Squiggle 2025

INFO

What Squiggles are • How to play through a season • Prediction • FAQ • The Model • Flagpole

What Squiggles are

Squiggles are visualizations of AFL team performances, charting attack and defence over the course of a season.

Teams ⇡ high on the chart kick big scores. Teams on the ⇢ right keep their opposition to low scores. Teams in the ↗ upper-right do both. Teams in the ↙ lower-left do neither.

Squiggles are handy because:

They visualize different game styles. For example, Ross Lyon teams at their peak lurk on the right side of the chart about halfway up, since they keep their opposition to low scores without scoring highly themselves.
They provide interesting season replays, showing how teams rose or fell at different times of the year.
They minimize fixture bias by accounting for the difficulty of opponents (and venue).
They predict how the season will play out based on current likelihoods.

Squiggle is roughly as accurate as tipping the favourite every game. (Which is hard to beat!) Over a season, an informed, observant human should be able to beat it, but not by much. It will beat an average human tipper. You can review its accuracy by visiting the TIPS section of any year.

How to play through a season

To watch the evolution of a past season, use the top controls:

Rewind to the start of the season

Previous Round

Next Round

Reload

You can also:

Click a team name in the legend at the top to hide/show it.
Click a team flag to remove every other team.

For example, you might like to rewind, click Hawthorn's flag to remove all other teams, click Geelong's name in the legend to add it back in, then repeatedly step through the season to watch their dance of death.

To zoom in on an area, drag a box around it.

Prediction

Weekly Tips

Click TIPS at the top of the page. If a team beats the tipped scoreline—i.e. wins by more than predicted, loses by less than predicted, or records an upset win—it will generally move in a positive direction on the chart (i.e. more up-and-right than down-and-left), while if its result is worse, it will generally move in a negative direction.

You can view tips for previous rounds via the "History" link on the Tips page.

Season Predictor

This is how the ladder will look if Squiggle has correctly rated every team and nobody gets better or worse.

For the home & away season, it uses a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of tips. Both teams are awarded a win probability from each game, so that if Squiggle thinks Hawthorn is 68% likely to beat Collingwood, it will award the Hawks 0.68 wins and the Pies 0.32 wins, increasing both team's tally of "probable wins" by less than 1.

This is because if a team plays 10 games with 60% likelihood of winning each game, we should expect them to win about 6/10—not, as we would get if we tipped each game and tallied up the tips, 10/10. We know that upsets will happen; we just don't know when. A probabilitistic ladder accounts for the likelihood that teams will sometimes unexpectedly win or lose, even though we doesn't know when.

This can look like a bug in the predictor, if you see a team tipped to win a match that doesn't seem to be credited. For example, a team might be on "15 (14.7)" wins, which means 14.7 "probable wins" rounded off to 15. (Rounding occurs so that teams can be secondarily ranked by their percentage.) And then that team is tipped to win the following week, but it remains on 15 wins, now "15 (15.3)". What has happened is the number of probable wins hasn't risen by enough to be rounded to a higher number. It has earned 0.6 more probable wins, but this still rounds off to 15. The predictor is saying it's still most likely this team will be on 15 wins, after accounting for the likelihood that some of its tips will be wrong.

Finals matches are predicted using simple tips. However, this isn't a very reliable way of doing it, and not Squiggle's official Premier tip. For this, please see Flagpole.

Starting the season: Team starting positions are heavily influenced by their late-season performances the previous year, and the off-season is completely ignored. There is no adjustment made for recovery from injuries, or players gained or lost via the draft or trade table, or anything else. For example, Collingwood started 2015 rated very low due to their injury-plagued end to 2014, while Adelaide and West Coast started in good positions after solid late-2014 performances.

Interactive Season Predictor

Drag teams around the chart and make Squiggle predict the rest of the season based on the new positions! It's the best of both worlds: your footy insight plus Squiggle's ability to sensibly model a season.

Reposition teams to your heart's content, open up the Predictor and click RECALCULATE.

This also provides a shareable link to the generated squiggle, so you can show off your work to other people.

FAQ

What causes a team to move?

Teams move when they do better or worse than Squiggle expected.

The most important factor is the final scoreline. When a team scores more than Squiggle expected, they move ⇡ up; when they score less, they move move ⇣ down; when they hold their opposition to a lower score, they move ⇢; right; and when they allow their opposition to score more, they move ⇠ left.

Of course, usually two of these things happen at once, so they move on a diagonal:

↗ Scored more than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↘ Scored less than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↙ Scored less than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

↖ Scored more than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

How far a team moves depends on how different the result was from Squiggle's prediction. If the result was close to expectation, a team may barely budge. But an unexpected thrashing will cause a lot of movement.

Do teams get more movement against easy opposition?

No, because Squiggle expects better performances against weaker opponents, and to move to a better position, the team has to beat this expectation.

For the same reason, Squiggle isn't affected by fixture bias.

Can a team lose and still move into a better squiggle position?

Yes! Squiggle believes in honourable losses and shameful victories. If a team is expected to win by 10 goals but only prevails by 5, it will slide.

What factors are considered?

A team's rating is modified after each game by looking at:

Scores, obviously.
Scoring Shots: a team is rated more highly if they record more scoring shots.
Venue: teams are expected to perform better at venues with which they are more familiar.
Team Selections: teams are expected to perform better when they select more highly-rated players.
Stage of Season: team ratings are more fluid in the early part of each season.
Past Games: each new game is combined with past results.

Can a team beat the tipped result and still fall back on the chart?

Yes! Two factors can cause unusual chart movement:

Scoring Shots: where one team is much more accurate than the other. For example, in the opening match of 2018, Richmond won 17.19 (121) to Carlton 15.5 (95). Squiggle tipped a 29-point win, so normally the Tigers would slightly regress after winning by only 26 points. However, after factoring in the scoring shot disparity, Richmond's performance was rated more highly, and the Tigers moved positively on the chart.
Team Selections: where a team has significant ins/outs. For example, in the second match of 2018, Essendon defeated Adelaide by 12 points. This was very similar to Squiggle's expectation of a 7-point Essendon win, so normally neither team would move much. However, Adelaide selected a much weaker team than their previous game (the 2017 Grand Final); without this, Squiggle would have tipped Adelaide by 9 points. As a result, Essendon received less positive movement than they would have for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide. The Crows also saw negative movement, since the result was worse than what would have been expected from them given their previous rating.

How is home ground advantage determined?

As described in the Model section, home ground advantage in Squiggle 2.0 is generated from ground familiarity: How often the teams have played at the same ground and in the same state over the preceding 4 years (including the current season).

What are Squiggle's weaknesses?

Some quirks of Squiggle, which you may decide to compensate for as an intelligent human, include:

Squiggle doesn't consider a team's level of motivation, which seems to be fairly significant. Squiggle assumes all teams are trying equally hard at all times.
Squiggle doesn't consider the impact of weather. It may reward a team for having a good defence when in reality what was making it hard to score was torrential rain. This doesn't seem to happen often enough to throw anything too far out, but does occur from time to time.
Squiggle doesn't place any special value on wins. That is, it doesn't see much difference between a 1-point victory and a 1-point loss. It may thus underestimate a team that does "just enough," or is especially good at holding on in tight contests. Likewise, it may overestimate a team that regularly gets itself into winning positions against good teams but lacks the ability to close the games out.
Squiggle gets excited about very low-scoring games. The maths mean that if a team is expected to keep its opposition to 80 points, and it actually keeps them to 40, this is considered twice as good, while keeping them to 20 points is considered four times as good, and keeping them to 10 points is eight times as good. Those are some big multipliers: to be 8 times better than a predicted 80 points in terms of Attack, a team would need to score 640 points (80 x 8), which is a lot more than the all-time AFL record. This means it's significantly easier for a team to move rapidly rightwards on a squiggle than upwards.
The underlying model generates some inflation over the course of a season, which causes Squiggle to rate teams about 5-10% higher by the end of the year compared to the start. This seems useful for predictive purposes, as it allows for more movement leading into finals. However, it means that a team that doesn't actually change strength at all will be shown to slightly improve its chart position over the course of the season.

Why does the model use those values?

All the numbers used by Squiggle are that way because they worked best (i.e. made the most accurate predictions) when every possible combination was tested with a simulator replaying the last few decades.

How are the year's starting values calculated?

2015 starting positions are very similar to their end 2014 positions—the only difference is that 2013 data is no longer considered, so teams are modeled from the start of 2014 with each beginning on 50 ATTACK and 50 DEFENCE.

This means late-season 2014 results weigh quite heavily. For example, Collingwood had an injury-plagued end to 2014, and so is rated very low. Adelaide and West Coast, by contrast, finished the year with several solid performances, and so begin the year higher than you might expect.

What's with those crazy charts for the 1900s!?

Football scores were a lot lower a century ago, especially in the very early years, when single-digit scorelines abounded. Squiggle is calibrated for modern football, and thinks a game in which one team is held to a single goal (or no goals!) signifies an unbelievably good defensive effort. This causes teams to go shooting off to the right quite often in charts from the 1890s, 1900s and 1910s. So it's not a particularly good visualization of the strength of any particular team in that era. But it is interesting in terms of how different the whole league looks: how low and flat it is compared to today.

Similary, it can be interesting to look at where the mass of teams tends to sit in different decades; for example, how attacking the late 1980s was, with plenty of teams sitting high & centre/left compared to today.

The Model

The foundation of the Squiggle model is the OFFDEF engine, which rates teams separately in terms of attack and defense. Each team is initially assigned a starting value of 50 for each.

Scores are predicted for each match using the formula:

PREDICTED SCORE = 85 * TEAM ATTACK ÷ OPPOSITION DEFENCE

For example, in a match between a team with ATTACK 56 and an opposition with DEFENCE 50, the team is predicted to score: 85 * 56 ÷ 50 = 95 points.

Predicted scores are compared to the actual scores, and ATTACK and DEFENCE adjusted accordingly. For example, if a team scored more highly than predicted, its ATTACK score needs to be increased, since Squiggle underrated it. Likewise, the opposition's DEFENCE score should decrease, since they failed to restrict the team as well as predicted. This is done by calculating what these scores would have to have been to predict the result perfectly, then constructing a weighted average of this along with all other results.

At the start of a season, team starting points are calculated by doing the above for the previous season. For example, to calculate starting points for 2014, each team is assigned 50 to ATTACK and DEFENCE, then the 2013 season is played through.

The units are completely arbitrary, and entirely due to the choice of 50 as a starting value for each team's ATTACK and DEFENCE. They have no meaning except when comparing teams to each other.

Several other filters and algorithms are used to manipulate scores produced by the OFFDEF engine, including venue (for home ground advantage), round number, team selections, and scoring shots.

Home Ground Advantage

Teams are compared based on the number of times they've played at the venue and in the same state.

Tip Probability

When determining "probable wins" in the Season Predictor, an algorithm is used that reflects the actual accuracy of Squiggle tips vs real-life results. Three factors affect the likelihood of a tip being correct:

Margin: The greater the predicted margin, the more likely the tip is to be correct.
Round Number: Games that occur later in the season are a little more likely to be tipped correctly.
Weeks Until Game: Games that are weeks or months in the future are a little less likely to be tipped correctly.

Model Versions

Squiggle v1 used the algorithm ISTATE-91:12, in which 12 points of Home Ground Advantage is awarded to the home team in interstate games only, and each new game forms 9% of the team's new rating (with previous games forming 91%). Follow this link for Squiggles generated under the v1 algorithm.

Squiggle 2.0 made several changes in 2018:

Greater sensitivity in early rounds to better captures the sometimes substantial form changes that occur over an off-season.
Factor in goalkicking accuracy, by discounting scores that resulted from unusually high accuracy (i.e. kicking many more goals than behinds), and padding scores that resulted from unusually low accuracy, since these tend to be non-reproducible.
Generate home ground advantage from a ground familiarity algorithm.

Squiggle4 added Ins/Out awareness in mid-2018, so it can adjust predictions based on team selection.

Squiggle5 moved to a more crowd-based model of home ground advantage in 2020.

To compare Squiggle's performance to other computer models, see the Squiggle Models Leaderboard.

Flagpole

Flagpole is currently a combined strength rating of each team, downgraded by its likelihood of missing finals.

For example, if two teams are currently have the same combined OFFENCE and DEFENCE, but one is certain of making finals while the other has a 25% chance of missing, the latter's will Flagpole will be 75% of the height of the former.

Generated: Sat Apr 26 14:34:50 2025 (R7)

Tower of Power shows how likely teams are (or were) to finish the Home & Away season in various ladder positions, according to squiggle simulations.

At the start of a season, with many games remaining and uncertainty about the strength of each team, there are long strips, as teams could plausibly finish in many different places. Later, they flatten out, as the range of likely finishes shrinks.

Use the top player controls to watch changes throughout a season:

Some creative license is taken for the purposes of visual appeal, which is why final ladder positions appear somewhat diagonal.

* If the round number is marked with an asterisk, the Tower is generated from fewer simulations in order to provide a faster result.

FINALS CHANCES

		Minor Premier	Top 4	Top 8	Bottom 4	Spoon

MODE LADDER

			Likelihood	If not, then...

A Mode Ladder may be useful in the last round or two of a season, since it focuses on the most likely exact finishing position for teams, rather than averaging a range of possibilities. For example, after Round 22, 2017 with one round to go, Richmond were highly likely to finish either 3rd or 6th. Normally this would be averaged out to a prediction of about 4th -- even though the Tigers couldn't possibly finish there. The Mode Ladder avoids this problem.

A Mode Ladder is less useful than other forecasting methods until very late in the season, since until then there are too many possible final ladder combinations.

2025 ROUND 7 TIPS

Carlton Carlton 76 - 85 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)
HGA: Carlton +4.1 pts
Ins/Outs: Carlton +4.4 pts

Collingwood 99 - 71 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)
HGA: +1.8 pts
Ins/Outs: +2.2 pts

Fremantle 80 - 81 Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)
HGA: +12.3 pts
Ins/Outs: +5.3 pts

Gold Coast 82 - 72 Sydney Sydney
Carrara (QLD)
HGA: +5.3 pts
Ins/Outs: +1.8 pts

Greater Western Sydney 82 - 74 Western Bulldogs
Manuka Oval (NSW)
HGA: +5.4 pts
Ins/Outs: +5.4 pts

Hawthorn 105 - 60 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)
HGA: +6.4 pts
Ins/Outs: +4.0 pts

Melbourne 96 - 69 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)
HGA: +1.2 pts
Ins/Outs: +7.2 pts

Port Adelaide 103 - 71 North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)
HGA: +11.3 pts
Ins/Outs: +3.1 pts

St Kilda 77 - 85 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)
HGA: +7.4 pts
Ins/Outs: +1.1 pts

Algorithm: SQUIGGLE7
Tips after Round 6: 39

History...

In 2025, algorithm SQUIGGLE7 correctly tipped 42 games at an accuracy of 73.68%.

Draws are counted as correct tips. Historically, Squiggle employed the ISTATE-91:12 algorithm from 2013-2017, the SQUIGGLE2 algorithm for the first 12 rounds of 2018, and SQUIGGLE4 thereafter. To view historical tips from Squiggle (and other models) irrespective of the algorithm, see the Squiggle API or the models leaderboard.

Round 0

Greater Western Sydney (104) defeated Collingwood (52) at Sydney Showground (NSW) [Greater Western Sydney by 52) Collingwood by 2
Sydney (76) lost to Hawthorn (96) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Hawthorn by 20) Hawthorn by 10

Round 1

Adelaide (135) defeated St Kilda (72) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Adelaide by 63) Adelaide by 30
Collingwood (136) defeated Port Adelaide (45) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 91) Collingwood by 9
Geelong (147) defeated Fremantle (69) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 78) Geelong by 9
Hawthorn (111) defeated Essendon (85) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 26) Hawthorn by 35
Melbourne (74) lost to Greater Western Sydney (77) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Greater Western Sydney by 3) Melbourne by 10
Richmond (82) defeated Carlton (69) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Richmond by 13) Carlton by 50
Sydney (82) lost to Brisbane Lions (86) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Brisbane Lions by 4) Brisbane Lions by 14
West Coast (49) lost to Gold Coast (136) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Gold Coast by 87) Gold Coast by 5
Western Bulldogs (113) defeated North Melbourne (97) at Docklands (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 16) Western Bulldogs by 21

Round 2

Brisbane Lions (94) defeated West Coast (75) at Gabba (QLD) [Brisbane Lions by 19) Brisbane Lions by 52
Carlton (60) lost to Hawthorn (80) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 20) Hawthorn by 15
Essendon (100) lost to Adelaide (161) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Adelaide by 61) Adelaide by 5
Fremantle (65) lost to Sydney (68) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Sydney by 3) Fremantle by 12
North Melbourne (125) defeated Melbourne (66) at Docklands (VIC) [North Melbourne by 59) Melbourne by 16
Port Adelaide (140) defeated Richmond (68) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Port Adelaide by 72) Port Adelaide by 34
St Kilda (98) defeated Geelong (91) at Docklands (VIC) [St Kilda by 7) Geelong by 15
Western Bulldogs (70) lost to Collingwood (76) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 6) Collingwood by 14

Round 3

Adelaide (114) defeated North Melbourne (78) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Adelaide by 36) Adelaide by 34
Brisbane Lions (70) defeated Geelong (61) at Gabba (QLD) [Brisbane Lions by 9) Brisbane Lions by 0
Carlton (75) lost to Western Bulldogs (83) at Docklands (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 8) Western Bulldogs by 9
Essendon (72) defeated Port Adelaide (60) at Docklands (VIC) [Essendon by 12) Essendon by 7
Hawthorn (76) defeated Greater Western Sydney (64) at York Park (TAS) [Hawthorn by 12) Hawthorn by 0
Melbourne (62) lost to Gold Coast (120) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Gold Coast by 58) Gold Coast by 10
St Kilda (135) defeated Richmond (53) at Docklands (VIC) [St Kilda by 82) St Kilda by 27
West Coast (68) lost to Fremantle (106) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Fremantle by 38) Fremantle by 19

Round 4

Collingwood (63) defeated Carlton (46) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 17) Collingwood by 25
Fremantle (97) defeated Western Bulldogs (81) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Fremantle by 16) Fremantle by 7
Geelong (85) defeated Melbourne (46) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 39) Geelong by 29
Gold Coast (91) defeated Adelaide (90) at Carrara (QLD) [Gold Coast by 1) Gold Coast by 11
Greater Western Sydney (132) defeated West Coast (51) at Sydney Showground (NSW) [Greater Western Sydney by 81) Greater Western Sydney by 42
North Melbourne (52) lost to Sydney (117) at Docklands (VIC) [Sydney by 65) Sydney by 11
Port Adelaide (72) lost to St Kilda (89) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [St Kilda by 17) Port Adelaide by 3
Richmond (90) lost to Brisbane Lions (118) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Brisbane Lions by 28) Brisbane Lions by 47

Round 5

Adelaide (100) lost to Geelong (119) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Geelong by 19) Adelaide by 1
Carlton (121) defeated West Coast (50) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Carlton by 71) Carlton by 28
Collingwood (109) defeated Sydney (78) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Collingwood by 31) Sydney by 3
Melbourne (57) lost to Essendon (96) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Essendon by 39) Essendon by 2
North Melbourne (89) lost to Gold Coast (141) at Barossa Park (SA) [Gold Coast by 52) Gold Coast by 32
Port Adelaide (121) defeated Hawthorn (91) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Port Adelaide by 30) Hawthorn by 16
Richmond (47) lost to Fremantle (108) at Barossa Park (SA) [Fremantle by 61) Fremantle by 36
St Kilda (82) lost to Greater Western Sydney (110) at Norwood Oval (SA) [Greater Western Sydney by 28) St Kilda by 5
Western Bulldogs (97) lost to Brisbane Lions (118) at Norwood Oval (SA) [Brisbane Lions by 21) Brisbane Lions by 6

Round 6

Adelaide (52) defeated Greater Western Sydney (34) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Adelaide by 18) Adelaide by 9
Brisbane Lions (53) lost to Collingwood (105) at Gabba (QLD) [Collingwood by 52) Collingwood by 7
Geelong (86) defeated Hawthorn (79) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Geelong by 7) Geelong by 7
Melbourne (107) defeated Fremantle (97) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 10) Fremantle by 12
North Melbourne (71) lost to Carlton (153) at Docklands (VIC) [Carlton by 82) Carlton by 11
Richmond (80) defeated Gold Coast (69) at Docklands (VIC) [Richmond by 11) Gold Coast by 44
Sydney (77) lost to Port Adelaide (85) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Port Adelaide by 8) Sydney by 17
West Coast (75) lost to Essendon (77) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Essendon by 2) Essendon by 17
Western Bulldogs (127) defeated St Kilda (56) at Docklands (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 71) Western Bulldogs by 11

Round 7

Collingwood (107) defeated Essendon (66) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 41) Collingwood by 27
Fremantle (85) defeated Adelaide (67) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Fremantle by 18) Adelaide by 1
Melbourne (83) defeated Richmond (63) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 20) Melbourne by 27
St Kilda (35) lost to Brisbane Lions (58) at Docklands (VIC) [Brisbane Lions by 23) Brisbane Lions by 9

Round 8

Round 9

Round 10

Round 11

Round 12

Round 13

Round 14

Round 15

Round 16

Round 17

Round 18

Round 19

Round 20

Round 21

Round 22

Round 23

Round 24

Elimination Final

Semi-Final

Preliminary Final

Grand Final

SLIDING DOORS

On average, how much of a team's final score is due to luck?

SEASON PREDICTOR

Recalculate

		Wins	%
1	Collingwood	17.1	140.5%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
2	Geelong	15.7	134.3%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
3	Brisbane Lions	15.7	111.2%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
4	Gold Coast	13.9	118.6%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
5	Hawthorn	13.8	112.9%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
6	Greater Western Sydney	13.5	117.8%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
7	Adelaide	13.4	118.9%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
8	Western Bulldogs	13.5	118.5%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
9	Fremantle	12.5	106.6%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
10	Sydney	11.8	110.6%	2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
11	Carlton	10.7	108.1%	2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
12	Port Adelaide	10.8	95.8%	3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
13	Essendon	10.1	88.6%	4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
14	St Kilda	9.8	86.7%	5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
15	Melbourne	8.3	81.9%	7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
16	North Melbourne	6.4	75.4%	10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
17	Richmond	6.3	68.1%	11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
18	West Coast	4.7	65.3%	13 14 15 16 17 18

Home & Away...

How Prediction Works

This is a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of squiggle tips. Sometimes a team will be tipped to win but not seem to be credited for it: this is because the predictor considers the likelihood of upsets. For details, click INFO → Prediction at the top of this page.

Round 7

Carlton Carlton 76 - 85 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.409685 - 0.590315RealScores: 75.717346 - 84.535732

Gold Coast 82 - 72 Sydney Sydney
Carrara (QLD)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.597461 - 0.402539RealScores: 81.689870 - 72.211652

Greater Western Sydney 82 - 74 Western Bulldogs
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.576811 - 0.423189RealScores: 81.861204 - 74.296985

Hawthorn 105 - 60 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.89 wins - 0.11 winsRealProbs: 0.893853 - 0.106147RealScores: 104.866742 - 59.554244

Port Adelaide 103 - 71 North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.807894 - 0.192106RealScores: 102.865468 - 71.130361

St Kilda 75 - 87 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.365292 - 0.634708RealScores: 74.534777 - 87.446714

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	7 (6.62)	1	110.5
2	Collingwood	6 (6.00)	1	140.3
3	Gold Coast	5 (4.59)	1	144.4
4	Greater Western Sydney	5 (4.57)	2	130.7
5	Geelong	5 (4.58)	2	125.3
6	Hawthorn	5 (4.85)	2	115.6
7	Adelaide	4 (4.00)	3	124.2
8	Fremantle	4 (4.00)	3	107.2
9	Port Adelaide	4 (3.77)	3	103.6
10	Western Bulldogs	3 (3.43)	4	107.4
11	St Kilda	3 (3.38)	5	87.5
12	Essendon	3 (3.00)	3	86.9
13	Carlton	2 (2.42)	5	116.8
14	Sydney	2 (2.41)	5	99.2
15	Melbourne	2 (2.00)	5	74.7
16	Richmond	2 (2.00)	5	66.9
17	North Melbourne	1 (1.23)	6	72.3
18	West Coast	0 (0.15)	7	55.5

Round 8

Adelaide 88 - 73 Carlton Carlton
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.657278 - 0.342722RealScores: 87.787158 - 72.765397

Brisbane Lions 82 - 79 Gold Coast
Gabba (QLD)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.526411 - 0.473589RealScores: 81.751312 - 79.035619

Collingwood 86 - 77 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.595409 - 0.404591RealScores: 86.307065 - 77.018077

Essendon 97 - 80 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.673667 - 0.326333RealScores: 96.607789 - 80.021731

Hawthorn 105 - 64 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.87 wins - 0.13 winsRealProbs: 0.874156 - 0.125844RealScores: 105.363374 - 63.527919

St Kilda 76 - 83 Fremantle
Docklands (VIC)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.438175 - 0.561825RealScores: 76.407813 - 82.563785

Sydney Sydney 75 - 74 Greater Western Sydney
S.C.G. (NSW)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.505406 - 0.494594RealScores: 74.292415 - 73.723676

West Coast 72 - 84 Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.383649 - 0.616351RealScores: 72.490659 - 83.708135

Western Bulldogs 96 - 75 Port Adelaide
Eureka Stadium (VIC)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.720495 - 0.279505RealScores: 96.314607 - 75.014278

		W	L	%
1	Collingwood	7 (6.59)	1	136.2
2	Brisbane Lions	7 (7.14)	2	109.7
3	Hawthorn	6 (5.68)	2	120.8
4	Gold Coast	5 (5.06)	2	137.0
5	Greater Western Sydney	5 (5.07)	3	126.3
6	Adelaide	5 (4.64)	3	123.8
7	Geelong	5 (4.99)	3	120.3
8	Fremantle	5 (4.56)	3	107.3
9	Western Bulldogs	4 (4.12)	4	109.7
10	Port Adelaide	4 (4.08)	4	100.1
11	Essendon	4 (3.65)	3	91.0
12	St Kilda	4 (3.82)	5	88.0
13	Carlton	3 (2.78)	5	111.8
14	Sydney	3 (2.92)	5	99.4
15	Melbourne	3 (2.61)	5	78.7
16	North Melbourne	2 (1.58)	6	73.4
17	Richmond	2 (2.17)	6	66.1
18	West Coast	1 (0.54)	7	58.5

Round 9

Essendon 75 - 83 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.409439 - 0.590561RealScores: 74.501964 - 83.343121

Fremantle 74 - 83 Collingwood
Perth Stadium (WA)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.405420 - 0.594580RealScores: 73.921268 - 83.133667

Geelong Geelong 89 - 70 Greater Western Sydney
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.690960 - 0.309040RealScores: 88.683122 - 70.404847

Gold Coast 84 - 83 Western Bulldogs
Marrara Oval (NT)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.508036 - 0.491964RealScores: 83.784072 - 83.049540

Melbourne 68 - 87 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.294382 - 0.705618RealScores: 67.535965 - 87.290624

North Melbourne 73 - 105 Brisbane Lions
Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.19 wins - 0.81 winsRealProbs: 0.189055 - 0.810945RealScores: 72.621650 - 104.773767

Port Adelaide 80 - 91 Adelaide
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.383688 - 0.616312RealScores: 79.698107 - 90.911994

Richmond 87 - 76 West Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.619823 - 0.380177RealScores: 87.359035 - 75.821810

St Kilda 72 - 84 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.368167 - 0.631833RealScores: 71.567042 - 84.212744

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	8 (7.92)	2	112.9
2	Collingwood	7 (7.18)	2	133.4
3	Gold Coast	6 (5.57)	2	132.0
4	Hawthorn	6 (6.36)	3	121.7
5	Geelong	6 (5.66)	3	120.9
6	Adelaide	5 (5.25)	4	122.7
7	Greater Western Sydney	5 (5.40)	4	119.7
8	Western Bulldogs	5 (4.61)	4	108.6
9	Fremantle	5 (4.97)	4	105.2
10	Sydney	4 (3.50)	5	100.7
11	Port Adelaide	4 (4.47)	5	98.6
12	Essendon	4 (4.07)	4	90.8
13	St Kilda	4 (4.20)	6	87.7
14	Carlton	3 (3.40)	6	112.5
15	Melbourne	3 (2.93)	6	78.5
16	Richmond	3 (2.78)	6	70.2
17	North Melbourne	2 (1.81)	7	73.0
18	West Coast	1 (0.93)	8	61.1

Round 10

Brisbane Lions 91 - 64 Melbourne
Gabba (QLD)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.772022 - 0.227978RealScores: 91.100021 - 63.973986

Collingwood 94 - 70 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.741483 - 0.258517RealScores: 93.596518 - 70.020412

Gold Coast 81 - 79 Hawthorn
Marrara Oval (NT)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.521214 - 0.478786RealScores: 81.209758 - 79.317064

Greater Western Sydney 82 - 70 Fremantle
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.623775 - 0.376225RealScores: 81.689674 - 69.788193

Port Adelaide 79 - 93 Geelong Geelong
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.352933 - 0.647067RealScores: 79.167989 - 93.230184

Richmond 84 - 92 North Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.418620 - 0.581380RealScores: 83.936882 - 91.926758

Sydney Sydney 81 - 69 Carlton Carlton
S.C.G. (NSW)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.627356 - 0.372644RealScores: 81.148376 - 68.916522

West Coast 75 - 88 St Kilda
Perth Stadium (WA)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.371580 - 0.628420RealScores: 75.491481 - 87.821658

Western Bulldogs 95 - 75 Essendon
Docklands (VIC)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.712451 - 0.287549RealScores: 95.099886 - 74.641631

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	9 (8.66)	2	115.2
2	Collingwood	8 (7.89)	2	133.4
3	Hawthorn	7 (6.84)	3	119.1
4	Gold Coast	6 (6.09)	3	128.6
5	Geelong	6 (6.30)	4	120.5
6	Greater Western Sydney	6 (6.01)	4	119.4
7	Adelaide	6 (5.53)	4	117.3
8	Western Bulldogs	5 (5.30)	5	110.2
9	Fremantle	5 (5.36)	5	103.3
10	Port Adelaide	5 (4.84)	5	97.2
11	St Kilda	5 (4.82)	6	89.9
12	Carlton	4 (3.78)	6	109.5
13	Sydney	4 (4.12)	6	102.2
14	Essendon	4 (4.38)	5	89.4
15	Melbourne	3 (3.19)	7	77.7
16	Richmond	3 (3.20)	7	72.1
17	North Melbourne	2 (2.39)	8	75.8
18	West Coast	1 (1.32)	9	63.3

Round 11

Adelaide 113 - 61 West Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.93 wins - 0.07 winsRealProbs: 0.932526 - 0.067474RealScores: 113.391428 - 60.513157

Carlton Carlton 76 - 73 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.529782 - 0.470218RealScores: 75.637781 - 73.030693

Essendon 96 - 71 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.755011 - 0.244989RealScores: 96.055925 - 70.945162

Fremantle 90 - 72 Port Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.686133 - 0.313867RealScores: 90.273535 - 72.472636

Geelong Geelong 93 - 79 Western Bulldogs
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.655202 - 0.344798RealScores: 93.454642 - 78.628729

Hawthorn 83 - 77 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.564344 - 0.435656RealScores: 82.720325 - 76.573968

Melbourne 69 - 81 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.371160 - 0.628840RealScores: 68.633246 - 81.002158

North Melbourne 66 - 113 Collingwood
Docklands (VIC)0.10 wins - 0.90 winsRealProbs: 0.099254 - 0.900746RealScores: 66.109731 - 112.696958

St Kilda 74 - 89 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.347561 - 0.652439RealScores: 74.182659 - 88.748460

		W	L	%
1	Collingwood	9 (8.75)	2	136.7
2	Brisbane Lions	9 (9.10)	3	113.2
3	Gold Coast	7 (6.73)	3	127.7
4	Geelong	7 (6.94)	4	120.4
5	Hawthorn	7 (7.41)	4	118.1
6	Adelaide	6 (6.43)	5	122.1
7	Greater Western Sydney	6 (6.49)	5	117.2
8	Western Bulldogs	6 (5.66)	5	107.6
9	Fremantle	6 (6.02)	5	105.0
10	Sydney	5 (4.74)	6	103.4
11	Port Adelaide	5 (5.17)	6	95.6
12	Essendon	5 (5.10)	5	93.0
13	St Kilda	5 (5.18)	7	89.4
14	Carlton	4 (4.31)	7	109.0
15	Melbourne	4 (3.57)	7	78.3
16	North Melbourne	3 (2.52)	8	74.2
17	Richmond	3 (3.47)	8	72.3
18	West Coast	1 (1.42)	10	62.3

Round 12

Brisbane Lions 94 - 70 Essendon
Gabba (QLD)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.747109 - 0.252891RealScores: 93.840386 - 69.632897

Collingwood 86 - 72 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.650961 - 0.349039RealScores: 85.965568 - 71.538597

Gold Coast 87 - 73 Fremantle
Carrara (QLD)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.646963 - 0.353037RealScores: 86.707091 - 72.654675

Greater Western Sydney 104 - 57 Richmond
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.90 wins - 0.10 winsRealProbs: 0.901758 - 0.098242RealScores: 104.204234 - 57.427359

Melbourne 76 - 77 St Kilda
Traeger Park (NT)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.492924 - 0.507076RealScores: 76.605182 - 76.829759

Sydney Sydney 83 - 76 Adelaide
S.C.G. (NSW)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.573733 - 0.426267RealScores: 83.436548 - 76.457842

West Coast 67 - 111 Geelong Geelong
Perth Stadium (WA)0.11 wins - 0.89 winsRealProbs: 0.114972 - 0.885028RealScores: 67.239351 - 110.964400

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	10 (9.81)	3	114.7
2	Collingwood	9 (9.39)	3	135.2
3	Geelong	8 (7.79)	4	123.6
4	Hawthorn	8 (7.77)	4	114.9
5	Gold Coast	7 (7.36)	4	127.0
6	Greater Western Sydney	7 (7.35)	5	121.6
7	Adelaide	7 (6.86)	5	119.5
8	Western Bulldogs	6 (5.66)	5	107.6
9	Fremantle	6 (6.39)	6	103.1
10	St Kilda	6 (5.69)	7	90.1
11	Sydney	5 (5.31)	7	103.9
12	Port Adelaide	5 (5.17)	6	95.6
13	Essendon	5 (5.39)	6	91.3
14	Carlton	4 (4.31)	7	109.0
15	Melbourne	4 (4.06)	8	79.8
16	Richmond	4 (3.61)	8	70.8
17	North Melbourne	3 (2.52)	8	74.2
18	West Coast	2 (1.57)	10	62.1

Round 13

Adelaide 87 - 79 Brisbane Lions
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.584711 - 0.415289RealScores: 86.608765 - 78.614952

Carlton Carlton 84 - 73 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.614041 - 0.385959RealScores: 84.384591 - 73.379736

Geelong Geelong 94 - 73 Gold Coast
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.718547 - 0.281453RealScores: 94.129534 - 73.034591

Greater Western Sydney 88 - 70 Port Adelaide
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.686634 - 0.313366RealScores: 87.933352 - 70.083064

Melbourne 61 - 94 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.19 wins - 0.81 winsRealProbs: 0.185173 - 0.814827RealScores: 61.368780 - 94.057610

North Melbourne 92 - 83 West Coast
Hands Oval (WA)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.598908 - 0.401092RealScores: 92.193212 - 82.683300

Richmond 65 - 98 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.19 wins - 0.81 winsRealProbs: 0.188166 - 0.811834RealScores: 65.251567 - 97.526018

Western Bulldogs 84 - 81 Hawthorn
Docklands (VIC)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.539709 - 0.460291RealScores: 84.315445 - 80.970458

		W	L	%
1	Collingwood	10 (10.17)	3	136.5
2	Brisbane Lions	10 (10.23)	4	112.8
3	Geelong	8 (8.48)	5	124.0
4	Gold Coast	8 (7.67)	4	122.0
5	Greater Western Sydney	8 (8.02)	5	121.9
6	Hawthorn	8 (8.23)	5	113.3
7	Adelaide	7 (7.44)	6	118.8
8	Western Bulldogs	6 (6.19)	6	107.3
9	Sydney	6 (6.09)	7	106.9
10	Fremantle	6 (6.39)	6	103.1
11	Port Adelaide	6 (5.50)	6	94.3
12	Essendon	6 (5.78)	6	90.9
13	St Kilda	6 (5.69)	7	90.1
14	Carlton	5 (4.92)	7	109.5
15	Melbourne	4 (4.28)	9	78.6
16	Richmond	4 (3.83)	9	70.5
17	North Melbourne	3 (3.11)	9	76.6
18	West Coast	2 (1.97)	11	64.0

Round 14

Brisbane Lions 81 - 72 Greater Western Sydney
Gabba (QLD)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.601202 - 0.398798RealScores: 81.272330 - 71.655510

Essendon 74 - 97 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.26 wins - 0.74 winsRealProbs: 0.260051 - 0.739949RealScores: 73.811193 - 97.216803

Hawthorn 85 - 80 Adelaide
York Park (TAS)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.558207 - 0.441793RealScores: 85.030512 - 79.926353

North Melbourne 70 - 104 Fremantle
Perth Stadium (WA)0.18 wins - 0.82 winsRealProbs: 0.180523 - 0.819477RealScores: 70.211901 - 103.552840

Port Adelaide 89 - 69 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.699400 - 0.300600RealScores: 88.553527 - 69.430412

St Kilda 73 - 95 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.270795 - 0.729205RealScores: 72.819153 - 95.049459

West Coast 68 - 93 Carlton Carlton
Perth Stadium (WA)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.253942 - 0.746058RealScores: 68.496309 - 92.585153

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	11 (10.83)	4	112.8
2	Collingwood	10 (10.17)	3	136.5
3	Geelong	9 (9.19)	5	124.6
4	Hawthorn	9 (8.79)	5	112.8
5	Gold Coast	8 (7.67)	4	122.0
6	Greater Western Sydney	8 (8.43)	6	119.1
7	Adelaide	8 (7.89)	6	116.9
8	Western Bulldogs	7 (6.90)	6	108.9
9	Fremantle	7 (7.17)	6	106.1
10	Carlton	6 (5.63)	7	111.3
11	Sydney	6 (6.09)	7	106.9
12	Port Adelaide	6 (6.18)	7	96.3
13	Essendon	6 (6.07)	7	89.7
14	St Kilda	6 (5.98)	8	89.1
15	Melbourne	5 (4.60)	9	78.6
16	Richmond	4 (3.83)	9	70.5
17	North Melbourne	3 (3.33)	10	75.9
18	West Coast	2 (2.26)	12	64.7

Round 15

Carlton Carlton 99 - 71 North Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.78 wins - 0.22 winsRealProbs: 0.782251 - 0.217749RealScores: 99.257754 - 70.869897

Collingwood 98 - 64 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.819568 - 0.180432RealScores: 97.620065 - 64.266211

Fremantle 91 - 70 Essendon
Perth Stadium (WA)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.719437 - 0.280563RealScores: 91.072006 - 69.883313

Geelong Geelong 93 - 72 Brisbane Lions
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.718146 - 0.281854RealScores: 93.472035 - 72.419185

Greater Western Sydney 80 - 74 Gold Coast
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.563268 - 0.436732RealScores: 79.810126 - 74.303141

Port Adelaide 79 - 80 Sydney Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.476164 - 0.523836RealScores: 78.954123 - 80.494839

Western Bulldogs 113 - 63 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.91 wins - 0.09 winsRealProbs: 0.914450 - 0.085550RealScores: 112.509761 - 63.295320

		W	L	%
1	Collingwood	11 (10.96)	3	137.5
2	Brisbane Lions	11 (11.13)	5	110.1
3	Geelong	10 (9.89)	5	124.8
4	Greater Western Sydney	9 (8.98)	6	118.3
5	Hawthorn	9 (8.79)	5	112.8
6	Gold Coast	8 (8.11)	5	119.7
7	Adelaide	8 (7.89)	6	116.9
8	Western Bulldogs	8 (7.78)	6	112.7
9	Fremantle	8 (7.87)	6	107.6
10	Sydney	7 (6.60)	7	106.5
11	Port Adelaide	7 (6.66)	7	96.5
12	Carlton	6 (6.39)	8	113.2
13	Essendon	6 (6.37)	8	88.8
14	St Kilda	6 (6.19)	9	87.4
15	Melbourne	5 (4.60)	9	78.6
16	North Melbourne	4 (3.58)	10	75.6
17	Richmond	4 (3.94)	10	69.4
18	West Coast	2 (2.26)	12	64.7

Round 16

Collingwood 119 - 53 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.99 wins - 0.01 winsRealProbs: 0.988205 - 0.011795RealScores: 118.534492 - 52.818422

Fremantle 92 - 67 St Kilda
Perth Stadium (WA)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.751998 - 0.248002RealScores: 91.867783 - 67.103815

Gold Coast 92 - 64 Melbourne
Carrara (QLD)0.78 wins - 0.22 winsRealProbs: 0.775550 - 0.224450RealScores: 91.931280 - 64.374441

Hawthorn 107 - 70 North Melbourne
York Park (TAS)0.85 wins - 0.15 winsRealProbs: 0.847864 - 0.152136RealScores: 107.332701 - 69.781332

Port Adelaide 82 - 78 Carlton Carlton
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.554140 - 0.445860RealScores: 82.021190 - 77.553686

Richmond 70 - 104 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.17 wins - 0.83 winsRealProbs: 0.174022 - 0.825978RealScores: 70.005542 - 104.275284

Sydney Sydney 81 - 79 Western Bulldogs
S.C.G. (NSW)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.536129 - 0.463871RealScores: 81.474688 - 78.816074

		W	L	%
1	Collingwood	12 (11.92)	3	142.1
2	Brisbane Lions	11 (11.13)	5	110.1
3	Geelong	10 (9.89)	5	124.8
4	Hawthorn	10 (9.60)	5	115.3
5	Gold Coast	9 (8.86)	5	121.1
6	Adelaide	9 (8.68)	6	118.8
7	Greater Western Sydney	9 (8.98)	6	118.3
8	Fremantle	9 (8.59)	6	109.2
9	Western Bulldogs	8 (8.25)	7	111.6
10	Carlton	7 (6.84)	8	111.9
11	Sydney	7 (7.13)	8	106.3
12	Port Adelaide	7 (7.21)	8	97.0
13	Essendon	6 (6.37)	8	88.8
14	St Kilda	6 (6.47)	10	86.5
15	Melbourne	5 (4.86)	10	78.0
16	North Melbourne	4 (3.76)	11	74.9
17	Richmond	4 (4.15)	11	69.2
18	West Coast	2 (2.30)	13	63.1

Round 17

Adelaide 95 - 65 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.79 wins - 0.21 winsRealProbs: 0.791930 - 0.208070RealScores: 94.880500 - 65.261227

Brisbane Lions 93 - 72 Port Adelaide
Gabba (QLD)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.724590 - 0.275410RealScores: 93.382625 - 71.647429

Carlton Carlton 67 - 88 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.28 wins - 0.72 winsRealProbs: 0.283168 - 0.716832RealScores: 66.697480 - 87.612494

Essendon 76 - 89 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.366174 - 0.633826RealScores: 75.985254 - 88.779659

Geelong Geelong 121 - 58 Richmond
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.98 wins - 0.02 winsRealProbs: 0.976942 - 0.023058RealScores: 120.661319 - 57.743034

North Melbourne 73 - 111 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.15 wins - 0.85 winsRealProbs: 0.145517 - 0.854483RealScores: 72.852694 - 111.446069

St Kilda 71 - 91 Hawthorn
Docklands (VIC)0.30 wins - 0.70 winsRealProbs: 0.295527 - 0.704473RealScores: 70.876638 - 90.514400

Sydney Sydney 82 - 71 Fremantle
S.C.G. (NSW)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.624150 - 0.375850RealScores: 82.323073 - 70.594875

West Coast 66 - 96 Greater Western Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.21 wins - 0.79 winsRealProbs: 0.205238 - 0.794762RealScores: 65.656612 - 95.643353

		W	L	%
1	Collingwood	13 (12.61)	3	141.5
2	Brisbane Lions	12 (11.83)	5	111.2
3	Geelong	11 (10.84)	5	128.9
4	Greater Western Sydney	10 (9.75)	6	119.9
5	Hawthorn	10 (10.28)	6	116.0
6	Gold Coast	9 (9.48)	6	120.8
7	Adelaide	9 (9.44)	7	120.1
8	Western Bulldogs	9 (9.08)	7	114.0
9	Fremantle	9 (8.98)	7	107.7
10	Sydney	8 (7.74)	8	106.9
11	Port Adelaide	8 (7.51)	8	95.7
12	Carlton	7 (7.15)	9	109.3
13	Essendon	7 (6.75)	8	88.6
14	St Kilda	7 (6.79)	10	86.0
15	Melbourne	5 (5.10)	11	77.4
16	North Melbourne	4 (3.94)	12	74.3
17	Richmond	4 (4.20)	12	67.6
18	West Coast	3 (2.54)	13	63.4

Round 18

Carlton Carlton 76 - 79 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.460038 - 0.539962RealScores: 76.179755 - 79.033788

Fremantle 81 - 77 Hawthorn
Perth Stadium (WA)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.555887 - 0.444113RealScores: 81.161212 - 76.711717

Gold Coast 75 - 84 Collingwood
Carrara (QLD)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.408321 - 0.591679RealScores: 75.414092 - 83.550112

Greater Western Sydney 78 - 81 Geelong Geelong
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.463349 - 0.536651RealScores: 78.281133 - 80.806836

Melbourne 90 - 76 North Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.650766 - 0.349234RealScores: 90.363434 - 75.954797

Port Adelaide 106 - 64 West Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.88 wins - 0.12 winsRealProbs: 0.878238 - 0.121762RealScores: 106.043782 - 63.507328

Richmond 71 - 96 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.248340 - 0.751660RealScores: 71.137891 - 95.863196

St Kilda 72 - 84 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.366302 - 0.633698RealScores: 71.674239 - 84.336280

Western Bulldogs 92 - 79 Adelaide
Eureka Stadium (VIC)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.634820 - 0.365180RealScores: 92.120694 - 79.334611

		W	L	%
1	Collingwood	13 (13.19)	4	139.4
2	Brisbane Lions	12 (12.36)	6	110.8
3	Geelong	11 (11.36)	6	127.3
4	Hawthorn	11 (10.74)	6	114.6
5	Gold Coast	10 (9.90)	6	118.7
6	Greater Western Sydney	10 (10.22)	7	118.3
7	Adelaide	10 (9.82)	7	117.8
8	Western Bulldogs	10 (9.70)	7	114.1
9	Fremantle	10 (9.52)	7	107.6
10	Carlton	8 (7.62)	9	108.5
11	Sydney	8 (8.36)	9	107.5
12	Port Adelaide	8 (8.36)	9	98.8
13	Essendon	7 (7.47)	9	90.9
14	St Kilda	7 (7.17)	11	85.9
15	Melbourne	6 (5.74)	11	79.5
16	North Melbourne	4 (4.30)	13	74.8
17	Richmond	4 (4.48)	13	68.0
18	West Coast	3 (2.69)	14	63.2

Round 19

Adelaide 89 - 78 Gold Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.622678 - 0.377322RealScores: 88.925210 - 77.580713

Brisbane Lions 86 - 79 Western Bulldogs
Gabba (QLD)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.584500 - 0.415500RealScores: 86.420785 - 79.133039

Carlton Carlton 82 - 67 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.660400 - 0.339600RealScores: 82.335473 - 67.018193

Collingwood 93 - 64 Fremantle
M.C.G. (VIC)0.79 wins - 0.21 winsRealProbs: 0.791638 - 0.208362RealScores: 93.318247 - 63.736689

Essendon 74 - 82 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.410076 - 0.589924RealScores: 74.310808 - 82.163987

Geelong Geelong 105 - 65 St Kilda
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.861729 - 0.138271RealScores: 104.534668 - 64.772947

Hawthorn 91 - 73 Port Adelaide
York Park (TAS)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.686685 - 0.313315RealScores: 91.310322 - 73.454989

Sydney Sydney 105 - 66 North Melbourne
S.C.G. (NSW)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.859201 - 0.140799RealScores: 105.144108 - 65.793251

West Coast 86 - 77 Richmond
Perth Stadium (WA)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.604088 - 0.395912RealScores: 86.263687 - 76.917159

		W	L	%
1	Collingwood	14 (13.95)	4	139.8
2	Brisbane Lions	13 (12.93)	6	110.7
3	Geelong	12 (12.19)	6	129.0
4	Greater Western Sydney	11 (10.80)	7	117.9
5	Hawthorn	11 (11.41)	7	115.2
6	Adelaide	10 (10.43)	8	117.7
7	Gold Coast	10 (10.29)	7	116.6
8	Western Bulldogs	10 (10.13)	8	112.8
9	Fremantle	10 (9.76)	8	105.1
10	Sydney	9 (9.19)	9	110.0
11	Port Adelaide	9 (8.69)	9	97.7
12	Carlton	8 (8.26)	10	109.2
13	Essendon	8 (7.89)	9	90.8
14	St Kilda	7 (7.34)	12	84.4
15	Melbourne	6 (6.09)	12	79.6
16	Richmond	5 (4.89)	13	69.0
17	North Melbourne	4 (4.48)	14	74.1
18	West Coast	3 (3.28)	15	65.3

Round 20

Adelaide 92 - 78 Port Adelaide
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.647283 - 0.352717RealScores: 92.280269 - 78.329832

Essendon 75 - 95 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.288891 - 0.711109RealScores: 74.711158 - 95.030359

Fremantle 103 - 62 West Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.87 wins - 0.13 winsRealProbs: 0.866108 - 0.133892RealScores: 102.581040 - 62.098713

Gold Coast 81 - 80 Brisbane Lions
Carrara (QLD)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.527301 - 0.472699RealScores: 81.115214 - 79.671717

Greater Western Sydney 76 - 72 Sydney Sydney
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.545658 - 0.454342RealScores: 75.634236 - 72.381855

Hawthorn 82 - 73 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.610053 - 0.389947RealScores: 82.423856 - 72.539993

North Melbourne 72 - 115 Geelong Geelong
Docklands (VIC)0.12 wins - 0.88 winsRealProbs: 0.119519 - 0.880481RealScores: 71.783765 - 114.709696

Richmond 57 - 115 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.04 wins - 0.96 winsRealProbs: 0.042113 - 0.957887RealScores: 56.514220 - 114.936737

St Kilda 79 - 74 Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.560318 - 0.439682RealScores: 79.078255 - 74.356687

		W	L	%
1	Collingwood	15 (14.88)	4	142.6
2	Geelong	13 (13.04)	6	130.5
3	Brisbane Lions	13 (13.42)	7	110.1
4	Hawthorn	12 (12.00)	7	115.1
5	Adelaide	11 (11.06)	8	117.7
6	Greater Western Sydney	11 (11.33)	8	117.2
7	Gold Coast	11 (10.80)	7	115.8
8	Western Bulldogs	11 (10.82)	8	113.5
9	Fremantle	11 (10.60)	8	107.5
10	Sydney	10 (9.66)	9	109.2
11	Carlton	9 (8.67)	10	108.0
12	Port Adelaide	9 (9.06)	10	97.0
13	Essendon	8 (8.21)	10	90.1
14	St Kilda	8 (7.88)	12	85.4
15	Melbourne	7 (6.55)	12	80.3
16	North Melbourne	5 (4.63)	14	73.5
17	Richmond	5 (4.96)	14	67.8
18	West Coast	3 (3.45)	16	65.0

Round 21

Adelaide 86 - 79 Hawthorn
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.581866 - 0.418134RealScores: 85.896605 - 79.060260

Collingwood 89 - 69 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.714952 - 0.285048RealScores: 89.239830 - 68.521431

Fremantle 83 - 70 Carlton Carlton
Perth Stadium (WA)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.640474 - 0.359526RealScores: 83.206584 - 70.116376

Geelong Geelong 104 - 68 Port Adelaide
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.835126 - 0.164874RealScores: 104.004956 - 68.393216

Gold Coast 112 - 59 Richmond
Carrara (QLD)0.93 wins - 0.07 winsRealProbs: 0.931549 - 0.068451RealScores: 111.602430 - 58.928218

Melbourne 92 - 64 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.78 wins - 0.22 winsRealProbs: 0.780601 - 0.219399RealScores: 92.190209 - 64.008585

St Kilda 95 - 79 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.663740 - 0.336260RealScores: 94.692036 - 79.057424

Sydney Sydney 90 - 68 Essendon
S.C.G. (NSW)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.734394 - 0.265606RealScores: 90.319529 - 67.525556

Western Bulldogs 85 - 73 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.631458 - 0.368542RealScores: 85.394381 - 73.295236

		W	L	%
1	Collingwood	16 (15.57)	4	142.0
2	Geelong	14 (13.84)	6	131.5
3	Brisbane Lions	14 (13.73)	7	108.3
4	Gold Coast	12 (11.70)	7	118.7
5	Adelaide	12 (11.63)	8	117.2
6	Greater Western Sydney	12 (11.71)	8	115.3
7	Hawthorn	12 (12.44)	8	113.8
8	Western Bulldogs	11 (11.43)	9	113.6
9	Fremantle	11 (11.22)	9	108.0
10	Sydney	10 (10.37)	10	110.3
11	Carlton	9 (9.05)	11	106.7
12	Port Adelaide	9 (9.26)	11	95.1
13	St Kilda	9 (8.53)	12	86.8
14	Essendon	8 (8.50)	11	89.3
15	Melbourne	7 (7.29)	13	82.6
16	North Melbourne	5 (4.98)	15	73.9
17	Richmond	5 (5.06)	15	67.0
18	West Coast	4 (3.70)	16	65.2

Round 22

Brisbane Lions 82 - 72 Sydney Sydney
Gabba (QLD)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.615947 - 0.384053RealScores: 82.395644 - 72.066544

Carlton Carlton 77 - 79 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.466288 - 0.533712RealScores: 77.251680 - 79.175594

Geelong Geelong 104 - 67 Essendon
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.85 wins - 0.15 winsRealProbs: 0.848343 - 0.151657RealScores: 104.326967 - 66.701029

Greater Western Sydney 105 - 65 North Melbourne
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.864963 - 0.135037RealScores: 104.957261 - 64.664389

Hawthorn 72 - 86 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.350319 - 0.649681RealScores: 71.745073 - 85.759091

Melbourne 69 - 92 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.265375 - 0.734625RealScores: 69.114860 - 91.934092

Port Adelaide 84 - 79 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.563327 - 0.436673RealScores: 83.805783 - 78.940387

Richmond 72 - 92 St Kilda
M.C.G. (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.286938 - 0.713062RealScores: 71.747989 - 92.269633

West Coast 69 - 105 Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.17 wins - 0.83 winsRealProbs: 0.166496 - 0.833504RealScores: 69.266923 - 104.637662

		W	L	%
1	Collingwood	16 (16.20)	5	140.9
2	Geelong	15 (14.65)	6	132.6
3	Brisbane Lions	14 (14.33)	8	108.5
4	Greater Western Sydney	13 (12.54)	8	117.3
5	Hawthorn	13 (12.81)	8	112.2
6	Adelaide	12 (12.43)	9	118.6
7	Gold Coast	12 (12.22)	8	117.9
8	Western Bulldogs	12 (12.14)	9	114.4
9	Fremantle	12 (11.68)	9	107.3
10	Sydney	11 (10.77)	10	109.2
11	Carlton	10 (9.53)	11	106.2
12	Port Adelaide	10 (9.80)	11	95.6
13	St Kilda	9 (9.21)	13	88.4
14	Essendon	9 (8.69)	11	87.8
15	Melbourne	8 (7.59)	13	82.3
16	North Melbourne	5 (5.15)	16	73.3
17	Richmond	5 (5.38)	16	67.5
18	West Coast	4 (3.90)	17	65.3

Round 23

Adelaide 79 - 84 Collingwood
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.431718 - 0.568282RealScores: 79.163152 - 84.453779

Carlton Carlton 87 - 72 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.657017 - 0.342983RealScores: 87.156944 - 72.417932

Essendon 83 - 79 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.556126 - 0.443874RealScores: 83.299891 - 79.231233

Fremantle 81 - 77 Brisbane Lions
Perth Stadium (WA)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.556895 - 0.443105RealScores: 81.136503 - 76.991057

Gold Coast 81 - 73 Greater Western Sydney
Carrara (QLD)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.602724 - 0.397276RealScores: 81.477535 - 72.635732

Hawthorn 89 - 66 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.740811 - 0.259189RealScores: 89.164006 - 65.662583

North Melbourne 95 - 81 Richmond
Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.657900 - 0.342100RealScores: 95.351009 - 80.512631

Sydney Sydney 78 - 82 Geelong Geelong
S.C.G. (NSW)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.443181 - 0.556819RealScores: 78.313072 - 82.450916

Western Bulldogs 117 - 58 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.96 wins - 0.04 winsRealProbs: 0.961791 - 0.038209RealScores: 117.404462 - 58.084558

		W	L	%
1	Collingwood	17 (16.74)	5	139.0
2	Geelong	15 (15.19)	7	131.3
3	Brisbane Lions	15 (14.79)	8	107.9
4	Hawthorn	14 (13.52)	8	113.1
5	Gold Coast	13 (12.80)	8	117.7
6	Adelaide	13 (12.88)	9	117.4
7	Western Bulldogs	13 (13.06)	9	117.3
8	Greater Western Sydney	13 (12.96)	9	115.9
9	Fremantle	12 (12.21)	10	107.3
10	Sydney	11 (11.23)	11	108.5
11	Carlton	10 (10.17)	12	106.9
12	Port Adelaide	10 (10.16)	12	95.0
13	St Kilda	10 (9.68)	13	88.7
14	Essendon	9 (9.22)	12	88.6
15	Melbourne	8 (7.88)	14	81.9
16	North Melbourne	6 (5.79)	16	74.9
17	Richmond	6 (5.74)	16	68.2
18	West Coast	4 (3.97)	18	64.5

Round 24

Brisbane Lions 83 - 76 Hawthorn
Gabba (QLD)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.591706 - 0.408294RealScores: 83.453909 - 75.840384

Collingwood 96 - 59 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.843448 - 0.156552RealScores: 96.147817 - 59.278573

Essendon 74 - 84 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.391581 - 0.608419RealScores: 74.201501 - 83.562827

Gold Coast 95 - 70 Essendon
Carrara (QLD)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.758268 - 0.241732RealScores: 95.126966 - 69.637947

Greater Western Sydney 91 - 64 St Kilda
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.772479 - 0.227521RealScores: 90.936413 - 63.754895

North Melbourne 78 - 105 Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.22 wins - 0.78 winsRealProbs: 0.222896 - 0.777104RealScores: 77.615256 - 105.363276

Port Adelaide 82 - 84 Gold Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.457759 - 0.542241RealScores: 81.851622 - 84.475841

Richmond 63 - 116 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.07 wins - 0.93 winsRealProbs: 0.067485 - 0.932515RealScores: 62.764240 - 115.640113

West Coast 65 - 97 Sydney Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.19 wins - 0.81 winsRealProbs: 0.190708 - 0.809292RealScores: 65.246153 - 97.171833

Western Bulldogs 91 - 73 Fremantle
Docklands (VIC)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.693996 - 0.306004RealScores: 91.351817 - 72.771235

		W	L	%
1	Collingwood	18 (17.55)	5	139.9
2	Geelong	16 (16.08)	7	133.3
3	Brisbane Lions	15 (15.36)	9	108.0
4	Adelaide	14 (13.62)	9	118.2
5	Gold Coast	14 (14.04)	9	117.7
6	Western Bulldogs	14 (13.73)	9	117.7
7	Greater Western Sydney	14 (13.70)	9	116.9
8	Hawthorn	14 (13.95)	9	112.1
9	Fremantle	13 (12.54)	10	105.9
10	Sydney	12 (12.01)	11	110.0
11	Carlton	11 (10.75)	12	107.1
12	Port Adelaide	11 (10.64)	12	95.1
13	St Kilda	10 (9.94)	14	87.9
14	Essendon	10 (9.91)	13	87.9
15	Melbourne	8 (8.07)	15	80.9
16	North Melbourne	6 (6.05)	17	74.8
17	Richmond	6 (5.84)	17	67.5
18	West Coast	4 (4.20)	19	64.6

FINALS: WEEK 1

Collingwood 91 - 68 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)

Geelong Geelong 88 - 78 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)

Hawthorn 83 - 82 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)

Greater Western Sydney 83 - 75 Adelaide
Stadium Australia (NSW)

FINALS: WEEK 2

Gold Coast 83 - 77 Hawthorn
Gabba (QLD)

Brisbane Lions 81 - 72 Greater Western Sydney
Gabba (QLD)

FINALS: WEEK 3

Collingwood 89 - 68 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)

Geelong Geelong 90 - 77 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)

2025 AFL GRAND FINAL

Geelong Geelong 78 - 85 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)

Note: Finals tips are an unreliable way to forecast the eventual premier. For a better method, see FLAGPOLE.

Tipping by SQUIGGLE7

		Attack	Defence	Combined
1	Collingwood	60.7	66.6	63.6
2	Geelong	61.6	60.9	61.2
3	Western Bulldogs	58.9	58.3	58.6
4	Gold Coast	57.0	59.8	58.4
5	Hawthorn	56.4	60.3	58.3
6	Brisbane Lions	56.5	60.2	58.3
7	Greater Western Sydney	53.5	62.1	57.8
8	Adelaide	57.4	57.1	57.3
9	Sydney	53.5	60.9	57.2
10	Fremantle	53.1	57.7	55.4
11	Carlton	51.5	58.2	54.8
12	Port Adelaide	52.8	53.1	53.0
13	Essendon	50.6	52.2	51.4
14	St Kilda	48.7	51.7	50.2
15	Melbourne	46.2	53.5	49.8
16	North Melbourne	48.7	44.2	46.5
17	Richmond	42.5	44.0	43.3
18	West Coast	41.5	43.6	42.5

Hawthorn def Brisbane Lions	5.8%
Brisbane Lions def Hawthorn	4.5%
Hawthorn def Geelong	3.7%
Hawthorn def Western Bulldogs	3.3%
Brisbane Lions def Geelong	3.3%
Hawthorn def Fremantle	3.2%
Brisbane Lions def Fremantle	3.0%
Brisbane Lions def Western Bulldogs	2.8%
Geelong def Brisbane Lions	2.5%
Geelong def Hawthorn	2.4%
Western Bulldogs def Brisbane Lions	2.2%
Western Bulldogs def Hawthorn	2.1%
Brisbane Lions def Adelaide	1.9%
Hawthorn def Adelaide	1.8%
Fremantle def Brisbane Lions	1.7%
Geelong def Fremantle	1.6%
Brisbane Lions def Port Adelaide	1.5%
Geelong def Western Bulldogs	1.5%
Hawthorn def Collingwood	1.4%
Fremantle def Hawthorn	1.4%