Squiggle 2026

INFO

What Squiggles are • How to play through a season • Prediction • FAQ • The Model • Flagpole

What Squiggles are

Squiggles are visualizations of AFL team performances, charting attack and defence over the course of a season.

Teams ⇡ high on the chart kick big scores. Teams on the ⇢ right keep their opposition to low scores. Teams in the ↗ upper-right do both. Teams in the ↙ lower-left do neither.

Squiggles are handy because:

They visualize different game styles. For example, Ross Lyon teams at their peak lurk on the right side of the chart about halfway up, since they keep their opposition to low scores without scoring highly themselves.
They provide interesting season replays, showing how teams rose or fell at different times of the year.
They minimize fixture bias by accounting for the difficulty of opponents (and venue).
They predict how the season will play out based on current likelihoods.

Squiggle is roughly as accurate as tipping the favourite every game. (Which is hard to beat!) Over a season, an informed, observant human should be able to beat it, but not by much. It will beat an average human tipper. You can review its accuracy by visiting the TIPS section of any year.

How to play through a season

To watch the evolution of a past season, use the top controls:

Rewind to the start of the season

Previous Round

Next Round

Reload

You can also:

Click a team name in the legend at the top to hide/show it.
Click a team flag to remove every other team.

For example, you might like to rewind, click Hawthorn's flag to remove all other teams, click Geelong's name in the legend to add it back in, then repeatedly step through the season to watch their dance of death.

To zoom in on an area, drag a box around it.

Prediction

Weekly Tips

Click TIPS at the top of the page. If a team beats the tipped scoreline—i.e. wins by more than predicted, loses by less than predicted, or records an upset win—it will generally move in a positive direction on the chart (i.e. more up-and-right than down-and-left), while if its result is worse, it will generally move in a negative direction.

You can view tips for previous rounds via the "History" link on the Tips page.

Season Predictor

This is how the ladder will look if Squiggle has correctly rated every team and nobody gets better or worse.

For the home & away season, it uses a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of tips. Both teams are awarded a win probability from each game, so that if Squiggle thinks Hawthorn is 68% likely to beat Collingwood, it will award the Hawks 0.68 wins and the Pies 0.32 wins, increasing both team's tally of "probable wins" by less than 1.

This is because if a team plays 10 games with 60% likelihood of winning each game, we should expect them to win about 6/10—not, as we would get if we tipped each game and tallied up the tips, 10/10. We know that upsets will happen; we just don't know when. A probabilitistic ladder accounts for the likelihood that teams will sometimes unexpectedly win or lose, even though we doesn't know when.

This can look like a bug in the predictor, if you see a team tipped to win a match that doesn't seem to be credited. For example, a team might be on "15 (14.7)" wins, which means 14.7 "probable wins" rounded off to 15. (Rounding occurs so that teams can be secondarily ranked by their percentage.) And then that team is tipped to win the following week, but it remains on 15 wins, now "15 (15.3)". What has happened is the number of probable wins hasn't risen by enough to be rounded to a higher number. It has earned 0.6 more probable wins, but this still rounds off to 15. The predictor is saying it's still most likely this team will be on 15 wins, after accounting for the likelihood that some of its tips will be wrong.

Finals matches are predicted using simple tips. However, this isn't a very reliable way of doing it, and not Squiggle's official Premier tip. For this, please see Flagpole.

Starting the season: Team starting positions are heavily influenced by their late-season performances the previous year, and the off-season is completely ignored. There is no adjustment made for recovery from injuries, or players gained or lost via the draft or trade table, or anything else. For example, Collingwood started 2015 rated very low due to their injury-plagued end to 2014, while Adelaide and West Coast started in good positions after solid late-2014 performances.

Interactive Season Predictor

Drag teams around the chart and make Squiggle predict the rest of the season based on the new positions! It's the best of both worlds: your footy insight plus Squiggle's ability to sensibly model a season.

Reposition teams to your heart's content, open up the Predictor and click RECALCULATE.

This also provides a shareable link to the generated squiggle, so you can show off your work to other people.

FAQ

What causes a team to move?

Teams move when they do better or worse than Squiggle expected.

The most important factor is the final scoreline. When a team scores more than Squiggle expected, they move ⇡ up; when they score less, they move move ⇣ down; when they hold their opposition to a lower score, they move ⇢; right; and when they allow their opposition to score more, they move ⇠ left.

Of course, usually two of these things happen at once, so they move on a diagonal:

↗ Scored more than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↘ Scored less than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↙ Scored less than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

↖ Scored more than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

How far a team moves depends on how different the result was from Squiggle's prediction. If the result was close to expectation, a team may barely budge. But an unexpected thrashing will cause a lot of movement.

Do teams get more movement against easy opposition?

No, because Squiggle expects better performances against weaker opponents, and to move to a better position, the team has to beat this expectation.

For the same reason, Squiggle isn't affected by fixture bias.

Can a team lose and still move into a better squiggle position?

Yes! Squiggle believes in honourable losses and shameful victories. If a team is expected to win by 10 goals but only prevails by 5, it will slide.

What factors are considered?

A team's rating is modified after each game by looking at:

Scores, obviously.
Scoring Shots: a team is rated more highly if they record more scoring shots.
Venue: teams are expected to perform better at venues with which they are more familiar.
Team Selections: teams are expected to perform better when they select more highly-rated players.
Stage of Season: team ratings are more fluid in the early part of each season.
Past Games: each new game is combined with past results.

Can a team beat the tipped result and still fall back on the chart?

Yes! Two factors can cause unusual chart movement:

Scoring Shots: where one team is much more accurate than the other. For example, in the opening match of 2018, Richmond won 17.19 (121) to Carlton 15.5 (95). Squiggle tipped a 29-point win, so normally the Tigers would slightly regress after winning by only 26 points. However, after factoring in the scoring shot disparity, Richmond's performance was rated more highly, and the Tigers moved positively on the chart.
Team Selections: where a team has significant ins/outs. For example, in the second match of 2018, Essendon defeated Adelaide by 12 points. This was very similar to Squiggle's expectation of a 7-point Essendon win, so normally neither team would move much. However, Adelaide selected a much weaker team than their previous game (the 2017 Grand Final); without this, Squiggle would have tipped Adelaide by 9 points. As a result, Essendon received less positive movement than they would have for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide. The Crows also saw negative movement, since the result was worse than what would have been expected from them given their previous rating.

How is home ground advantage determined?

As described in the Model section, home ground advantage in Squiggle 2.0 is generated from ground familiarity: How often the teams have played at the same ground and in the same state over the preceding 4 years (including the current season).

What are Squiggle's weaknesses?

Some quirks of Squiggle, which you may decide to compensate for as an intelligent human, include:

Squiggle doesn't consider a team's level of motivation, which seems to be fairly significant. Squiggle assumes all teams are trying equally hard at all times.
Squiggle doesn't consider the impact of weather. It may reward a team for having a good defence when in reality what was making it hard to score was torrential rain. This doesn't seem to happen often enough to throw anything too far out, but does occur from time to time.
Squiggle doesn't place any special value on wins. That is, it doesn't see much difference between a 1-point victory and a 1-point loss. It may thus underestimate a team that does "just enough," or is especially good at holding on in tight contests. Likewise, it may overestimate a team that regularly gets itself into winning positions against good teams but lacks the ability to close the games out.
Squiggle gets excited about very low-scoring games. The maths mean that if a team is expected to keep its opposition to 80 points, and it actually keeps them to 40, this is considered twice as good, while keeping them to 20 points is considered four times as good, and keeping them to 10 points is eight times as good. Those are some big multipliers: to be 8 times better than a predicted 80 points in terms of Attack, a team would need to score 640 points (80 x 8), which is a lot more than the all-time AFL record. This means it's significantly easier for a team to move rapidly rightwards on a squiggle than upwards.
The underlying model generates some inflation over the course of a season, which causes Squiggle to rate teams about 5-10% higher by the end of the year compared to the start. This seems useful for predictive purposes, as it allows for more movement leading into finals. However, it means that a team that doesn't actually change strength at all will be shown to slightly improve its chart position over the course of the season.

Why does the model use those values?

All the numbers used by Squiggle are that way because they worked best (i.e. made the most accurate predictions) when every possible combination was tested with a simulator replaying the last few decades.

How are the year's starting values calculated?

2015 starting positions are very similar to their end 2014 positions—the only difference is that 2013 data is no longer considered, so teams are modeled from the start of 2014 with each beginning on 50 ATTACK and 50 DEFENCE.

This means late-season 2014 results weigh quite heavily. For example, Collingwood had an injury-plagued end to 2014, and so is rated very low. Adelaide and West Coast, by contrast, finished the year with several solid performances, and so begin the year higher than you might expect.

What's with those crazy charts for the 1900s!?

Football scores were a lot lower a century ago, especially in the very early years, when single-digit scorelines abounded. Squiggle is calibrated for modern football, and thinks a game in which one team is held to a single goal (or no goals!) signifies an unbelievably good defensive effort. This causes teams to go shooting off to the right quite often in charts from the 1890s, 1900s and 1910s. So it's not a particularly good visualization of the strength of any particular team in that era. But it is interesting in terms of how different the whole league looks: how low and flat it is compared to today.

Similary, it can be interesting to look at where the mass of teams tends to sit in different decades; for example, how attacking the late 1980s was, with plenty of teams sitting high & centre/left compared to today.

The Model

The foundation of the Squiggle model is the OFFDEF engine, which rates teams separately in terms of attack and defense. Each team is initially assigned a starting value of 50 for each.

Scores are predicted for each match using the formula:

PREDICTED SCORE = 85 * TEAM ATTACK ÷ OPPOSITION DEFENCE

For example, in a match between a team with ATTACK 56 and an opposition with DEFENCE 50, the team is predicted to score: 85 * 56 ÷ 50 = 95 points.

Predicted scores are compared to the actual scores, and ATTACK and DEFENCE adjusted accordingly. For example, if a team scored more highly than predicted, its ATTACK score needs to be increased, since Squiggle underrated it. Likewise, the opposition's DEFENCE score should decrease, since they failed to restrict the team as well as predicted. This is done by calculating what these scores would have to have been to predict the result perfectly, then constructing a weighted average of this along with all other results.

At the start of a season, team starting points are calculated by doing the above for the previous season. For example, to calculate starting points for 2014, each team is assigned 50 to ATTACK and DEFENCE, then the 2013 season is played through.

The units are completely arbitrary, and entirely due to the choice of 50 as a starting value for each team's ATTACK and DEFENCE. They have no meaning except when comparing teams to each other.

Several other filters and algorithms are used to manipulate scores produced by the OFFDEF engine, including venue (for home ground advantage), round number, team selections, and scoring shots.

Home Ground Advantage

Teams are compared based on the number of times they've played at the venue and in the same state.

Tip Probability

When determining "probable wins" in the Season Predictor, an algorithm is used that reflects the actual accuracy of Squiggle tips vs real-life results. Three factors affect the likelihood of a tip being correct:

Margin: The greater the predicted margin, the more likely the tip is to be correct.
Round Number: Games that occur later in the season are a little more likely to be tipped correctly.
Weeks Until Game: Games that are weeks or months in the future are a little less likely to be tipped correctly.

Model Versions

Squiggle v1 used the algorithm ISTATE-91:12, in which 12 points of Home Ground Advantage is awarded to the home team in interstate games only, and each new game forms 9% of the team's new rating (with previous games forming 91%). Follow this link for Squiggles generated under the v1 algorithm.

Squiggle 2.0 made several changes in 2018:

Greater sensitivity in early rounds to better captures the sometimes substantial form changes that occur over an off-season.
Factor in goalkicking accuracy, by discounting scores that resulted from unusually high accuracy (i.e. kicking many more goals than behinds), and padding scores that resulted from unusually low accuracy, since these tend to be non-reproducible.
Generate home ground advantage from a ground familiarity algorithm.

Squiggle4 added Ins/Out awareness in mid-2018, so it can adjust predictions based on team selection.

Squiggle5 moved to a more crowd-based model of home ground advantage in 2020.

To compare Squiggle's performance to other computer models, see the Squiggle Models Leaderboard.

Flagpole

Flagpole is currently a combined strength rating of each team, downgraded by its likelihood of missing finals.

For example, if two teams are currently have the same combined OFFENCE and DEFENCE, but one is certain of making finals while the other has a 25% chance of missing, the latter's will Flagpole will be 75% of the height of the former.

SEASON PREDICTOR

Recalculate

		Wins	%
1	Brisbane Lions	16.1	141.1%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
2	Geelong	15.6	134.5%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
3	Western Bulldogs	14.7	126.6%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
4	Hawthorn	14.5	126.2%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
5	Collingwood	13.6	119.4%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
6	Adelaide	13.0	113.5%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
7	Greater Western Sydney	12.5	108.7%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
8	Gold Coast	12.4	107.5%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
9	Fremantle	11.8	103.2%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
10	Sydney	11.2	99.4%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
11	Melbourne	11.1	98.7%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
12	St Kilda	10.4	94.0%	2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
13	Carlton	10.4	93.5%	2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
14	Port Adelaide	9.8	89.6%	3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
15	North Melbourne	8.5	82.2%	5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
16	Richmond	7.8	76.2%	6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
17	Essendon	7.3	73.9%	7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
18	West Coast	6.3	68.5%	9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Home & Away...

How Prediction Works

This is a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of squiggle tips. Sometimes a team will be tipped to win but not seem to be credited for it: this is because the predictor considers the likelihood of upsets. For details, click INFO → Prediction at the top of this page.

Round 0

Brisbane Lions 91 - 80 Western Bulldogs
Gabba (QLD)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.613013 - 0.386987RealScores: 91.207889 - 80.297616

Gold Coast 83 - 88 Geelong Geelong
Carrara (QLD)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.442251 - 0.557749RealScores: 82.618695 - 88.387628

Greater Western Sydney 80 - 86 Hawthorn
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.436303 - 0.563697RealScores: 80.130903 - 86.464009

St Kilda 66 - 82 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.34 wins - 0.66 winsRealProbs: 0.341208 - 0.658792RealScores: 66.399196 - 81.564174

Sydney Sydney 77 - 72 Carlton Carlton
S.C.G. (NSW)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.556956 - 0.443044RealScores: 77.483335 - 71.789947

		W	L	%
1	Collingwood	1 (0.60)	0	122.8
2	Brisbane Lions	1 (0.56)	0	113.6
3	Sydney	1 (0.52)	0	107.9
4	Hawthorn	1 (0.52)	0	107.9
5	Geelong	1 (0.52)	0	107.0
6	Gold Coast	0 (0.48)	1	93.5
7	Greater Western Sydney	0 (0.48)	1	92.7
8	Carlton	0 (0.48)	1	92.7
9	Western Bulldogs	0 (0.44)	1	88.0
10	St Kilda	0 (0.40)	1	81.4

Round 1

Carlton Carlton 79 - 64 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.657418 - 0.342582RealScores: 79.320555 - 64.285482

Collingwood 77 - 66 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.613963 - 0.386037RealScores: 76.527204 - 65.529525

Essendon 63 - 95 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.19 wins - 0.81 winsRealProbs: 0.186482 - 0.813518RealScores: 62.685949 - 95.193077

Geelong Geelong 98 - 73 Fremantle
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.758238 - 0.241762RealScores: 98.170091 - 72.684638

Gold Coast 101 - 62 West Coast
Carrara (QLD)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.860364 - 0.139636RealScores: 101.389659 - 61.850305

Melbourne 86 - 80 St Kilda
M.C.G. (VIC)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.560999 - 0.439001RealScores: 85.802655 - 79.724972

North Melbourne 85 - 83 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.513843 - 0.486157RealScores: 84.807310 - 83.364781

Sydney Sydney 72 - 88 Brisbane Lions
S.C.G. (NSW)0.32 wins - 0.68 winsRealProbs: 0.322325 - 0.677675RealScores: 71.503381 - 88.477389

Western Bulldogs 99 - 80 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.698384 - 0.301616RealScores: 99.226041 - 80.205334

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	1 (1.26)	1	127.2
2	Gold Coast	1 (1.26)	1	122.5
3	Geelong	1 (1.21)	1	120.1
4	Collingwood	1 (1.17)	1	119.8
5	Brisbane Lions	1 (1.19)	1	118.4
6	Melbourne	1 (0.53)	0	107.6
7	Carlton	1 (1.09)	1	106.6
8	Western Bulldogs	1 (1.08)	1	104.7
9	North Melbourne	1 (0.50)	0	101.7
10	Sydney	1 (0.89)	1	93.0
11	St Kilda	1 (0.87)	1	87.3
12	Greater Western Sydney	1 (0.84)	1	86.3
13	Port Adelaide	0 (0.50)	1	98.3
14	Adelaide	0 (0.43)	1	85.6
15	Richmond	0 (0.39)	1	81.0
16	Fremantle	0 (0.31)	1	74.0
17	Essendon	0 (0.26)	1	65.9
18	West Coast	0 (0.22)	1	61.0

Round 2

Adelaide 82 - 81 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 81.893038 - 81.882453

Fremantle 88 - 77 Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.609733 - 0.390267RealScores: 87.940211 - 77.331796

Greater Western Sydney 91 - 75 St Kilda
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.660067 - 0.339933RealScores: 90.775287 - 75.489541

Hawthorn 89 - 67 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.727460 - 0.272540RealScores: 88.994805 - 66.952333

Port Adelaide 85 - 68 Essendon
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.676955 - 0.323045RealScores: 84.594694 - 67.690563

Richmond 67 - 86 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.30 wins - 0.70 winsRealProbs: 0.302357 - 0.697643RealScores: 66.933518 - 85.879664

West Coast 80 - 86 North Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.433765 - 0.566235RealScores: 79.746265 - 86.318912

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	2 (1.93)	1	129.0
2	Gold Coast	2 (1.91)	1	124.3
3	Western Bulldogs	2 (1.58)	1	103.2
4	Geelong	1 (1.21)	1	120.1
5	Collingwood	1 (1.17)	1	119.8
6	Brisbane Lions	1 (1.19)	1	118.4
7	Port Adelaide	1 (1.13)	1	110.1
8	Carlton	1 (1.09)	1	106.6
9	North Melbourne	1 (1.04)	1	104.9
10	Melbourne	1 (0.95)	1	97.3
11	Greater Western Sydney	1 (1.46)	2	96.1
12	Adelaide	1 (0.93)	1	93.1
13	Fremantle	1 (0.89)	1	91.5
14	Sydney	1 (1.22)	2	86.6
15	St Kilda	1 (1.25)	2	85.8
16	Richmond	1 (0.74)	1	79.4
17	West Coast	1 (0.68)	1	75.4
18	Essendon	1 (0.63)	1	72.5

Round 3

Carlton Carlton 79 - 81 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.487048 - 0.512952RealScores: 79.228893 - 80.579834

Collingwood 85 - 71 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.650770 - 0.349230RealScores: 84.967983 - 70.558954

Essendon 78 - 83 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.449381 - 0.550619RealScores: 78.142056 - 83.229181

Fremantle 89 - 60 Richmond
Perth Stadium (WA)0.79 wins - 0.21 winsRealProbs: 0.790806 - 0.209194RealScores: 89.437589 - 59.963271

Geelong Geelong 93 - 72 Adelaide
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.723355 - 0.276645RealScores: 93.163105 - 71.559507

Port Adelaide 91 - 66 West Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.754694 - 0.245306RealScores: 91.041633 - 65.967433

St Kilda 69 - 94 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.249694 - 0.750306RealScores: 69.470234 - 94.040834

		W	L	%
1	Hawthorn	2 (1.93)	1	129.0
2	Gold Coast	2 (1.91)	1	124.3
3	Brisbane Lions	2 (1.88)	1	123.7
4	Geelong	2 (1.88)	1	123.3
5	Collingwood	2 (1.79)	1	120.0
6	Port Adelaide	2 (1.83)	1	118.6
7	Fremantle	2 (1.62)	1	106.2
8	North Melbourne	2 (1.58)	1	105.4
9	Carlton	2 (1.59)	1	103.6
10	Western Bulldogs	2 (1.58)	1	103.2
11	Greater Western Sydney	2 (1.84)	2	92.9
12	St Kilda	2 (1.56)	2	82.7
13	Melbourne	1 (1.45)	2	98.7
14	Adelaide	1 (1.25)	2	87.0
15	Sydney	1 (1.22)	2	86.6
16	Essendon	1 (1.10)	2	79.3
17	Richmond	1 (1.01)	2	75.1
18	West Coast	1 (0.98)	2	74.5

Round 4

Adelaide 84 - 68 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.670130 - 0.329870RealScores: 83.940023 - 67.694438

Brisbane Lions 83 - 67 Collingwood
Gabba (QLD)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.669471 - 0.330529RealScores: 82.773546 - 66.591195

Hawthorn 84 - 85 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.497534 - 0.502466RealScores: 84.405174 - 84.665514

Melbourne 82 - 85 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.476116 - 0.523884RealScores: 82.386865 - 84.849054

North Melbourne 76 - 86 Carlton Carlton
Docklands (VIC)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.387447 - 0.612553RealScores: 75.515972 - 86.383884

Richmond 74 - 75 Port Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.496152 - 0.503848RealScores: 74.131731 - 74.537311

West Coast 68 - 89 Sydney Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.28 wins - 0.72 winsRealProbs: 0.283255 - 0.716745RealScores: 68.060299 - 88.966110

Western Bulldogs 105 - 65 Essendon
Docklands (VIC)0.87 wins - 0.13 winsRealProbs: 0.866414 - 0.133586RealScores: 105.236194 - 64.703144

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	3 (2.52)	1	123.8
2	Hawthorn	2 (2.43)	2	120.6
3	Gold Coast	2 (2.42)	2	118.4
4	Geelong	2 (2.38)	2	117.1
5	Western Bulldogs	2 (2.39)	2	115.3
6	Port Adelaide	2 (2.33)	2	114.0
7	Collingwood	2 (2.15)	2	108.5
8	Carlton	2 (2.18)	2	106.3
9	North Melbourne	2 (1.99)	2	100.7
10	Fremantle	2 (1.99)	2	99.5
11	Melbourne	2 (1.94)	2	98.3
12	Sydney	2 (1.89)	2	96.1
13	Adelaide	2 (1.89)	2	94.9
14	Greater Western Sydney	2 (1.84)	2	92.9
15	St Kilda	2 (1.56)	2	82.7
16	Richmond	2 (1.51)	2	80.6
17	West Coast	1 (1.31)	3	75.0
18	Essendon	1 (1.29)	3	74.2

Round 5

Adelaide 83 - 64 Carlton Carlton
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.696344 - 0.303656RealScores: 82.887953 - 64.072270

Collingwood 80 - 67 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.632337 - 0.367663RealScores: 79.783451 - 67.091081

Essendon 71 - 91 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.28 wins - 0.72 winsRealProbs: 0.284914 - 0.715086RealScores: 70.534692 - 91.267065

Geelong Geelong 118 - 62 West Coast
Norwood Oval (SA)0.95 wins - 0.05 winsRealProbs: 0.947165 - 0.052835RealScores: 118.335469 - 62.316457

Greater Western Sydney 93 - 66 Richmond
Barossa Park (SA)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.771182 - 0.228818RealScores: 93.260759 - 66.236644

Hawthorn 85 - 84 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.513054 - 0.486946RealScores: 84.921880 - 83.560444

North Melbourne 68 - 110 Brisbane Lions
Barossa Park (SA)0.12 wins - 0.88 winsRealProbs: 0.120016 - 0.879984RealScores: 67.635377 - 110.474727

Port Adelaide 80 - 77 St Kilda
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.526848 - 0.473152RealScores: 80.099212 - 77.339876

Sydney Sydney 74 - 82 Gold Coast
Norwood Oval (SA)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.409216 - 0.590784RealScores: 73.631829 - 82.493595

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	3 (3.34)	2	131.4
2	Geelong	3 (3.27)	2	129.2
3	Gold Coast	3 (2.99)	2	117.2
4	Hawthorn	3 (2.93)	2	116.4
5	Port Adelaide	3 (2.85)	2	111.8
6	Western Bulldogs	3 (2.88)	2	111.7
7	Collingwood	3 (2.76)	2	110.5
8	Melbourne	3 (2.62)	2	103.8
9	Adelaide	3 (2.55)	2	100.6
10	Greater Western Sydney	3 (2.56)	2	100.6
11	Carlton	3 (2.52)	2	100.0
12	Fremantle	2 (2.38)	3	96.4
13	Sydney	2 (2.32)	3	94.7
14	North Melbourne	2 (2.16)	3	90.7
15	St Kilda	2 (2.04)	3	85.2
16	Richmond	2 (1.79)	3	78.5
17	Essendon	2 (1.62)	3	74.8
18	West Coast	1 (1.41)	4	69.5

Round 6

Adelaide 87 - 65 St Kilda
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.725328 - 0.274672RealScores: 87.109977 - 65.296038

Carlton Carlton 64 - 79 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.34 wins - 0.66 winsRealProbs: 0.338633 - 0.661367RealScores: 63.576553 - 78.985558

Geelong Geelong 97 - 85 Western Bulldogs
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.625092 - 0.374908RealScores: 97.096514 - 85.073592

Gold Coast 96 - 61 Essendon
Carrara (QLD)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.830421 - 0.169579RealScores: 95.675942 - 60.759719

Hawthorn 98 - 63 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.831754 - 0.168246RealScores: 98.320434 - 63.208301

Melbourne 74 - 97 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.26 wins - 0.74 winsRealProbs: 0.264834 - 0.735166RealScores: 74.299449 - 97.177882

North Melbourne 83 - 74 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.591296 - 0.408704RealScores: 83.216802 - 74.307721

Sydney Sydney 80 - 84 Greater Western Sydney
S.C.G. (NSW)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.467870 - 0.532130RealScores: 80.326173 - 83.610979

West Coast 64 - 95 Fremantle
Perth Stadium (WA)0.19 wins - 0.81 winsRealProbs: 0.194055 - 0.805945RealScores: 63.707572 - 95.178421

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	4 (4.03)	2	131.3
2	Geelong	4 (3.87)	2	126.4
3	Gold Coast	4 (3.77)	2	122.8
4	Hawthorn	4 (3.71)	2	122.0
5	Collingwood	3 (3.39)	3	112.6
6	Western Bulldogs	3 (3.28)	3	107.0
7	Adelaide	3 (3.23)	3	105.4
8	Fremantle	3 (3.14)	3	103.7
9	Port Adelaide	3 (3.07)	3	101.8
10	Greater Western Sydney	3 (3.08)	3	101.2
11	Melbourne	3 (2.92)	3	98.4
12	Carlton	3 (2.89)	3	96.7
13	Sydney	3 (2.80)	3	94.9
14	North Melbourne	3 (2.74)	3	93.8
15	St Kilda	2 (2.36)	4	83.5
16	Richmond	2 (2.21)	4	80.3
17	Essendon	2 (1.84)	4	72.9
18	West Coast	2 (1.66)	4	69.1

Round 7

Brisbane Lions 90 - 66 Adelaide
Gabba (QLD)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.742758 - 0.257242RealScores: 89.580632 - 65.862223

Essendon 57 - 89 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.19 wins - 0.81 winsRealProbs: 0.186292 - 0.813708RealScores: 56.950110 - 89.483578

Fremantle 82 - 68 Carlton Carlton
Perth Stadium (WA)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.647622 - 0.352378RealScores: 82.493936 - 68.379835

Greater Western Sydney 103 - 76 North Melbourne
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.774497 - 0.225503RealScores: 103.314033 - 75.886279

Hawthorn 84 - 74 Gold Coast
York Park (TAS)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.612423 - 0.387577RealScores: 84.377584 - 73.521600

Port Adelaide 74 - 102 Geelong Geelong
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.22 wins - 0.78 winsRealProbs: 0.219042 - 0.780958RealScores: 73.737650 - 101.963867

Richmond 68 - 90 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.28 wins - 0.72 winsRealProbs: 0.282193 - 0.717807RealScores: 68.497145 - 89.514368

St Kilda 94 - 63 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.809210 - 0.190790RealScores: 94.499223 - 62.584763

Western Bulldogs 97 - 71 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.754978 - 0.245022RealScores: 96.525881 - 71.418852

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	5 (4.74)	2	131.9
2	Geelong	5 (4.61)	2	128.1
3	Hawthorn	4 (4.31)	3	121.0
4	Collingwood	4 (4.16)	3	118.0
5	Gold Coast	4 (4.18)	3	117.0
6	Western Bulldogs	4 (3.99)	3	110.6
7	Fremantle	4 (3.76)	3	105.9
8	Greater Western Sydney	4 (3.81)	3	105.8
9	Melbourne	4 (3.60)	3	102.3
10	Adelaide	4 (3.53)	3	100.1
11	Port Adelaide	3 (3.33)	4	96.6
12	Carlton	3 (3.27)	4	94.6
13	Sydney	3 (3.09)	4	91.4
14	St Kilda	3 (3.12)	4	90.8
15	North Melbourne	3 (3.01)	4	90.4
16	Richmond	3 (2.53)	4	79.7
17	Essendon	2 (2.07)	5	71.6
18	West Coast	2 (1.90)	5	68.7

Round 8

Adelaide 88 - 67 Port Adelaide
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.720074 - 0.279926RealScores: 87.822645 - 66.566767

Carlton Carlton 77 - 74 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.531581 - 0.468419RealScores: 77.064212 - 73.833771

Collingwood 72 - 75 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.475223 - 0.524777RealScores: 71.959202 - 74.511172

Essendon 60 - 103 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.12 wins - 0.88 winsRealProbs: 0.117898 - 0.882102RealScores: 60.145380 - 103.354763

Geelong Geelong 120 - 68 North Melbourne
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.93 wins - 0.07 winsRealProbs: 0.930120 - 0.069880RealScores: 120.038225 - 67.661031

Gold Coast 89 - 78 Greater Western Sydney
Carrara (QLD)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.616955 - 0.383045RealScores: 89.215390 - 77.942252

Sydney Sydney 86 - 77 Melbourne
S.C.G. (NSW)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.587652 - 0.412348RealScores: 86.056256 - 77.484348

West Coast 73 - 72 Richmond
Perth Stadium (WA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.504965 - 0.495035RealScores: 73.082248 - 72.559657

Western Bulldogs 98 - 71 Fremantle
Docklands (VIC)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.768152 - 0.231848RealScores: 98.129510 - 71.470843

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	6 (5.57)	2	136.2
2	Geelong	5 (5.49)	3	133.6
3	Hawthorn	5 (4.82)	3	118.8
4	Gold Coast	5 (4.78)	3	116.7
5	Collingwood	5 (4.64)	3	115.1
6	Western Bulldogs	5 (4.72)	3	113.5
7	Adelaide	4 (4.21)	4	103.6
8	Greater Western Sydney	4 (4.22)	4	103.3
9	Fremantle	4 (4.03)	4	100.7
10	Melbourne	4 (4.03)	4	100.7
11	Carlton	4 (3.79)	4	95.7
12	Port Adelaide	4 (3.65)	4	93.8
13	Sydney	4 (3.66)	4	93.7
14	St Kilda	4 (3.60)	4	91.4
15	North Melbourne	3 (3.12)	5	84.8
16	Richmond	3 (3.03)	5	81.8
17	West Coast	2 (2.40)	6	71.8
18	Essendon	2 (2.24)	6	69.7

Round 9

Brisbane Lions 97 - 60 Carlton Carlton
Gabba (QLD)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.840626 - 0.159374RealScores: 96.855662 - 60.416884

Fremantle 75 - 83 Hawthorn
Perth Stadium (WA)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.423354 - 0.576646RealScores: 74.966537 - 82.515365

Geelong Geelong 83 - 75 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.577647 - 0.422353RealScores: 83.070336 - 75.428137

Gold Coast 88 - 70 St Kilda
Marrara Oval (NT)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.686393 - 0.313607RealScores: 88.223854 - 70.397276

Greater Western Sydney 99 - 65 Essendon
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.824821 - 0.175179RealScores: 98.701056 - 64.598075

Melbourne 104 - 64 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.857581 - 0.142419RealScores: 103.504380 - 64.415069

North Melbourne 77 - 89 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.376572 - 0.623428RealScores: 77.193550 - 89.062962

Port Adelaide 75 - 99 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.254993 - 0.745007RealScores: 74.967680 - 98.938149

Richmond 63 - 84 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.28 wins - 0.72 winsRealProbs: 0.281780 - 0.718220RealScores: 62.777627 - 83.838227

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	6 (6.36)	3	138.6
2	Geelong	6 (6.06)	3	131.0
3	Hawthorn	5 (5.39)	4	117.8
4	Gold Coast	5 (5.44)	4	117.6
5	Western Bulldogs	5 (5.42)	4	115.5
6	Collingwood	5 (5.07)	4	111.9
7	Greater Western Sydney	5 (4.99)	4	107.8
8	Adelaide	5 (4.90)	4	106.4
9	Melbourne	5 (4.84)	4	106.1
10	Fremantle	4 (4.47)	5	99.6
11	Sydney	4 (4.26)	5	96.0
12	Port Adelaide	4 (3.94)	5	91.4
13	Carlton	4 (4.00)	5	91.2
14	St Kilda	4 (3.94)	5	90.0
15	North Melbourne	4 (3.52)	5	85.0
16	Richmond	3 (3.35)	6	81.1
17	West Coast	3 (2.59)	6	70.6
18	Essendon	2 (2.46)	7	69.2

Round 10

Adelaide 100 - 65 North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.828804 - 0.171196RealScores: 99.604119 - 64.924331

Brisbane Lions 92 - 80 Geelong Geelong
Gabba (QLD)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.619049 - 0.380951RealScores: 91.630003 - 80.164058

Carlton Carlton 71 - 94 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.266647 - 0.733353RealScores: 71.057235 - 93.737566

Essendon 69 - 84 Fremantle
M.C.G. (VIC)0.34 wins - 0.66 winsRealProbs: 0.342109 - 0.657891RealScores: 68.949407 - 84.029182

Gold Coast 93 - 68 Port Adelaide
Marrara Oval (NT)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.747821 - 0.252179RealScores: 92.529012 - 68.240920

Melbourne 74 - 93 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.30 wins - 0.70 winsRealProbs: 0.300698 - 0.699302RealScores: 73.994140 - 93.107400

St Kilda 83 - 65 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.685506 - 0.314494RealScores: 83.005876 - 65.266667

Sydney Sydney 69 - 76 Collingwood
S.C.G. (NSW)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.425954 - 0.574046RealScores: 69.055992 - 76.361958

West Coast 71 - 99 Greater Western Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.22 wins - 0.78 winsRealProbs: 0.224468 - 0.775532RealScores: 71.208884 - 98.763446

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	7 (6.97)	3	135.8
2	Geelong	6 (6.46)	4	125.8
3	Gold Coast	6 (6.14)	4	119.3
4	Hawthorn	6 (6.06)	4	118.6
5	Western Bulldogs	6 (6.12)	4	116.9
6	Collingwood	6 (5.64)	4	111.7
7	Adelaide	6 (5.68)	4	110.6
8	Greater Western Sydney	6 (5.73)	4	110.5
9	Melbourne	5 (5.17)	5	103.0
10	Fremantle	5 (5.10)	5	101.6
11	Sydney	5 (4.70)	5	95.5
12	St Kilda	5 (4.60)	5	93.0
13	Port Adelaide	4 (4.23)	6	89.5
14	Carlton	4 (4.30)	6	89.4
15	North Melbourne	4 (3.74)	6	82.9
16	Richmond	4 (3.69)	6	80.8
17	West Coast	3 (2.85)	7	70.8
18	Essendon	3 (2.83)	7	70.4

Round 11

Collingwood 103 - 50 West Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.94 wins - 0.06 winsRealProbs: 0.936294 - 0.063706RealScores: 103.399180 - 49.727748

Fremantle 87 - 69 St Kilda
Perth Stadium (WA)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.691063 - 0.308937RealScores: 87.296685 - 69.008178

Geelong Geelong 103 - 66 Sydney Sydney
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.840458 - 0.159542RealScores: 102.813367 - 66.400094

Greater Western Sydney 76 - 94 Brisbane Lions
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.311424 - 0.688576RealScores: 76.254756 - 94.296718

Hawthorn 82 - 70 Adelaide
York Park (TAS)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.632544 - 0.367456RealScores: 82.379644 - 69.668193

North Melbourne 75 - 96 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.28 wins - 0.72 winsRealProbs: 0.279813 - 0.720187RealScores: 75.055137 - 96.322908

Port Adelaide 76 - 77 Carlton Carlton
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.491208 - 0.508792RealScores: 75.869621 - 76.388576

Richmond 72 - 70 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.516911 - 0.483089RealScores: 71.707730 - 70.386318

Western Bulldogs 102 - 78 Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.740009 - 0.259991RealScores: 101.683300 - 78.270987

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	8 (7.63)	3	134.6
2	Geelong	7 (7.25)	4	128.1
3	Gold Coast	7 (6.83)	4	120.1
4	Hawthorn	7 (6.67)	4	118.6
5	Collingwood	7 (6.53)	4	118.1
6	Western Bulldogs	7 (6.82)	4	118.1
7	Adelaide	6 (6.07)	5	108.0
8	Greater Western Sydney	6 (6.07)	5	107.4
9	Fremantle	6 (5.76)	5	103.6
10	Melbourne	5 (5.47)	6	100.1
11	Sydney	5 (4.91)	6	92.0
12	St Kilda	5 (4.93)	6	91.6
13	Carlton	5 (4.80)	6	90.4
14	Port Adelaide	5 (4.73)	6	90.3
15	Richmond	4 (4.20)	7	82.5
16	North Melbourne	4 (4.05)	7	82.4
17	Essendon	3 (3.32)	8	72.4
18	West Coast	3 (2.96)	8	68.6

Round 12

Brisbane Lions 97 - 64 Fremantle
Gabba (QLD)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.819487 - 0.180513RealScores: 97.423921 - 64.081523

Carlton Carlton 71 - 95 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.248935 - 0.751065RealScores: 70.766098 - 95.423378

Melbourne 85 - 91 Greater Western Sydney
Traeger Park (NT)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.436797 - 0.563203RealScores: 84.845204 - 90.724727

St Kilda 68 - 91 Hawthorn
Docklands (VIC)0.26 wins - 0.74 winsRealProbs: 0.260408 - 0.739592RealScores: 67.783428 - 91.149511

Sydney Sydney 88 - 59 Richmond
S.C.G. (NSW)0.78 wins - 0.22 winsRealProbs: 0.784978 - 0.215022RealScores: 88.218652 - 59.487569

West Coast 75 - 74 Essendon
Perth Stadium (WA)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.511577 - 0.488423RealScores: 74.967360 - 74.301171

Western Bulldogs 82 - 76 Collingwood
Docklands (VIC)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.569429 - 0.430571RealScores: 82.158338 - 75.630509

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	8 (8.40)	4	135.9
2	Geelong	8 (7.97)	4	128.6
3	Gold Coast	7 (6.83)	4	120.1
4	Hawthorn	7 (7.37)	5	119.8
5	Western Bulldogs	7 (7.38)	5	117.4
6	Collingwood	7 (6.97)	5	115.5
7	Greater Western Sydney	7 (6.62)	5	107.3
8	Adelaide	6 (6.07)	5	108.0
9	Fremantle	6 (5.99)	6	99.7
10	Melbourne	6 (5.92)	6	99.5
11	Sydney	6 (5.65)	6	95.5
12	Port Adelaide	5 (4.73)	6	90.3
13	St Kilda	5 (5.23)	7	90.0
14	Carlton	5 (5.09)	7	88.8
15	North Melbourne	4 (4.05)	7	82.4
16	Richmond	4 (4.46)	8	81.1
17	Essendon	4 (3.82)	8	74.2
18	West Coast	3 (3.46)	9	70.7

Round 13

Adelaide 79 - 86 Geelong Geelong
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.426141 - 0.573859RealScores: 78.935515 - 85.787097

Collingwood 86 - 69 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.677575 - 0.322425RealScores: 86.378066 - 69.413752

Essendon 65 - 82 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.312867 - 0.687133RealScores: 64.582430 - 82.481898

Gold Coast 72 - 89 Brisbane Lions
Carrara (QLD)0.32 wins - 0.68 winsRealProbs: 0.322812 - 0.677188RealScores: 72.191738 - 89.118449

Hawthorn 86 - 83 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.534567 - 0.465433RealScores: 85.655164 - 82.827160

North Melbourne 72 - 96 Fremantle
Hands Oval (WA)0.26 wins - 0.74 winsRealProbs: 0.258023 - 0.741977RealScores: 72.243192 - 95.874426

Sydney Sydney 84 - 70 St Kilda
S.C.G. (NSW)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.649112 - 0.350888RealScores: 84.442339 - 70.188757

West Coast 74 - 83 Port Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.40 wins - 0.60 winsRealProbs: 0.398714 - 0.601286RealScores: 73.621392 - 83.387675

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	9 (9.05)	4	134.9
2	Geelong	9 (8.52)	4	127.0
3	Hawthorn	8 (7.89)	5	118.4
4	Collingwood	8 (7.62)	5	116.2
5	Western Bulldogs	8 (7.86)	5	115.6
6	Gold Coast	7 (7.18)	5	116.2
7	Greater Western Sydney	7 (6.62)	5	107.3
8	Adelaide	7 (6.51)	5	106.4
9	Fremantle	7 (6.69)	6	102.0
10	Melbourne	6 (6.27)	7	98.0
11	Sydney	6 (6.28)	7	97.1
12	Carlton	6 (5.74)	7	91.2
13	St Kilda	6 (5.60)	7	89.5
14	Port Adelaide	5 (5.32)	7	92.0
15	North Melbourne	4 (4.35)	8	81.8
16	Richmond	4 (4.46)	8	81.1
17	Essendon	4 (4.16)	9	74.5
18	West Coast	4 (3.87)	9	71.9

Round 14

Geelong Geelong 99 - 72 Gold Coast
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.770034 - 0.229966RealScores: 98.945765 - 72.060558

Melbourne 93 - 68 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.752749 - 0.247251RealScores: 93.325988 - 68.475769

North Melbourne 90 - 76 West Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.651850 - 0.348150RealScores: 90.287836 - 75.777342

Port Adelaide 76 - 80 Sydney Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.456705 - 0.543295RealScores: 76.324294 - 79.912605

Richmond 55 - 105 Brisbane Lions
Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.08 wins - 0.92 winsRealProbs: 0.082247 - 0.917753RealScores: 54.957377 - 104.824184

St Kilda 81 - 86 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.441159 - 0.558841RealScores: 80.547806 - 85.717022

Western Bulldogs 92 - 72 Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.701286 - 0.298714RealScores: 91.544658 - 72.230834

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	10 (9.93)	4	138.1
2	Geelong	9 (9.25)	5	127.7
3	Western Bulldogs	9 (8.53)	5	116.4
4	Hawthorn	8 (7.89)	5	118.4
5	Collingwood	8 (7.62)	5	116.2
6	Gold Coast	7 (7.45)	6	111.9
7	Greater Western Sydney	7 (7.16)	6	107.3
8	Adelaide	7 (6.84)	6	103.9
9	Fremantle	7 (6.69)	6	102.0
10	Melbourne	7 (6.98)	7	100.3
11	Sydney	7 (6.80)	7	97.6
12	Port Adelaide	6 (5.79)	7	92.3
13	Carlton	6 (5.74)	7	91.2
14	St Kilda	6 (6.06)	8	89.8
15	North Melbourne	5 (4.97)	8	84.2
16	Richmond	5 (4.58)	8	78.4
17	Essendon	4 (4.45)	10	74.4
18	West Coast	4 (4.24)	10	72.7

Round 15

Adelaide 90 - 71 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.699248 - 0.300752RealScores: 89.938023 - 70.830178

Collingwood 93 - 57 Port Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.834694 - 0.165306RealScores: 92.856748 - 57.309439

Fremantle 79 - 92 Geelong Geelong
Perth Stadium (WA)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.357837 - 0.642163RealScores: 78.625104 - 92.229625

Gold Coast 77 - 81 Hawthorn
Carrara (QLD)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.459139 - 0.540861RealScores: 77.332961 - 80.566223

Greater Western Sydney 88 - 72 Carlton Carlton
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.668198 - 0.331802RealScores: 88.228027 - 72.167690

Richmond 76 - 81 North Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.445660 - 0.554340RealScores: 76.464982 - 81.059540

St Kilda 72 - 99 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.23 wins - 0.77 winsRealProbs: 0.228361 - 0.771639RealScores: 72.027334 - 99.106800

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	10 (9.93)	4	138.1
2	Geelong	10 (9.87)	5	127.0
3	Western Bulldogs	9 (9.26)	6	117.7
4	Collingwood	8 (8.41)	6	119.0
5	Hawthorn	8 (8.41)	6	117.4
6	Gold Coast	8 (7.93)	6	110.7
7	Greater Western Sydney	8 (7.80)	6	108.2
8	Adelaide	8 (7.51)	6	105.4
9	Fremantle	7 (7.07)	7	100.6
10	Melbourne	7 (7.32)	8	98.7
11	Sydney	7 (6.80)	7	97.6
12	Carlton	6 (6.10)	8	90.5
13	Port Adelaide	6 (6.00)	8	89.8
14	St Kilda	6 (6.33)	9	88.5
15	North Melbourne	6 (5.51)	8	85.5
16	Richmond	5 (5.05)	9	79.5
17	Essendon	4 (4.45)	10	74.4
18	West Coast	4 (4.24)	10	72.7

Round 16

Brisbane Lions 97 - 63 Sydney Sydney
Gabba (QLD)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.825259 - 0.174741RealScores: 97.073384 - 62.907385

Carlton Carlton 94 - 59 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.832647 - 0.167353RealScores: 93.793984 - 58.550092

Collingwood 90 - 53 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.839523 - 0.160477RealScores: 89.664933 - 53.393204

Fremantle 80 - 77 Gold Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.540136 - 0.459864RealScores: 80.386314 - 77.328209

Hawthorn 95 - 71 Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.747191 - 0.252809RealScores: 95.405850 - 71.189062

North Melbourne 85 - 76 Essendon
Docklands (VIC)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.595490 - 0.404510RealScores: 85.063590 - 76.307647

Port Adelaide 67 - 88 Adelaide
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.28 wins - 0.72 winsRealProbs: 0.281954 - 0.718046RealScores: 66.673565 - 87.715846

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	11 (10.71)	4	139.1
2	Geelong	10 (9.87)	5	127.0
3	Collingwood	9 (9.21)	6	121.6
4	Hawthorn	9 (9.12)	6	118.4
5	Western Bulldogs	9 (9.26)	6	117.7
6	Gold Coast	8 (8.41)	7	109.7
7	Adelaide	8 (8.19)	7	107.0
8	Greater Western Sydney	8 (8.09)	7	105.6
9	Fremantle	8 (7.59)	7	100.9
10	Melbourne	7 (7.32)	8	98.7
11	Sydney	7 (7.02)	8	95.0
12	Carlton	7 (6.89)	8	93.9
13	Port Adelaide	6 (6.32)	9	88.9
14	St Kilda	6 (6.33)	9	88.5
15	North Melbourne	6 (6.08)	9	87.0
16	Richmond	5 (5.25)	10	78.1
17	Essendon	5 (4.87)	10	75.4
18	West Coast	4 (4.46)	11	72.0

Round 17

Essendon 68 - 84 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.325517 - 0.674483RealScores: 67.594555 - 84.259391

Geelong Geelong 90 - 82 Brisbane Lions
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.586772 - 0.413228RealScores: 89.759694 - 82.034367

Gold Coast 74 - 73 Collingwood
Carrara (QLD)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.521407 - 0.478593RealScores: 74.347804 - 73.234377

Greater Western Sydney 89 - 77 Fremantle
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.623903 - 0.376097RealScores: 88.669093 - 76.967877

Hawthorn 95 - 72 Melbourne
York Park (TAS)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.743330 - 0.256670RealScores: 95.441973 - 71.659566

Port Adelaide 91 - 77 North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.649052 - 0.350948RealScores: 91.210016 - 76.962076

Richmond 63 - 81 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.313942 - 0.686058RealScores: 62.906252 - 80.699785

Sydney Sydney 77 - 91 Western Bulldogs
S.C.G. (NSW)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.349539 - 0.650461RealScores: 76.782349 - 91.162384

West Coast 63 - 94 Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.20 wins - 0.80 winsRealProbs: 0.200986 - 0.799014RealScores: 62.974545 - 93.519312

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	11 (11.14)	5	135.3
2	Geelong	10 (10.44)	6	125.8
3	Collingwood	10 (9.71)	6	120.0
4	Hawthorn	10 (9.83)	6	119.3
5	Western Bulldogs	10 (9.89)	6	117.7
6	Gold Coast	9 (8.91)	7	109.2
7	Adelaide	9 (8.94)	7	109.2
8	Greater Western Sydney	9 (8.69)	7	106.2
9	Fremantle	8 (7.99)	8	99.9
10	Melbourne	8 (7.61)	8	97.0
11	Carlton	8 (7.55)	8	95.6
12	Sydney	7 (7.40)	9	94.3
13	Port Adelaide	7 (6.94)	9	90.6
14	St Kilda	7 (6.98)	9	90.3
15	North Melbourne	6 (6.46)	10	86.8
16	Richmond	6 (5.60)	10	78.1
17	Essendon	5 (5.23)	11	75.7
18	West Coast	5 (4.70)	11	71.8

Round 18

Adelaide 82 - 71 Gold Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.616860 - 0.383140RealScores: 81.805215 - 70.984405

Brisbane Lions 111 - 52 Essendon
Gabba (QLD)0.96 wins - 0.04 winsRealProbs: 0.959987 - 0.040013RealScores: 111.201867 - 52.298276

Carlton Carlton 66 - 88 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.273227 - 0.726773RealScores: 65.533968 - 87.502664

Collingwood 97 - 64 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.816430 - 0.183570RealScores: 96.552266 - 63.639791

Fremantle 83 - 71 Sydney Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.625321 - 0.374679RealScores: 83.043873 - 71.302664

Greater Western Sydney 82 - 98 Geelong Geelong
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.334785 - 0.665215RealScores: 82.410782 - 98.185939

Melbourne 91 - 67 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.751146 - 0.248854RealScores: 91.339005 - 66.672508

St Kilda 86 - 71 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.657658 - 0.342342RealScores: 86.248407 - 71.190682

Western Bulldogs 122 - 56 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.99 wins - 0.01 winsRealProbs: 0.985755 - 0.014245RealScores: 121.584858 - 56.486525

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	12 (12.06)	5	138.7
2	Geelong	11 (11.07)	6	125.4
3	Western Bulldogs	11 (10.83)	6	121.9
4	Hawthorn	11 (10.51)	6	120.1
5	Collingwood	10 (10.48)	7	121.7
6	Adelaide	10 (9.53)	7	109.5
7	Gold Coast	9 (9.32)	8	107.8
8	Greater Western Sydney	9 (9.06)	8	104.6
9	Fremantle	9 (8.59)	8	100.8
10	Melbourne	8 (8.32)	9	98.9
11	Carlton	8 (7.86)	9	94.3
12	Sydney	8 (7.80)	9	93.8
13	St Kilda	8 (7.61)	9	91.9
14	Port Adelaide	7 (7.31)	10	90.1
15	North Melbourne	7 (6.69)	10	85.5
16	Richmond	6 (5.89)	11	77.7
17	Essendon	5 (5.31)	12	73.6
18	West Coast	5 (4.76)	12	69.8

Round 19

Collingwood 81 - 62 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.702927 - 0.297073RealScores: 81.021243 - 61.540868

Essendon 70 - 93 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.26 wins - 0.74 winsRealProbs: 0.263521 - 0.736479RealScores: 70.138286 - 93.160845

Geelong Geelong 108 - 65 St Kilda
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.88 wins - 0.12 winsRealProbs: 0.877632 - 0.122368RealScores: 107.555431 - 65.123611

Gold Coast 83 - 87 Western Bulldogs
Carrara (QLD)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.451089 - 0.548911RealScores: 83.212483 - 86.872085

North Melbourne 80 - 98 Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.314032 - 0.685968RealScores: 80.060637 - 97.845355

Port Adelaide 76 - 82 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.437166 - 0.562834RealScores: 76.451313 - 81.513833

Richmond 57 - 98 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.13 wins - 0.87 winsRealProbs: 0.131416 - 0.868584RealScores: 56.681343 - 97.575971

Sydney Sydney 74 - 76 Adelaide
S.C.G. (NSW)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.475011 - 0.524989RealScores: 74.400702 - 75.696385

West Coast 59 - 113 Brisbane Lions
Perth Stadium (WA)0.06 wins - 0.94 winsRealProbs: 0.064961 - 0.935039RealScores: 59.316353 - 112.722527

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	13 (12.95)	5	141.2
2	Geelong	12 (11.90)	6	127.3
3	Hawthorn	11 (11.34)	7	122.3
4	Collingwood	11 (11.15)	7	122.2
5	Western Bulldogs	11 (11.35)	7	120.9
6	Adelaide	10 (10.03)	8	109.1
7	Gold Coast	10 (9.80)	8	107.1
8	Greater Western Sydney	10 (9.75)	8	106.0
9	Fremantle	9 (9.13)	9	101.1
10	Melbourne	9 (8.97)	9	100.2
11	Sydney	8 (8.30)	10	94.0
12	Carlton	8 (8.19)	10	93.2
13	Port Adelaide	8 (7.78)	10	90.3
14	St Kilda	8 (7.78)	10	89.6
15	North Melbourne	7 (7.04)	11	85.3
16	Richmond	6 (6.07)	12	76.5
17	Essendon	6 (5.62)	12	73.7
18	West Coast	5 (4.87)	13	68.7

Round 20

Adelaide 73 - 69 Collingwood
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.555010 - 0.444990RealScores: 73.121895 - 68.934834

Brisbane Lions 109 - 58 Port Adelaide
Gabba (QLD)0.92 wins - 0.08 winsRealProbs: 0.923907 - 0.076093RealScores: 108.851270 - 57.748771

Carlton Carlton 73 - 80 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.424968 - 0.575032RealScores: 73.349570 - 79.568868

Fremantle 98 - 61 West Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.85 wins - 0.15 winsRealProbs: 0.845261 - 0.154739RealScores: 98.017033 - 60.868960

Greater Western Sydney 86 - 78 Sydney Sydney
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.589144 - 0.410856RealScores: 85.807853 - 78.129299

Hawthorn 101 - 57 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.89 wins - 0.11 winsRealProbs: 0.889469 - 0.110531RealScores: 101.198389 - 56.680637

Melbourne 79 - 103 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.253622 - 0.746378RealScores: 78.608883 - 102.733800

North Melbourne 78 - 89 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.377880 - 0.622120RealScores: 78.073755 - 89.255321

Western Bulldogs 107 - 59 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.91 wins - 0.09 winsRealProbs: 0.907916 - 0.092084RealScores: 106.992624 - 59.046549

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	14 (13.83)	5	143.3
2	Geelong	13 (12.61)	6	127.5
3	Hawthorn	12 (12.18)	7	124.7
4	Western Bulldogs	12 (12.21)	7	123.4
5	Collingwood	12 (11.62)	7	120.6
6	Adelaide	11 (10.56)	8	108.9
7	Gold Coast	10 (10.34)	9	107.2
8	Greater Western Sydney	10 (10.31)	9	106.2
9	Fremantle	10 (9.92)	9	103.5
10	Melbourne	9 (9.27)	10	98.7
11	Sydney	9 (8.74)	10	93.8
12	Carlton	9 (8.65)	10	93.2
13	St Kilda	8 (8.37)	11	90.9
14	Port Adelaide	8 (7.90)	11	87.8
15	North Melbourne	7 (7.45)	12	85.4
16	Richmond	6 (6.20)	13	75.1
17	Essendon	6 (5.78)	13	72.7
18	West Coast	5 (5.07)	14	68.4

Round 21

Carlton Carlton 66 - 91 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.24 wins - 0.76 winsRealProbs: 0.243124 - 0.756876RealScores: 65.972790 - 91.299756

Collingwood 77 - 82 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.438225 - 0.561775RealScores: 76.855752 - 81.642722

Essendon 63 - 87 Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.26 wins - 0.74 winsRealProbs: 0.261684 - 0.738316RealScores: 63.436470 - 86.661375

Fremantle 81 - 89 Western Bulldogs
Perth Stadium (WA)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.406846 - 0.593154RealScores: 80.796224 - 88.804128

Gold Coast 93 - 74 Melbourne
Carrara (QLD)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.694030 - 0.305970RealScores: 92.909960 - 74.325958

Hawthorn 107 - 65 North Melbourne
York Park (TAS)0.88 wins - 0.12 winsRealProbs: 0.878191 - 0.121809RealScores: 107.488668 - 64.960315

Port Adelaide 80 - 89 Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.40 wins - 0.60 winsRealProbs: 0.399537 - 0.600463RealScores: 79.739847 - 88.514240

Richmond 82 - 63 West Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.695226 - 0.304774RealScores: 82.172761 - 63.469144

St Kilda 78 - 77 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.521581 - 0.478419RealScores: 77.722362 - 76.908734

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	15 (14.54)	5	143.1
2	Hawthorn	13 (13.01)	7	126.6
3	Geelong	13 (13.14)	7	126.4
4	Western Bulldogs	13 (12.77)	7	122.6
5	Collingwood	12 (12.09)	8	119.1
6	Adelaide	11 (11.25)	9	110.1
7	Gold Coast	11 (11.00)	9	108.0
8	Greater Western Sydney	11 (10.88)	9	106.4
9	Fremantle	10 (10.36)	10	102.8
10	Melbourne	10 (9.62)	10	97.6
11	Sydney	9 (9.24)	11	94.1
12	Carlton	9 (8.94)	11	92.0
13	St Kilda	9 (8.87)	11	91.3
14	Port Adelaide	8 (8.33)	12	87.9
15	North Melbourne	8 (7.62)	12	83.9
16	Richmond	7 (6.86)	13	77.1
17	Essendon	6 (6.08)	14	72.7
18	West Coast	5 (5.42)	15	68.7

Round 22

Adelaide 95 - 52 Richmond
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.88 wins - 0.12 winsRealProbs: 0.878436 - 0.121564RealScores: 94.593346 - 52.022508

Brisbane Lions 88 - 71 Hawthorn
Gabba (QLD)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.671771 - 0.328229RealScores: 87.780007 - 71.376677

Geelong Geelong 117 - 56 Essendon
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.97 wins - 0.03 winsRealProbs: 0.968810 - 0.031190RealScores: 116.508150 - 55.544455

Greater Western Sydney 85 - 83 Gold Coast
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.535082 - 0.464918RealScores: 84.607819 - 82.549823

Melbourne 87 - 78 Fremantle
M.C.G. (VIC)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.597944 - 0.402056RealScores: 86.847578 - 78.424430

St Kilda 75 - 76 Carlton Carlton
Docklands (VIC)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.471982 - 0.528018RealScores: 74.764800 - 76.133183

Sydney Sydney 89 - 68 Port Adelaide
S.C.G. (NSW)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.718409 - 0.281591RealScores: 88.658678 - 67.578221

West Coast 59 - 94 Collingwood
Perth Stadium (WA)0.17 wins - 0.83 winsRealProbs: 0.166474 - 0.833526RealScores: 58.876487 - 94.250442

Western Bulldogs 115 - 70 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.89 wins - 0.11 winsRealProbs: 0.890508 - 0.109492RealScores: 115.177029 - 70.472009

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	15 (15.17)	6	142.1
2	Geelong	14 (14.06)	7	129.4
3	Western Bulldogs	14 (13.61)	7	124.4
4	Hawthorn	13 (13.37)	8	123.9
5	Collingwood	13 (12.87)	8	120.8
6	Adelaide	12 (12.08)	9	112.6
7	Gold Coast	11 (11.50)	10	107.5
8	Greater Western Sydney	11 (11.38)	10	106.2
9	Fremantle	11 (10.80)	10	102.2
10	Melbourne	10 (10.18)	11	98.2
11	Sydney	10 (9.91)	11	95.6
12	Carlton	9 (9.44)	12	92.4
13	St Kilda	9 (9.37)	12	91.6
14	Port Adelaide	9 (8.66)	12	87.3
15	North Melbourne	8 (7.78)	13	82.6
16	Richmond	7 (7.03)	14	76.0
17	Essendon	6 (6.16)	15	71.2
18	West Coast	6 (5.63)	15	68.4

Round 23

Brisbane Lions 91 - 70 Gold Coast
Gabba (QLD)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.722322 - 0.277678RealScores: 91.402001 - 69.908186

Essendon 67 - 84 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.326555 - 0.673445RealScores: 67.340851 - 83.905441

Fremantle 77 - 74 Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.546571 - 0.453429RealScores: 77.376666 - 74.257796

Greater Western Sydney 110 - 60 West Coast
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.92 wins - 0.08 winsRealProbs: 0.922002 - 0.077998RealScores: 110.344717 - 59.627613

Hawthorn 76 - 71 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.563268 - 0.436732RealScores: 75.627559 - 70.842814

North Melbourne 72 - 116 Geelong Geelong
Docklands (VIC)0.11 wins - 0.89 winsRealProbs: 0.111706 - 0.888294RealScores: 71.696208 - 116.003047

Port Adelaide 81 - 86 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.435127 - 0.564873RealScores: 81.130148 - 86.076467

Richmond 67 - 82 St Kilda
M.C.G. (VIC)0.34 wins - 0.66 winsRealProbs: 0.339535 - 0.660465RealScores: 66.572553 - 81.699991

Western Bulldogs 96 - 69 Carlton Carlton
Docklands (VIC)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.765392 - 0.234608RealScores: 95.561718 - 69.233084

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	16 (15.85)	6	141.6
2	Geelong	15 (14.89)	7	130.8
3	Western Bulldogs	14 (14.33)	8	125.0
4	Hawthorn	14 (13.90)	8	123.2
5	Collingwood	13 (13.35)	9	119.4
6	Adelaide	13 (12.57)	9	111.8
7	Greater Western Sydney	12 (12.25)	10	108.9
8	Gold Coast	12 (11.82)	10	105.8
9	Fremantle	11 (11.31)	11	102.3
10	Melbourne	11 (10.71)	11	98.6
11	Sydney	11 (10.55)	11	96.7
12	St Kilda	10 (9.99)	12	92.8
13	Carlton	10 (9.72)	12	91.3
14	Port Adelaide	9 (9.13)	13	87.6
15	North Melbourne	8 (7.94)	14	81.4
16	Richmond	7 (7.41)	15	76.2
17	Essendon	7 (6.53)	15	71.6
18	West Coast	6 (5.76)	16	67.7

Round 24

Adelaide 88 - 72 Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.670283 - 0.329717RealScores: 88.458978 - 72.312552

Carlton Carlton 78 - 73 Fremantle
Docklands (VIC)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.564552 - 0.435448RealScores: 77.858026 - 73.015746

Collingwood 72 - 77 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.431402 - 0.568598RealScores: 72.057297 - 77.307444

Essendon 75 - 78 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.452947 - 0.547053RealScores: 74.593439 - 77.691818

Geelong Geelong 114 - 54 Richmond
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.97 wins - 0.03 winsRealProbs: 0.968254 - 0.031746RealScores: 114.476694 - 53.644561

Melbourne 79 - 101 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)0.28 wins - 0.72 winsRealProbs: 0.280728 - 0.719272RealScores: 79.391463 - 100.562824

St Kilda 74 - 84 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.388465 - 0.611535RealScores: 74.465107 - 84.156023

Sydney Sydney 96 - 70 North Melbourne
S.C.G. (NSW)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.759095 - 0.240905RealScores: 95.921025 - 70.335487

West Coast 60 - 105 Hawthorn
Perth Stadium (WA)0.11 wins - 0.89 winsRealProbs: 0.106991 - 0.893009RealScores: 60.155290 - 105.313878

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	16 (16.38)	7	140.0
2	Geelong	16 (15.81)	7	133.4
3	Western Bulldogs	15 (15.00)	8	125.1
4	Hawthorn	15 (14.74)	8	125.1
5	Collingwood	14 (13.82)	9	118.1
6	Adelaide	13 (13.20)	10	112.2
7	Greater Western Sydney	13 (12.62)	10	107.6
8	Gold Coast	12 (12.39)	11	106.1
9	Fremantle	12 (11.78)	11	101.9
10	Sydney	11 (11.26)	12	98.2
11	Melbourne	11 (11.03)	12	97.5
12	St Kilda	10 (10.42)	13	92.6
13	Carlton	10 (10.24)	13	91.9
14	Port Adelaide	10 (9.64)	13	88.3
15	North Melbourne	8 (8.23)	15	81.0
16	Richmond	7 (7.49)	16	74.5
17	Essendon	7 (7.02)	16	72.5
18	West Coast	6 (5.92)	17	67.2

FINALS: WEEK 1

Brisbane Lions 88 - 72 Hawthorn
Gabba (QLD)

Geelong Geelong 94 - 88 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)

Collingwood 82 - 66 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)

Adelaide 88 - 73 Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)

FINALS: WEEK 2

Hawthorn 75 - 71 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)

Western Bulldogs 91 - 72 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)

FINALS: WEEK 3

Brisbane Lions 95 - 77 Western Bulldogs
Gabba (QLD)

Geelong Geelong 86 - 83 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)

2026 AFL GRAND FINAL

Geelong Geelong 85 - 87 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)

Note: Finals tips are an unreliable way to forecast the eventual premier. For a better method, see FLAGPOLE.

Tipping by SQUIGGLE7

		Attack	Defence	Combined
1	Brisbane Lions	62.6	65.9	64.3
2	Geelong	64.5	60.0	62.2
3	Hawthorn	58.1	63.1	60.6
4	Western Bulldogs	62.3	58.4	60.4
5	Collingwood	52.6	65.2	58.9
6	Gold Coast	54.9	58.8	56.8
7	Adelaide	52.2	60.4	56.3
8	Greater Western Sydney	55.7	53.9	54.8
9	Fremantle	50.9	55.5	53.2
10	Sydney	50.2	55.8	53.0
11	Melbourne	53.4	51.9	52.6
12	Carlton	47.5	55.4	51.5
13	St Kilda	48.3	52.5	50.4
14	Port Adelaide	46.5	49.9	48.2
15	North Melbourne	48.1	45.8	47.0
16	Essendon	41.4	48.3	44.8
17	Richmond	40.2	49.3	44.8
18	West Coast	39.2	43.8	41.5

Geelong def Brisbane Lions	6.9%
Brisbane Lions def Geelong	6.9%
Brisbane Lions def Western Bulldogs	5.1%
Brisbane Lions def Hawthorn	5.0%
Western Bulldogs def Brisbane Lions	4.1%
Hawthorn def Brisbane Lions	4.1%
Geelong def Western Bulldogs	4.0%
Geelong def Hawthorn	3.6%
Brisbane Lions def Collingwood	3.3%
Hawthorn def Geelong	3.0%
Western Bulldogs def Geelong	2.9%
Brisbane Lions def Adelaide	2.6%
Geelong def Collingwood	2.4%
Collingwood def Brisbane Lions	2.1%
Hawthorn def Western Bulldogs	2.1%
Western Bulldogs def Hawthorn	2.0%
Geelong def Adelaide	1.8%
Brisbane Lions def Gold Coast	1.7%
Western Bulldogs def Collingwood	1.6%
Collingwood def Geelong	1.5%