9.48)	10	97.9
12	Essendon	8 (7.85)	10	91.4
13	Port Adelaide	8 (7.75)	11	89.5
14	Carlton	7 (7.09)	12	93.0
15	North Melbourne	7 (7.08)	12	88.0
16	Melbourne	6 (6.43)	13	82.1
17	West Coast	5 (4.79)	14	70.8
18	Richmond	4 (3.85)	15	61.0

Round 21

Adelaide 87 - 85 Hawthorn
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.538057 - 0.461943RealScores: 87.203029 - 84.780266

Collingwood 82 - 71 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.616584 - 0.383416RealScores: 81.537980 - 71.049692

Fremantle 83 - 67 Carlton Carlton
Perth Stadium (WA)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.671714 - 0.328286RealScores: 83.386904 - 66.989073

Geelong Geelong 103 - 64 Port Adelaide
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.858316 - 0.141684RealScores: 103.192589 - 63.984892

Gold Coast 122 - 56 Richmond
Carrara (QLD)0.99 wins - 0.01 winsRealProbs: 0.990000 - 0.010000RealScores: 121.900010 - 55.728133

Melbourne 92 - 65 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.766174 - 0.233826RealScores: 91.897721 - 65.475886

St Kilda 92 - 77 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.658664 - 0.341336RealScores: 91.936172 - 76.811578

Sydney Sydney 95 - 74 Essendon
S.C.G. (NSW)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.725862 - 0.274138RealScores: 95.425038 - 73.553958

Western Bulldogs 86 - 75 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.619964 - 0.380036RealScores: 85.726186 - 74.874397

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	14 (14.16)	6	123.6
2	Geelong	13 (12.54)	7	128.4
3	Collingwood	13 (13.46)	7	125.7
4	Adelaide	13 (13.01)	7	121.0
5	Brisbane Lions	13 (13.02)	7	114.6
6	Gold Coast	12 (12.45)	7	128.3
7	Sydney	11 (10.88)	9	108.9
8	Greater Western Sydney	11 (11.05)	9	107.9
9	Western Bulldogs	11 (11.02)	9	105.3
10	Fremantle	10 (10.20)	10	102.7
11	St Kilda	10 (10.11)	10	98.9
12	Essendon	8 (8.16)	11	90.6
13	Port Adelaide	8 (7.93)	12	87.9
14	Carlton	7 (7.44)	13	92.4
15	North Melbourne	7 (7.45)	13	87.8
16	Melbourne	7 (7.15)	13	84.3
17	West Coast	5 (5.06)	15	70.8
18	Richmond	4 (3.90)	16	60.1

Round 22

Brisbane Lions 85 - 69 Sydney Sydney
Gabba (QLD)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.672727 - 0.327273RealScores: 85.186702 - 68.691347

Carlton Carlton 69 - 82 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.360834 - 0.639166RealScores: 69.013221 - 81.861892

Geelong Geelong 109 - 71 Essendon
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.85 wins - 0.15 winsRealProbs: 0.850769 - 0.149231RealScores: 108.548676 - 70.542984

Greater Western Sydney 99 - 74 North Melbourne
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.754411 - 0.245589RealScores: 98.608356 - 73.566831

Hawthorn 76 - 77 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.478626 - 0.521374RealScores: 76.499843 - 77.223951

Melbourne 71 - 86 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)0.34 wins - 0.66 winsRealProbs: 0.336427 - 0.663573RealScores: 70.686990 - 86.265139

Port Adelaide 80 - 78 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.541314 - 0.458686RealScores: 80.324646 - 77.654153

Richmond 64 - 105 St Kilda
M.C.G. (VIC)0.13 wins - 0.87 winsRealProbs: 0.132884 - 0.867116RealScores: 64.340991 - 104.990605

West Coast 74 - 110 Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.16 wins - 0.84 winsRealProbs: 0.159875 - 0.840125RealScores: 74.127464 - 110.490239

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	15 (14.66)	6	122.4
2	Collingwood	14 (13.96)	7	124.4
3	Adelaide	14 (13.81)	7	122.2
4	Brisbane Lions	14 (13.66)	7	115.0
5	Geelong	13 (13.35)	8	129.6
6	Gold Coast	13 (13.06)	7	127.8
7	Greater Western Sydney	12 (11.77)	9	109.1
8	Western Bulldogs	12 (11.66)	9	106.0
9	Sydney	11 (11.23)	10	107.4
10	Fremantle	11 (10.69)	10	102.4
11	St Kilda	11 (10.94)	10	101.3
12	Carlton	8 (7.83)	13	92.0
13	Essendon	8 (8.35)	12	89.1
14	Port Adelaide	8 (8.45)	13	88.5
15	North Melbourne	8 (7.73)	13	87.1
16	Melbourne	8 (7.52)	13	84.2
17	West Coast	5 (5.26)	16	70.6
18	Richmond	4 (4.07)	17	60.2

Round 23

Adelaide 89 - 85 Collingwood
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.554552 - 0.445448RealScores: 89.240572 - 85.329023

Carlton Carlton 81 - 68 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.642594 - 0.357406RealScores: 80.878663 - 67.745235

Essendon 80 - 87 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.413087 - 0.586913RealScores: 79.639354 - 86.834105

Fremantle 76 - 79 Brisbane Lions
Perth Stadium (WA)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.457379 - 0.542621RealScores: 76.139446 - 78.868394

Gold Coast 89 - 70 Greater Western Sydney
Carrara (QLD)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.695781 - 0.304219RealScores: 88.915910 - 70.156711

Hawthorn 90 - 63 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.769766 - 0.230234RealScores: 90.210418 - 63.357526

North Melbourne 109 - 72 Richmond
Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.839042 - 0.160958RealScores: 108.639087 - 72.440140

Sydney Sydney 80 - 86 Geelong Geelong
S.C.G. (NSW)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.426842 - 0.573158RealScores: 80.289295 - 86.074516

Western Bulldogs 107 - 60 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.90 wins - 0.10 winsRealProbs: 0.903379 - 0.096621RealScores: 106.945473 - 59.863323

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	15 (15.39)	7	123.2
2	Geelong	14 (13.90)	8	128.5
3	Gold Coast	14 (13.73)	7	127.8
4	Collingwood	14 (14.43)	8	122.8
5	Adelaide	14 (14.33)	8	121.4
6	Brisbane Lions	14 (14.18)	8	114.5
7	Western Bulldogs	13 (12.52)	9	108.5
8	Greater Western Sydney	12 (12.10)	10	107.5
9	Sydney	12 (11.69)	10	106.7
10	Fremantle	11 (11.17)	11	102.1
11	St Kilda	11 (11.50)	11	101.7
12	North Melbourne	9 (8.53)	13	89.4
13	Essendon	9 (8.79)	12	89.2
14	Port Adelaide	9 (8.83)	13	88.3
15	Carlton	8 (8.44)	14	93.0
16	Melbourne	8 (7.79)	14	83.5
17	West Coast	5 (5.40)	17	69.9
18	Richmond	4 (4.28)	18	60.5

Round 24

Brisbane Lions 78 - 72 Hawthorn
Gabba (QLD)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.575730 - 0.424270RealScores: 78.155027 - 72.181810

Collingwood 92 - 64 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.79 wins - 0.21 winsRealProbs: 0.785564 - 0.214436RealScores: 92.363954 - 63.558789

Essendon 78 - 81 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.455663 - 0.544337RealScores: 78.221874 - 81.052409

Gold Coast 101 - 69 Essendon
Carrara (QLD)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.804696 - 0.195304RealScores: 100.765029 - 69.462580

Greater Western Sydney 85 - 72 St Kilda
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.646203 - 0.353797RealScores: 85.262185 - 71.819997

North Melbourne 86 - 106 Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.290095 - 0.709905RealScores: 85.543160 - 105.738062

Port Adelaide 73 - 86 Gold Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.363304 - 0.636696RealScores: 73.251118 - 85.648691

Richmond 62 - 126 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.02 wins - 0.98 winsRealProbs: 0.018303 - 0.981697RealScores: 61.568040 - 125.654526

West Coast 69 - 96 Sydney Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.23 wins - 0.77 winsRealProbs: 0.228665 - 0.771335RealScores: 68.948012 - 95.990624

Western Bulldogs 88 - 73 Fremantle
Docklands (VIC)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.663113 - 0.336887RealScores: 88.005699 - 72.673479

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	16 (15.85)	7	121.7
2	Geelong	15 (14.84)	8	131.2
3	Gold Coast	15 (15.10)	8	128.0
4	Collingwood	15 (15.17)	8	123.7
5	Adelaide	15 (15.01)	8	121.5
6	Brisbane Lions	15 (14.73)	8	114.2
7	Western Bulldogs	13 (13.16)	10	109.0
8	Greater Western Sydney	13 (12.72)	10	107.9
9	Sydney	12 (12.42)	11	107.9
10	Fremantle	12 (11.54)	11	101.2
11	St Kilda	12 (11.88)	11	100.9
12	Essendon	10 (9.51)	13	88.6
13	Carlton	9 (8.96)	14	93.5
14	North Melbourne	9 (8.85)	14	88.9
15	Port Adelaide	9 (9.22)	14	88.2
16	Melbourne	8 (8.04)	15	82.8
17	West Coast	6 (5.67)	17	70.0
18	Richmond	4 (4.34)	19	59.9

FINALS: WEEK 1

Hawthorn 94 - 78 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)

Collingwood 84 - 73 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)

Geelong Geelong 93 - 74 Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)

Brisbane Lions 86 - 69 Western Bulldogs
Gabba (QLD)

FINALS: WEEK 2

Adelaide 93 - 92 Geelong Geelong
Adelaide Oval (SA)

Gold Coast 77 - 76 Brisbane Lions
Gabba (QLD)

FINALS: WEEK 3

Hawthorn 82 - 73 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)

Collingwood 96 - 79 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)

2025 AFL GRAND FINAL

Collingwood 78 - 76 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)

Note: Finals tips are an unreliable way to forecast the eventual premier. For a better method, see FLAGPOLE.

Tipping by SQUIGGLE7

SQUIGGLE FLAGPOLE

Flag height indicates a team's strength (venue-neutral), downscaled by their likelihood of missing finals. Use the top buttons to play through the season. For details, see INFO → Flagpole.

		Flagpole Height
1	Geelong	60.1
2	Collingwood	60.0
3	Hawthorn	59.8
4	Gold Coast	59.5
5	Brisbane Lions	59.1
6	Adelaide	57.4
7	Western Bulldogs	55.4
8	Sydney	55.3
9	Greater Western Sydney	55.0
10	Fremantle	53.0
11	St Kilda	52.5
12	Carlton	51.0
13	Port Adelaide	49.8
14	Essendon	49.4
15	Melbourne	48.5
16	North Melbourne	48.0
17	West Coast	41.1
18	Richmond	37.6

REGULAR SEASON FORM

Teams ranked on their strength in normal matches, i.e. their squiggle scores.

		Attack	Defence	Combined
1	Geelong	61.0	59.5	60.3
2	Collingwood	57.5	62.7	60.1
3	Hawthorn	56.6	63.5	60.0
4	Gold Coast	57.5	62.0	59.8
5	Brisbane Lions	55.5	63.3	59.4
6	Adelaide	61.5	53.6	57.6
7	Western Bulldogs	54.4	57.2	55.8
8	Sydney	53.7	57.8	55.8
9	Greater Western Sydney	53.6	57.1	55.3
10	Fremantle	52.1	55.5	53.8
11	St Kilda	50.7	55.8	53.3
12	Carlton	47.4	56.9	52.1
13	Essendon	52.2	49.5	50.8
14	Port Adelaide	48.5	52.9	50.7
15	Melbourne	46.8	52.9	49.9
16	North Melbourne	51.1	47.4	49.2
17	West Coast	42.1	44.3	43.2
18	Richmond	40.4	40.0	40.2

MOST LIKELY GRAND FINALS

Hawthorn def Brisbane Lions	5.8%
Brisbane Lions def Hawthorn	4.5%
Hawthorn def Geelong	3.7%
Hawthorn def Western Bulldogs	3.3%
Brisbane Lions def Geelong	3.3%
Hawthorn def Fremantle	3.2%
Brisbane Lions def Fremantle	3.0%
Brisbane Lions def Western Bulldogs	2.8%
Geelong def Brisbane Lions	2.5%
Geelong def Hawthorn	2.4%
Western Bulldogs def Brisbane Lions	2.2%
Western Bulldogs def Hawthorn	2.1%
Brisbane Lions def Adelaide	1.9%
Hawthorn def Adelaide	1.8%
Fremantle def Brisbane Lions	1.7%
Geelong def Fremantle	1.6%
Brisbane Lions def Port Adelaide	1.5%
Geelong def Western Bulldogs	1.5%
Hawthorn def Collingwood	1.4%
Fremantle def Hawthorn	1.4%

EDIT SQUIGGLE

Oooh past

Oooh future

TODO:

(1) Allow for updating of FLAGPOLE

(2) Allow for updating of TOWER

(3) Allow for updating of TIPS

(4) Allow for modification of future games

(5) Allow for modification of past games

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