Squiggle 2026

INFO

What Squiggles are • How to play through a season • Prediction • FAQ • The Model • Flagpole

What Squiggles are

Squiggles are visualizations of AFL team performances, charting attack and defence over the course of a season.

Teams ⇡ high on the chart kick big scores. Teams on the ⇢ right keep their opposition to low scores. Teams in the ↗ upper-right do both. Teams in the ↙ lower-left do neither.

Squiggles are handy because:

They visualize different game styles. For example, Ross Lyon teams at their peak lurk on the right side of the chart about halfway up, since they keep their opposition to low scores without scoring highly themselves.
They provide interesting season replays, showing how teams rose or fell at different times of the year.
They minimize fixture bias by accounting for the difficulty of opponents (and venue).
They predict how the season will play out based on current likelihoods.

Squiggle is roughly as accurate as tipping the favourite every game. (Which is hard to beat!) Over a season, an informed, observant human should be able to beat it, but not by much. It will beat an average human tipper. You can review its accuracy by visiting the TIPS section of any year.

How to play through a season

To watch the evolution of a past season, use the top controls:

Rewind to the start of the season

Previous Round

Next Round

Reload

You can also:

Click a team name in the legend at the top to hide/show it.
Click a team flag to remove every other team.

For example, you might like to rewind, click Hawthorn's flag to remove all other teams, click Geelong's name in the legend to add it back in, then repeatedly step through the season to watch their dance of death.

To zoom in on an area, drag a box around it.

Prediction

Weekly Tips

Click TIPS at the top of the page. If a team beats the tipped scoreline—i.e. wins by more than predicted, loses by less than predicted, or records an upset win—it will generally move in a positive direction on the chart (i.e. more up-and-right than down-and-left), while if its result is worse, it will generally move in a negative direction.

You can view tips for previous rounds via the "History" link on the Tips page.

Season Predictor

This is how the ladder will look if Squiggle has correctly rated every team and nobody gets better or worse.

For the home & away season, it uses a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of tips. Both teams are awarded a win probability from each game, so that if Squiggle thinks Hawthorn is 68% likely to beat Collingwood, it will award the Hawks 0.68 wins and the Pies 0.32 wins, increasing both team's tally of "probable wins" by less than 1.

This is because if a team plays 10 games with 60% likelihood of winning each game, we should expect them to win about 6/10—not, as we would get if we tipped each game and tallied up the tips, 10/10. We know that upsets will happen; we just don't know when. A probabilitistic ladder accounts for the likelihood that teams will sometimes unexpectedly win or lose, even though we doesn't know when.

This can look like a bug in the predictor, if you see a team tipped to win a match that doesn't seem to be credited. For example, a team might be on "15 (14.7)" wins, which means 14.7 "probable wins" rounded off to 15. (Rounding occurs so that teams can be secondarily ranked by their percentage.) And then that team is tipped to win the following week, but it remains on 15 wins, now "15 (15.3)". What has happened is the number of probable wins hasn't risen by enough to be rounded to a higher number. It has earned 0.6 more probable wins, but this still rounds off to 15. The predictor is saying it's still most likely this team will be on 15 wins, after accounting for the likelihood that some of its tips will be wrong.

Finals matches are predicted using simple tips. However, this isn't a very reliable way of doing it, and not Squiggle's official Premier tip. For this, please see Flagpole.

Starting the season: Team starting positions are heavily influenced by their late-season performances the previous year, and the off-season is completely ignored. There is no adjustment made for recovery from injuries, or players gained or lost via the draft or trade table, or anything else. For example, Collingwood started 2015 rated very low due to their injury-plagued end to 2014, while Adelaide and West Coast started in good positions after solid late-2014 performances.

Interactive Season Predictor

Drag teams around the chart and make Squiggle predict the rest of the season based on the new positions! It's the best of both worlds: your footy insight plus Squiggle's ability to sensibly model a season.

Reposition teams to your heart's content, open up the Predictor and click RECALCULATE.

This also provides a shareable link to the generated squiggle, so you can show off your work to other people.

FAQ

What causes a team to move?

Teams move when they do better or worse than Squiggle expected.

The most important factor is the final scoreline. When a team scores more than Squiggle expected, they move ⇡ up; when they score less, they move move ⇣ down; when they hold their opposition to a lower score, they move ⇢; right; and when they allow their opposition to score more, they move ⇠ left.

Of course, usually two of these things happen at once, so they move on a diagonal:

↗ Scored more than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↘ Scored less than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↙ Scored less than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

↖ Scored more than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

How far a team moves depends on how different the result was from Squiggle's prediction. If the result was close to expectation, a team may barely budge. But an unexpected thrashing will cause a lot of movement.

Do teams get more movement against easy opposition?

No, because Squiggle expects better performances against weaker opponents, and to move to a better position, the team has to beat this expectation.

For the same reason, Squiggle isn't affected by fixture bias.

Can a team lose and still move into a better squiggle position?

Yes! Squiggle believes in honourable losses and shameful victories. If a team is expected to win by 10 goals but only prevails by 5, it will slide.

What factors are considered?

A team's rating is modified after each game by looking at:

Scores, obviously.
Scoring Shots: a team is rated more highly if they record more scoring shots.
Venue: teams are expected to perform better at venues with which they are more familiar.
Team Selections: teams are expected to perform better when they select more highly-rated players.
Stage of Season: team ratings are more fluid in the early part of each season.
Past Games: each new game is combined with past results.

Can a team beat the tipped result and still fall back on the chart?

Yes! Two factors can cause unusual chart movement:

Scoring Shots: where one team is much more accurate than the other. For example, in the opening match of 2018, Richmond won 17.19 (121) to Carlton 15.5 (95). Squiggle tipped a 29-point win, so normally the Tigers would slightly regress after winning by only 26 points. However, after factoring in the scoring shot disparity, Richmond's performance was rated more highly, and the Tigers moved positively on the chart.
Team Selections: where a team has significant ins/outs. For example, in the second match of 2018, Essendon defeated Adelaide by 12 points. This was very similar to Squiggle's expectation of a 7-point Essendon win, so normally neither team would move much. However, Adelaide selected a much weaker team than their previous game (the 2017 Grand Final); without this, Squiggle would have tipped Adelaide by 9 points. As a result, Essendon received less positive movement than they would have for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide. The Crows also saw negative movement, since the result was worse than what would have been expected from them given their previous rating.

How is home ground advantage determined?

As described in the Model section, home ground advantage in Squiggle 2.0 is generated from ground familiarity: How often the teams have played at the same ground and in the same state over the preceding 4 years (including the current season).

What are Squiggle's weaknesses?

Some quirks of Squiggle, which you may decide to compensate for as an intelligent human, include:

Squiggle doesn't consider a team's level of motivation, which seems to be fairly significant. Squiggle assumes all teams are trying equally hard at all times.
Squiggle doesn't consider the impact of weather. It may reward a team for having a good defence when in reality what was making it hard to score was torrential rain. This doesn't seem to happen often enough to throw anything too far out, but does occur from time to time.
Squiggle doesn't place any special value on wins. That is, it doesn't see much difference between a 1-point victory and a 1-point loss. It may thus underestimate a team that does "just enough," or is especially good at holding on in tight contests. Likewise, it may overestimate a team that regularly gets itself into winning positions against good teams but lacks the ability to close the games out.
Squiggle gets excited about very low-scoring games. The maths mean that if a team is expected to keep its opposition to 80 points, and it actually keeps them to 40, this is considered twice as good, while keeping them to 20 points is considered four times as good, and keeping them to 10 points is eight times as good. Those are some big multipliers: to be 8 times better than a predicted 80 points in terms of Attack, a team would need to score 640 points (80 x 8), which is a lot more than the all-time AFL record. This means it's significantly easier for a team to move rapidly rightwards on a squiggle than upwards.
The underlying model generates some inflation over the course of a season, which causes Squiggle to rate teams about 5-10% higher by the end of the year compared to the start. This seems useful for predictive purposes, as it allows for more movement leading into finals. However, it means that a team that doesn't actually change strength at all will be shown to slightly improve its chart position over the course of the season.

Why does the model use those values?

All the numbers used by Squiggle are that way because they worked best (i.e. made the most accurate predictions) when every possible combination was tested with a simulator replaying the last few decades.

How are the year's starting values calculated?

2015 starting positions are very similar to their end 2014 positions—the only difference is that 2013 data is no longer considered, so teams are modeled from the start of 2014 with each beginning on 50 ATTACK and 50 DEFENCE.

This means late-season 2014 results weigh quite heavily. For example, Collingwood had an injury-plagued end to 2014, and so is rated very low. Adelaide and West Coast, by contrast, finished the year with several solid performances, and so begin the year higher than you might expect.

What's with those crazy charts for the 1900s!?

Football scores were a lot lower a century ago, especially in the very early years, when single-digit scorelines abounded. Squiggle is calibrated for modern football, and thinks a game in which one team is held to a single goal (or no goals!) signifies an unbelievably good defensive effort. This causes teams to go shooting off to the right quite often in charts from the 1890s, 1900s and 1910s. So it's not a particularly good visualization of the strength of any particular team in that era. But it is interesting in terms of how different the whole league looks: how low and flat it is compared to today.

Similary, it can be interesting to look at where the mass of teams tends to sit in different decades; for example, how attacking the late 1980s was, with plenty of teams sitting high & centre/left compared to today.

The Model

The foundation of the Squiggle model is the OFFDEF engine, which rates teams separately in terms of attack and defense. Each team is initially assigned a starting value of 50 for each.

Scores are predicted for each match using the formula:

PREDICTED SCORE = 85 * TEAM ATTACK ÷ OPPOSITION DEFENCE

For example, in a match between a team with ATTACK 56 and an opposition with DEFENCE 50, the team is predicted to score: 85 * 56 ÷ 50 = 95 points.

Predicted scores are compared to the actual scores, and ATTACK and DEFENCE adjusted accordingly. For example, if a team scored more highly than predicted, its ATTACK score needs to be increased, since Squiggle underrated it. Likewise, the opposition's DEFENCE score should decrease, since they failed to restrict the team as well as predicted. This is done by calculating what these scores would have to have been to predict the result perfectly, then constructing a weighted average of this along with all other results.

At the start of a season, team starting points are calculated by doing the above for the previous season. For example, to calculate starting points for 2014, each team is assigned 50 to ATTACK and DEFENCE, then the 2013 season is played through.

The units are completely arbitrary, and entirely due to the choice of 50 as a starting value for each team's ATTACK and DEFENCE. They have no meaning except when comparing teams to each other.

Several other filters and algorithms are used to manipulate scores produced by the OFFDEF engine, including venue (for home ground advantage), round number, team selections, and scoring shots.

Home Ground Advantage

Teams are compared based on the number of times they've played at the venue and in the same state.

Tip Probability

When determining "probable wins" in the Season Predictor, an algorithm is used that reflects the actual accuracy of Squiggle tips vs real-life results. Three factors affect the likelihood of a tip being correct:

Margin: The greater the predicted margin, the more likely the tip is to be correct.
Round Number: Games that occur later in the season are a little more likely to be tipped correctly.
Weeks Until Game: Games that are weeks or months in the future are a little less likely to be tipped correctly.

Model Versions

Squiggle v1 used the algorithm ISTATE-91:12, in which 12 points of Home Ground Advantage is awarded to the home team in interstate games only, and each new game forms 9% of the team's new rating (with previous games forming 91%). Follow this link for Squiggles generated under the v1 algorithm.

Squiggle 2.0 made several changes in 2018:

Greater sensitivity in early rounds to better captures the sometimes substantial form changes that occur over an off-season.
Factor in goalkicking accuracy, by discounting scores that resulted from unusually high accuracy (i.e. kicking many more goals than behinds), and padding scores that resulted from unusually low accuracy, since these tend to be non-reproducible.
Generate home ground advantage from a ground familiarity algorithm.

Squiggle4 added Ins/Out awareness in mid-2018, so it can adjust predictions based on team selection.

Squiggle5 moved to a more crowd-based model of home ground advantage in 2020.

To compare Squiggle's performance to other computer models, see the Squiggle Models Leaderboard.

Flagpole

Flagpole is currently a combined strength rating of each team, downgraded by its likelihood of missing finals.

For example, if two teams are currently have the same combined OFFENCE and DEFENCE, but one is certain of making finals while the other has a 25% chance of missing, the latter's will Flagpole will be 75% of the height of the former.

SEASON PREDICTOR

Recalculate

		Wins	%
1	Brisbane Lions	15.4	133.7%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
2	Western Bulldogs	14.9	128.2%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
3	Gold Coast	14.8	126.0%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
4	Hawthorn	13.9	119.6%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
5	Sydney	13.6	116.8%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
6	Geelong	13.0	112.2%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
7	Adelaide	12.9	112.0%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
8	Collingwood	12.6	110.4%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
9	Fremantle	11.7	103.0%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
10	Greater Western Sydney	10.9	97.6%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
11	St Kilda	10.6	95.5%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
12	Port Adelaide	10.5	94.5%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
13	Carlton	10.5	94.7%	2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
14	Essendon	9.1	85.3%	3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
15	Melbourne	9.0	85.6%	3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
16	North Melbourne	8.9	84.9%	4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
17	West Coast	7.7	76.8%	6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
18	Richmond	6.8	70.9%	8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Home & Away...

How Prediction Works

This is a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of squiggle tips. Sometimes a team will be tipped to win but not seem to be credited for it: this is because the predictor considers the likelihood of upsets. For details, click INFO → Prediction at the top of this page.

Round 0

Brisbane Lions 89 - 82 Western Bulldogs
Gabba (QLD)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.565761 - 0.434239RealScores: 88.691890 - 82.163951

Greater Western Sydney 79 - 88 Hawthorn
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.411839 - 0.588161RealScores: 79.128330 - 87.747347

St Kilda 69 - 77 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.413230 - 0.586770RealScores: 68.795466 - 77.285690

		W	L	%
1	Sydney	1 (1.00)	0	191.3
2	Gold Coast	1 (1.00)	0	181.2
3	Collingwood	1 (0.54)	0	112.3
4	Hawthorn	1 (0.54)	0	110.9
5	Brisbane Lions	1 (0.52)	0	107.9
6	Western Bulldogs	0 (0.48)	1	92.6
7	Greater Western Sydney	0 (0.46)	1	90.2
8	St Kilda	0 (0.46)	1	89.0
9	Geelong	0 (0.00)	1	55.2
10	Carlton	0 (0.00)	1	52.3

Round 1

Carlton Carlton 86 - 64 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.728149 - 0.271851RealScores: 86.168010 - 64.051518

Collingwood 74 - 67 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.574494 - 0.425506RealScores: 74.145168 - 66.797333

Essendon 67 - 88 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.28 wins - 0.72 winsRealProbs: 0.283441 - 0.716559RealScores: 66.887267 - 87.773601

Geelong Geelong 93 - 77 Fremantle
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.660806 - 0.339194RealScores: 92.725900 - 77.370143

Gold Coast 103 - 62 West Coast
Carrara (QLD)0.87 wins - 0.13 winsRealProbs: 0.865725 - 0.134275RealScores: 102.770864 - 62.352048

Melbourne 81 - 85 St Kilda
M.C.G. (VIC)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.467165 - 0.532835RealScores: 81.229785 - 84.584271

North Melbourne 85 - 84 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 84.293706 - 84.283121

Sydney Sydney 80 - 86 Brisbane Lions
S.C.G. (NSW)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.444456 - 0.555544RealScores: 80.163203 - 85.721958

Western Bulldogs 103 - 77 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.764136 - 0.235864RealScores: 103.446786 - 77.267461

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	2 (1.79)	0	173.4
2	Sydney	1 (1.47)	1	137.1
3	Hawthorn	1 (1.20)	1	120.2
4	Western Bulldogs	1 (1.17)	1	111.8
5	Collingwood	1 (1.08)	1	111.7
6	Brisbane Lions	1 (1.05)	1	107.4
7	North Melbourne	1 (0.50)	0	100.0
8	St Kilda	1 (0.97)	1	96.8
9	Greater Western Sydney	1 (0.76)	1	81.8
10	Geelong	1 (0.61)	1	79.9
11	Carlton	1 (0.66)	1	79.1
12	Port Adelaide	0 (0.50)	1	100.0
13	Melbourne	0 (0.49)	1	96.0
14	Adelaide	0 (0.46)	1	90.1
15	Fremantle	0 (0.39)	1	83.4
16	Essendon	0 (0.35)	1	76.2
17	Richmond	0 (0.34)	1	74.3
18	West Coast	0 (0.21)	1	60.7

Round 2

Adelaide 81 - 82 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.498532 - 0.501468RealScores: 81.838845 - 81.994020

Fremantle 93 - 73 Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.705786 - 0.294214RealScores: 92.874148 - 73.102263

Greater Western Sydney 87 - 79 St Kilda
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.572942 - 0.427058RealScores: 86.550488 - 79.347890

Hawthorn 87 - 76 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.606283 - 0.393717RealScores: 86.552387 - 76.261452

Port Adelaide 83 - 70 Essendon
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.635340 - 0.364660RealScores: 83.048018 - 70.077535

Richmond 63 - 95 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.20 wins - 0.80 winsRealProbs: 0.195253 - 0.804747RealScores: 63.260843 - 94.570170

West Coast 83 - 84 North Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.490430 - 0.509570RealScores: 82.508213 - 83.510170

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	3 (2.52)	0	165.6
2	Sydney	2 (1.90)	1	119.5
3	Hawthorn	2 (1.77)	1	117.9
4	Western Bulldogs	2 (1.67)	1	108.0
5	Collingwood	1 (1.08)	1	111.7
6	Port Adelaide	1 (1.10)	1	108.4
7	Brisbane Lions	1 (1.05)	1	107.4
8	Fremantle	1 (1.04)	1	102.7
9	North Melbourne	1 (1.00)	1	100.6
10	Adelaide	1 (0.96)	1	95.2
11	St Kilda	1 (1.42)	2	95.0
12	Greater Western Sydney	1 (1.31)	2	89.8
13	Melbourne	1 (0.84)	1	87.0
14	Essendon	1 (0.75)	1	80.2
15	Geelong	1 (0.61)	1	79.9
16	Carlton	1 (0.66)	1	79.1
17	West Coast	1 (0.71)	1	77.8
18	Richmond	1 (0.60)	1	70.4

Round 3

Carlton Carlton 89 - 78 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.611362 - 0.388638RealScores: 88.714297 - 77.956002

Collingwood 85 - 70 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.649747 - 0.350253RealScores: 84.519729 - 70.206615

Essendon 82 - 81 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.503424 - 0.496576RealScores: 81.259334 - 80.898293

Fremantle 92 - 58 Richmond
Perth Stadium (WA)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.821718 - 0.178282RealScores: 91.713716 - 58.054881

Geelong Geelong 89 - 76 Adelaide
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.629904 - 0.370096RealScores: 88.524249 - 76.056940

Port Adelaide 90 - 67 West Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.733494 - 0.266506RealScores: 90.032849 - 67.337188

St Kilda 71 - 91 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.30 wins - 0.70 winsRealProbs: 0.298265 - 0.701735RealScores: 71.208468 - 90.567864

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	3 (2.52)	0	165.6
2	Sydney	2 (1.90)	1	119.5
3	Hawthorn	2 (1.77)	1	117.9
4	Fremantle	2 (1.80)	1	117.0
5	Port Adelaide	2 (1.78)	1	116.1
6	Collingwood	2 (1.70)	1	114.7
7	Brisbane Lions	2 (1.71)	1	113.5
8	Western Bulldogs	2 (1.67)	1	108.0
9	North Melbourne	2 (1.50)	1	100.3
10	St Kilda	2 (1.76)	2	90.6
11	Greater Western Sydney	2 (1.70)	2	88.2
12	Adelaide	1 (1.36)	2	91.8
13	Geelong	1 (1.21)	2	89.9
14	Carlton	1 (1.25)	2	89.0
15	Melbourne	1 (1.26)	2	87.3
16	Essendon	1 (1.25)	2	86.7
17	West Coast	1 (1.03)	2	76.8
18	Richmond	1 (0.84)	2	68.0

Round 4

Adelaide 83 - 68 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.658117 - 0.341883RealScores: 83.225735 - 68.124615

Brisbane Lions 84 - 65 Collingwood
Gabba (QLD)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.693812 - 0.306188RealScores: 83.554349 - 64.992145

Hawthorn 88 - 81 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.572286 - 0.427714RealScores: 88.485818 - 81.344644

Melbourne 75 - 97 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.271308 - 0.728692RealScores: 74.931549 - 97.106577

North Melbourne 78 - 90 Carlton Carlton
Docklands (VIC)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.382514 - 0.617486RealScores: 78.492898 - 89.814880

Richmond 69 - 80 Port Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.386703 - 0.613297RealScores: 69.367045 - 80.303470

West Coast 71 - 96 Sydney Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.250762 - 0.749238RealScores: 71.114358 - 95.563292

Western Bulldogs 100 - 68 Essendon
Docklands (VIC)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.806620 - 0.193380RealScores: 99.753469 - 68.191203

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	3 (3.21)	1	155.6
2	Sydney	3 (2.60)	1	122.9
3	Brisbane Lions	2 (2.36)	2	116.8
4	Western Bulldogs	2 (2.42)	2	116.3
5	Port Adelaide	2 (2.37)	2	116.0
6	Hawthorn	2 (2.33)	2	115.5
7	Fremantle	2 (2.18)	2	107.5
8	Collingwood	2 (2.04)	2	104.0
9	Adelaide	2 (1.98)	2	98.4
10	North Melbourne	2 (1.91)	2	96.8
11	Carlton	2 (1.84)	2	94.7
12	St Kilda	2 (1.76)	2	90.6
13	Geelong	2 (1.66)	2	90.4
14	Greater Western Sydney	2 (1.70)	2	88.2
15	Melbourne	2 (1.57)	2	84.6
16	Essendon	1 (1.50)	3	81.5
17	West Coast	1 (1.33)	3	76.2
18	Richmond	1 (1.25)	3	72.2

Round 5

Adelaide 84 - 69 Carlton Carlton
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.657208 - 0.342792RealScores: 83.588371 - 68.573147

Collingwood 77 - 69 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.576852 - 0.423148RealScores: 76.554938 - 68.986901

Essendon 80 - 81 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.496910 - 0.503090RealScores: 80.224474 - 80.550362

Geelong Geelong 105 - 69 West Coast
Norwood Oval (SA)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.836693 - 0.163307RealScores: 104.826196 - 68.980485

Greater Western Sydney 92 - 66 Richmond
Barossa Park (SA)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.762722 - 0.237278RealScores: 92.359310 - 66.347379

Hawthorn 82 - 86 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.466144 - 0.533856RealScores: 82.460555 - 85.915940

North Melbourne 70 - 106 Brisbane Lions
Barossa Park (SA)0.16 wins - 0.84 winsRealProbs: 0.164478 - 0.835522RealScores: 69.869527 - 105.540245

Port Adelaide 82 - 76 St Kilda
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.561155 - 0.438845RealScores: 81.876313 - 75.783812

Sydney Sydney 79 - 87 Gold Coast
Norwood Oval (SA)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.418509 - 0.581491RealScores: 78.762453 - 86.762676

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	4 (3.77)	1	145.3
2	Brisbane Lions	3 (3.14)	2	123.3
3	Sydney	3 (3.03)	2	115.9
4	Port Adelaide	3 (2.92)	2	114.4
5	Western Bulldogs	3 (2.94)	2	113.8
6	Hawthorn	3 (2.80)	2	111.2
7	Collingwood	3 (2.61)	2	105.3
8	Fremantle	3 (2.62)	2	104.0
9	Adelaide	3 (2.61)	2	102.7
10	Geelong	2 (2.44)	3	100.1
11	Greater Western Sydney	2 (2.41)	3	96.2
12	Carlton	2 (2.21)	3	92.2
13	St Kilda	2 (2.21)	3	90.9
14	North Melbourne	2 (2.13)	3	89.5
15	Melbourne	2 (2.07)	3	87.4
16	Essendon	2 (2.00)	3	84.9
17	West Coast	2 (1.55)	3	73.9
18	Richmond	2 (1.53)	3	72.1

Round 6

Adelaide 85 - 67 St Kilda
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.689490 - 0.310510RealScores: 84.996836 - 66.864371

Carlton Carlton 69 - 77 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.421719 - 0.578281RealScores: 69.316785 - 77.018107

Geelong Geelong 90 - 93 Western Bulldogs
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.468154 - 0.531846RealScores: 90.062718 - 93.319404

Gold Coast 96 - 62 Essendon
Carrara (QLD)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.823575 - 0.176425RealScores: 95.968459 - 62.044478

Hawthorn 93 - 67 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.762480 - 0.237520RealScores: 92.763585 - 66.780242

Melbourne 72 - 102 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.20 wins - 0.80 winsRealProbs: 0.203678 - 0.796322RealScores: 71.544290 - 101.734819

North Melbourne 87 - 71 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.674010 - 0.325990RealScores: 87.166066 - 70.546886

Sydney Sydney 94 - 80 Greater Western Sydney
S.C.G. (NSW)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.650467 - 0.349533RealScores: 93.901451 - 79.520812

West Coast 67 - 90 Fremantle
Perth Stadium (WA)0.26 wins - 0.74 winsRealProbs: 0.261884 - 0.738116RealScores: 67.016580 - 90.219361

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	5 (4.54)	1	146.7
2	Brisbane Lions	4 (3.89)	2	126.3
3	Sydney	4 (3.66)	2	116.3
4	Hawthorn	4 (3.52)	2	115.2
5	Western Bulldogs	3 (3.47)	3	111.9
6	Fremantle	3 (3.31)	3	108.6
7	Adelaide	3 (3.27)	3	106.3
8	Collingwood	3 (3.17)	3	106.3
9	Port Adelaide	3 (3.20)	3	105.8
10	Geelong	3 (2.92)	3	99.5
11	North Melbourne	3 (2.77)	3	94.2
12	Greater Western Sydney	3 (2.79)	3	94.1
13	Carlton	3 (2.65)	3	91.9
14	St Kilda	3 (2.56)	3	88.9
15	Melbourne	2 (2.33)	4	84.2
16	Essendon	2 (2.22)	4	81.2
17	West Coast	2 (1.85)	4	74.0
18	Richmond	2 (1.89)	4	73.6

Round 7

Brisbane Lions 89 - 66 Adelaide
Gabba (QLD)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.729652 - 0.270348RealScores: 88.501348 - 66.222799

Essendon 62 - 80 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.310809 - 0.689191RealScores: 62.352891 - 80.455734

Fremantle 84 - 73 Carlton Carlton
Perth Stadium (WA)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.614612 - 0.385388RealScores: 83.877506 - 72.820124

Greater Western Sydney 98 - 80 North Melbourne
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.683481 - 0.316519RealScores: 97.709031 - 80.168581

Hawthorn 78 - 80 Gold Coast
York Park (TAS)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.477260 - 0.522740RealScores: 78.105625 - 80.452741

Port Adelaide 81 - 92 Geelong Geelong
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.390252 - 0.609748RealScores: 81.039902 - 91.649708

Richmond 70 - 86 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.329652 - 0.670348RealScores: 70.182649 - 86.449148

St Kilda 91 - 65 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.764988 - 0.235012RealScores: 91.413794 - 65.133199

Western Bulldogs 96 - 80 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.675569 - 0.324431RealScores: 96.284419 - 79.514587

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	5 (5.06)	2	139.8
2	Brisbane Lions	5 (4.58)	2	127.3
3	Western Bulldogs	4 (4.11)	3	113.2
4	Hawthorn	4 (4.01)	3	112.5
5	Sydney	4 (4.01)	3	110.6
6	Fremantle	4 (3.91)	3	109.5
7	Collingwood	4 (3.83)	3	109.2
8	Port Adelaide	4 (3.61)	3	102.9
9	Geelong	4 (3.51)	3	101.3
10	Adelaide	4 (3.58)	3	101.1
11	Greater Western Sydney	3 (3.44)	4	97.9
12	St Kilda	3 (3.28)	4	94.8
13	North Melbourne	3 (3.12)	4	92.3
14	Carlton	3 (3.05)	4	91.2
15	Melbourne	3 (2.97)	4	88.7
16	Essendon	3 (2.57)	4	80.7
17	Richmond	2 (2.25)	5	74.6
18	West Coast	2 (2.13)	5	73.6

Round 8

Adelaide 84 - 69 Port Adelaide
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.653846 - 0.346154RealScores: 84.054570 - 69.356379

Carlton Carlton 81 - 76 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.541687 - 0.458313RealScores: 80.582912 - 76.359803

Collingwood 70 - 75 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.449651 - 0.550349RealScores: 70.274602 - 75.335708

Essendon 65 - 94 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.21 wins - 0.79 winsRealProbs: 0.211044 - 0.788956RealScores: 64.983963 - 94.220856

Geelong Geelong 109 - 75 North Melbourne
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.829834 - 0.170166RealScores: 109.495995 - 74.665768

Gold Coast 98 - 72 Greater Western Sydney
Carrara (QLD)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.766596 - 0.233404RealScores: 98.280076 - 71.807830

Sydney Sydney 102 - 72 Melbourne
S.C.G. (NSW)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.796094 - 0.203906RealScores: 102.415123 - 72.254384

West Coast 79 - 66 Richmond
Perth Stadium (WA)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.641355 - 0.358645RealScores: 79.381879 - 65.852597

Western Bulldogs 99 - 71 Fremantle
Docklands (VIC)0.78 wins - 0.22 winsRealProbs: 0.783078 - 0.216922RealScores: 99.151047 - 70.659437

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	6 (5.78)	2	139.4
2	Brisbane Lions	5 (5.32)	3	129.3
3	Western Bulldogs	5 (4.85)	3	116.2
4	Sydney	5 (4.76)	3	114.1
5	Hawthorn	5 (4.55)	3	111.9
6	Collingwood	4 (4.29)	4	107.1
7	Geelong	4 (4.29)	4	106.2
8	Adelaide	4 (4.20)	4	103.4
9	Fremantle	4 (4.17)	4	103.4
10	Port Adelaide	4 (3.98)	4	100.2
11	St Kilda	4 (3.75)	4	94.8
12	Greater Western Sydney	4 (3.72)	4	94.3
13	Carlton	4 (3.59)	4	92.8
14	North Melbourne	3 (3.33)	5	88.6
15	Melbourne	3 (3.22)	5	86.1
16	Essendon	3 (2.82)	5	79.1
17	West Coast	3 (2.75)	5	77.9
18	Richmond	3 (2.63)	5	75.6

Round 9

Brisbane Lions 96 - 65 Carlton Carlton
Gabba (QLD)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.801526 - 0.198474RealScores: 96.241908 - 65.363874

Fremantle 76 - 80 Hawthorn
Perth Stadium (WA)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.460593 - 0.539407RealScores: 76.487142 - 80.384740

Geelong Geelong 80 - 78 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.515083 - 0.484917RealScores: 79.794918 - 78.358642

Gold Coast 93 - 68 St Kilda
Marrara Oval (NT)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.746739 - 0.253261RealScores: 92.516093 - 68.350404

Greater Western Sydney 90 - 72 Essendon
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.685279 - 0.314721RealScores: 89.632519 - 71.915555

Melbourne 92 - 73 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.704553 - 0.295447RealScores: 92.230710 - 72.584765

North Melbourne 78 - 98 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.291094 - 0.708906RealScores: 78.249985 - 98.341941

Port Adelaide 77 - 96 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.30 wins - 0.70 winsRealProbs: 0.295546 - 0.704454RealScores: 76.695337 - 96.331152

Richmond 61 - 85 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.254553 - 0.745447RealScores: 61.343205 - 85.363202

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	6 (6.49)	3	138.9
2	Brisbane Lions	6 (6.08)	3	131.1
3	Western Bulldogs	6 (5.52)	3	117.2
4	Sydney	5 (5.44)	4	115.4
5	Hawthorn	5 (5.08)	4	111.1
6	Adelaide	5 (4.91)	4	106.7
7	Collingwood	5 (4.78)	4	106.0
8	Geelong	5 (4.80)	4	105.8
9	Fremantle	5 (4.64)	4	102.5
10	Port Adelaide	4 (4.31)	5	97.5
11	Greater Western Sydney	4 (4.37)	5	97.2
12	St Kilda	4 (4.04)	5	92.2
13	Melbourne	4 (3.89)	5	89.9
14	Carlton	4 (3.83)	5	89.7
15	North Melbourne	4 (3.66)	5	87.5
16	Essendon	3 (3.17)	6	79.3
17	West Coast	3 (3.08)	6	78.0
18	Richmond	3 (2.92)	6	75.2

Round 10

Adelaide 96 - 67 North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.79 wins - 0.21 winsRealProbs: 0.789937 - 0.210063RealScores: 96.383894 - 67.021276

Brisbane Lions 97 - 76 Geelong Geelong
Gabba (QLD)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.709805 - 0.290195RealScores: 96.615273 - 76.430672

Carlton Carlton 75 - 96 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.28 wins - 0.72 winsRealProbs: 0.276552 - 0.723448RealScores: 74.627987 - 96.241408

Essendon 74 - 78 Fremantle
M.C.G. (VIC)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.451239 - 0.548761RealScores: 73.771910 - 78.461574

Gold Coast 95 - 67 Port Adelaide
Marrara Oval (NT)0.78 wins - 0.22 winsRealProbs: 0.778421 - 0.221579RealScores: 95.366002 - 67.455240

Melbourne 71 - 97 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.24 wins - 0.76 winsRealProbs: 0.239065 - 0.760935RealScores: 71.319141 - 97.120438

St Kilda 87 - 62 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.749261 - 0.250739RealScores: 86.713333 - 62.261784

Sydney Sydney 81 - 71 Collingwood
S.C.G. (NSW)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.603400 - 0.396600RealScores: 80.826717 - 70.801188

West Coast 77 - 90 Greater Western Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.364516 - 0.635484RealScores: 76.845333 - 89.829180

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	7 (7.23)	3	139.2
2	Brisbane Lions	7 (6.76)	3	130.6
3	Western Bulldogs	6 (6.21)	4	118.3
4	Sydney	6 (6.03)	4	115.3
5	Hawthorn	6 (5.80)	4	113.5
6	Adelaide	6 (5.66)	4	110.1
7	Collingwood	5 (5.19)	5	103.9
8	Fremantle	5 (5.18)	5	102.8
9	Geelong	5 (5.12)	5	102.8
10	Greater Western Sydney	5 (4.99)	5	99.0
11	St Kilda	5 (4.75)	5	95.8
12	Port Adelaide	5 (4.57)	5	94.4
13	Carlton	4 (4.14)	6	88.4
14	Melbourne	4 (4.17)	6	88.1
15	North Melbourne	4 (3.91)	6	85.6
16	Essendon	4 (3.63)	6	80.6
17	West Coast	3 (3.47)	7	78.7
18	Richmond	3 (3.21)	7	74.8

Round 11

Collingwood 94 - 55 West Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.857580 - 0.142420RealScores: 93.643291 - 54.554121

Fremantle 86 - 70 St Kilda
Perth Stadium (WA)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.663874 - 0.336126RealScores: 85.932802 - 70.285393

Geelong Geelong 95 - 82 Sydney Sydney
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.639256 - 0.360744RealScores: 95.144452 - 81.810486

Greater Western Sydney 75 - 96 Brisbane Lions
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.28 wins - 0.72 winsRealProbs: 0.282733 - 0.717267RealScores: 74.985304 - 95.945830

Hawthorn 81 - 70 Adelaide
York Park (TAS)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.612589 - 0.387411RealScores: 81.223053 - 70.351855

North Melbourne 73 - 101 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.22 wins - 0.78 winsRealProbs: 0.223942 - 0.776058RealScores: 73.228849 - 100.848007

Port Adelaide 80 - 78 Carlton Carlton
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.523291 - 0.476709RealScores: 80.160375 - 78.203709

Richmond 65 - 79 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.354191 - 0.645809RealScores: 64.697736 - 78.642334

Western Bulldogs 110 - 73 Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.844636 - 0.155364RealScores: 109.947410 - 72.895693

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	8 (7.96)	3	139.0
2	Brisbane Lions	7 (7.44)	4	130.4
3	Western Bulldogs	7 (7.01)	4	121.1
4	Hawthorn	6 (6.40)	5	113.7
5	Sydney	6 (6.41)	5	112.1
6	Collingwood	6 (6.00)	5	108.7
7	Adelaide	6 (6.06)	5	107.7
8	Fremantle	6 (5.82)	5	104.4
9	Geelong	6 (5.74)	5	104.0
10	Greater Western Sydney	5 (5.30)	6	96.9
11	Port Adelaide	5 (5.08)	6	95.1
12	St Kilda	5 (5.11)	6	94.5
13	Carlton	5 (4.63)	6	89.1
14	Melbourne	4 (4.37)	7	85.7
15	North Melbourne	4 (4.18)	7	84.3
16	Essendon	4 (4.25)	7	83.4
17	West Coast	4 (3.65)	7	76.8
18	Richmond	4 (3.59)	7	75.5

Round 12

Brisbane Lions 95 - 65 Fremantle
Gabba (QLD)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.796963 - 0.203037RealScores: 95.419111 - 65.144479

Carlton Carlton 80 - 91 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.394024 - 0.605976RealScores: 80.395382 - 90.658014

Melbourne 83 - 94 Greater Western Sydney
Traeger Park (NT)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.386113 - 0.613887RealScores: 82.581973 - 93.572649

St Kilda 70 - 88 Hawthorn
Docklands (VIC)0.32 wins - 0.68 winsRealProbs: 0.317220 - 0.682780RealScores: 70.127761 - 87.599509

Sydney Sydney 103 - 56 Richmond
S.C.G. (NSW)0.90 wins - 0.10 winsRealProbs: 0.898808 - 0.101192RealScores: 102.648459 - 56.422862

West Coast 75 - 76 Essendon
Perth Stadium (WA)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.478185 - 0.521815RealScores: 74.597592 - 76.275694

Western Bulldogs 86 - 72 Collingwood
Docklands (VIC)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.649098 - 0.350902RealScores: 85.793084 - 71.540824

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	8 (7.96)	3	139.0
2	Brisbane Lions	8 (8.19)	4	131.6
3	Western Bulldogs	8 (7.64)	4	121.0
4	Sydney	7 (7.26)	5	116.3
5	Hawthorn	7 (7.05)	5	114.5
6	Adelaide	6 (6.06)	5	107.7
7	Collingwood	6 (6.38)	6	106.1
8	Geelong	6 (6.33)	6	104.7
9	Fremantle	6 (6.06)	6	100.8
10	Greater Western Sydney	6 (5.90)	6	98.2
11	Port Adelaide	5 (5.08)	6	95.1
12	St Kilda	5 (5.46)	7	93.2
13	Carlton	5 (5.04)	7	89.1
14	Melbourne	5 (4.77)	7	85.9
15	Essendon	5 (4.76)	7	84.8
16	North Melbourne	4 (4.18)	7	84.3
17	West Coast	4 (4.14)	8	78.3
18	Richmond	4 (3.73)	8	73.5

Round 13

Adelaide 85 - 80 Geelong Geelong
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.558695 - 0.441305RealScores: 84.929853 - 79.651337

Collingwood 88 - 67 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.715287 - 0.284713RealScores: 88.183595 - 67.430200

Essendon 70 - 82 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.375033 - 0.624967RealScores: 70.421854 - 82.433219

Gold Coast 79 - 82 Brisbane Lions
Carrara (QLD)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.455274 - 0.544726RealScores: 78.543103 - 82.395307

Hawthorn 82 - 86 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.458889 - 0.541111RealScores: 82.445003 - 85.931493

North Melbourne 74 - 94 Fremantle
Hands Oval (WA)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.292430 - 0.707570RealScores: 73.837188 - 93.791809

Sydney Sydney 93 - 71 St Kilda
S.C.G. (NSW)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.730549 - 0.269451RealScores: 93.090570 - 70.714985

West Coast 75 - 82 Port Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.427726 - 0.572274RealScores: 75.342056 - 82.027981

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	9 (8.72)	4	129.4
2	Gold Coast	8 (8.43)	4	134.8
3	Western Bulldogs	8 (8.16)	5	119.6
4	Sydney	8 (7.96)	5	117.4
5	Hawthorn	8 (7.52)	5	112.9
6	Collingwood	7 (7.06)	6	107.9
7	Adelaide	7 (6.60)	5	107.6
8	Geelong	7 (6.79)	6	103.8
9	Fremantle	7 (6.74)	6	102.7
10	Greater Western Sydney	6 (5.90)	6	98.2
11	Port Adelaide	6 (5.64)	6	96.2
12	St Kilda	6 (5.76)	7	91.7
13	Carlton	6 (5.65)	7	90.9
14	Melbourne	5 (5.09)	8	85.2
15	Essendon	5 (5.15)	8	84.9
16	North Melbourne	5 (4.50)	7	83.9
17	West Coast	5 (4.59)	8	79.2
18	Richmond	4 (3.73)	8	73.5

Round 14

Geelong Geelong 88 - 84 Gold Coast
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.545067 - 0.454933RealScores: 88.215705 - 84.448527

Melbourne 82 - 79 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.539825 - 0.460175RealScores: 82.006886 - 78.767951

North Melbourne 87 - 79 West Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.594637 - 0.405363RealScores: 87.465866 - 78.552518

Port Adelaide 78 - 88 Sydney Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.393557 - 0.606443RealScores: 77.700692 - 87.883148

Richmond 54 - 106 Brisbane Lions
Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.07 wins - 0.93 winsRealProbs: 0.074048 - 0.925952RealScores: 54.032582 - 105.551503

St Kilda 86 - 80 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.560667 - 0.439333RealScores: 85.627472 - 80.270906

Western Bulldogs 93 - 71 Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.730771 - 0.269229RealScores: 93.116279 - 70.716586

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	10 (9.61)	4	133.0
2	Gold Coast	9 (8.90)	4	131.1
3	Western Bulldogs	9 (8.86)	5	120.4
4	Sydney	9 (8.55)	5	117.1
5	Hawthorn	8 (7.52)	5	112.9
6	Collingwood	7 (7.06)	6	107.9
7	Adelaide	7 (6.91)	6	104.7
8	Geelong	7 (7.31)	7	103.9
9	Fremantle	7 (6.74)	6	102.7
10	Greater Western Sydney	6 (6.36)	7	97.8
11	Port Adelaide	6 (6.05)	7	95.5
12	St Kilda	6 (6.30)	8	92.7
13	Carlton	6 (5.65)	7	90.9
14	Melbourne	6 (5.61)	8	86.4
15	Essendon	6 (5.63)	8	85.6
16	North Melbourne	5 (5.08)	8	85.7
17	West Coast	5 (5.01)	9	80.0
18	Richmond	4 (3.85)	9	71.4

Round 15

Adelaide 95 - 67 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.78 wins - 0.22 winsRealProbs: 0.778532 - 0.221468RealScores: 94.809540 - 66.884951

Collingwood 86 - 62 Port Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.744377 - 0.255623RealScores: 85.751071 - 61.851365

Fremantle 86 - 85 Geelong Geelong
Perth Stadium (WA)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.510224 - 0.489776RealScores: 85.152043 - 84.944000

Gold Coast 85 - 73 Hawthorn
Carrara (QLD)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.620621 - 0.379379RealScores: 85.075415 - 73.482951

Greater Western Sydney 86 - 80 Carlton Carlton
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.567755 - 0.432245RealScores: 86.213680 - 80.244749

Richmond 72 - 86 North Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.354879 - 0.645121RealScores: 71.916333 - 85.796619

St Kilda 73 - 98 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.24 wins - 0.76 winsRealProbs: 0.238011 - 0.761989RealScores: 72.503895 - 98.429269

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	10 (9.61)	4	133.0
2	Gold Coast	10 (9.50)	4	130.0
3	Western Bulldogs	10 (9.58)	5	121.4
4	Sydney	9 (8.55)	5	117.1
5	Hawthorn	8 (7.92)	6	110.8
6	Collingwood	8 (7.76)	6	109.8
7	Adelaide	8 (7.65)	6	107.0
8	Geelong	8 (7.81)	7	103.6
9	Fremantle	7 (7.24)	7	102.5
10	Greater Western Sydney	7 (6.91)	7	98.5
11	St Kilda	7 (6.58)	8	91.2
12	Port Adelaide	6 (6.34)	8	93.8
13	Carlton	6 (6.10)	8	91.0
14	North Melbourne	6 (5.70)	8	87.6
15	Essendon	6 (5.63)	8	85.6
16	Melbourne	6 (5.87)	9	85.3
17	West Coast	5 (5.01)	9	80.0
18	Richmond	4 (4.23)	10	72.3

Round 16

Brisbane Lions 93 - 73 Sydney Sydney
Gabba (QLD)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.716056 - 0.283944RealScores: 93.359469 - 72.525692

Carlton Carlton 94 - 63 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.801753 - 0.198247RealScores: 94.328334 - 63.420041

Collingwood 88 - 53 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.830436 - 0.169564RealScores: 88.138750 - 53.220206

Fremantle 76 - 84 Gold Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.410645 - 0.589355RealScores: 75.863453 - 83.970494

Hawthorn 97 - 70 Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.769358 - 0.230642RealScores: 96.839703 - 70.035974

North Melbourne 82 - 81 Essendon
Docklands (VIC)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.510999 - 0.489001RealScores: 81.173468 - 80.984159

Port Adelaide 70 - 84 Adelaide
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.351304 - 0.648696RealScores: 69.598173 - 83.812776

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	10 (10.29)	5	132.7
2	Gold Coast	10 (10.07)	5	128.7
3	Western Bulldogs	10 (9.58)	5	121.4
4	Sydney	9 (8.87)	6	114.0
5	Collingwood	9 (8.55)	6	112.7
6	Hawthorn	9 (8.65)	6	112.5
7	Adelaide	8 (8.27)	7	107.8
8	Geelong	8 (7.81)	7	103.6
9	Fremantle	8 (7.67)	7	101.6
10	Greater Western Sydney	7 (7.18)	8	96.5
11	Carlton	7 (6.85)	8	93.9
12	Port Adelaide	7 (6.72)	8	93.1
13	St Kilda	7 (6.58)	8	91.2
14	North Melbourne	6 (6.20)	9	88.4
15	Essendon	6 (6.13)	9	86.6
16	Melbourne	6 (5.87)	9	85.3
17	West Coast	5 (5.25)	10	79.1
18	Richmond	4 (4.44)	11	71.5

Round 17

Essendon 72 - 80 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.405228 - 0.594772RealScores: 71.731197 - 80.298561

Geelong Geelong 85 - 88 Brisbane Lions
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.457301 - 0.542699RealScores: 84.914152 - 88.131792

Gold Coast 83 - 66 Collingwood
Carrara (QLD)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.676673 - 0.323327RealScores: 82.501151 - 65.624389

Greater Western Sydney 85 - 80 Fremantle
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.557130 - 0.442870RealScores: 85.163362 - 80.493138

Hawthorn 100 - 69 Melbourne
York Park (TAS)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.802542 - 0.197458RealScores: 99.726551 - 68.713028

Port Adelaide 93 - 76 North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.674243 - 0.325757RealScores: 92.609245 - 75.967582

Richmond 62 - 88 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.24 wins - 0.76 winsRealProbs: 0.235558 - 0.764442RealScores: 62.001925 - 88.217603

Sydney Sydney 86 - 90 Western Bulldogs
S.C.G. (NSW)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.447754 - 0.552246RealScores: 85.811422 - 89.987585

West Coast 67 - 87 Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.286364 - 0.713636RealScores: 66.630590 - 87.211952

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	11 (10.81)	5	130.5
2	Gold Coast	11 (10.72)	5	128.5
3	Western Bulldogs	10 (10.11)	6	120.2
4	Hawthorn	9 (9.41)	7	114.4
5	Sydney	9 (9.34)	7	112.7
6	Collingwood	9 (8.90)	7	110.3
7	Adelaide	9 (8.95)	7	109.1
8	Geelong	8 (8.29)	8	103.1
9	Fremantle	8 (8.14)	8	101.2
10	Greater Western Sydney	8 (7.71)	8	97.1
11	Carlton	8 (7.58)	8	96.2
12	Port Adelaide	7 (7.36)	9	94.7
13	St Kilda	7 (7.15)	9	92.3
14	North Melbourne	7 (6.56)	9	88.0
15	Essendon	7 (6.56)	9	86.7
16	Melbourne	6 (6.12)	10	84.1
17	West Coast	6 (5.57)	10	78.9
18	Richmond	5 (4.72)	11	71.4

Round 18

Adelaide 76 - 78 Gold Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.474540 - 0.525460RealScores: 76.406893 - 77.830575

Brisbane Lions 102 - 58 Essendon
Gabba (QLD)0.89 wins - 0.11 winsRealProbs: 0.885876 - 0.114124RealScores: 101.540119 - 57.664699

Carlton Carlton 71 - 87 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.332248 - 0.667752RealScores: 70.891662 - 86.909231

Collingwood 90 - 67 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.735844 - 0.264156RealScores: 90.117110 - 67.164346

Fremantle 81 - 82 Sydney Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.478045 - 0.521955RealScores: 81.003010 - 82.084126

Greater Western Sydney 86 - 95 Geelong Geelong
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.40 wins - 0.60 winsRealProbs: 0.401343 - 0.598657RealScores: 86.000402 - 94.872520

Melbourne 88 - 69 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.703494 - 0.296506RealScores: 88.084899 - 68.546898

St Kilda 85 - 73 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.625198 - 0.374802RealScores: 84.693933 - 72.966192

Western Bulldogs 117 - 59 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.95 wins - 0.05 winsRealProbs: 0.954732 - 0.045268RealScores: 116.637009 - 58.930957

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	12 (11.65)	5	132.7
2	Gold Coast	11 (11.22)	6	126.9
3	Western Bulldogs	11 (11.02)	6	123.7
4	Hawthorn	10 (10.05)	7	114.8
5	Sydney	10 (9.84)	7	112.0
6	Collingwood	10 (9.60)	7	111.6
7	Adelaide	9 (9.45)	8	108.5
8	Geelong	9 (8.87)	8	103.5
9	Fremantle	9 (8.64)	8	101.0
10	Greater Western Sydney	8 (8.14)	9	96.7
11	Carlton	8 (7.94)	9	95.3
12	Port Adelaide	8 (7.76)	9	94.2
13	St Kilda	8 (7.75)	9	93.6
14	North Melbourne	7 (6.86)	10	87.2
15	Melbourne	7 (6.78)	10	86.1
16	Essendon	7 (6.72)	10	84.6
17	West Coast	6 (5.66)	11	76.8
18	Richmond	5 (5.05)	12	71.8

Round 19

Collingwood 79 - 68 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.619429 - 0.380571RealScores: 78.663478 - 67.671414

Essendon 78 - 83 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.436959 - 0.563041RealScores: 78.232258 - 83.315817

Geelong Geelong 98 - 73 St Kilda
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.760638 - 0.239362RealScores: 98.302711 - 72.536283

Gold Coast 88 - 82 Western Bulldogs
Carrara (QLD)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.570994 - 0.429006RealScores: 88.371054 - 82.476621

North Melbourne 88 - 89 Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.479590 - 0.520410RealScores: 88.065086 - 88.914682

Port Adelaide 80 - 78 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.530898 - 0.469102RealScores: 79.769317 - 77.895002

Richmond 56 - 98 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.12 wins - 0.88 winsRealProbs: 0.123302 - 0.876698RealScores: 55.852672 - 98.123521

Sydney Sydney 85 - 73 Adelaide
S.C.G. (NSW)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.631238 - 0.368762RealScores: 85.035906 - 72.756084

West Coast 64 - 103 Brisbane Lions
Perth Stadium (WA)0.14 wins - 0.86 winsRealProbs: 0.139373 - 0.860627RealScores: 63.620058 - 103.202291

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	12 (12.46)	6	134.2
2	Gold Coast	12 (11.76)	6	125.6
3	Western Bulldogs	11 (11.47)	7	121.8
4	Hawthorn	11 (10.88)	7	117.4
5	Sydney	10 (10.44)	8	112.2
6	Collingwood	10 (10.19)	8	111.8
7	Adelaide	10 (9.85)	8	107.0
8	Geelong	10 (9.58)	8	105.1
9	Fremantle	9 (9.13)	9	100.8
10	Greater Western Sydney	9 (8.68)	9	97.2
11	Carlton	8 (8.35)	10	94.8
12	Port Adelaide	8 (8.27)	10	94.6
13	St Kilda	8 (8.04)	10	92.3
14	North Melbourne	7 (7.36)	11	87.8
15	Melbourne	7 (7.28)	11	86.9
16	Essendon	7 (7.18)	11	85.1
17	West Coast	6 (5.85)	12	75.8
18	Richmond	5 (5.22)	13	70.9

Round 20

Adelaide 75 - 66 Collingwood
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.600932 - 0.399068RealScores: 74.928893 - 66.013608

Brisbane Lions 102 - 62 Port Adelaide
Gabba (QLD)0.87 wins - 0.13 winsRealProbs: 0.866787 - 0.133213RealScores: 102.224136 - 61.629087

Carlton Carlton 73 - 87 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.353030 - 0.646970RealScores: 73.454357 - 87.369744

Fremantle 92 - 65 West Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.78 wins - 0.22 winsRealProbs: 0.776854 - 0.223146RealScores: 92.476558 - 64.759383

Greater Western Sydney 80 - 93 Sydney Sydney
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.361049 - 0.638951RealScores: 80.199205 - 93.223057

Hawthorn 92 - 63 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.79 wins - 0.21 winsRealProbs: 0.788442 - 0.211558RealScores: 91.916035 - 62.744834

Melbourne 80 - 102 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.266756 - 0.733244RealScores: 79.745671 - 102.414042

North Melbourne 79 - 89 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.386741 - 0.613259RealScores: 78.578446 - 88.805280

Western Bulldogs 112 - 56 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.94 wins - 0.06 winsRealProbs: 0.944523 - 0.055477RealScores: 111.637001 - 56.196639

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	13 (13.28)	6	135.7
2	Gold Coast	12 (12.38)	7	125.3
3	Western Bulldogs	12 (12.37)	7	124.8
4	Hawthorn	12 (11.62)	7	118.7
5	Sydney	11 (11.05)	8	112.4
6	Collingwood	11 (10.62)	8	110.5
7	Adelaide	10 (10.42)	9	107.3
8	Geelong	10 (10.28)	9	106.2
9	Fremantle	10 (9.86)	9	102.6
10	Greater Western Sydney	9 (9.07)	10	96.5
11	Carlton	9 (8.73)	10	94.2
12	St Kilda	9 (8.62)	10	93.3
13	Port Adelaide	8 (8.45)	11	92.4
14	North Melbourne	8 (7.78)	11	87.9
15	Melbourne	8 (7.59)	11	86.4
16	Essendon	7 (7.44)	12	84.2
17	West Coast	6 (6.12)	13	75.5
18	Richmond	5 (5.32)	14	69.5

Round 21

Carlton Carlton 71 - 91 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.293437 - 0.706563RealScores: 70.877197 - 90.728584

Collingwood 80 - 78 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.530445 - 0.469555RealScores: 79.914815 - 78.238746

Essendon 68 - 80 Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.374207 - 0.625793RealScores: 68.445902 - 79.928118

Fremantle 80 - 90 Western Bulldogs
Perth Stadium (WA)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.386164 - 0.613836RealScores: 79.808350 - 90.002134

Gold Coast 106 - 66 Melbourne
Carrara (QLD)0.87 wins - 0.13 winsRealProbs: 0.868261 - 0.131739RealScores: 106.439326 - 65.598800

Hawthorn 102 - 68 North Melbourne
York Park (TAS)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.824119 - 0.175881RealScores: 102.184116 - 68.182003

Port Adelaide 87 - 81 Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.571157 - 0.428843RealScores: 86.564191 - 80.825707

Richmond 75 - 70 West Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.561511 - 0.438489RealScores: 74.997372 - 70.237104

St Kilda 77 - 86 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.40 wins - 0.60 winsRealProbs: 0.396416 - 0.603584RealScores: 77.350937 - 86.454618

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	14 (13.95)	6	135.3
2	Gold Coast	13 (13.20)	7	126.9
3	Western Bulldogs	13 (12.96)	7	124.2
4	Hawthorn	12 (12.39)	8	120.1
5	Sydney	12 (11.62)	8	112.4
6	Collingwood	11 (11.12)	9	110.1
7	Adelaide	11 (11.01)	9	107.8
8	Geelong	11 (10.78)	9	105.8
9	Fremantle	10 (10.28)	10	101.8
10	Greater Western Sydney	10 (9.53)	10	96.4
11	Carlton	9 (9.06)	11	93.3
12	Port Adelaide	9 (8.99)	11	93.1
13	St Kilda	9 (9.05)	11	93.1
14	North Melbourne	8 (8.00)	12	86.7
15	Melbourne	8 (7.77)	12	85.0
16	Essendon	8 (7.85)	12	84.2
17	West Coast	7 (6.59)	13	76.3
18	Richmond	6 (5.85)	14	71.0

Round 22

Adelaide 96 - 50 Richmond
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.90 wins - 0.10 winsRealProbs: 0.898807 - 0.101193RealScores: 96.465947 - 50.240460

Brisbane Lions 88 - 71 Hawthorn
Gabba (QLD)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.676326 - 0.323674RealScores: 87.793481 - 70.950328

Geelong Geelong 101 - 66 Essendon
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.829025 - 0.170975RealScores: 100.957950 - 66.245826

Greater Western Sydney 77 - 93 Gold Coast
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.32 wins - 0.68 winsRealProbs: 0.324970 - 0.675030RealScores: 76.685072 - 93.402834

Melbourne 81 - 85 Fremantle
M.C.G. (VIC)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.446652 - 0.553348RealScores: 81.056134 - 84.920278

St Kilda 77 - 80 Carlton Carlton
Docklands (VIC)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.461559 - 0.538441RealScores: 77.277541 - 79.665175

Sydney Sydney 96 - 69 Port Adelaide
S.C.G. (NSW)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.769930 - 0.230070RealScores: 96.228250 - 69.355590

West Coast 64 - 84 Collingwood
Perth Stadium (WA)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.286009 - 0.713991RealScores: 63.789551 - 84.407860

Western Bulldogs 114 - 71 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.88 wins - 0.12 winsRealProbs: 0.876299 - 0.123701RealScores: 113.611742 - 71.409436

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	15 (14.59)	6	134.7
2	Gold Coast	14 (13.84)	7	126.7
3	Western Bulldogs	14 (13.78)	7	125.7
4	Hawthorn	13 (12.75)	8	117.9
5	Sydney	12 (12.34)	9	113.5
6	Collingwood	12 (11.79)	9	111.0
7	Adelaide	12 (11.86)	9	110.5
8	Geelong	12 (11.55)	9	107.6
9	Fremantle	11 (10.80)	10	102.0
10	Greater Western Sydney	10 (9.89)	11	95.6
11	Carlton	10 (9.57)	11	93.8
12	St Kilda	10 (9.55)	11	93.3
13	Port Adelaide	9 (9.27)	12	92.0
14	Melbourne	8 (8.26)	13	85.4
15	North Melbourne	8 (8.18)	13	85.2
16	Essendon	8 (8.07)	13	83.2
17	West Coast	7 (6.92)	14	76.2
18	Richmond	6 (6.00)	15	70.0

Round 23

Brisbane Lions 84 - 77 Gold Coast
Gabba (QLD)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.593792 - 0.406208RealScores: 84.423068 - 76.515342

Essendon 71 - 89 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.313971 - 0.686029RealScores: 71.269813 - 89.060542

Fremantle 78 - 73 Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.561650 - 0.438350RealScores: 77.986162 - 73.364188

Greater Western Sydney 100 - 67 West Coast
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.818000 - 0.182000RealScores: 99.903646 - 66.770867

Hawthorn 77 - 69 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.588973 - 0.411027RealScores: 76.509014 - 69.101296

North Melbourne 80 - 105 Geelong Geelong
Docklands (VIC)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.245997 - 0.754003RealScores: 79.583635 - 104.578128

Port Adelaide 91 - 76 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.657324 - 0.342676RealScores: 90.910436 - 76.136897

Richmond 63 - 86 St Kilda
M.C.G. (VIC)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.269859 - 0.730141RealScores: 63.321856 - 85.653261

Western Bulldogs 98 - 73 Carlton Carlton
Docklands (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.755603 - 0.244397RealScores: 98.024330 - 72.845065

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	15 (15.14)	7	133.5
2	Western Bulldogs	14 (14.49)	8	126.1
3	Gold Coast	14 (14.28)	8	124.8
4	Hawthorn	13 (13.30)	9	117.6
5	Sydney	13 (12.99)	9	114.0
6	Collingwood	12 (12.24)	10	110.0
7	Adelaide	12 (12.34)	10	109.7
8	Geelong	12 (12.26)	10	108.6
9	Fremantle	11 (11.32)	11	102.2
10	Greater Western Sydney	11 (10.66)	11	97.5
11	St Kilda	10 (10.23)	12	94.8
12	Port Adelaide	10 (9.89)	12	93.1
13	Carlton	10 (9.86)	12	92.7
14	Melbourne	9 (8.64)	13	85.3
15	North Melbourne	8 (8.47)	14	84.8
16	Essendon	8 (8.43)	14	83.0
17	West Coast	7 (7.15)	15	75.8
18	Richmond	6 (6.32)	16	70.2

Round 24

Adelaide 91 - 70 Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.714963 - 0.285037RealScores: 90.801004 - 70.081380

Carlton Carlton 83 - 74 Fremantle
Docklands (VIC)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.601894 - 0.398106RealScores: 82.686287 - 74.011343

Collingwood 70 - 78 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.40 wins - 0.60 winsRealProbs: 0.400532 - 0.599468RealScores: 70.062664 - 78.483831

Essendon 78 - 75 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.538420 - 0.461580RealScores: 77.687511 - 75.438041

Geelong Geelong 110 - 56 Richmond
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.93 wins - 0.07 winsRealProbs: 0.934568 - 0.065432RealScores: 109.588562 - 56.281755

Melbourne 74 - 109 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)0.17 wins - 0.83 winsRealProbs: 0.165824 - 0.834176RealScores: 73.686382 - 109.156721

St Kilda 72 - 89 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.32 wins - 0.68 winsRealProbs: 0.317093 - 0.682907RealScores: 71.691175 - 89.175322

Sydney Sydney 106 - 71 North Melbourne
S.C.G. (NSW)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.831984 - 0.168016RealScores: 105.868997 - 70.722928

West Coast 65 - 96 Hawthorn
Perth Stadium (WA)0.20 wins - 0.80 winsRealProbs: 0.197202 - 0.802798RealScores: 65.081753 - 96.129482

		W	L	%
1	Brisbane Lions	16 (15.70)	7	132.6
2	Western Bulldogs	15 (15.27)	8	127.0
3	Gold Coast	15 (14.92)	8	124.8
4	Hawthorn	14 (14.05)	9	118.8
5	Sydney	14 (13.76)	9	115.4
6	Geelong	13 (13.14)	10	111.2
7	Adelaide	13 (13.00)	10	110.5
8	Collingwood	13 (12.68)	10	109.0
9	Fremantle	12 (11.76)	11	101.6
10	Greater Western Sydney	11 (10.99)	12	96.6
11	St Kilda	11 (10.59)	12	94.1
12	Carlton	10 (10.42)	13	93.5
13	Port Adelaide	10 (10.39)	13	93.3
14	Melbourne	9 (8.86)	14	84.4
15	North Melbourne	9 (8.70)	14	83.9
16	Essendon	9 (8.93)	14	83.8
17	West Coast	7 (7.40)	16	75.4
18	Richmond	6 (6.44)	17	69.2

FINALS: WEEK 1

Brisbane Lions 88 - 71 Hawthorn
Gabba (QLD)

Western Bulldogs 90 - 81 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)

Sydney Sydney 81 - 71 Collingwood
S.C.G. (NSW)

Geelong Geelong 87 - 78 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)

FINALS: WEEK 2

Hawthorn 88 - 75 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)

Gold Coast 94 - 78 Geelong Geelong
Gabba (QLD)

FINALS: WEEK 3

Brisbane Lions 84 - 77 Gold Coast
Gabba (QLD)

Western Bulldogs 87 - 81 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)

2026 AFL GRAND FINAL

Western Bulldogs 86 - 85 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)

Note: Finals tips are an unreliable way to forecast the eventual premier. For a better method, see FLAGPOLE.

Tipping by SQUIGGLE7

		Attack	Defence	Combined
1	Brisbane Lions	61.3	64.8	63.1
2	Western Bulldogs	63.3	59.3	61.3
3	Gold Coast	59.4	62.7	61.0
4	Hawthorn	56.8	61.8	59.3
5	Sydney	57.4	57.5	57.4
6	Geelong	59.8	55.1	57.4
7	Collingwood	50.2	63.0	56.6
8	Adelaide	51.7	60.0	55.9
9	Fremantle	51.1	55.7	53.4
10	Carlton	50.9	54.9	52.9
11	Greater Western Sydney	53.6	51.8	52.7
12	St Kilda	49.4	53.8	51.6
13	Port Adelaide	48.8	52.2	50.5
14	Melbourne	49.8	48.3	49.1
15	Essendon	45.2	52.1	48.7
16	North Melbourne	49.6	47.2	48.4
17	West Coast	42.1	46.7	44.4
18	Richmond	38.8	47.9	43.4

Western Bulldogs def Brisbane Lions	6.1%
Brisbane Lions def Western Bulldogs	5.9%
Brisbane Lions def Geelong	5.8%
Geelong def Brisbane Lions	5.3%
Western Bulldogs def Geelong	4.6%
Geelong def Western Bulldogs	4.3%
Brisbane Lions def Hawthorn	3.6%
Hawthorn def Brisbane Lions	2.9%
Western Bulldogs def Hawthorn	2.8%
Geelong def Hawthorn	2.8%
Brisbane Lions def Adelaide	2.3%
Hawthorn def Western Bulldogs	2.1%
Hawthorn def Geelong	2.0%
Brisbane Lions def Collingwood	1.8%
Brisbane Lions def Gold Coast	1.8%
Western Bulldogs def Adelaide	1.7%
Brisbane Lions def Carlton	1.7%
Geelong def Adelaide	1.6%
Western Bulldogs def Collingwood	1.6%
Western Bulldogs def Gold Coast	1.5%