Squiggle 2026

INFO

What Squiggles are • How to play through a season • Prediction • FAQ • The Model • Flagpole

What Squiggles are

Squiggles are visualizations of AFL team performances, charting attack and defence over the course of a season.

Teams ⇡ high on the chart kick big scores. Teams on the ⇢ right keep their opposition to low scores. Teams in the ↗ upper-right do both. Teams in the ↙ lower-left do neither.

Squiggles are handy because:

They visualize different game styles. For example, Ross Lyon teams at their peak lurk on the right side of the chart about halfway up, since they keep their opposition to low scores without scoring highly themselves.
They provide interesting season replays, showing how teams rose or fell at different times of the year.
They minimize fixture bias by accounting for the difficulty of opponents (and venue).
They predict how the season will play out based on current likelihoods.

Squiggle is roughly as accurate as tipping the favourite every game. (Which is hard to beat!) Over a season, an informed, observant human should be able to beat it, but not by much. It will beat an average human tipper. You can review its accuracy by visiting the TIPS section of any year.

How to play through a season

To watch the evolution of a past season, use the top controls:

Rewind to the start of the season

Previous Round

Next Round

Reload

You can also:

Click a team name in the legend at the top to hide/show it.
Click a team flag to remove every other team.

For example, you might like to rewind, click Hawthorn's flag to remove all other teams, click Geelong's name in the legend to add it back in, then repeatedly step through the season to watch their dance of death.

To zoom in on an area, drag a box around it.

Prediction

Weekly Tips

Click TIPS at the top of the page. If a team beats the tipped scoreline—i.e. wins by more than predicted, loses by less than predicted, or records an upset win—it will generally move in a positive direction on the chart (i.e. more up-and-right than down-and-left), while if its result is worse, it will generally move in a negative direction.

You can view tips for previous rounds via the "History" link on the Tips page.

Season Predictor

This is how the ladder will look if Squiggle has correctly rated every team and nobody gets better or worse.

For the home & away season, it uses a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of tips. Both teams are awarded a win probability from each game, so that if Squiggle thinks Hawthorn is 68% likely to beat Collingwood, it will award the Hawks 0.68 wins and the Pies 0.32 wins, increasing both team's tally of "probable wins" by less than 1.

This is because if a team plays 10 games with 60% likelihood of winning each game, we should expect them to win about 6/10—not, as we would get if we tipped each game and tallied up the tips, 10/10. We know that upsets will happen; we just don't know when. A probabilitistic ladder accounts for the likelihood that teams will sometimes unexpectedly win or lose, even though we doesn't know when.

This can look like a bug in the predictor, if you see a team tipped to win a match that doesn't seem to be credited. For example, a team might be on "15 (14.7)" wins, which means 14.7 "probable wins" rounded off to 15. (Rounding occurs so that teams can be secondarily ranked by their percentage.) And then that team is tipped to win the following week, but it remains on 15 wins, now "15 (15.3)". What has happened is the number of probable wins hasn't risen by enough to be rounded to a higher number. It has earned 0.6 more probable wins, but this still rounds off to 15. The predictor is saying it's still most likely this team will be on 15 wins, after accounting for the likelihood that some of its tips will be wrong.

Finals matches are predicted using simple tips. However, this isn't a very reliable way of doing it, and not Squiggle's official Premier tip. For this, please see Flagpole.

Starting the season: Team starting positions are heavily influenced by their late-season performances the previous year, and the off-season is completely ignored. There is no adjustment made for recovery from injuries, or players gained or lost via the draft or trade table, or anything else. For example, Collingwood started 2015 rated very low due to their injury-plagued end to 2014, while Adelaide and West Coast started in good positions after solid late-2014 performances.

Interactive Season Predictor

Drag teams around the chart and make Squiggle predict the rest of the season based on the new positions! It's the best of both worlds: your footy insight plus Squiggle's ability to sensibly model a season.

Reposition teams to your heart's content, open up the Predictor and click RECALCULATE.

This also provides a shareable link to the generated squiggle, so you can show off your work to other people.

FAQ

What causes a team to move?

Teams move when they do better or worse than Squiggle expected.

The most important factor is the final scoreline. When a team scores more than Squiggle expected, they move ⇡ up; when they score less, they move move ⇣ down; when they hold their opposition to a lower score, they move ⇢; right; and when they allow their opposition to score more, they move ⇠ left.

Of course, usually two of these things happen at once, so they move on a diagonal:

↗ Scored more than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↘ Scored less than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↙ Scored less than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

↖ Scored more than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

How far a team moves depends on how different the result was from Squiggle's prediction. If the result was close to expectation, a team may barely budge. But an unexpected thrashing will cause a lot of movement.

Do teams get more movement against easy opposition?

No, because Squiggle expects better performances against weaker opponents, and to move to a better position, the team has to beat this expectation.

For the same reason, Squiggle isn't affected by fixture bias.

Can a team lose and still move into a better squiggle position?

Yes! Squiggle believes in honourable losses and shameful victories. If a team is expected to win by 10 goals but only prevails by 5, it will slide.

What factors are considered?

A team's rating is modified after each game by looking at:

Scores, obviously.
Scoring Shots: a team is rated more highly if they record more scoring shots.
Venue: teams are expected to perform better at venues with which they are more familiar.
Team Selections: teams are expected to perform better when they select more highly-rated players.
Stage of Season: team ratings are more fluid in the early part of each season.
Past Games: each new game is combined with past results.

Can a team beat the tipped result and still fall back on the chart?

Yes! Two factors can cause unusual chart movement:

Scoring Shots: where one team is much more accurate than the other. For example, in the opening match of 2018, Richmond won 17.19 (121) to Carlton 15.5 (95). Squiggle tipped a 29-point win, so normally the Tigers would slightly regress after winning by only 26 points. However, after factoring in the scoring shot disparity, Richmond's performance was rated more highly, and the Tigers moved positively on the chart.
Team Selections: where a team has significant ins/outs. For example, in the second match of 2018, Essendon defeated Adelaide by 12 points. This was very similar to Squiggle's expectation of a 7-point Essendon win, so normally neither team would move much. However, Adelaide selected a much weaker team than their previous game (the 2017 Grand Final); without this, Squiggle would have tipped Adelaide by 9 points. As a result, Essendon received less positive movement than they would have for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide. The Crows also saw negative movement, since the result was worse than what would have been expected from them given their previous rating.

How is home ground advantage determined?

As described in the Model section, home ground advantage in Squiggle 2.0 is generated from ground familiarity: How often the teams have played at the same ground and in the same state over the preceding 4 years (including the current season).

What are Squiggle's weaknesses?

Some quirks of Squiggle, which you may decide to compensate for as an intelligent human, include:

Squiggle doesn't consider a team's level of motivation, which seems to be fairly significant. Squiggle assumes all teams are trying equally hard at all times.
Squiggle doesn't consider the impact of weather. It may reward a team for having a good defence when in reality what was making it hard to score was torrential rain. This doesn't seem to happen often enough to throw anything too far out, but does occur from time to time.
Squiggle doesn't place any special value on wins. That is, it doesn't see much difference between a 1-point victory and a 1-point loss. It may thus underestimate a team that does "just enough," or is especially good at holding on in tight contests. Likewise, it may overestimate a team that regularly gets itself into winning positions against good teams but lacks the ability to close the games out.
Squiggle gets excited about very low-scoring games. The maths mean that if a team is expected to keep its opposition to 80 points, and it actually keeps them to 40, this is considered twice as good, while keeping them to 20 points is considered four times as good, and keeping them to 10 points is eight times as good. Those are some big multipliers: to be 8 times better than a predicted 80 points in terms of Attack, a team would need to score 640 points (80 x 8), which is a lot more than the all-time AFL record. This means it's significantly easier for a team to move rapidly rightwards on a squiggle than upwards.
The underlying model generates some inflation over the course of a season, which causes Squiggle to rate teams about 5-10% higher by the end of the year compared to the start. This seems useful for predictive purposes, as it allows for more movement leading into finals. However, it means that a team that doesn't actually change strength at all will be shown to slightly improve its chart position over the course of the season.

Why does the model use those values?

All the numbers used by Squiggle are that way because they worked best (i.e. made the most accurate predictions) when every possible combination was tested with a simulator replaying the last few decades.

How are the year's starting values calculated?

2015 starting positions are very similar to their end 2014 positions—the only difference is that 2013 data is no longer considered, so teams are modeled from the start of 2014 with each beginning on 50 ATTACK and 50 DEFENCE.

This means late-season 2014 results weigh quite heavily. For example, Collingwood had an injury-plagued end to 2014, and so is rated very low. Adelaide and West Coast, by contrast, finished the year with several solid performances, and so begin the year higher than you might expect.

What's with those crazy charts for the 1900s!?

Football scores were a lot lower a century ago, especially in the very early years, when single-digit scorelines abounded. Squiggle is calibrated for modern football, and thinks a game in which one team is held to a single goal (or no goals!) signifies an unbelievably good defensive effort. This causes teams to go shooting off to the right quite often in charts from the 1890s, 1900s and 1910s. So it's not a particularly good visualization of the strength of any particular team in that era. But it is interesting in terms of how different the whole league looks: how low and flat it is compared to today.

Similary, it can be interesting to look at where the mass of teams tends to sit in different decades; for example, how attacking the late 1980s was, with plenty of teams sitting high & centre/left compared to today.

The Model

The foundation of the Squiggle model is the OFFDEF engine, which rates teams separately in terms of attack and defense. Each team is initially assigned a starting value of 50 for each.

Scores are predicted for each match using the formula:

PREDICTED SCORE = 85 * TEAM ATTACK ÷ OPPOSITION DEFENCE

For example, in a match between a team with ATTACK 56 and an opposition with DEFENCE 50, the team is predicted to score: 85 * 56 ÷ 50 = 95 points.

Predicted scores are compared to the actual scores, and ATTACK and DEFENCE adjusted accordingly. For example, if a team scored more highly than predicted, its ATTACK score needs to be increased, since Squiggle underrated it. Likewise, the opposition's DEFENCE score should decrease, since they failed to restrict the team as well as predicted. This is done by calculating what these scores would have to have been to predict the result perfectly, then constructing a weighted average of this along with all other results.

At the start of a season, team starting points are calculated by doing the above for the previous season. For example, to calculate starting points for 2014, each team is assigned 50 to ATTACK and DEFENCE, then the 2013 season is played through.

The units are completely arbitrary, and entirely due to the choice of 50 as a starting value for each team's ATTACK and DEFENCE. They have no meaning except when comparing teams to each other.

Several other filters and algorithms are used to manipulate scores produced by the OFFDEF engine, including venue (for home ground advantage), round number, team selections, and scoring shots.

Home Ground Advantage

Teams are compared based on the number of times they've played at the venue and in the same state.

Tip Probability

When determining "probable wins" in the Season Predictor, an algorithm is used that reflects the actual accuracy of Squiggle tips vs real-life results. Three factors affect the likelihood of a tip being correct:

Margin: The greater the predicted margin, the more likely the tip is to be correct.
Round Number: Games that occur later in the season are a little more likely to be tipped correctly.
Weeks Until Game: Games that are weeks or months in the future are a little less likely to be tipped correctly.

Model Versions

Squiggle v1 used the algorithm ISTATE-91:12, in which 12 points of Home Ground Advantage is awarded to the home team in interstate games only, and each new game forms 9% of the team's new rating (with previous games forming 91%). Follow this link for Squiggles generated under the v1 algorithm.

Squiggle 2.0 made several changes in 2018:

Greater sensitivity in early rounds to better captures the sometimes substantial form changes that occur over an off-season.
Factor in goalkicking accuracy, by discounting scores that resulted from unusually high accuracy (i.e. kicking many more goals than behinds), and padding scores that resulted from unusually low accuracy, since these tend to be non-reproducible.
Generate home ground advantage from a ground familiarity algorithm.

Squiggle4 added Ins/Out awareness in mid-2018, so it can adjust predictions based on team selection.

Squiggle5 moved to a more crowd-based model of home ground advantage in 2020.

To compare Squiggle's performance to other computer models, see the Squiggle Models Leaderboard.

Flagpole

Flagpole is currently a combined strength rating of each team, downgraded by its likelihood of missing finals.

For example, if two teams are currently have the same combined OFFENCE and DEFENCE, but one is certain of making finals while the other has a 25% chance of missing, the latter's will Flagpole will be 75% of the height of the former.

Generated: Mon May 4 01:17:27 2026 (R10)

Tower of Power shows how likely teams are (or were) to finish the Home & Away season in various ladder positions, according to squiggle simulations.

At the start of a season, with many games remaining and uncertainty about the strength of each team, there are long strips, as teams could plausibly finish in many different places. Later, they flatten out, as the range of likely finishes shrinks.

Use the top player controls to watch changes throughout a season:

Some creative license is taken for the purposes of visual appeal, which is why final ladder positions appear somewhat diagonal.

* If the round number is marked with an asterisk, the Tower is generated from fewer simulations in order to provide a faster result.

FINALS CHANCES

		Minor Premier	Top 4	Top 8	Bottom 4	Spoon

MODE LADDER

			Likelihood	If not, then...

A Mode Ladder may be useful in the last round or two of a season, since it focuses on the most likely exact finishing position for teams, rather than averaging a range of possibilities. For example, after Round 22, 2017 with one round to go, Richmond were highly likely to finish either 3rd or 6th. Normally this would be averaged out to a prediction of about 4th -- even though the Tigers couldn't possibly finish there. The Mode Ladder avoids this problem.

A Mode Ladder is less useful than other forecasting methods until very late in the season, since until then there are too many possible final ladder combinations.

2026 ROUND 9 TIPS

Brisbane Lions 110 - 77 Carlton Carlton
Gabba (QLD)
HGA: +7.9 pts
Ins/Outs: +0.0 pts

Fremantle 82 - 83 Hawthorn
Perth Stadium (WA)
HGA: +12.5 pts
Ins/Outs: +0.0 pts

Geelong Geelong 79 - 77 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)
HGA: +1.6 pts
Ins/Outs: Geelong +0.0 pts

Gold Coast 93 - 84 St Kilda
Marrara Oval (NT)
HGA: +1.3 pts
Ins/Outs: +0.0 pts

Greater Western Sydney 100 - 77 Essendon
Sydney Showground (NSW)
HGA: +7.0 pts
Ins/Outs: +0.0 pts

Melbourne 112 - 77 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)
HGA: +6.0 pts
Ins/Outs: +0.0 pts

North Melbourne 76 - 106 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)
HGA: +6.9 pts
Ins/Outs: +0.0 pts

Port Adelaide 85 - 84 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)
HGA: +10.7 pts
Ins/Outs: +0.0 pts

Richmond 68 - 94 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)
HGA: +8.8 pts
Ins/Outs: +0.0 pts

Algorithm: SQUIGGLE7
Tips after Round 8: 50

History...

In 2026, algorithm SQUIGGLE7 correctly tipped 50 games at an accuracy of 69.44%.

Draws are counted as correct tips. Historically, Squiggle employed the ISTATE-91:12 algorithm from 2013-2017, the SQUIGGLE2 algorithm for the first 12 rounds of 2018, and SQUIGGLE4 thereafter. To view historical tips from Squiggle (and other models) irrespective of the algorithm, see the Squiggle API or the models leaderboard.

Round 0

Brisbane Lions (106) lost to Western Bulldogs (111) at Gabba (QLD) [Western Bulldogs by 5) Brisbane Lions by 7
Gold Coast (125) defeated Geelong (69) at Carrara (QLD) [Gold Coast by 56) Geelong by 4
Greater Western Sydney (122) defeated Hawthorn (95) at Sydney Showground (NSW) [Greater Western Sydney by 27) Hawthorn by 9
St Kilda (66) lost to Collingwood (78) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 12) Collingwood by 8
Sydney (132) defeated Carlton (69) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Sydney by 63) Carlton by 0

Round 1

Carlton (75) defeated Richmond (71) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Carlton by 4) Carlton by 21
Collingwood (79) lost to Adelaide (93) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Adelaide by 14) Collingwood by 6
Essendon (83) lost to Hawthorn (145) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 62) Hawthorn by 17
Geelong (110) defeated Fremantle (100) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 10) Geelong by 17
Gold Coast (131) defeated West Coast (72) at Carrara (QLD) [Gold Coast by 59) Gold Coast by 39
Melbourne (120) defeated St Kilda (107) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 13) St Kilda by 1
North Melbourne (113) defeated Port Adelaide (67) at Docklands (VIC) [North Melbourne by 46) North Melbourne by 0
Sydney (104) defeated Brisbane Lions (60) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Sydney by 44) Sydney by 1
Western Bulldogs (134) defeated Greater Western Sydney (53) at Docklands (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 81) Western Bulldogs by 27

Round 2

Adelaide (88) lost to Western Bulldogs (94) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Western Bulldogs by 6) Western Bulldogs by 0
Fremantle (118) defeated Melbourne (70) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Fremantle by 48) Fremantle by 21
Greater Western Sydney (74) lost to St Kilda (78) at Sydney Showground (NSW) [St Kilda by 4) Greater Western Sydney by 8
Hawthorn (99) defeated Sydney (82) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 17) Hawthorn by 14
Port Adelaide (133) defeated Essendon (70) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Port Adelaide by 63) Port Adelaide by 15
Richmond (60) lost to Gold Coast (128) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Gold Coast by 68) Gold Coast by 23
West Coast (111) defeated North Melbourne (94) at Perth Stadium (WA) [West Coast by 17) North Melbourne by 0

Round 3

Carlton (77) lost to Melbourne (100) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 23) Carlton by 6
Collingwood (87) defeated Greater Western Sydney (54) at Docklands (VIC) [Collingwood by 33) Collingwood by 16
Essendon (69) lost to North Melbourne (81) at Docklands (VIC) [North Melbourne by 12) North Melbourne by 11
Fremantle (103) defeated Richmond (43) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Fremantle by 60) Fremantle by 47
Geelong (68) defeated Adelaide (60) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 8) Geelong by 9
Port Adelaide (90) lost to West Coast (92) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [West Coast by 2) Port Adelaide by 14
St Kilda (80) lost to Brisbane Lions (113) at Docklands (VIC) [Brisbane Lions by 33) Brisbane Lions by 17

Round 4

Adelaide (76) lost to Fremantle (78) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Fremantle by 2) Adelaide by 13
Brisbane Lions (119) defeated Collingwood (65) at Gabba (QLD) [Brisbane Lions by 54) Brisbane Lions by 21
Hawthorn (92) defeated Geelong (91) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 1) Hawthorn by 7
Melbourne (109) defeated Gold Coast (89) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 20) Gold Coast by 22
North Melbourne (96) defeated Carlton (86) at Docklands (VIC) [North Melbourne by 10) Carlton by 5
Richmond (48) lost to Port Adelaide (90) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Port Adelaide by 42) Port Adelaide by 11
West Coast (35) lost to Sydney (163) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Sydney by 128) Sydney by 22
Western Bulldogs (99) defeated Essendon (65) at Docklands (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 34) Western Bulldogs by 43

Round 5

Adelaide (114) defeated Carlton (86) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Adelaide by 28) Adelaide by 33
Collingwood (39) lost to Fremantle (45) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Fremantle by 6) Fremantle by 6
Essendon (113) defeated Melbourne (68) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Essendon by 45) Melbourne by 18
Geelong (122) defeated West Coast (76) at Norwood Oval (SA) [Geelong by 46) Geelong by 31
Greater Western Sydney (131) defeated Richmond (75) at Barossa Park (SA) [Greater Western Sydney by 56) Greater Western Sydney by 31
Hawthorn (104) defeated Western Bulldogs (64) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Hawthorn by 40) Western Bulldogs by 2
North Melbourne (66) lost to Brisbane Lions (92) at Barossa Park (SA) [Brisbane Lions by 26) Brisbane Lions by 37
Port Adelaide (67) lost to St Kilda (81) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [St Kilda by 14) Port Adelaide by 3
Sydney (100) defeated Gold Coast (68) at Norwood Oval (SA) [Sydney by 32) Sydney by 5

Round 6

Adelaide (103) defeated St Kilda (102) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Adelaide by 1) Adelaide by 7
Carlton (83) lost to Collingwood (88) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 5) Collingwood by 5
Geelong (131) defeated Western Bulldogs (56) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 75) Western Bulldogs by 9
Gold Coast (119) defeated Essendon (110) at Carrara (QLD) [Gold Coast by 9) Gold Coast by 30
Hawthorn (89) defeated Port Adelaide (86) at Docklands (VIC) [Hawthorn by 3) Hawthorn by 34
Melbourne (104) defeated Brisbane Lions (102) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 2) Brisbane Lions by 26
North Melbourne (130) defeated Richmond (55) at Docklands (VIC) [North Melbourne by 75) North Melbourne by 25
Sydney (107) defeated Greater Western Sydney (66) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Sydney by 41) Sydney by 31
West Coast (41) lost to Fremantle (97) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Fremantle by 56) Fremantle by 34

Round 7

Brisbane Lions (127) defeated Adelaide (75) at Gabba (QLD) [Brisbane Lions by 52) Brisbane Lions by 16
Essendon (60) lost to Collingwood (137) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 77) Collingwood by 15
Fremantle (103) defeated Carlton (89) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Fremantle by 14) Fremantle by 36
Greater Western Sydney (105) defeated North Melbourne (98) at Manuka Oval (NSW) [Greater Western Sydney by 7) Greater Western Sydney by 12
Hawthorn (112) defeated Gold Coast (63) at York Park (TAS) [Hawthorn by 49) Hawthorn by 10
Port Adelaide (95) defeated Geelong (65) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Port Adelaide by 30) Geelong by 19
Richmond (72) lost to Melbourne (126) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 54) Melbourne by 29
St Kilda (143) defeated West Coast (42) at Docklands (VIC) [St Kilda by 101) St Kilda by 32
Western Bulldogs (60) lost to Sydney (126) at Docklands (VIC) [Sydney by 66) Sydney by 5

Round 8

Adelaide (76) defeated Port Adelaide (75) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Adelaide by 1) Adelaide by 5
Carlton (69) lost to St Kilda (108) at Docklands (VIC) [St Kilda by 39) Carlton by 1
Collingwood (93) drew with Hawthorn (93) at M.C.G. (VIC) [DRAW by 0) Hawthorn by 19
Essendon (79) lost to Brisbane Lions (143) at Docklands (VIC) [Brisbane Lions by 64) Brisbane Lions by 31
Geelong (135) defeated North Melbourne (86) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 49) Geelong by 31
Gold Coast (83) defeated Greater Western Sydney (63) at Carrara (QLD) [Gold Coast by 20) Gold Coast by 8
Sydney (131) defeated Melbourne (114) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Sydney by 17) Sydney by 47
West Coast (88) lost to Richmond (99) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Richmond by 11) West Coast by 19
Western Bulldogs (102) lost to Fremantle (114) at Docklands (VIC) [Fremantle by 12) Western Bulldogs by 14

Round 9

Round 10

Round 11

Round 12

Round 13

Round 14

Round 15

Round 16

Round 17

Round 18

Round 19

Round 20

Round 21

Round 22

Round 23

Round 24

Elimination Final

Semi-Final

Preliminary Final

Grand Final

SLIDING DOORS

On average, how much of a team's final score is due to luck?

SEASON PREDICTOR

Recalculate

		Wins	%
1	Sydney	17.5	147.6%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7
2	Hawthorn	17.1	131.9%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
3	Fremantle	15.9	122.3%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
4	Brisbane Lions	14.4	123.1%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
5	Geelong	13.9	115.8%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
6	Collingwood	12.9	111.3%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
7	Gold Coast	12.7	107.3%	2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
8	Western Bulldogs	12.5	104.4%	2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
9	Adelaide	12.0	102.6%	2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
10	St Kilda	11.7	107.1%	2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
11	Melbourne	11.7	96.4%	3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
12	Port Adelaide	10.4	103.5%	4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
13	Greater Western Sydney	10.4	95.6%	4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
14	North Melbourne	9.8	92.3%	5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
15	Carlton	7.1	84.7%	9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
16	Essendon	6.4	77.4%	10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
17	West Coast	6.1	66.5%	12 13 14 15 16 17 18
18	Richmond	4.4	62.3%	14 15 16 17 18

Home & Away...

How Prediction Works

This is a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of squiggle tips. Sometimes a team will be tipped to win but not seem to be credited for it: this is because the predictor considers the likelihood of upsets. For details, click INFO → Prediction at the top of this page.

Round 9

Brisbane Lions 110 - 77 Carlton Carlton
Gabba (QLD)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.818070 - 0.181930RealScores: 110.125287 - 76.982696

Fremantle 82 - 83 Hawthorn
Perth Stadium (WA)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.490984 - 0.509016RealScores: 82.188977 - 83.020769

Geelong Geelong 79 - 77 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.525058 - 0.474942RealScores: 78.951686 - 76.513552

Gold Coast 93 - 84 St Kilda
Marrara Oval (NT)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.589924 - 0.410076RealScores: 92.780746 - 83.998576

Greater Western Sydney 100 - 77 Essendon
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.733432 - 0.266568RealScores: 99.792071 - 77.103232

Melbourne 112 - 77 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.832574 - 0.167426RealScores: 112.496431 - 77.263385

North Melbourne 76 - 106 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.20 wins - 0.80 winsRealProbs: 0.200685 - 0.799315RealScores: 75.889846 - 106.474386

Port Adelaide 85 - 84 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.516413 - 0.483587RealScores: 85.212202 - 83.642943

Richmond 68 - 94 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.24 wins - 0.76 winsRealProbs: 0.237681 - 0.762319RealScores: 67.950061 - 93.914418

		W	L	D	%
1	Sydney	8 (7.76)	1	0	162.5
2	Hawthorn	7 (6.51)	1	1	119.0
3	Fremantle	7 (7.49)	2	0	128.7
4	Brisbane Lions	6 (5.78)	3	0	127.7
5	Gold Coast	6 (5.59)	3	0	115.4
6	Geelong	6 (5.53)	3	0	113.5
7	Melbourne	6 (5.80)	3	0	104.2
8	Adelaide	5 (4.73)	4	0	100.3
9	Collingwood	4 (4.47)	4	1	107.3
10	St Kilda	4 (4.41)	5	0	111.9
11	Port Adelaide	4 (3.52)	5	0	109.8
12	North Melbourne	4 (4.24)	5	0	101.6
13	Western Bulldogs	4 (4.48)	5	0	92.1
14	Greater Western Sydney	4 (3.70)	5	0	92.1
15	West Coast	2 (2.20)	7	0	60.3
16	Carlton	1 (1.22)	8	0	77.1
17	Essendon	1 (1.30)	8	0	70.9
18	Richmond	1 (1.27)	8	0	61.2

Round 10

Adelaide 96 - 76 North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.705285 - 0.294715RealScores: 95.888988 - 76.168375

Brisbane Lions 97 - 86 Geelong Geelong
Gabba (QLD)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.612933 - 0.387067RealScores: 97.399197 - 86.496294

Carlton Carlton 83 - 102 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.307230 - 0.692770RealScores: 83.400342 - 101.858613

Essendon 74 - 92 Fremantle
M.C.G. (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.305845 - 0.694155RealScores: 73.691588 - 92.288061

Gold Coast 88 - 77 Port Adelaide
Marrara Oval (NT)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.615486 - 0.384514RealScores: 87.945808 - 76.807932

Melbourne 83 - 112 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.21 wins - 0.79 winsRealProbs: 0.211393 - 0.788607RealScores: 82.530534 - 111.722877

St Kilda 105 - 65 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.858245 - 0.141755RealScores: 104.568841 - 65.372530

Sydney Sydney 88 - 65 Collingwood
S.C.G. (NSW)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.732885 - 0.267115RealScores: 87.634198 - 65.004890

West Coast 79 - 99 Greater Western Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.291313 - 0.708687RealScores: 78.599500 - 98.668922

		W	L	D	%
1	Sydney	8 (8.47)	2	0	160.0
2	Fremantle	8 (8.16)	2	0	128.3
3	Hawthorn	7 (7.26)	2	1	120.6
4	Brisbane Lions	6 (6.39)	4	0	126.2
5	Gold Coast	6 (6.19)	4	0	115.3
6	Geelong	6 (5.92)	4	0	110.7
7	Melbourne	6 (6.04)	4	0	100.8
8	Collingwood	5 (4.77)	4	1	103.6
9	St Kilda	5 (5.24)	5	0	115.7
10	Adelaide	5 (5.41)	5	0	102.5
11	North Melbourne	5 (4.55)	5	0	99.3
12	Western Bulldogs	5 (5.16)	5	0	94.8
13	Port Adelaide	4 (3.91)	6	0	107.4
14	Greater Western Sydney	4 (4.39)	6	0	94.9
15	West Coast	3 (2.52)	7	0	62.0
16	Carlton	2 (1.55)	8	0	77.6
17	Essendon	2 (1.62)	8	0	71.6
18	Richmond	1 (1.45)	9	0	61.4

Round 11

Collingwood 101 - 56 West Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.89 wins - 0.11 winsRealProbs: 0.891320 - 0.108680RealScores: 100.722128 - 55.870351

Fremantle 91 - 72 St Kilda
Perth Stadium (WA)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.698927 - 0.301073RealScores: 91.326326 - 72.250862

Geelong Geelong 87 - 90 Sydney Sydney
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.471131 - 0.528869RealScores: 87.069045 - 89.584359

Greater Western Sydney 85 - 97 Brisbane Lions
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.374332 - 0.625668RealScores: 85.285571 - 97.361657

Hawthorn 98 - 74 Adelaide
York Park (TAS)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.749856 - 0.250144RealScores: 98.044215 - 73.525001

North Melbourne 84 - 98 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.359943 - 0.640057RealScores: 84.134643 - 97.543137

Port Adelaide 92 - 75 Carlton Carlton
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.683632 - 0.316368RealScores: 92.210123 - 74.654880

Richmond 74 - 92 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.313986 - 0.686014RealScores: 73.903062 - 91.692319

Western Bulldogs 106 - 90 Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.673069 - 0.326931RealScores: 106.033857 - 89.505524

		W	L	D	%
1	Sydney	9 (9.00)	2	0	153.8
2	Fremantle	9 (8.84)	2	0	128.1
3	Hawthorn	8 (7.99)	2	1	121.6
4	Brisbane Lions	7 (7.01)	4	0	125.1
5	Gold Coast	7 (6.82)	4	0	115.4
6	Collingwood	6 (5.63)	4	1	108.7
7	St Kilda	6 (5.56)	5	0	112.1
8	Geelong	6 (6.39)	5	0	109.4
9	Adelaide	6 (5.69)	5	0	99.7
10	Melbourne	6 (6.38)	5	0	99.2
11	Western Bulldogs	6 (5.81)	5	0	96.8
12	Port Adelaide	5 (4.57)	6	0	108.7
13	North Melbourne	5 (4.92)	6	0	98.1
14	Greater Western Sydney	5 (4.77)	6	0	94.2
15	West Coast	3 (2.66)	8	0	61.5
16	Carlton	2 (1.88)	9	0	77.9
17	Essendon	2 (2.29)	9	0	74.9
18	Richmond	2 (1.78)	9	0	62.9

Round 12

Brisbane Lions 90 - 78 Fremantle
Gabba (QLD)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.627937 - 0.372063RealScores: 90.422210 - 78.136637

Carlton Carlton 82 - 101 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.30 wins - 0.70 winsRealProbs: 0.295542 - 0.704458RealScores: 81.614237 - 101.250485

Melbourne 93 - 97 Greater Western Sydney
Traeger Park (NT)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.457725 - 0.542275RealScores: 92.888998 - 96.621154

St Kilda 80 - 100 Hawthorn
Docklands (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.292473 - 0.707527RealScores: 79.626099 - 99.576284

Sydney Sydney 121 - 55 Richmond
S.C.G. (NSW)0.99 wins - 0.01 winsRealProbs: 0.990000 - 0.010000RealScores: 121.405142 - 55.233265

West Coast 84 - 90 Essendon
Perth Stadium (WA)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.435688 - 0.564312RealScores: 84.004304 - 89.998998

Western Bulldogs 80 - 78 Collingwood
Docklands (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.525087 - 0.474913RealScores: 79.975160 - 77.971413

		W	L	D	%
1	Sydney	10 (9.95)	2	0	158.1
2	Hawthorn	9 (8.67)	2	1	121.9
3	Fremantle	9 (9.22)	3	0	123.9
4	Brisbane Lions	8 (7.63)	4	0	124.4
5	Gold Coast	7 (6.82)	4	0	115.4
6	Geelong	7 (7.07)	5	0	110.6
7	Melbourne	7 (6.84)	5	0	99.0
8	Collingwood	6 (6.10)	5	1	107.7
9	St Kilda	6 (5.87)	6	0	108.9
10	Adelaide	6 (5.69)	5	0	99.7
11	Western Bulldogs	6 (6.34)	6	0	97.2
12	Port Adelaide	5 (4.57)	6	0	108.7
13	North Melbourne	5 (4.92)	6	0	98.1
14	Greater Western Sydney	5 (5.31)	7	0	95.1
15	Essendon	3 (2.85)	9	0	77.0
16	West Coast	3 (3.10)	9	0	63.6
17	Carlton	2 (2.20)	10	0	78.1
18	Richmond	2 (1.82)	10	0	61.2

Round 13

Adelaide 84 - 87 Geelong Geelong
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.465971 - 0.534029RealScores: 83.983385 - 86.757406

Collingwood 90 - 76 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.650031 - 0.349969RealScores: 90.046743 - 75.706973

Essendon 85 - 94 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.411482 - 0.588518RealScores: 85.249021 - 93.646944

Gold Coast 88 - 94 Brisbane Lions
Carrara (QLD)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.429107 - 0.570893RealScores: 87.922937 - 94.464721

Hawthorn 101 - 82 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.698723 - 0.301277RealScores: 101.306194 - 82.251343

North Melbourne 71 - 97 Fremantle
Hands Oval (WA)0.24 wins - 0.76 winsRealProbs: 0.240737 - 0.759263RealScores: 71.344960 - 96.950155

Sydney Sydney 103 - 72 St Kilda
S.C.G. (NSW)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.802910 - 0.197090RealScores: 103.469446 - 72.406647

West Coast 73 - 92 Port Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.30 wins - 0.70 winsRealProbs: 0.297296 - 0.702704RealScores: 72.817129 - 92.274875

		W	L	D	%
1	Sydney	11 (10.73)	2	0	156.9
2	Fremantle	10 (9.95)	3	0	124.8
3	Hawthorn	9 (9.35)	3	1	122.0
4	Brisbane Lions	8 (8.19)	5	0	123.0
5	Geelong	8 (7.61)	5	0	110.0
6	Collingwood	7 (6.74)	5	1	108.6
7	Gold Coast	7 (7.26)	5	0	113.3
8	Melbourne	7 (7.20)	6	0	97.9
9	Western Bulldogs	7 (6.66)	6	0	95.9
10	St Kilda	6 (6.10)	7	0	105.3
11	Adelaide	6 (6.16)	6	0	99.5
12	Port Adelaide	5 (5.26)	7	0	110.1
13	North Melbourne	5 (5.19)	7	0	95.9
14	Greater Western Sydney	5 (5.31)	7	0	95.1
15	Carlton	3 (2.78)	10	0	80.2
16	Essendon	3 (3.27)	10	0	77.9
17	West Coast	3 (3.42)	10	0	64.6
18	Richmond	2 (1.82)	10	0	61.2

Round 14

Geelong Geelong 98 - 81 Gold Coast
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.671718 - 0.328282RealScores: 97.608124 - 81.209890

Melbourne 103 - 87 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.670449 - 0.329551RealScores: 103.071582 - 86.795396

North Melbourne 99 - 80 West Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.704948 - 0.295052RealScores: 99.309644 - 79.623416

Port Adelaide 74 - 90 Sydney Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.329860 - 0.670140RealScores: 73.986466 - 90.233002

Richmond 63 - 117 Brisbane Lions
Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.06 wins - 0.94 winsRealProbs: 0.063753 - 0.936247RealScores: 63.154508 - 116.815929

St Kilda 94 - 82 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.624937 - 0.375063RealScores: 94.029649 - 82.020997

Western Bulldogs 95 - 78 Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.675315 - 0.324685RealScores: 94.999543 - 78.254259

		W	L	D	%
1	Sydney	11 (11.38)	3	0	154.3
2	Fremantle	10 (9.95)	3	0	124.8
3	Hawthorn	9 (9.35)	3	1	122.0
4	Brisbane Lions	9 (9.10)	5	0	126.4
5	Geelong	8 (8.26)	6	0	110.7
6	Gold Coast	8 (7.60)	5	0	110.7
7	Melbourne	8 (7.86)	6	0	99.3
8	Collingwood	7 (6.74)	5	1	108.6
9	St Kilda	7 (6.72)	7	0	105.9
10	Western Bulldogs	7 (7.32)	7	0	97.4
11	Port Adelaide	6 (5.60)	7	0	107.7
12	Adelaide	6 (6.50)	7	0	98.0
13	North Melbourne	6 (5.88)	7	0	97.9
14	Greater Western Sydney	6 (5.69)	7	0	94.4
15	Essendon	4 (3.61)	10	0	78.4
16	West Coast	4 (3.73)	10	0	65.6
17	Carlton	3 (2.78)	10	0	80.2
18	Richmond	2 (1.92)	11	0	60.6

Round 15

Adelaide 98 - 83 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.662188 - 0.337812RealScores: 98.287510 - 82.800531

Collingwood 80 - 63 Port Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.676018 - 0.323982RealScores: 79.976276 - 63.162933

Fremantle 89 - 77 Geelong Geelong
Perth Stadium (WA)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.624242 - 0.375758RealScores: 88.632273 - 76.687804

Gold Coast 84 - 94 Hawthorn
Carrara (QLD)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.393743 - 0.606257RealScores: 84.430519 - 94.460372

Greater Western Sydney 98 - 81 Carlton Carlton
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.669825 - 0.330175RealScores: 97.716273 - 81.499948

Richmond 73 - 97 North Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.253209 - 0.746791RealScores: 73.172104 - 97.343693

St Kilda 88 - 94 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.430068 - 0.569932RealScores: 87.504322 - 93.698229

		W	L	D	%
1	Sydney	11 (11.38)	3	0	154.3
2	Fremantle	11 (10.57)	3	0	124.1
3	Hawthorn	10 (9.95)	3	1	121.3
4	Brisbane Lions	9 (9.10)	5	0	126.4
5	Geelong	9 (8.65)	6	0	109.1
6	Gold Coast	8 (8.00)	6	0	109.1
7	Melbourne	8 (8.21)	7	0	98.3
8	Western Bulldogs	8 (7.88)	7	0	98.0
9	Collingwood	7 (7.40)	6	1	109.7
10	St Kilda	7 (7.15)	8	0	105.0
11	North Melbourne	7 (6.60)	7	0	99.9
12	Adelaide	7 (7.15)	7	0	99.4
13	Port Adelaide	6 (5.94)	8	0	105.6
14	Greater Western Sydney	6 (6.35)	8	0	96.1
15	Essendon	4 (3.61)	10	0	78.4
16	West Coast	4 (3.73)	10	0	65.6
17	Carlton	3 (3.13)	11	0	80.4
18	Richmond	2 (2.19)	12	0	61.6

Round 16

Brisbane Lions 87 - 93 Sydney Sydney
Gabba (QLD)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.435737 - 0.564263RealScores: 87.072557 - 92.572028

Carlton Carlton 104 - 74 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.800269 - 0.199731RealScores: 104.449041 - 73.738194

Collingwood 95 - 54 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.87 wins - 0.13 winsRealProbs: 0.868394 - 0.131606RealScores: 95.275058 - 54.412211

Fremantle 89 - 74 Gold Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.657284 - 0.342716RealScores: 89.451053 - 74.428667

Hawthorn 107 - 73 Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.828527 - 0.171473RealScores: 107.178267 - 72.538804

North Melbourne 95 - 85 Essendon
Docklands (VIC)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.602933 - 0.397067RealScores: 94.611731 - 85.062345

Port Adelaide 79 - 78 Adelaide
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.509791 - 0.490209RealScores: 78.334230 - 78.262110

		W	L	D	%
1	Sydney	12 (11.94)	3	0	150.4
2	Hawthorn	11 (10.75)	3	1	122.8
3	Fremantle	11 (11.22)	4	0	123.8
4	Brisbane Lions	10 (9.54)	5	0	124.0
5	Geelong	9 (8.65)	6	0	109.1
6	Collingwood	8 (8.24)	6	1	112.9
7	Gold Coast	8 (8.35)	7	0	107.3
8	Adelaide	8 (7.65)	7	0	99.5
9	Melbourne	8 (8.21)	7	0	98.3
10	Western Bulldogs	8 (7.88)	7	0	98.0
11	St Kilda	7 (7.15)	8	0	105.0
12	North Melbourne	7 (7.20)	8	0	100.6
13	Greater Western Sydney	7 (6.55)	8	0	93.9
14	Port Adelaide	6 (6.44)	9	0	105.3
15	Carlton	4 (3.90)	11	0	83.5
16	Essendon	4 (4.01)	11	0	79.1
17	West Coast	4 (3.96)	11	0	65.9
18	Richmond	2 (2.36)	13	0	61.3

Round 17

Essendon 78 - 99 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.286902 - 0.713098RealScores: 78.361439 - 98.886900

Geelong Geelong 96 - 88 Brisbane Lions
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.592062 - 0.407938RealScores: 96.088380 - 87.807111

Gold Coast 81 - 74 Collingwood
Carrara (QLD)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.580012 - 0.419988RealScores: 80.534708 - 73.514925

Greater Western Sydney 79 - 85 Fremantle
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.431016 - 0.568984RealScores: 78.964043 - 84.844170

Hawthorn 114 - 80 Melbourne
York Park (TAS)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.828907 - 0.171093RealScores: 114.474127 - 79.779285

Port Adelaide 94 - 74 North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.702915 - 0.297085RealScores: 93.549895 - 74.070692

Richmond 72 - 98 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.23 wins - 0.77 winsRealProbs: 0.232524 - 0.767476RealScores: 71.617409 - 98.195034

Sydney Sydney 103 - 77 Western Bulldogs
S.C.G. (NSW)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.766897 - 0.233103RealScores: 103.265143 - 76.756875

West Coast 74 - 96 Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.270896 - 0.729104RealScores: 73.665443 - 95.884910

		W	L	D	%
1	Sydney	13 (12.68)	3	0	149.4
2	Hawthorn	12 (11.55)	3	1	124.1
3	Fremantle	12 (11.78)	4	0	122.8
4	Brisbane Lions	10 (9.96)	6	0	121.7
5	Collingwood	9 (8.67)	6	1	111.4
6	Geelong	9 (9.23)	7	0	109.1
7	Gold Coast	9 (8.92)	7	0	107.4
8	St Kilda	8 (7.85)	8	0	106.2
9	Adelaide	8 (8.35)	8	0	101.1
10	North Melbourne	8 (7.51)	8	0	99.2
11	Western Bulldogs	8 (8.14)	8	0	96.4
12	Melbourne	8 (8.41)	8	0	96.2
13	Port Adelaide	7 (7.13)	9	0	106.5
14	Greater Western Sydney	7 (6.99)	9	0	93.8
15	Carlton	5 (4.64)	11	0	85.9
16	Essendon	4 (4.32)	12	0	79.1
17	West Coast	4 (4.25)	12	0	66.5
18	Richmond	3 (2.61)	13	0	62.0

Round 18

Adelaide 86 - 83 Gold Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.539292 - 0.460708RealScores: 85.914337 - 83.126813

Brisbane Lions 114 - 71 Essendon
Gabba (QLD)0.88 wins - 0.12 winsRealProbs: 0.879809 - 0.120191RealScores: 114.234368 - 71.425374

Carlton Carlton 75 - 110 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.17 wins - 0.83 winsRealProbs: 0.169385 - 0.830615RealScores: 74.854851 - 109.799611

Collingwood 88 - 70 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.691644 - 0.308356RealScores: 88.051585 - 69.705312

Fremantle 78 - 84 Sydney Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.436485 - 0.563515RealScores: 78.368791 - 83.591948

Greater Western Sydney 85 - 93 Geelong Geelong
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.410791 - 0.589209RealScores: 85.451311 - 93.328159

Melbourne 108 - 73 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.836394 - 0.163606RealScores: 108.402983 - 72.601947

St Kilda 87 - 76 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.619006 - 0.380994RealScores: 87.475078 - 76.421710

Western Bulldogs 118 - 66 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.93 wins - 0.07 winsRealProbs: 0.927412 - 0.072588RealScores: 118.296155 - 66.477986

		W	L	D	%
1	Sydney	13 (13.24)	4	0	146.7
2	Hawthorn	12 (12.35)	4	1	125.3
3	Fremantle	12 (12.23)	5	0	120.9
4	Brisbane Lions	11 (10.81)	6	0	123.6
5	Geelong	10 (9.81)	7	0	109.1
6	Collingwood	9 (9.35)	7	1	112.2
7	Gold Coast	9 (9.39)	8	0	106.8
8	Adelaide	9 (8.88)	8	0	101.2
9	Western Bulldogs	9 (9.04)	8	0	99.8
10	Melbourne	9 (9.22)	8	0	98.5
11	St Kilda	8 (8.46)	9	0	106.7
12	Port Adelaide	8 (7.52)	9	0	105.3
13	North Melbourne	8 (7.84)	9	0	98.1
14	Greater Western Sydney	7 (7.41)	10	0	93.7
15	Carlton	5 (4.84)	12	0	84.8
16	Essendon	4 (4.47)	13	0	78.0
17	West Coast	4 (4.35)	13	0	65.9
18	Richmond	3 (2.81)	14	0	62.3

Round 19

Collingwood 88 - 69 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.695660 - 0.304340RealScores: 87.889887 - 69.142829

Essendon 83 - 94 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.378039 - 0.621961RealScores: 82.814365 - 94.080939

Geelong Geelong 99 - 79 St Kilda
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.704712 - 0.295288RealScores: 99.089021 - 79.426903

Gold Coast 95 - 87 Western Bulldogs
Carrara (QLD)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.591523 - 0.408477RealScores: 94.866133 - 86.845510

North Melbourne 94 - 99 Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.436984 - 0.563016RealScores: 94.197616 - 99.278595

Port Adelaide 76 - 77 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.480003 - 0.519997RealScores: 75.837751 - 76.647232

Richmond 59 - 120 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.03 wins - 0.97 winsRealProbs: 0.028499 - 0.971501RealScores: 58.768297 - 120.372768

Sydney Sydney 101 - 68 Adelaide
S.C.G. (NSW)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.819417 - 0.180583RealScores: 100.879543 - 67.547095

West Coast 73 - 115 Brisbane Lions
Perth Stadium (WA)0.13 wins - 0.87 winsRealProbs: 0.128851 - 0.871149RealScores: 73.347768 - 114.673172

		W	L	D	%
1	Sydney	14 (14.02)	4	0	146.8
2	Hawthorn	13 (13.30)	4	1	128.5
3	Fremantle	13 (12.74)	5	0	119.7
4	Brisbane Lions	12 (11.65)	6	0	125.2
5	Collingwood	10 (10.02)	7	1	113.0
6	Geelong	10 (10.50)	8	0	109.9
7	Gold Coast	10 (9.97)	8	0	107.0
8	Melbourne	10 (9.77)	8	0	98.9
9	St Kilda	9 (8.77)	9	0	105.0
10	Western Bulldogs	9 (9.46)	9	0	99.4
11	Adelaide	9 (9.09)	9	0	99.0
12	Port Adelaide	8 (8.01)	10	0	104.9
13	North Melbourne	8 (8.28)	10	0	97.9
14	Greater Western Sydney	8 (8.02)	10	0	94.7
15	Carlton	5 (5.16)	13	0	84.5
16	Essendon	5 (4.86)	13	0	78.5
17	West Coast	5 (4.51)	13	0	65.7
18	Richmond	3 (2.86)	15	0	61.4

Round 20

Adelaide 75 - 72 Collingwood
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.543800 - 0.456200RealScores: 74.968211 - 71.900405

Brisbane Lions 97 - 73 Port Adelaide
Gabba (QLD)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.742999 - 0.257001RealScores: 96.879502 - 73.134114

Carlton Carlton 84 - 97 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.361041 - 0.638959RealScores: 83.908281 - 96.933031

Fremantle 107 - 61 West Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.89 wins - 0.11 winsRealProbs: 0.894643 - 0.105357RealScores: 106.532322 - 61.075195

Greater Western Sydney 75 - 102 Sydney Sydney
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.23 wins - 0.77 winsRealProbs: 0.229482 - 0.770518RealScores: 74.749354 - 101.693042

Hawthorn 115 - 69 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.90 wins - 0.10 winsRealProbs: 0.898033 - 0.101967RealScores: 114.878954 - 68.797078

Melbourne 88 - 104 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.330968 - 0.669032RealScores: 88.356769 - 104.496943

North Melbourne 83 - 97 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.353362 - 0.646638RealScores: 83.174498 - 97.052788

Western Bulldogs 113 - 63 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.92 wins - 0.08 winsRealProbs: 0.918354 - 0.081646RealScores: 113.309178 - 63.322819

		W	L	D	%
1	Sydney	15 (14.77)	4	0	146.3
2	Hawthorn	14 (14.17)	4	1	130.2
3	Fremantle	14 (13.60)	5	0	122.1
4	Brisbane Lions	12 (12.37)	7	0	125.5
5	Geelong	11 (11.15)	8	0	110.4
6	Gold Coast	11 (10.60)	8	0	107.4
7	Collingwood	10 (10.49)	8	1	112.1
8	Western Bulldogs	10 (10.35)	9	0	102.3
9	Adelaide	10 (9.62)	9	0	99.2
10	Melbourne	10 (10.12)	9	0	98.1
11	St Kilda	9 (9.41)	10	0	105.6
12	North Melbourne	9 (8.65)	10	0	97.2
13	Port Adelaide	8 (8.29)	11	0	103.1
14	Greater Western Sydney	8 (8.28)	11	0	93.5
15	Carlton	6 (5.53)	13	0	84.6
16	Essendon	5 (4.99)	14	0	77.4
17	West Coast	5 (4.65)	14	0	65.3
18	Richmond	3 (2.97)	16	0	61.1

Round 21

Carlton Carlton 83 - 105 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.272299 - 0.727701RealScores: 82.519826 - 104.588156

Collingwood 78 - 77 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.520141 - 0.479859RealScores: 78.069725 - 77.395513

Essendon 79 - 90 Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.382924 - 0.617076RealScores: 79.282440 - 89.823605

Fremantle 92 - 76 Western Bulldogs
Perth Stadium (WA)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.674017 - 0.325983RealScores: 92.336835 - 75.716973

Gold Coast 107 - 84 Melbourne
Carrara (QLD)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.730315 - 0.269685RealScores: 106.589890 - 84.239651

Hawthorn 113 - 73 North Melbourne
York Park (TAS)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.861447 - 0.138553RealScores: 112.625752 - 72.909975

Port Adelaide 89 - 75 Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.642196 - 0.357804RealScores: 88.591837 - 75.311082

Richmond 83 - 79 West Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.556530 - 0.443470RealScores: 83.063416 - 78.804337

St Kilda 79 - 97 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.306370 - 0.693630RealScores: 78.666020 - 97.210074

		W	L	D	%
1	Hawthorn	15 (15.00)	4	1	131.3
2	Sydney	15 (15.44)	5	0	145.0
3	Fremantle	14 (14.26)	6	0	122.1
4	Brisbane Lions	13 (13.07)	7	0	125.6
5	Geelong	12 (11.64)	8	0	109.8
6	Collingwood	11 (11.00)	8	1	111.5
7	Gold Coast	11 (11.31)	9	0	108.3
8	Western Bulldogs	11 (10.69)	9	0	101.3
9	St Kilda	10 (9.73)	10	0	104.2
10	Adelaide	10 (10.23)	10	0	99.9
11	Melbourne	10 (10.41)	10	0	97.0
12	Port Adelaide	9 (8.92)	11	0	103.8
13	North Melbourne	9 (8.82)	11	0	95.2
14	Greater Western Sydney	9 (8.65)	11	0	93.0
15	Carlton	6 (5.83)	14	0	84.3
16	Essendon	5 (5.38)	15	0	77.9
17	West Coast	5 (5.10)	15	0	66.5
18	Richmond	4 (3.52)	16	0	62.8

Round 22

Adelaide 105 - 57 Richmond
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.91 wins - 0.09 winsRealProbs: 0.911043 - 0.088957RealScores: 105.206941 - 56.657538

Brisbane Lions 91 - 93 Hawthorn
Gabba (QLD)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.463115 - 0.536885RealScores: 90.559298 - 92.794120

Geelong Geelong 111 - 70 Essendon
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.87 wins - 0.13 winsRealProbs: 0.869139 - 0.130861RealScores: 111.102815 - 70.115391

Greater Western Sydney 87 - 90 Gold Coast
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.453130 - 0.546870RealScores: 86.882123 - 90.101895

Melbourne 84 - 92 Fremantle
M.C.G. (VIC)0.40 wins - 0.60 winsRealProbs: 0.404188 - 0.595812RealScores: 84.243797 - 92.443813

St Kilda 97 - 82 Carlton Carlton
Docklands (VIC)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.662839 - 0.337161RealScores: 97.452435 - 81.957709

Sydney Sydney 99 - 65 Port Adelaide
S.C.G. (NSW)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.820656 - 0.179344RealScores: 98.863647 - 65.355822

West Coast 65 - 91 Collingwood
Perth Stadium (WA)0.24 wins - 0.76 winsRealProbs: 0.236389 - 0.763611RealScores: 65.237725 - 91.354754

Western Bulldogs 104 - 82 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.729120 - 0.270880RealScores: 104.167393 - 81.946280

		W	L	D	%
1	Hawthorn	16 (15.52)	4	1	129.8
2	Sydney	16 (16.23)	5	0	145.3
3	Fremantle	15 (14.84)	6	0	121.4
4	Brisbane Lions	14 (13.55)	7	0	124.1
5	Collingwood	12 (11.73)	8	1	112.7
6	Geelong	12 (12.48)	9	0	111.8
7	Gold Coast	12 (11.84)	9	0	108.1
8	Adelaide	11 (11.11)	10	0	102.7
9	Western Bulldogs	11 (11.40)	10	0	102.4
10	Melbourne	11 (10.83)	10	0	96.8
11	St Kilda	10 (10.38)	11	0	104.9
12	Port Adelaide	9 (9.13)	12	0	101.6
13	North Melbourne	9 (9.11)	12	0	94.3
14	Greater Western Sydney	9 (9.12)	12	0	93.2
15	Carlton	6 (6.18)	15	0	84.3
16	Essendon	6 (5.55)	15	0	77.2
17	West Coast	5 (5.37)	16	0	66.7
18	Richmond	4 (3.64)	17	0	62.4

Round 23

Brisbane Lions 96 - 86 Gold Coast
Gabba (QLD)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.619265 - 0.380735RealScores: 96.492482 - 85.895176

Essendon 71 - 110 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.14 wins - 0.86 winsRealProbs: 0.139841 - 0.860159RealScores: 70.595606 - 110.101738

Fremantle 89 - 67 Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.722561 - 0.277439RealScores: 88.982369 - 67.463140

Greater Western Sydney 109 - 68 West Coast
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.87 wins - 0.13 winsRealProbs: 0.873517 - 0.126483RealScores: 109.497547 - 67.770875

Hawthorn 86 - 70 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.667920 - 0.332080RealScores: 85.803098 - 69.829952

North Melbourne 82 - 102 Geelong Geelong
Docklands (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.287935 - 0.712065RealScores: 81.648698 - 102.066876

Port Adelaide 96 - 81 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.659768 - 0.340232RealScores: 95.744339 - 80.695590

Richmond 66 - 104 St Kilda
M.C.G. (VIC)0.15 wins - 0.85 winsRealProbs: 0.149625 - 0.850375RealScores: 65.998786 - 103.942585

Western Bulldogs 104 - 82 Carlton Carlton
Docklands (VIC)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.724916 - 0.275084RealScores: 103.514431 - 81.744524

		W	L	D	%
1	Sydney	17 (17.06)	5	0	145.8
2	Hawthorn	16 (16.17)	5	1	129.5
3	Fremantle	16 (15.54)	6	0	121.9
4	Brisbane Lions	14 (14.15)	8	0	123.6
5	Geelong	13 (13.17)	9	0	112.3
6	Collingwood	12 (12.08)	9	1	111.1
7	Gold Coast	12 (12.24)	10	0	107.1
8	Western Bulldogs	12 (12.10)	10	0	103.4
9	St Kilda	11 (11.20)	11	0	106.7
10	Adelaide	11 (11.41)	11	0	101.4
11	Melbourne	11 (11.19)	11	0	96.2
12	Port Adelaide	10 (9.77)	12	0	102.4
13	Greater Western Sydney	10 (9.96)	12	0	95.5
14	North Melbourne	9 (9.43)	13	0	93.6
15	Carlton	6 (6.48)	16	0	84.0
16	Essendon	6 (5.72)	16	0	76.5
17	West Coast	6 (5.52)	16	0	66.4
18	Richmond	4 (3.82)	18	0	62.4

Round 24

Adelaide 91 - 77 Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.644694 - 0.355306RealScores: 90.740403 - 77.464828

Carlton Carlton 77 - 90 Fremantle
Docklands (VIC)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.361111 - 0.638889RealScores: 77.439613 - 90.076987

Collingwood 80 - 79 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.516585 - 0.483415RealScores: 79.369625 - 79.235180

Essendon 77 - 87 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.383802 - 0.616198RealScores: 77.265544 - 87.451914

Geelong Geelong 118 - 57 Richmond
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.97 wins - 0.03 winsRealProbs: 0.970070 - 0.029930RealScores: 118.183768 - 56.920613

Melbourne 91 - 105 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.353404 - 0.646596RealScores: 91.026868 - 104.512513

St Kilda 89 - 88 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.529683 - 0.470317RealScores: 89.088538 - 87.690784

Sydney Sydney 115 - 67 North Melbourne
S.C.G. (NSW)0.91 wins - 0.09 winsRealProbs: 0.906522 - 0.093478RealScores: 115.021729 - 67.342503

West Coast 68 - 119 Hawthorn
Perth Stadium (WA)0.07 wins - 0.93 winsRealProbs: 0.073206 - 0.926794RealScores: 67.613345 - 119.304686

		W	L	D	%
1	Sydney	18 (17.94)	5	0	146.8
2	Hawthorn	17 (17.07)	5	1	131.3
3	Fremantle	16 (16.16)	7	0	121.6
4	Brisbane Lions	15 (14.65)	8	0	122.6
5	Geelong	14 (14.11)	9	0	115.2
6	Collingwood	13 (12.58)	9	1	110.6
7	Gold Coast	13 (12.73)	10	0	106.7
8	Western Bulldogs	13 (12.72)	10	0	103.9
9	St Kilda	12 (11.71)	11	0	106.5
10	Adelaide	12 (12.04)	11	0	102.0
11	Melbourne	12 (11.56)	11	0	95.8
12	Port Adelaide	10 (10.37)	13	0	102.8
13	Greater Western Sydney	10 (10.33)	13	0	95.1
14	North Melbourne	10 (9.55)	13	0	91.8
15	Carlton	7 (6.86)	16	0	84.1
16	Essendon	6 (6.12)	17	0	77.0
17	West Coast	6 (5.63)	17	0	66.0
18	Richmond	4 (3.88)	19	0	61.7

FINALS: WEEK 1

Sydney Sydney 99 - 80 Brisbane Lions
S.C.G. (NSW)

Hawthorn 93 - 72 Fremantle
M.C.G. (VIC)

Geelong Geelong 94 - 90 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)

Collingwood 82 - 72 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)

FINALS: WEEK 2

Brisbane Lions 98 - 86 Geelong Geelong
Gabba (QLD)

Fremantle 79 - 64 Collingwood
Perth Stadium (WA)

FINALS: WEEK 3

Sydney Sydney 92 - 70 Fremantle
S.C.G. (NSW)

Hawthorn 100 - 84 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)

2026 AFL GRAND FINAL

Hawthorn 90 - 85 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)

Note: Finals tips are an unreliable way to forecast the eventual premier. For a better method, see FLAGPOLE.

Tipping by SQUIGGLE7

		Attack	Defence	Combined
1	Sydney	65.0	64.5	64.8
2	Hawthorn	65.2	61.9	63.5
3	Brisbane Lions	63.4	57.5	60.4
4	Geelong	60.6	57.1	58.8
5	Fremantle	55.3	62.1	58.7
6	Gold Coast	59.0	56.6	57.8
7	Collingwood	50.8	64.5	57.7
8	Western Bulldogs	60.0	54.8	57.4
9	St Kilda	56.2	54.3	55.3
10	Adelaide	53.0	56.1	54.5
11	Port Adelaide	51.5	57.4	54.4
12	Greater Western Sydney	55.2	53.3	54.3
13	Melbourne	57.9	48.2	53.1
14	Carlton	52.8	49.4	51.1
15	North Melbourne	53.0	49.1	51.1
16	Essendon	49.4	47.8	48.6
17	West Coast	43.9	43.7	43.8
18	Richmond	40.5	44.8	42.7

Western Bulldogs def Brisbane Lions	6.1%
Brisbane Lions def Western Bulldogs	5.9%
Brisbane Lions def Geelong	5.8%
Geelong def Brisbane Lions	5.3%
Western Bulldogs def Geelong	4.6%
Geelong def Western Bulldogs	4.3%
Brisbane Lions def Hawthorn	3.6%
Hawthorn def Brisbane Lions	2.9%
Western Bulldogs def Hawthorn	2.8%
Geelong def Hawthorn	2.8%
Brisbane Lions def Adelaide	2.3%
Hawthorn def Western Bulldogs	2.1%
Hawthorn def Geelong	2.0%
Brisbane Lions def Collingwood	1.8%
Brisbane Lions def Gold Coast	1.8%
Western Bulldogs def Adelaide	1.7%
Brisbane Lions def Carlton	1.7%
Geelong def Adelaide	1.6%
Western Bulldogs def Collingwood	1.6%
Western Bulldogs def Gold Coast	1.5%

		Flagpole Height
1	Sydney	64.7
2	Hawthorn	63.4
3	Brisbane Lions	59.5
4	Fremantle	58.3
5	Geelong	57.5
6	Collingwood	55.4
7	Gold Coast	55.1
8	Western Bulldogs	54.5
9	St Kilda	51.3
10	Adelaide	50.9
11	Melbourne	48.8
12	Port Adelaide	48.2
13	Greater Western Sydney	47.4
14	North Melbourne	43.2
15	Carlton	36.3
16	Essendon	31.7
17	West Coast	27.1
18	Richmond	20.8